North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

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nvishal
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by nvishal »

Arunachal MLA's son dies after being 'thrashed' by shopkeepers in south Delhi
Some say the shopkeepers and a few others made some obscene remarks on his blonde hair. It led to the fight. The police picked up the boy and later dropped him back in the same locality.

After that the shopkeeper and his friends allegedly beat him up again. He lost his life on Thursday.
According to eye witnesses the altercation began when he broke the window of a sweet shop. He broke the window after they made comments about his hair (he had blonde hair), said his friends.
Police arrived/settled case with fine Rs. 10,000 & took deceased to Police Station but later policemen dropped him at same place where fight took place
According to reports, Taniam died due to internal injuries. After the scuffle he came back to his house and he never woke up after that.
Arunachal boy dies after altercation in Delhi's Lajpat Nagar, many allege hate crime
Any BRF member here from Lajpat Nagar, delhi?
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by nvishal »

Kuki National Organisation executes its 2 cadres
The Kuki National Organisation, which is a signatory to the suspension of operations, has executed two of its cadres on the charge of “acquiring sophisticated weapons” for forming a rival underground outfit.

In a statement the KNO said that after establishing the fact both of them were given death sentence. Their bodies bearing bullet injuries were found near Kailengjang village in Senapati district on Saturday night.

The slain cadres were identified as Leigoulien Chongloi and Jathouthang Chongloi. The kangaroo court gave them the death sentence on January 30.

Sending a warning to other cadres, the KNO said those who violate the party constitution shall meet the same fate.
Kukis live in south manipur among other places. Ethnically, they are a splinter community of the much larger chin tribe, most of whom live in mizoram. There are about 2-4 chin sub-tribes that are engaged in turf squabbles within themselves besides fighting with meiteis and the north manipur nagas.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by nvishal »

Withdraw economic blockade: BJP to Assam, Arunachal Pradesh
The BJP on Tuesday demanded that both Assam and Arunachal Pradesh governments embark on a dialogue to withdraw the economic blockade, a fall out of the January 29 incident at Chawldhowa in Sonipur district of Assam where ten CPI(ML) supporters were gunned down.
Assam and AP have an unresolved land dispute between their borders. Last week, some tribals(alleged to be National Liberation Council of Taniland) from the arunachal side opened fire on a population of 300 and killed around ten(most of them nepalis).

NLCT is just one of the many emerging militant groups in the NE region which receives moral, diplomatic, financial yada yada(paraphrasing the pakis) support from NSCN(IM) in its effort to extinguish indian military's resources by creating multiple battlefields.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by Shanmukh »

nvishal wrote:Withdraw economic blockade: BJP to Assam, Arunachal Pradesh
The BJP on Tuesday demanded that both Assam and Arunachal Pradesh governments embark on a dialogue to withdraw the economic blockade, a fall out of the January 29 incident at Chawldhowa in Sonipur district of Assam where ten CPI(ML) supporters were gunned down.
Assam and AP have an unresolved land dispute between their borders. Last week, some tribals(alleged to be National Liberation Council of Taniland) from the arunachal side opened fire on a population of 300 and killed around ten(most of them nepalis).

NLCT is just one of the many emerging militant groups in the NE region which receives moral, diplomatic, financial yada yada(paraphrasing the pakis) support from NSCN(IM) in its effort to extinguish indian military's resources by creating multiple battlefields.
NVishal-ji,
I was following this report with some interest. Can you explain what the dispute in this business between CPI(ML) and NLCT is? I also read a few reports that there is considerable panic in AuP over the economic blockade. How complete is the blockade?
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by nvishal »

@nageshks
The north east territories are divided into ethnic turfs. Over the last few decades, population has increased visibly in this region. Some ethnic groups practice family planning contrast to adjacent groups; 4-5 kids in a family is common in some areas. Migration has increased. Tribal regions which were used to isolation are now seeing "others" wandering into their region and they feel threatened.

You need to understand that AuP is not all tibetan. Similarly, assam is not all assamese etc. With such a diverse landscape, there are constant tensions. Some ethnic groups impose economic blockade on others and depending on the geographic settlement of target groups, the result varies. It is not uncommon in these parts.
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Russia supplies space images to help fight Nagaland fires
Russia has supplied space imagery to India to help it deal with large forest fires raging in Nagaland, the Russian space agency said.

Roskosmos said it has provided satellite images for about 1,500 square kilometres of areas affected by fires and will continue collecting imagery of the territory through the next week.

The images have been supplied free under the International Charter on Space and Major Disasters, which Roscosmos joined last August.

Roscosmos said the photos are being taken by the Kanopus-V and Resurs-P remote sensing satellites and immediately forwarded to India after processing at the Russian Space Systems earth monitoring centre.

Massive fires have been raging in Nagaland since the end of January destroying pristine forests around Mount Japfu in Kohima. The Indian Air Force (IAF) has for the first time deployed its Russia-built Mi-17 V5 helicopters with firefighting equipment to help douse the fires.

Roscosmos said that it has also been supplying space images to Britain suffering from record floods caused by torrential rains.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by raj.devan »

When people murder other people over broken windows, then society has bigger issues than racism. For a crime to be called a 'hate crime' there has to be far more than just the fact that the victim came from a minority.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by Shanmukh »

nvishal wrote:@nageshks
The north east territories are divided into ethnic turfs. Over the last few decades, population has increased visibly in this region. Some ethnic groups practice family planning contrast to adjacent groups; 4-5 kids in a family is common in some areas. Migration has increased. Tribal regions which were used to isolation are now seeing "others" wandering into their region and they feel threatened.

You need to understand that AuP is not all tibetan. Similarly, assam is not all assamese etc. With such a diverse landscape, there are constant tensions. Some ethnic groups impose economic blockade on others and depending on the geographic settlement of target groups, the result varies. It is not uncommon in these parts.
I know that, NVishal-ji. I have family in Silchar, and am acquainted with the place. I was asking if you have specific information about the present problem - the death of the CPI(ML) cadres and the blockade of AuP.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by Rahul M »

nvishal, it is wrong to say that discrimination doesn't happen or that people from AP(say) don't complain about it. it happens to them too and they do feel about it. you don't hear much about it because they have a small population and migration out of AP is lesser than other NE states because central funds have created a (temporary) bounty in the area.
there are misunderstandings sometimes, some incidents are misinterpreted, some are blown out of proportion.
in most cases the discrimination has little to do with race.
to generalize w/o restraint, bollywood regularly parodies tamils, northies are discriminated against in chennai, biharis are discriminated against in mumbai, southies are discriminated against in north India and everyone is discriminated against in our glorious capital - dilli.
if there's anything we share as Indians, it's that we all discriminate against and are discriminated against all over the country.

the AP gents who recounted their cases to me may be tribals but their patriotism would put many in ROI to shame. FWIW the said gents are also hardcore rss/bjp/modi supporters and their small village (which you haven't heard of) of a few hundred people sent iron for the statue of sardar patel.
when people like that earnestly ask you with heartfelt emotion "why do plains people think we are not Indians, what more do we have to do to prove our Indian-ness ? " at some level you can't but feel ashamed and powerless.

@nageshks, AP has 2 major population groups,
a) the monpa and allied groups who are similar to tibetans and live in west kameng dist (HQ bomdila) and tawang dist.
b) the tani tribal groups form the largest % composed of nyishi(largest in #, used to be as ferocious as nagas at one time), adi, galo, apatani and tagin. they share founding mythos (all claim descent from a common ancestor known as 'Tani') and a language family ie their languages are related but may not be mutually intelligible.
among other groups there are tribes in 2 dist. tirap and changlang who claim relation to the nagas. local politicians there invited NSCN to gain upper hand on others and as a result both NSCN factions, I-M and K are active there. (may be the K-K is too)
there's a dept of tirap changlang formed by GOI that administers it and it is an autonomous area for many purposes.

the NLCT was a move by PRC to prop up Tani unity (historically the tribes were not particularly hostile to each other with the exception of the mising who moved to assam and are now the largest tani tribe in terms of population. but they were not united either) using the NSCM(I-M) as cat's paw. lots of money and arms flew in via the NSCM IM. I'm not aware of any direct CPIML links but they might have helped each other using the NSCN connection. NLCT was active in itnagar and adjacent areas of papum pare district and 3-4 years back they put down in a short, accurate and hence effective campaign spearheaded by central agencies. there wasn't much local support anyway.

now, the incident where 10 assamese people were gunned down raises a few red flags. the claim is that CPIML encouraged local assamese people to encroach on AP land. thing is, killing assamese people in this way serves AP nothing and arunachalis know this very well. the incident has all the markings of an organised group behind it. local tribals use the dao & even in case of altercations do not usually go to the extent of killing. if this is indeed NLCT then they have regrouped. possible but no proof yet.
another wacky but possible perp might be the NDFB itself, as a false flag operation to justify its existence. the songbijit faction has been desperate to retain relevance for sometime (killed an ASP sometime back) and they do have the capability and opportunity to carry out this.

========
the economic blockade is targeted at the tani tribals, particularly nyishis. AP doesn't grow or manufacture too many things and is dependent on assam for fresh vegetables to stationery items, LPG and medical services. my info is about a week old and the blockade was effective. there's a trickle of supplies via bomdila which along with tawang is exempt from the blockade but if it is still ongoing then people are already in some difficulty which would only worsen with time.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by nvishal »

Rahul, I was making observations rather than picking. Somewhere in the back of my mind, I suspect that some locals in and around delhi maybe acquainted some way with the racial violence in north-east. The pariah treatment in new delhi might be that, maybe. It's not possible to completely decipher a psyche.

The NSCN cultivates any tribal community it can find in NE. Culturally, across the region, the plains dislike the hills for being wild/uncultured and the hills dislike them back for being disliked. The result is that various ethnic tribal groups from different states seek to unite under the "tribal" theme. These united orgs serve to irritate and harass the plains people.

Hence some NE orgs in indian metros don't mix with other NE orgs.

The tanis(or apa tanis) are non-tibetan. Take a look at the tani dialect classification here. Culturally, they have similarities with some naga tribes.

57 - India, Arunachal Pradesh, Apa Tani; date unknown. B&W, silent (first 3mins)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rNU4fAVrJpc

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOji9km5Teg

They declare their identity as "tribal".
Last edited by nvishal on 13 Feb 2014 12:39, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by Rahul M »

>> The tanis(or apa tanis) are non-tibetan. Take a look at the tani dialect classification here. Culturally, they have similarities with some naga tribes.

I have already explained the major ethnicities of AP in my post above.
the apatani is one of the tani tribes (concentrated at ziro) not a catch-all term for tani tribes. the tani tribes have little to do with nagas.
if anything they have adopted some practices from the tibetans.

the NLCT had an unmistakable chinese hand, it was not NSCN IM acting alone.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by nvishal »

You're right.

Image

Tanis are 181, 182, 183, 184, 185, 186, 204 and 205.
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Post by Rony »

While there needs to be a acknowledgment about discrimination faced by certain "north east" people in "mainland India" and everything should be done to remove such discrimination, these kinds of tantrums and blackmail should not be encouraged and nipped in the bud. It is interesting that these kind of tantrums come from only certain groups (like Christian Mizos or Nagas or Christianised tribes of Manipur and Meghalaya) in north east which had a history of insurgency.


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Post by Varoon Shekhar »

True, but these people should realise that there is plenty of violence and xenophobia in their own states. Assam and Manipur are the worst. Nagaland and Meghalaya are pretty bad, too. Who remembers all the the Bihari/Hindi speaking labourers massacred in the region, and what of all the inter-tribal violence? Where is the question of feeling more at home in India or China, on this issue? None of this, of course, excuses or mitigates awful attacks in New Delhi or elsewhere against Northeasterners.

The Indian media rarely gives intense, detailed, sustained coverage of incidents in these states. Someone needs to be on it full time.
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@ Rony

The entire naga-manipur-mizo corridor was annexed by the british raj through force. You have to realize that this corridor is not indian, rather burmese(ethnically, not nationally). The nagas have a checkered history with the chinese(han) who chased them out of south china to the other side of the himalaya for reasons unknown. The manipuri meiteis and the burmese have a history of invasions and destruction between them. The mizo chins are one of the significant ethnic groups in myanmar where most of them live but are overwhelmed by other burmese groups.

After the british left india, the indian leaders received this corridor as "part of the whole package". Calling it "the brown mans burden" would not entirely be inaccurate. The corridor is neglected by india because indians don't actually have leverage here.

By the way, these guys are not really christians. This is important to understand. They don't accept christianity out of their love for christ or something like that. Their customs and behaviour is tribal. Christianity is their political identity meant for the outside world and the christian movement itself in these parts is a political movement. The tribals adopt christianity as a weapon against the plain people(hindus or non-tribals). They feel inferior, over-whelmed and sometimes, "rejected" by hindusm. Before christianity arrived in these parts, the plains people used hinduism as a weapon against the tribals(the wild people/untouchables). Now suddenly, the arrival of christianity is seen by the tribals as a game changer.

Personally speaking(IMO), the naga-manipur-mizo corridor(the hills) is nothing but a refuge, a shelter, a hiding place for a group of communities who have had a history of being persecuted. Their resistance to all things foreign is instinctive, so much so that they even resist against each other.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by svinayak »

nvishal wrote:@ Rony

The entire naga-manipur-mizo corridor was annexed by the british raj through force. You have to realize that this corridor is not indian, rather burmese(ethnically, not nationally). .
Burmese is also Indian before the British came.
We need to completely disown British policies in south asia done int he last 200 years. Indian sub continent was truly massive.
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Post by Rony »

nvishal, thanks for the insight.

svinayak,

Can you please explain this statement in little more detail - "Burmese is also Indian before the British came.". Burmese are Indian in cultural sense because of Hindu (Brahmanic,Tantric) and later Buddhist practices. But did any Indian empires/dynasties "held" burma politically ? The closest i can think of is certain Burmese kingdoms having tributary relationships with Chola dynasty.
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Post by nvishal »

These are hill areas.

No armies of any religious conquest can invade hills. It is strategical suicide. That's why no muslim empires which invaded india had managed or even tried to penetrate the hills of nepal or the NE.

However, indic culture managed to spread as far as south-east asia. Though please note that the "hills" remained impenetrable even by culture. These "tribal hills" of NE also exist in myanmar, thailand, vietnam and cambodia. Just like india, those "tribal hills" too raise chaos with the administration of those countries for grant of autonomy and reject mainstream culture. But those other hills don't have a racial angle going on like in india.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by svinayak »

Image
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Post by svinayak »

http://www.niu.edu/burma/collections/ma ... maps.shtml

http://deepcreeklakeyoga.com/burmahistory.html
The end of the Pyu Kingdom

Around the 6th Century, the Mons, a fierce warrior people who originated from Eastern India gradually moved down and subdued the Pyu kingdom and settled in the region. The Pyu scattered, many going north.

In the 8th Century, an offshoot of the old “Ch’iang” Tibetan tribes from the eastern Himalayas, known to western scholars as “Tibeto-Burmans” migrated into the region. After a long and complicated struggle, the Mons were defeated. The Tibeto-Burmese culture merged with the Mon culture.

Burma emerging as a Nation

By the middle of the 11th Century, Burma emerged as a Nation after numerous wars between small and large kingdoms in the region. The Great King Anawrahta [1044-1077] united the country and established his capital at Bagan in the north central Burma along the Irrawaddy River.

During the next century the city of Bagan grew dramatically. There was a great religious surge among the people, initiating extraordinary architectural and artistic activity in the region. More than 10,000 pagodas, temples, shrines and monasteries were built in the region. Today Bagan is the largest archaeological site in all of Asia. Even though Buddhism was adopted by the kings and the people of Burma, remnants of ancient and rituals of Hinduism, Tantricism, and Shamanism are still practiced today.
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Two missing sikh traders have been found executed

Missing traders killed along Myanmar border
Two Indian traders who went missing after entering Myanmar's Tamu district via Manipur's border town of Moreh ten days back, were found killed in the jungles on the Indian side, sending shockwaves along the border areas of the two countries.

Bodies of Sanvendar Singh (30) from UP and Daljeet Singh (33) from Maharashtra were found inside a jungle near Jangnomphai village about 45 Kms from Moreh police station in the morning, a source said and added that the bodies bore multiple injuries including burn wounds with their hands tied and legs tied.
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The Sittwe port deal is taking shape.

Image

Northeast India Anticipates Seaport
Construction work for jetties and other port facilities, which started in December 2010, is expected to be completed this year.

Called the Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project, the venture is expected to be fully operational by the end of 2015.
The project enters india through both land and water(Kaladan river) through mizorams Lai Autonomous District Council or lai people, a sub-group of the chin tribe. Keep this in mind.

Image

Myanmar is under various economic sanctions by the west. The myanmar generals want india to engage them economically else they'll allow the naga, chin and various other hill rebels from the indian side to set up base across the border.
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An ambush by insurgents on assam rifles in manipur has left 2 dead and another two injured
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NDFB-S launches operation; targets leaders, top cops
National Democratic Front of Boroland (NDFB-S) on Thursday released a video-clipping to announce the launch of an operation to assassinate politicians, Assam Police chief and superintendents of police.
RPF claims ‘strategic partner’ with Maoist in Chhattisgarh
Manipur’s rebel outfit, Revolutionary People’s Front (RPF), Thursday claimed that they were the “strategic partners” with the CPI Maoist in Chhattisgarh.

The revelations comes two days (March 11) after the Maoist laid a deadly ambush in Sukma district, south Chhattisgarh killing 11 CRPF jawans and four Chhattisgarh district executive force personnel. A civilian was also killed in the cross-fire.
Meanwhile, RPF has also owned up the March 11 deadly ambush on a convoy of the 24 Assam Rifles in interior Chandel district of Manipur, saying that it was laid by PLA cadres, the armed wing of the rebel group.

RPF claimed that the outfit seized one each of AK-47, AR M1F41 along with three magazines containing 87 live rounds, INSAS LMG, INSAS rifle with two magazine containing 48 live rounds and a Motorola wireless set from the AR convoy. The ambush was laid by a group of PLA cadres selected from various units of the outfit under “Operation Leopard”, RPF stated.
The RPF and PLA is a meitei outfit. They don't discriminate between civilians and indian forces.

Just like the maoists, the RPF and PLA cadres receive local support from the villagers, making these parts a perfect ambush territory for the militants.

Houses burned in Assam along Nagaland border
At least nine houses were set ablaze in Assam's Karbi Anglong district allegedly by attackers from Nagaland early on Saturday morning at Khukuribasti but no one was hurt.
About 100 miscreants armed with sharp weapons, bows and arrows came to Khukuribasti village about one kilometre away from the Rangapahar border outpost under Dhansiri police station and set on fire nine houses, additional SP (Border) S Ali Ahmed said.
About a month ago, several houses were burned down in an alleged bid to encroach land in Assam and three days ago 37 encroachers from Nagaland were arrested.
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Telegraph
Nod to new border road agency

SOBHANA K NAIR
New Delhi, March 15: The cabinet on Thursday cleared the formation of a corporate entity to speed up work on highways along international borders, with the immediate focus on the Northeast.

The National Highways Connectivity Company Limited will look after projects that are now carried out by the National Highways Authority of India, the Border Road Organisation or state public works departments (PWDs).

The Centre has identified 10,000km of roads for the new agency to take up, of which the Northeast accounts for nearly 7,000km. It has sanctioned Rs 100 crore as a one-time capital investment for the firm, which is also expected to work on some north Bengal roads.

This is the UPA government’s second attempt during its 10-year tenure to focus on roads in the Northeast.

In 2005, the Centre had floated a Special Accelerated Road Development Project for the region, sanctioning Rs 33,500 crore to build 6,418km of roads. More than eight years down the line, the pace has been hardly “accelerated”: only 1,280km of roads have been constructed.

The project is being carried out by the National Highways Authority of India and the state PWDs.

The road ministry’s cabinet note has blamed the state PWDs’ “limited capacity” —particularly in Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Tripura, Meghalaya and Mizoram — for the project’s tardiness.

The ministry has justified the move for the new body by arguing that the National Highways Authority of India’s hands are full, since it is “fully engaged in the development of the current National Highway Development Programme”.

“It would be rather difficult for it to provide the focused attention required for the development of national highways in the remote and challenging border areas and the northeastern region,” the cabinet note reads.

Another reason the ministry has cited is that such projects require “customised and specialised” skills to deal with complex geographical terrains or conditions such as excessive rainfall.


While the cabinet has given its approval, the Planning Commission had objected to the move.

“In what way would this company add value over and above (the) existing institutions and decision-making framework,” the commission had noted in its response to the ministry’s cabinet note.


The corporate body has its work cut out because several international connectivity projects are in the pipeline. These include bus services connecting Shillong to Dhaka, Guwahati to Dhaka, and Imphal to Mandalay (Myanmar), for which roads must be upgraded.

There’s also the South Asia Sub Regional Economic Cooperation Programme, which aims to expand about 500km of roads in north Bengal and the Northeast.
It is not BRO but the state PWDs in the NE which are the culprit as they have not built the feeder roads to the border areas thus affecting haulage of concrete and cement to these remote regions.
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Just for the record; events in the Philippines
On January 24, 2014, Philippine government chief negotiator Miriam Coronel Ferer and Moro Islamic Liberation Front chief negotiator Mohagher Iqbal signed a peace agreement in Kuala Lumpur. The agreement would pave the way for the creation of the new Muslim autonomous entity called "Bangsamoro" under a law to be approved by the Philippine Congress. The government aims to set up the region by 2016. The agreement calls for Muslim self-rule in parts of the southern Philippines in exchange for a deactivation of rebel forces by the MILF. MILF forces would turn over their firearms to a third party to selected by the MILF and the Philippine government. A regional police force would be established, and the Philippine military would reduce the presence of troops and help disband private armies in the area.
Welcome Bangsamoro

The agreement was signed amid cultural shows and in the presence of ambassadors and religious leaders from the middle-east. The event was broadcasted on national television.

Expect the MILF to split into opposing groups soon. This is a classic insurgent strategy.
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Post by Sonugn »

OT but, Interesting to note that the Phil govt fell for the Islamist plan. Also, it seems Middle east governments taking interest in conflicts half way across the globe.
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Recommended watch, NG based power plant & fertilizer plant in Tripura providing surplus utilities to the NE as well as neighboring states of BD & Myanmar.
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Sonugn wrote:OT but, Interesting to note that the Phil govt fell for the Islamist plan. Also, it seems Middle east governments taking interest in conflicts half way across the globe.
Tribals are cannon fodder for christians and muslims. These regions will remain chaotic for a long time. Sunnis and protestants have a thing in common. Both are political movements.

The philippine govt is thinking differently. The idea is to contain the chaos within the borders of this autonomous state. The indian govt does the same in the north east. Ethnic violence is a tuff nut to crack.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by nvishal »

These are my lok sabha election predictions for the north east states. Keep in mind that these states are socially disconnected from mainland india and will not vote like rest of india. No modi wave, corrupt congress dialogues here. The local headbanging is mainly centered around tribal vs non-tribals vs ethnicity vs land etc.

------------------------
Total 25 constituencies(14 in assam alone. Other 11 divided in remaining seven states)

Arunachal Pradesh (2)
1) Arunachal West - Congress stronghold (2014 prediction - no change)
2) Arunachal East - Congress stronghold (2014 prediction - no change)

Assam (14) - unpredicatable after riots/strong polarisation. rise of regional parties. can swing anywhere
01) Karimganj
02) Silchar
03) Autonomous District
04) Dhubri
05) Kokrajhar
06) Barpeta
07) Gauhati
08) Mangaldoi
09) Tezpur
00) Nowgong
11) Kaliabor
12) Jorhat
13) Dibrugarh
14) Lakhimpur

Manipur (2)
1) Inner Manipur(meitei) - No preference (2014 prediction - any non-congress party)
2) Outer Manipur(tribal) - Congress stronghold (2014 prediction - no change)

Meghalaya (2)
1) Shillong - Congress stronghold (2014 prediction - no change)
2) Tura - Congress stronghold (2014 prediction - no change)

Mizoram (1) - Congress stronghold (2014 prediction - Congress for another 20 years)

Nagaland (1) - Almost a Congress stronghold slash pariah state (2014 prediction - Nagaland People's Front)
Expect the NPF candidate to support the NDA front in return for a new state called "nagalim".

Sikkim (1) - Pariah state (2014 prediction - Sikkim Democratic Front)
will support any govt at centre

Tripura (2) - Pure communist (2014 prediction - Communist Party of India Marxist)
Will not support either NDA or UPA at centre
------------

If BJP ever finds support in these parts then it'll be in assam. The rest of the 7 states are culturally anti-BJP.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by Agnimitra »

nvishal, is there no pro-Modi support in places like Arunachal even among the youth? So propaganda videos like this are not representative of any potential at all? - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zp1RBkWzUx4
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by nvishal »

@Agnimitra

Modi campaigned in these three regions in the NE:

1) Arunachal
2) Assam
3) Inner manipur constituency
--------

Assam(14) will probably win seats for BJP. Arunachal(2) and Imphal(1) is a hit-n-miss. That leaves 8 seats in 5 states where BJP knows it can't win so no use trying.

To describe it explicitly to you, the BJP is seen as an "indian party" in the NE. It is culturally foreign party and finds almost no appeal here. Take the propaganda videos with salt.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by nvishal »

Lok sabha elections in manipur-nagaland corridor update:

Reports of "booth capturing" accusations in tribal constituencies coming from political parties and rival militant groups.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by Rahul M »

in arunachal at least being seen as an Indian party is a good thing, people there are quite patriotic and there's a significant modi wave. I have written about it previously. (FWIW I am speaking from my own experiences interacting with people from half a dozen districts on the ground, not just from reading news sites)
I would be shocked if AP west doesn't go to bjp's kiren rijju and AP east is 55-45 in favour of INC.

there is MASSIVE public anger against cong corruption. one election official transported EVM's in a cong sitting MLA's car and bjp workers caught it and destroyed the EVM to force a re-election. one bureaucrat was mercilessly beaten by the public because he asked a sitting cong MLA to distribute govt scheme funds. the DC of the district had to flee to itanagar because the public was gunning for him as well.

in assam, 5 seats would be a good result for bjp.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by Rahul M »

Paul wrote:Telegraph
It is not BRO but the state PWDs in the NE which are the culprit as they have not built the feeder roads to the border areas thus affecting haulage of concrete and cement to these remote regions.
not really, BRO is very badly managed and extremely corrupt.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by Victor »

2 attacks in 5 hrs: Bodo militants massacre 11 Muslims in Assam
Some reports were quoting 22 killed. Local TV showed victims speaking in Bengali. These are Bangladeshis who have come in thru neighboring Dhubri which is a conduit district for illegals. While some of the Bodo outfits have toned down their violence and are supporting BJP in the BTAD, the Songbijit faction is bent on violence as the only way to get rid of the Bangladeshis. Unfortunately, if and when the BDs hit back and violence spirals, the state paramilitary machinery will as usual take aim at only the Bodos and not the Bangladeshis thanks to the Congress dispensation.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by svenkat »

http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/where-everyone-is-a-minority/article5983030.ece?ref=sliderNews
Bodoland’s demography is one reason why trouble will fester rather than abate: it has nothing to do with illegal migration. It has everything to do with the fact of how a minority of the population controls the lives and destinies of the others

The grim and bloody incidents in the Bodoland Territorial Council (BTC), that narrow wedge of land in western Assam where everyone is a minority — or rather a non- majority since their numbers don’t have it — have been aggravated by the verbal violence of our politicians, the blame game and the total incapacity of the State government to deal with existing conditions.

For the second time in less than two years, thousands of Muslims and smaller numbers of Bodos are fleeing their homes, frightened by their complete vulnerability to gun-wielding terrorists, the nightmare of seeing loved ones, ranging from infants to elders, butchered in front of them and, perhaps worse still, the fearful knowledge that the government can’t protect them.

Today, the capacity of the Congress-led government in Assam to ensure the protection of minorities is being gravely questioned. For in every major communal clash or bout of violence in the Bodo areas — 1993, 2008, 2012 and now — a Congress Party government has ruled Dispur.

Complex play of factors
The State government’s seeming failure may be a tipping point for the last round of the Lok Sabha election elsewhere in the country. Ironically, the greatest violence in the country during an otherwise seemingly flawless massive election exercise has been, ironically, in the home area of one of the country’s Election Commissioners, H.S. Brahma, who is incidentally a Bodo.

There is a larger failure here too, of “us,” of civil society, researchers and scholars, the media, despite the courageous and silent role of dedicated activists and groups which have tried for years to reduce the tension between Bodos, Muslims and other ethnic groups in western Assam.

While the State government has directly blamed the shadowy Songbijit faction of the National Democratic Front of Boroland for the massacres, there is, as always, a complex play of factors here.

One is the fact that the militants were under tremendous pressure from security forces since they killed an Additional Superintendent of Police in Sonitpur district. The police went after them with a vengeance, taking down several cadres; one police official believes it is this pressure that forced the faction to hit vulnerable targets, to take the heat off, get time to regroup while also stoking communal fears and exposing the shortcomings of the State government.

In addition, a statement by a prominent Bodo leader, Pramila Rani Brahma of the Bodoland People’s Front (BPF), complicated matters and triggered outrage even from the Congress, the BPF’s coalition partner at the State level. She said (without revealing the basis of her information) that since Muslims had voted against the party’s Lok Sabha candidate, he was unlikely to do well. This has led to calls for her arrest.

Yet, the trail of blood goes back, unlike many other events and challenges in the region — barely 20 years. Before 1993, there had been few clashes involving Muslims and Bodos. Later, an armed group, the Bodo Liberation Tigers (BLT), attacked Santhals as well as Muslims. For their own safety, they were placed in relief camps, which again came under attack. Accounts say that not less than 50 were killed in those incidents.

In 2002, there were a series of attacks; in one, non-Bodo passengers were pulled out of a bus and shot. Soon after this, the BLT decided to come to the negotiating table.

The BPF is the party in power in the BTC, which rules the “Bodo” districts. But there’s a major flaw in the system — the BPF doesn’t have control over law and order: the State government has jurisdiction of the police. This is because the BTC was formed under the Sixth Schedule of the Constitution, which enables small tribes in four States of the north-east to run their own affairs in the manner of an expanded Panchayati Raj system, instead of being completely dependent on the whims of the State government.

le aims to protect tribal rights from encroachment by larger non-tribe groups and is in place in parts of Assam, all of Meghalaya, Mizoram and a part of Tripura.The Sixth Schedu

In 2003, the Schedule was extended to the western Assam plains to create the BTC as part of an agreement between the Centre, the State government and the BLT. The BLT was virtually given an amnesty and morphed into a legal, “democratic” political entity: after some changes, the Bodoland People’s Front was born. The idea was an effort to resolve a bloody armed movement that had taken a toll of hundreds of lives. But to do so, without taking into consideration the overall realities of the region, was a recipe for disaster.

Another major outbreak occurred in 2008 in which both Bodos and non-Bodos including Muslims were rendered homeless and placed in camps. In 2008 again, bomb blasts across the State killed over 100 persons including 80 in Guwahati, the commercial and political heart of Assam; these were attributed to the National Democratic Front of Bodoland, led by Ranjan Daimary, which sought independence from India.

Fallout of manufactured consent
The worst outbreak of violence, in 2012, when over 100 died and about 4.5 lakh were displaced in rioting and killings, was described as the most extensive internal displacement since Partition. A majority of victims and homeless were Muslim; the involvement of the BPF turned up in the arrest of one of its council members, who was accused by witnesses of leading the attacks.

The area’s demography is one reason why trouble will fester rather than abate: it has nothing to do with illegal migration, Bangladeshis, etc. It has everything to do with the fact of how a minority of the population (the Bodos are some 30 per cent of the BTC area) controls the lives and destinies of the others. From an armed group, the BLT became a political party within a larger political process, with access to Central and State funds, power, land and resources. A number of its leaders were once wanted for their role in alleged killings and explosions; when they rose to office, their acolytes benefited. Their opponents, even the moderates within the Bodo community, suffered intimidation, pressure and worse.

An opposition movement has grown that sought to protect the rights of the other groups which do not comprise just the Muslims — there are Assamese and Bengali Hindus, Koch Rajbongshis and Adivasis. Together they make up nearly 70 per cent of the population. Any system that does not guarantee some basic rights to them and protect their interests is bound to fail.

The core of the problems in the north-east, be it in Nagaland, Manipur, Assam or elsewhere, lies in the mobilisation of identity over land, territory and natural resources. Many of the disputes between States, communities and even villages can be traced to this. The same is true of the Bodo areas, where Bodo lands have been encroached and settled upon by others.

There are two issues here: If key problems are to be tackled, then all sides need to sit down together to work out the ways that land and resources can be shared without creating further ill-will. The State government and the BTC have failed to do so. They have failed because they have looked for quick-fix solutions without going deep enough and far enough to meet people’s grievances. The fallout that we see today is that of manufactured consent.

If it isn’t, then Delhi should be worried because this volatile region is in danger again of falling back to the times of earlier troubles. At the State and local levels, governments and policy makers need to involve people working in the field and community representatives in search of answers.

Playing politics
There is a second critical point: if such processes are to gain momentum, then there must be a relentless campaign against terrorist groups. What has filled many with frustration and anger, within the north-east and outside, is the way governments proclaim that they will tackle ethnic and communal violence with a “firm hand”; yet, once the bloodshed is over, the displaced go home and the issues vanish from the headlines, it’s back to business as usual with the criminals, extortionists and their partners in politics and the bureaucracy.

Recent history shows how those involved in the violence are “negotiated” with, in State after State. Settlements reward the perpetrators with even more powers, cocooned by security provided by the State. This is described as part of the democratic process.

I doubt if this will wash any longer: too much blood has been spilt these past years.

In this situation, tossing out the mantra of “Bangladeshi” immigrants as being at the heart of the problem would be extremely ill-advised. Nothing could be further from the truth, so insidiously easy to push, so dangerous to stoke. The Bharatiya Janata Party needs to understand these issues in greater depth before asserting positions which could have devastating consequences on a fragile landscape.
svenkat
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by svenkat »

http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/where-everyone-is-a-minority/article5983030.ece?ref=sliderNews
Bodoland’s demography is one reason why trouble will fester rather than abate: it has nothing to do with illegal migration. It has everything to do with the fact of how a minority of the population controls the lives and destinies of the others

The grim and bloody incidents in the Bodoland Territorial Council (BTC), that narrow wedge of land in western Assam where everyone is a minority — or rather a non- majority since their numbers don’t have it — have been aggravated by the verbal violence of our politicians, the blame game and the total incapacity of the State government to deal with existing conditions.

For the second time in less than two years, thousands of Muslims and smaller numbers of Bodos are fleeing their homes, frightened by their complete vulnerability to gun-wielding terrorists, the nightmare of seeing loved ones, ranging from infants to elders, butchered in front of them and, perhaps worse still, the fearful knowledge that the government can’t protect them.

Today, the capacity of the Congress-led government in Assam to ensure the protection of minorities is being gravely questioned. For in every major communal clash or bout of violence in the Bodo areas — 1993, 2008, 2012 and now — a Congress Party government has ruled Dispur.

Complex play of factors
The State government’s seeming failure may be a tipping point for the last round of the Lok Sabha election elsewhere in the country. Ironically, the greatest violence in the country during an otherwise seemingly flawless massive election exercise has been, ironically, in the home area of one of the country’s Election Commissioners, H.S. Brahma, who is incidentally a Bodo.

There is a larger failure here too, of “us,” of civil society, researchers and scholars, the media, despite the courageous and silent role of dedicated activists and groups which have tried for years to reduce the tension between Bodos, Muslims and other ethnic groups in western Assam.

While the State government has directly blamed the shadowy Songbijit faction of the National Democratic Front of Boroland for the massacres, there is, as always, a complex play of factors here.

One is the fact that the militants were under tremendous pressure from security forces since they killed an Additional Superintendent of Police in Sonitpur district. The police went after them with a vengeance, taking down several cadres; one police official believes it is this pressure that forced the faction to hit vulnerable targets, to take the heat off, get time to regroup while also stoking communal fears and exposing the shortcomings of the State government.

In addition, a statement by a prominent Bodo leader, Pramila Rani Brahma of the Bodoland People’s Front (BPF), complicated matters and triggered outrage even from the Congress, the BPF’s coalition partner at the State level. She said (without revealing the basis of her information) that since Muslims had voted against the party’s Lok Sabha candidate, he was unlikely to do well. This has led to calls for her arrest.

Yet, the trail of blood goes back, unlike many other events and challenges in the region — barely 20 years. Before 1993, there had been few clashes involving Muslims and Bodos. Later, an armed group, the Bodo Liberation Tigers (BLT), attacked Santhals as well as Muslims. For their own safety, they were placed in relief camps, which again came under attack. Accounts say that not less than 50 were killed in those incidents.

In 2002, there were a series of attacks; in one, non-Bodo passengers were pulled out of a bus and shot. Soon after this, the BLT decided to come to the negotiating table.

The BPF is the party in power in the BTC, which rules the “Bodo” districts. But there’s a major flaw in the system — the BPF doesn’t have control over law and order: the State government has jurisdiction of the police. This is because the BTC was formed under the Sixth Schedule of the Constitution, which enables small tribes in four States of the north-east to run their own affairs in the manner of an expanded Panchayati Raj system, instead of being completely dependent on the whims of the State government.

le aims to protect tribal rights from encroachment by larger non-tribe groups and is in place in parts of Assam, all of Meghalaya, Mizoram and a part of Tripura.The Sixth Schedu

In 2003, the Schedule was extended to the western Assam plains to create the BTC as part of an agreement between the Centre, the State government and the BLT. The BLT was virtually given an amnesty and morphed into a legal, “democratic” political entity: after some changes, the Bodoland People’s Front was born. The idea was an effort to resolve a bloody armed movement that had taken a toll of hundreds of lives. But to do so, without taking into consideration the overall realities of the region, was a recipe for disaster.

Another major outbreak occurred in 2008 in which both Bodos and non-Bodos including Muslims were rendered homeless and placed in camps. In 2008 again, bomb blasts across the State killed over 100 persons including 80 in Guwahati, the commercial and political heart of Assam; these were attributed to the National Democratic Front of Bodoland, led by Ranjan Daimary, which sought independence from India.

Fallout of manufactured consent
The worst outbreak of violence, in 2012, when over 100 died and about 4.5 lakh were displaced in rioting and killings, was described as the most extensive internal displacement since Partition. A majority of victims and homeless were Muslim; the involvement of the BPF turned up in the arrest of one of its council members, who was accused by witnesses of leading the attacks.

The area’s demography is one reason why trouble will fester rather than abate: it has nothing to do with illegal migration, Bangladeshis, etc. It has everything to do with the fact of how a minority of the population (the Bodos are some 30 per cent of the BTC area) controls the lives and destinies of the others. From an armed group, the BLT became a political party within a larger political process, with access to Central and State funds, power, land and resources. A number of its leaders were once wanted for their role in alleged killings and explosions; when they rose to office, their acolytes benefited. Their opponents, even the moderates within the Bodo community, suffered intimidation, pressure and worse.

An opposition movement has grown that sought to protect the rights of the other groups which do not comprise just the Muslims — there are Assamese and Bengali Hindus, Koch Rajbongshis and Adivasis. Together they make up nearly 70 per cent of the population. Any system that does not guarantee some basic rights to them and protect their interests is bound to fail.

The core of the problems in the north-east, be it in Nagaland, Manipur, Assam or elsewhere, lies in the mobilisation of identity over land, territory and natural resources. Many of the disputes between States, communities and even villages can be traced to this. The same is true of the Bodo areas, where Bodo lands have been encroached and settled upon by others.

There are two issues here: If key problems are to be tackled, then all sides need to sit down together to work out the ways that land and resources can be shared without creating further ill-will. The State government and the BTC have failed to do so. They have failed because they have looked for quick-fix solutions without going deep enough and far enough to meet people’s grievances. The fallout that we see today is that of manufactured consent.

If it isn’t, then Delhi should be worried because this volatile region is in danger again of falling back to the times of earlier troubles. At the State and local levels, governments and policy makers need to involve people working in the field and community representatives in search of answers.

Playing politics
There is a second critical point: if such processes are to gain momentum, then there must be a relentless campaign against terrorist groups. What has filled many with frustration and anger, within the north-east and outside, is the way governments proclaim that they will tackle ethnic and communal violence with a “firm hand”; yet, once the bloodshed is over, the displaced go home and the issues vanish from the headlines, it’s back to business as usual with the criminals, extortionists and their partners in politics and the bureaucracy.

Recent history shows how those involved in the violence are “negotiated” with, in State after State. Settlements reward the perpetrators with even more powers, cocooned by security provided by the State. This is described as part of the democratic process.

I doubt if this will wash any longer: too much blood has been spilt these past years.

In this situation, tossing out the mantra of “Bangladeshi” immigrants as being at the heart of the problem would be extremely ill-advised. Nothing could be further from the truth, so insidiously easy to push, so dangerous to stoke. The Bharatiya Janata Party needs to understand these issues in greater depth before asserting positions which could have devastating consequences on a fragile landscape.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by Supratik »

The above is view-point of the Congress faction of the Assamese and is not based on truth. The trouble in Assam started over foreigners issue which ultimately led to terrorism/miliitancy. He is plain lying.
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Re: North East & Eastern Himalayan: News & Discussion

Post by nvishal »

@Supratik

The inter-conflicts are already there and has(in fact) been there for a long time. The only reason this particular event was marked in the national dailies was because the victims were muslims.

Regarding the inter-conflicts, the region is heading towards a crescendo. Since new delhi does not have leverage in these parts, it cannot do much to prevent this.
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