Bharat Rakshak

Rahul M

Thx maitya, very interesting.

Rahul M

Poster welcoming bjp central observer kailash Vijayvargiya in Kolkata.

Rahul M

How much Bengali supported BJP in 2021 election :

2011's Poriborton Election which CPIM lost, TMC got 38.93% vote.

In 2021's election, BJP got 38.13% vote.

BJP despite following wrong agendas, lacking leadership enjoys same popularity as TMC did in 2011.

Let this sink in.
_____
From twitter.

Rahul M

Rahul M-da, I hope you are looking to publish your analysis in a publication like Swarajya or OpIndia. This needs to be widely disseminated, and your efforts should not go waste. I won't but people are free to use and disseminate, no need to acknowledge me either. As for swarajya, I doubt they will...

Rahul M

I will give my brief analysis without taking anything away from RahulM. Two other major factors were there in 2021 WB election. The WB economy has grown at a CAGR (combined annual growth rate) of 10.5% in the last five years i.e. the economy has basically doubled. This is big for a state that was i...

Rahul M

Good that BJP getting some lessons. Mukul Roys ( or Jatin Prasadas) are only fair whether friends. Not all coming in to the Parties are going to be Hemantha Bishwa Sharmas. Party now has to take care of the ground workers and their families in WB. looks like all supporters are busy teaching lessons...

Rahul M

If India carves out Gorkhaland it will likely start clamouring to join Nepal :rotfl: Where'd you get that idea from? Gorkhaland is a demand for state within the union of India. If there is Telangana and Chattisgarh so can there be Gorkhaland. Its better to create GL now when there is still time lef...

Rahul M

RahulMji A question or two : 1. was the defection of all and sundry from TMC to BJP a 'Trojan Horse', reason I am asking is because of so many Ghar-wpasi's and mainly Mukul Roy! >> some definitely were. BJP followed Mukul's methodology for the most part it and came a cropper. what does that indicat...

Rahul M

Good analysis RahulM. Much needed critical view. It was bad defeat. elections that BJP should have won. but in the long run, it can be converted into good - get rid of bad imports from TMCs who are not committed or are corrupt. - get rid of local leaders who have achieved success only on Modi's rep...

Rahul M

RahulM, good insightful analysis. What impact did Khela hobe have on bengali voters? It was an open threat after first 2 or 3 phases when BJP was estimated to have done much better than expected. The violence was kicked to next level and BJP leaders and convoys were openly attacked. BJP leaders the...

Rahul M

RahulM, Thanks for the long and detailed analysis. Sure beats the pop analysis in media. Yes, there were missteps and active measures by TMC that got them the majority. Can you compare and contrast Suvendhu Adhikari and Mukul Roy? If anyone wants to analyze what did TMC do right, that turned the co...

Rahul M

Constantly shooting the messenger and running down the credibility of the analysis by claiming it is biased doesn't help ...... Rahulji good analysis, but it defies logic how come people there have no aspiration or atleast have the dream for better future within the state . I guess they love status...

Rahul M

Basically the party ran a high-octane campaign with a "we are winning" message (what else can one expect them to do)...you can call it a over-hyped campaign if you want.....but the electorate was just not ready to completely rout the TMC just yet. This created a huge disappointment especi...

Rahul M

Great analysis Rahul M! Who are the resident Bengali leaders in BJP now with the potential to take the BJP over the top in Bengal? Does Suvendu Adhikary fit the bill? Or is it going to be back to Dilip Ghosh. There are rumours of Mukul Roy being moved to the Central Cabinet. There are also rumours ...

Rahul M

^^Very good. Only one question: have you sent it to the BJP leadership? If not, this detailed analysis has nearly zero value since it will only be read by BRF wallahs like us. by that token everything discussed in the forum is of zero value, which begs the question, why are you wasting your time he...

Rahul M

Part-I : The nature of the defeat Part-II : Cause of defeat, what TMC got right Part - III : Cause of defeat - what BJP got wrong Part - III : Cause of defeat - what BJP got wrong NOTE : I delayed this post by a couple of weeks in order to incorporate some insider inputs that I was expecting. Have ...

Rahul M

Kati, Debrishi, RahulM What have you heard about money flow in West Bengal elections? What were voters paid? I have mentioned some of this in my earlier analysis; they have used carrot & stick policy, some payout in the name of some non-existing scheme amounting to approximately Rs 1000-2000/vo...

Rahul M

More rumours will come, like the ones that said BJP lost 100 seats by less than 1000 votes. All such rumours are just that, floated to take the attention away from the party's underperformance. If there are that many Rohingya candidates what does it say about the central govt that it is not doing a...

Rahul M

ramana wrote:Yagnasri, Waiting for Part 3 of RahulM analysis.

Parts 3 and 4 sir.
Please bear with me, work pressure is killing. Next one in the weekend.

Rahul M

Bengal Elections - no one is talking about the 800 pound gorilla. Demography. What happened in 2019 then ? Gorilla was taking a nap ? :rotfl: :rotfl: :rotfl: Bengal Elections - no one is talking about the 800 pound gorilla. Demography. and now the rumours have started that a lot of the TMC candidat...

Rahul M

Thanks Mukhi ji.

I did mention PK but not as a separate factor because the strategy above is primarily down to his team. He was able to flip many seats BJP won in 2019, that deserves credit.

Rahul M

Joke doing the round these days is that a failed b grade bolly actor has better PR machine than the largest political party in the world.

Rahul M

Part-I : The nature of the defeat Part -II : Cause of defeat : What TMC got right WB has a population of about 9 Crores, about the same size as that of Vietnam or Egypt, spread over a massive 294 assembly seats(2nd highest after UP). Appropriating causes to a political win or loss over this vast sp...

Rahul M

Kati sir, all valid points and tallies nicely with my own observations. Re: 3 above, I was also reminded of the post pulwama almost deliberate kari-ninda phase. Hope we are correct because massive disillusionment is setting in among even hardcore believers and a non action would push many beyond the...

Rahul M

Venkat ji, this was only the first part that dealt with the nature of defeat, I am writing the 2nd part now which deals with the causes of the defeat.
Your points are mentioned there, among others. To put it simply, it's more complex than that.

Rahul M

Don't worry about it chetak ji.

Rahul M

This is Part I of the WB 2021 VS election analysis. Link to Part-II ================ First of all I would like to admit that I underestimated TMC's hold on the votebank and had expected a comfortable BJP victory in WB. I am still perplexed somewhat but will try to piece together a coherent narrativ...

Rahul M

This got me thinking, if there are any plans for a retractable landing gear on the lch and what advantages it gives, if any. Deejay sir ? Hari Nair sir ? Raghu? Sciinaction @Sciinaction1 · 17h Amazing edited photos of LCH https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EzkNo8oVIAI3gka?format=jpg&name=large https://...

Rahul M

KJo, I understand your need to wear stars & stripes on your sleeves but please try not to spin the indefensible ban by US admin into your need to display your superiority vis-a-vis your unwashed Indian friends who have the temerity to laugh at the great uncle sam. Its in bad taste & the next...

Rahul M

Dilbu wrote:Reporting for duty as requested by bredatorji.

Dhanyawad.

Rahul M

Disha-Saar, very nice article. .... Kudos to you. On the lighter side: Graffiti by TMC on the walls of Nimtala Smashan (crematorium) in North Kolkata - " Mamata will be back in 2021 ".... :lol: :lol: :lol: Sometimes I get there uncanny feeling that 50% of BRF is either from Calcutta or Be...

Rahul M

Dilbu wrote:...

Dilbu janab, your presence is urgently requested in the 5states election dhaga.
Bliss to visit & perform the requisite anti-jinxing

Rahul M

Lt Gen Subrata Saha (retd), whom kati mentioned as a possible home minister is running from rashbehari AC of South Kolkata. It seems the good general has brought all his army experience to the campaign and is running it along COIN tactics. Instead of big rallies, he has established something like a ...

Rahul M

vijayk wrote:I think BJP should cancel all rallies. Not good optics

No one in WB wants that, except diehard commies/tommies and you know why they want bjp to stop campaigning.
COVID is a minor virus compared to what we have in the state.

Rahul M

Swapan Dasgupta is not CM material. the leadership is not too enamoured of him. He had a string of demands and the very first one was that he be made Indian high commissioner to the UK. This was soon after the BJP won the 2014 elections. thereafter, he kept cribbing and was given some very lucrativ...

Rahul M

WB state govt employees are openly posting about TMC shenanigans including a secret report by police SP on teh incident @sitalkuchi which says that MB had called the night before & given clear orders to instigate crpf til they are forced to fire. I think that says it all about which way the wind...

Rahul M

Manjgu, the ROE point is a transparent excuse by Tufail to explain away why PAF allowed IAF to operate with impunity during kargil war, bombing their mujahideen and army. The reality is they had no capability to stop IAF from doing so in the first place, if they flew in a hostile trajectory towards ...

Rahul M

Rahul M

only 20 for BJP in Phase 1 and Phase 2? How many total seats in these 2 phases? All the seats where BJP won/fared better during the Lok Sabha elections in WB in 2019 have elections in the first 5 Phases. The last 3 phases are in areas where the TMC is strong. South Bengal, where TMC is supposed to ...

Rahul M

After Mahaguru Mithun joined BJP, bong youtube channels are getting flooded with videos on his younger brother who converted to Islam many years ago, and is now a big mullah in Bangladesh with a huge fanatic fundamentalist followers. I guess this is the handiwork of TMC elements. wiki says his brot...

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