Bharat Rakshak

A_Gupta

@RCase, as far as UP goes, it seems the rot started when the candidates' list was announced. As far as I know, most psephologists had conducted their polls before that. I think it is a little here and a little there and that causes a mini-avalanche. The other thing I am inferring is that most right-...

A_Gupta

USISPF Board of Directors: interesting mix of industries: Ravi Kumar S, Chief Executive Officer, Cognizant Salil Parekh, Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, Infosys Arvind Krishna, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, IBM Amarjyoti Barua, Executive Vice President - Group Strategy & M...

A_Gupta

^^^ " SEBI has appointed Usha Thorat, a close aide of the Gandhi family"

If names are explicitly spelled out here, we can search for them later on BRF as and when needed. Merely "close aide" doesn't help.

A_Gupta

https://sundayguardianlive.com/top-five/trial-of-nikhil-gupta-in-pannun-case-set-to-begin-in-the-u-s Trial of Nikhil Gupta in Pannun case set to begin in the U.S. The District Attorney’s office of New York intends to prosecute this case in a manner that makes Gupta an example and a deterrent. If con...

A_Gupta

Political stability is essential for economic growth, so this coalition compromise cannot be avoided, but coalition politics can mean policy paralysis. The foundation for Bharat for the next thousand years was an implausible claim, and now can be discarded. How to keep the economic momentum growing,...

A_Gupta

Above video, Vaibhav Singh has it exactly right when he says, you have been in government for ten years, if Dhruv Rathee and George Soros can cause you to lose fifty seats, then it is time you retire from politics. (It is your own mistakes, not all these excuses. And all the gaali you give the elect...

A_Gupta

Authentic official Chinese opinion of Pakistan
https://www.dawn.com/news/1837268/devel ... about-cpec

A_Gupta

https://youtu.be/0vg8z0iPlCI?si=clMF_m-0mn94ytip
No point in blaming the voter for your own mistakes.

In the matter of giving ticket to recent arrivals from other parties, BJP in the pursuit of niti, forgot about dharma.

A_Gupta

https://youtu.be/HpHOm7oFO6Q?si=bg1rSVvkc8q6mcTh
Is this youtube on India's involvement in the Armenia/Azerbaijan conflict accurate?
It appears quite complicated. Israel backs Azerbaijan to counter Iran , India backs Armenia to counter Turkey.
Any gurus?

A_Gupta

^^^ @venkat_kv. the way I heard it put by a more sophisticated commentator, without bringing caste or even Yogi into it is that after the candidate list came out the local BJP karyakartas and RSS sevaks asked in 36 cases in UP for the candidates to be replaced but they were paid no heed.

A_Gupta

BJP should manufacture protests against the INDI alliance and tie them down. Have some of the people go and ask for their Rs. 8000 per month as they had voted for them. Increase the crescendo that they should fulfil this from their MPLAD or party funds. Else call them out as liars for making outlan...

A_Gupta

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UL1MtSqInJQ Bizarre scenes unfolded at the Congress office in Lucknow as Muslim women gathered to claim the 'promised' cash dole from Rahul Gandhi's 'Khata Khat' guarantee. Following a recent surge in support, women crowded the office, demanding the ₹1 lakh cash guara...

A_Gupta

Per Ajeet Bharti, the renovations at Ayodhya and Kashi were at the cost of a lot of poor people who never received their due compensation; and this is in part why the BJP lost in Ayodhya and PM Modi had a greatly decreased victory margin in Kashi. He predicts matters can get even worse with other su...

A_Gupta

I will say this only once and not argue about it. As noted even by Ambedkar in the early 40s, Indian Muslim society is as riven with divisions as Hindu society. The difference is that Muslims by and large unite under "Islam is in danger"; and by and large, Hindus simply aren't aware of dan...

A_Gupta

The talk of rural distress brings me to this about panchayat elections in UP, 2021. https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/what-up-panchayat-election-results-mean-for-bjp-and-opposition-7303566/ I imagine panchayat members (if listened to) are a party's ears on the ground. Maybe some of this is...

A_Gupta

If you know Hindi, this is as good an analysis of what went wrong.
हार जीत के कारणों का विश्लेषण क्या आरएसएस/बीजेपी खुद जिम्मेदार है
https://www.youtube.com/live/IAltWYhNuv ... E-F2PWRO4B

A_Gupta

Suppose the psephologists had said in January 2024 that there is a strong anti-incumbency feeling. Then you'd be overjoyed today that BJP/NDA overcame anti-incumbency. But the psephologists did not see such a feeling? Well, it is more likely that the psephologists are incompetent than the EVMs are c...

A_Gupta

> . Full counting of VVPT slips is the only solution, if BJP wants to win the next elections.

How do they game the full VVPAT counting of 5% or something like that of randomly chosen polling stations?

A_Gupta

^^^ Opposition raised "Modi will end reservation". BJP raised "INDI will give your reservation to the Quam". Both raised fear of loss. But one message was targeted against a group. Given that there is zero claim of discrimination against the Quam in all the housing, gas connectio...

A_Gupta

https://indianexpress.com/article/india/alleged-plot-to-kill-pannun-to-stall-extradition-gupta-told-court-in-prague-to-consider-if-delhi-gave-orders-9366526/ IN their bid to stall his extradition to the United States, lawyers for Nikhil Gupta, currently in custody in Prague for his alleged involveme...

A_Gupta

In the quieter sections of the video media, where people don't shout at each other, the sentiment captured from many villagees is that the Mukhia works very hard in the first term, tends to slack off in the second term, and "sar pe chad jaate hain" in the third term. Who knows, neither ane...

A_Gupta

So from taking direction from the Prime Minister’s Office, now the psephologists take direction from foreign masters. Previously, EVMs from being unhackable now need utmost scrutiny. People who used to blast any criticism of some BJP local mischief are now themselves full blown critics of the party....

A_Gupta

Criticisms of the BJP/Modi with information you had before the elections is a sign of fair-weather friendship.

A_Gupta

If there is an analysis of strike rate (seats won/seats contested) for the BJP and for the NDA by phases 1-7 of the elections, that data might have a story to tell,

It is beyond my capacity to do that analysis, though.

A_Gupta

1. Weeks before the elections, I heard Pradeep Bhandhari say that one thing that derails any political party and could derail the BJP is if the voter perceives it as arrogant. 2. Random sampling of explanations, e.g., Sanjay Dixit of The Jaipur Dialogues, now saying, Yogi was sidelined in UP adminis...

A_Gupta

The best I can make out, e.g., for AAP leads, is that about 5% of the vote has been counted.

A_Gupta

> You get the real vote count in the ECI website. When you click on the lead numbers.

Am unable to access it.

A_Gupta

NewsX says after the postal and one round of EVM, Smriti Irani is leading.

What I do not like about any of the coverage is that the actual vote count is not shown.
"Leading" can mean leading by 1 vote or 50,000 votes.
Likewise with "Trailing".

A_Gupta

They will keep you glued to the TV or streaming service as long as they can; and for that, the election has to be a "real fight".

The higher end of the reputable exit polls were far too optimistic for the NDA. I'd be surprised though if the lower end is not achieved.

A_Gupta

Is there anywhere that gives the total vote share rather than seats?

A_Gupta

More detailed description of the counting process. Also mentions rules on postal ballots.

https://www.news18.com/explainers/how-e ... 18695.html

A_Gupta

Here is a look how votes, opens new tab are counted and what happens after that. VOTE COUNTING Vote counting is decentralised and done simultaneously at counting stations in each of the 543 constituencies around the country. Counting begins at 8 am (0230 GMT) on June 4 with the tallying of postal b...

A_Gupta

Ground reality from ANI
https://youtu.be/EGROduiNSW4?si=xlEQDQtDCM9xyo0M

Two ANI reporters feel that the exit poll exaggerates BJP strength in Karnataka.

A_Gupta

ECI press presentation
https://youtu.be/9CaNw8YFbzs?si=A9_aKMwhlWQD9V1P

A_Gupta

“ Being licensed has done nothing to ensure it’s less exploitative, with annualised interest rates running around 250pc.”

https://www.dawn.com/news/1758003/the-n ... ance-loans

A_Gupta

Why did Jairam Ramesh make the claim that the Home Minister called 150 district collectors to influence the counting? The ECI has asked him to substantiate his allegation. What happens when he cannot?

A_Gupta

A very detailed look at axis MY INDIA exit polling data (in Hindi):
https://youtu.be/WtTyCJDDy7U?si=O9DgynFYriKOxB-9

A general observation is that where Congress gained, it was not at the expense of the BJP.

A_Gupta

https://pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2022466 Election Commission General Elections 2024 -Dissemination of Counting Day Trends and Results Posted On: 01 JUN 2024 7:44PM by PIB Delhi The counting of votes for General Election to the House of the People – 2024 and State Legislative Assemblies ...

A_Gupta

What are the 7 Opposition Demands to the ECI? 1. Count postal ballots first. 2. Count "a minimum five per cent of voter verifiable paper audit trail (VVPAT) per polling booth" Not sure what 2. means. Counting 5 percent of the polling booths completely may be useful; but counting 5 percent ...

A_Gupta

Reasons for Indians to sigh a breath of relief that the INDI alliance is nowhere near taking power: 1. Constitutional - Pappu & his kind have totally distorted the meaning of the Constitution - whether it be inserting "secular" & "socialist" in the preamble or their whole...

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