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Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 21 Mar 2012 04:48
by Suppiah
The affairs of the red versus pure red vs purer red are as fascinating and as fun to watch as those of the green vs not so green vs pure green.

The recent 'purge' of leftist ideologue Bo Xilai according to a nice article in Singapore's ST today, has got its leftists worried. They are gonna strike back, just dont know when and how. Perhaps when there is a downturn.

It is tough being a leftist 'intellectual' as you don't know just when your own will turn against you and brand you a traitor to the cause and purge you. Just as some of our own fake intellectuals found out to their dismay, being branded 'assorted do-gooders' and 'glitterati' by rapist goons' propaganda yellows for not going along with the savage rapes and murders of Nandigram to allot farm land to a Chinese businessman.

Just as some of the purer greens will kill another green, calling him less green and hence worse than a kufr.

In the meantime, it would be interested to see the effect of this purge on some of the faithful servants of Beijings's bosses in India. Will they have their own purge and get rid of 'leftists'? Or it will be 1930s ideological sewage that is kept permanently on the altar as ganga-jal for our comrades?

Watch the space..not surprisingly the yellows have been quiet on this affair even as rumours and debates and discussions rage on the net in the land of their paymasters..

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 21 Mar 2012 20:00
by ranjbe
If you were China, you would be worried by the lack of friends and allies you have. The only real friend China has is the 'sweeter than honey' bakistan, according to this article.

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2 ... superpower

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 22 Mar 2012 00:25
by shyamd
Was just informed that a top journalist from the economist mag says there are rumour of an attempted coup in PRC today. No independent confirmation though.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 22 Mar 2012 06:11
by Suraj
Perhaps not a coup, but there a distinct rumblings within the CPC Politburo as well as the apex Politburo Standing Committee. Former star and Politburo member Bo Xilai has been purged of his positions in Chongqing and may soon be removed from the Politburo. His main PSC backer Zhou Yongkang has been publicly named as being in danger of being removed soon. Wen Jiabao warned of a repeat of the Cultural Revolution.

Interestingly besides the competition between the Shanghai princelings faction (i.e. Jiang Zemin) and the youth communists one (Hu Jintao's background), another new faction is that of the leftists, who decry the urban/rural divide and conspicuous consumption of the elites. Very recently, PSC member Jia Qinglin's illegitimate son was rumored to be the victim of a high-speed Ferrari crash in Beijing. Bo was one of these leftists, and probably made enemies within the Politburo and PSC as a result. Paradoxically though, Bo recently had to deal with accusations that his son owned a Ferrari and was a party animal in Beijing.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 22 Mar 2012 22:12
by Vayutuvan
Nightwatch guys say it is a rumor spread by the bloggers.

From NightWatch For the night of 21 March 2012
...
China: In the past week, Chinese blogs have spread rumors of anti-government action by the supporters of Bo Xilai, the former party secretary for Chongqing who is almost openly a Maoist, instead of a communist-capitalist. Bloomberg reported a jump in credit default swaps (CDS) owing to the coup rumors.


Comment: The rumors arose from unconfirmed reports of gunfire in Beijing since last Thursday. Private citizens may not possess guns in China. Thus bloggers and analysts have strained to provide an explanation for the reported gunfire exchanges, which might not have happened.


What is known is that Bo Xilai has not been seen in public since his summary ouster last Thursday, which is not unusual. Additionally, a large number of Chinese internet users apparently judge reports of gunfire between powerful political factions to be plausible, which is surprising considering Chinese gun controls.


An analysis of the phenomenology of coups d'etat indicates there has been no coup and that it is extremely difficult to overthrow a collective leadership structure by a coup d'etat. There are six essential components of a coup. If any of them are absent, there is no coup.


The six components of all coups, including Musharraf's in Pakistan in 1999; Bainimarama' s in Fiji in 2006; Colonel Vall's coup in Mauritania in 2008; the Ben Ali coup in Tunisia in January 2011 and the Tantawi coup against Mubarak in 2011, are,


• the existence of a gripe--a motive to overthrow the government;

• the formation of an insider opposition group that opposes the government in power;

• that group's access to guns;

• that group's formulation of a plan;

• its access to transportation; and,

• an opportunity-- most often the absence of the head of state from the national capital.


Applying this template to the China rumors, based on open source reporting, two, possibly three, of the six common characteristics are in evidence. These are the existence of a group with a gripe.


The group with the gripe is the followers of Bo Xilai, in Chongqing and beyond. Maoist sympathizers are likely to reside in Beijing and many other cities, but no reporting or behavior indicate they formulated a plan or developed the capability to hold hostage the nine members of the standing committee of the politburo; nor acquired enough guns to hold off a counter move by the forces loyal to the existing political order.


The coup reporting is simply not credible, if only because it is extremely difficult to capture all the members of a collective leadership and to suppress their supporters in other cities.


The fact of the rumors, however, indicates Chinese bloggers are willing to credit reports that are hostile to the leadership, until they are disproven. That signifies that Chinese persons who are knowledgeable and adept in using social media and the internet have little confidence in the stability of their political system.
...

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 23 Mar 2012 13:32
by nvishal
Image

A cellphone video grab of a self-immolation in Tibet, believed to be the sacrifice of Palden Choetso, a nun in China's Sichuan province

Get real with China on Tibet

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 23 Mar 2012 17:01
by shyamd
China is fretting that Sarko who they were initially suspicious of because he met with HH DL. His interests align with PRC's, so they are worried that Sarko will lose badly in the elections.

The guy expected to win is Francois Hollande - his adviser visited beijing last month, no PRC official met with him.

Guys, could we monitor the following organisation: Chinese Institute of Contemporary International Studies - they are the think tank that reports directly to PRC State security and are linked to the bigwigs as advisors. They routinely also conduct psywar too.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 23 Mar 2012 21:07
by Vayutuvan
Some more from Nightwatch


For the night of 23 March 2012


China: Update. Additional information about the coup rumors surfaced in open source reporting today. This included internet postings of images of military vehicle movements and the replacement by Premier Wen of the Minister of Public Security, which probably would have required strong support. All public security officials nationwide reportedly were instructed to perform study sessions, the updated euphemism for re-education and re-indoctrination.

Comment: The reports of gunfire and military vehicle movements are not confirmed, but something unusual appears to have unsettled parts of Beijing between 14 and 20 March, after the removal of Bo Xilai. The most commonly cited explanation is that the Minister of Public Security, Zhou Yongkang, was connected to or supportive of Bo and was purged, but resisted, requiring paramilitary support.

Whatever the underlying facts, the descriptions in the web reports and the analyses of knowledgeable observers belie China's international image of a mature orderly state, governed by sober-minded technocrats.

The web-reports project an image of the same old gut-fighting Chinese Communist Party politicians, but a lot wealthier, better armed and somewhat younger. The leadership apparently remains as faction-ridden as in earlier times, with any one faction still as willing to use force to destroy its rivals as has been the case for the past 60 years. It is still struggling with orthodoxy and obedience issues, requiring paramilitary forces to ensure compliance to "smooth" leadership change within the Party, all under the veneer of a modern-looking government.
Ramana garu, how reliable is Nightwatch's analysis? I remember you used to post analyses from them but stopped.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 23 Mar 2012 22:47
by Suraj
PRC may not face a real coup per se, but specifically a power struggle between factions. If Zhou Yongkang is removed, it would constitute the first adverse action against a PSC member since Deng moved to have Zhao Ziyang purged in the immediate aftermath of Tiananmen. Interestingly two PSC members are under a cloud now - Zhou and Jia Qinglin, who fall on opposite sides of the 'lefts' vs 'capitalists' split .

As a separate dynamic, when Jiang Zemin quit in 2002, he packed the Politburo and PSC with his backers. Hu will doubtless attempt the same in the next Politburo. Further, he needs to push for his own legacy. Unlike Jiang's 'Three Represents', he hasn't come up with any particular doctrine.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 23 Mar 2012 23:11
by ramana
matrimc, he is quite reliable. I stopped as I didn't have the time. I still like his lessons on evaluating news reports. As they are broad and applicable in most cases.

Something is definielty odd in Beijing. Its noit bruning yet but is smoldering.

Wonder if its Yeltsin moment. Can any old timers compare and contrast the 1992 short term coup that unraveled the FSU?

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 23 Mar 2012 23:21
by svinayak
Suraj wrote:PRC may not face a real coup per se, but specifically a power struggle between factions. If Zhou Yongkang is removed, it would constitute the first adverse action against a PSC member since Deng moved to have Zhao Ziyang purged in the immediate aftermath of Tiananmen. Interestingly two PSC members are under a cloud now - Zhou and Jia Qinglin, who fall on opposite sides of the 'lefts' vs 'capitalists' split .

As a separate dynamic, when Jiang Zemin quit in 2002, he packed the Politburo and PSC with his backers. Hu will doubtless attempt the same in the next Politburo. Further, he needs to push for his own legacy. Unlike Jiang's 'Three Represents', he hasn't come up with any particular doctrine.
This is the fragmentation of the beijing political power brokers. I need to talk to my chinese contacts.

The one person who recently returned from PRC said that it is worrisome about the economy since they feel that they cannot maintain the prices low. The wages have increased and they cannot compete in the world with other countries. This is break down of their long term strategy and from now on the internal consensus on stability and economy and wages is going to fragment.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 23 Mar 2012 23:25
by Agnimitra
Has China's economy developed enough of an internal consumer market to stop being export dependent for future growth? Conflicting reports out there.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 24 Mar 2012 05:28
by Vayutuvan
ramana wrote:matrimc, he is quite reliable. I stopped as I didn't have the time.
Good to know I am not wasting my time (and more importantly everybody else's). I will try to post when I find something relevant and interesting in the appropriate threads.

Regards

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 24 Mar 2012 16:45
by satya
Str8 from horse mouth :

Media very much under reporting what's actually happening in PRC. There's inner party struggle coupled with general discontent simmering in inner & CARs+ Russian border areas . Imminent war with PRC more than possible if situation doesn't come under control in next two or so months .Till september anything possible .So we(indian defense ) have 'activated' our defensive measures( what level no idea but plans put into motion no doubt about that ) based on this assumption= fact .PLA has deployed troops in Tibet in last week or so more than required for so called 'exercise' . Troop buildup with logistics exceed those required for exercise. Uncertainty on the outcome of such a war as too many variables for how far we are willing to go one of the factors . Also no matter whosoever is responsible for this mess in PRC its India that will face the consequences for reasons known here on forum that CCP will raise indian threat bogey & divert this anger into nationalism in nutshell .
For once TSP no longer an issue nor TSPA why i don't know but very assured on TSP front what's the deal no idea but there must be some ironclad guarantee face to face ( again Chiddu's groundbreaking visit comes to mind again a guess only ) As per DB's own words ' Pakistani na teen main na terah main iske alawa pindi ke jernail sacche desh bhakt hein hamein unki desh (bharat) bahkti per ungli nahin uthani chahiye aur unki budhimatta per hamein puran visvas hei.Jung ke maidaan main unki buddhi aur budhi ki karamat ke kisse jag jahir hei :rotfl: :mrgreen: , Chinni m******d k****e they won't agree that easy ( as if TSP has agreed forever ? guessing )

IA's next COAS worst in memory with exception of JLN's choices . He doesn't have 50% required caliber at this rank & responsibility .

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 24 Mar 2012 17:27
by Rony
China's Tuidang Movement




Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 24 Mar 2012 22:58
by ramana
Satya, I think a reverse FSU coup happened. The PRC 'modernists' purged the older Maoists elements to forestall a takeover similar to what Gorby faced. Its a cleansing of the old Maoist elements.
Need to wait and see if they are successful or not. If they are then back to business as usual otherwise meows are right.
usually reaction shows up three to six months late so need to be on alert.

Western and desi coverage is sketchy due to lack of eyes in ground and not to call out too early anything adverse. PRC might react badly.


As for IA chain of command, even in 1962 it was the changes with Manekshaw etc that took care after initial reverses.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 25 Mar 2012 01:11
by brihaspati
ramana ji,
I have been trying to portray for some time about the internal trends, and the directions of the ruptures. This time around it was a pre-emptive coup against the neo-Maoists who were however using a post-Maoist framework [more accurately called radical-capitalist] of egalitarianism under authoritarian personality cults.

But the anti-Maoists or Dengist middle-roaders saw in this an opportunity to raise the ghost of Mao among the now entrenched post-Mao generation that grew up under Deng. But they are an outgoing generation. There are other movements going on based on the corruption angle as an internal party factional fight issue as well as in the PLA. PLA top brass are not liked by the lower orders [corruption and other types of sleaze including sexual exploitation].

This is not a Yeltsin moment - but more an Andropov moment. The real turnovers are going to come after the next 10-15 years phase. The internal conflict is going to be apparent outside from the 2125-26 phase culminating around 10 years later.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 25 Mar 2012 05:47
by Suppiah
This guy Zhuang, who is supposedly a supporter of Bo has been shown on TV meeting some Indonesian minister. This is to quell rumours that he has been bull-cattled. But something is seriously afoot, no doubt about it. Censorship is severe, forcing Chinese to use code words like 'Chicken noodles', 'teletubbies' etc., to refer to Chinese leaders, to escape the 'great fire wall'.

Of course, our paid and unpaid yellows do not need any firewall, they are great in self-censorship. A search for 'Xilai' in Chennai Yellow Pages shows up a few bland and harmless reports, with all talk of censorship, as expected, censored out.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 25 Mar 2012 16:23
by shyamd
Can someone kindly translate Satya ji's comment:
Pakistani na teen main na terah main iske alawa pindi ke jernail sacche desh bhakt hein hamein unki desh (bharat) bahkti per ungli nahin uthani chahiye aur unki budhimatta per hamein puran visvas hei.Jung ke maidaan main unki buddhi aur budhi ki karamat ke kisse jag jahir hei

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 26 Mar 2012 09:29
by gakakkad
why is B.Raman claiming that the Bo Xillai episode never happened and it was just an internet rumour and that all is well ?

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 26 Mar 2012 09:59
by vina
Carrot - Hu Jin Tao
Teletubbies - Grandpa Wen

Hmm. Please add to BRF dictionary.

I thought it was The Carrot - Karat who wanted to play the uber Generalissmo here, but there seems to be another Carrot as well. Jai Hu.. or rather Jai Carrot!

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 26 Mar 2012 10:52
by kittoo
shyamd wrote:Can someone kindly translate Satya ji's comment:
Pakistani na teen main na terah main iske alawa pindi ke jernail sacche desh bhakt hein hamein unki desh (bharat) bahkti per ungli nahin uthani chahiye aur unki budhimatta per hamein puran visvas hei.Jung ke maidaan main unki buddhi aur budhi ki karamat ke kisse jag jahir hei
Pakistan is neither in three nor in thirteen. Apart from this Pindi's gernails are true patriots and we should not doubt their patriotism towards their country (India). We completely believe in their wisdom. Their wisdom and the miracles of this wisdom in the battlefield are world famous.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 26 Mar 2012 12:32
by rsingh
Where are those paid (and unpaid) panda posters (and imposters) these days. I do not hear from them after coup rumors. Same on Chinese Economics thread. Whats up.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 27 Mar 2012 00:01
by shyamd
Thanks Kittoo

----------------------
The tibetan immolation has caught the attention of all the senior journalists and all are condemning PRC. Hope more awareness is raised amongst the Indian population. A renewed thrust needs to be made in Tibet. The last major one was backed by Unkil although some PRC intelwalla submitted report that it was GoI that was doing it. Investigations later found GoI nor the TYC had anything to do with it.

Army to strengthen base in Arunachal
UMANAND JAISWAL
JJ. Singh. Tarun Gogoi and Nabam Tuki

Guwahati, March 22: The Centre has decided to increase the presence of army personnel in Arunachal Pradesh, a move which could raise the hackles of neighbouring China which frequently stakes claim to the frontier state.

The Centre’s move was indicated in the budget speech of Arunachal Pradesh governor J.J. Singh in the Assembly at Naharlagun, 20km from capital Itanagar, this morning.

The former army chief’s address conveyed India’s commitment to the development and protection of a state which has remained a thorn in bilateral relations between the two nations.

Besides China, the state also shares a border with Bhutan and Myanmar.

“Our army has plans for considerable additional deployment in our state, and setting up of headquarters of new formations and units has already been initiated at several locations. Additional deployment of border-guarding forces along the international border to check cross-border movement of insurgents is also likely,” the governor said.

The announcement comes close on the heels of Union defence minister A.K. Antony’s visit to the state on February 20 to participate in its 25th Statehood Day followed by the visit of Union minister of state for home Mullapally Ramachandran on March 1.

Both discussed the internal and external security situation of the state.

Antony had asserted that a secure, non-porous international border must continue to be the topmost priority area of the Centre, acknowledging the challenges of people living in border areas of the underdeveloped state.

Mullapally had revealed the sanctioning of a special financial package of Rs 138 crore for modernisation of police forces in the insurgency-torn Tirap and Changlang districts, which also found mention in Singh’s speech.

China had objected to the visit of Antony without alluding to him.

India should refrain from taking any action that could “complicate” the border issue, Chinese foreign ministry spokesmanHong Lei reportedly said, asking India to work with China to maintain peace and stability in border areas.

Antony countered by asserting that the development as most unfortunate and objectionable.

Besides increasing army presence, Singh said raising of the first battalion of Arunachal Scouts will have a substantial multiplier effect on the strike and defence capability of the regular army units.

The ongoing renovation and re-operationalisation of eight airfields will help to give a major boost to air connectivity in the state.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 27 Mar 2012 02:10
by brihaspati
gakakkad wrote:why is B.Raman claiming that the Bo Xillai episode never happened and it was just an internet rumour and that all is well ?
Watching what X is saying about Z is a good way of tracking who is representing about Z to X. If the proposed model was to focus away attention from Pak, and concentrate jingo attention on PRC - then one needs to be told that Bo affair was nothing, nothing is internally wrong with PRC power structure.

This serves two subtle purposes.

First, the fear of PRC strength cannot be allowed to be diluted. So that PRC can be posed as the overwhelming enemy while Pak gets to play innocent as it prepares - and pro-Paki elements can pull the wool.

Second, jingos do not feel that now is the time to push for peripheral dismemberment of China - and do something more substantial for Tibet. Eventually Tibet will have to win its freedom at the point of the gun, and this again is something that cannot be allowed.

So whoever is saying such sweet nothings to X - is actually speaking on behalf of both Pak and PRC interests.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 27 Mar 2012 12:16
by vina
Well, B Raman has it wrong. The Bo Xilai incident happened because the police chief sought asylum in the US consulate and the yellow matter hit the fan and it stank so much that Bo Xilai could be purged. If that hadn't happened, the guy was jockeying to be in the top leadership of the CPC.

Re posting.

Red Terror Revisited in Chongqing. No wonder "Glandpa Wen" - Teletubby talked about the Cultural Revolution repeating. And no, it takes just one nutty leader to do it. What if Carrot - Hu went nuts and wanted to do a "Mao" , just like this Bo Xilai wanted to do ?

Bo Xilai's Crime crackdown Adds to Scandal from NYT
BEIJING — As Bo Xilai, the dismissed Chongqing party chief, becomes immersed in an ever-more tangled scandal, disturbing details are emerging about one of his best-known initiatives, a crusade against organized crime on which he built a national reputation.
critics now say it depicts a security apparatus run amok: framing victims, extracting confessions through torture, extorting business empires and visiting retribution on the political rivals of Mr. Bo and his friends while protecting those with better connections.
“Even by Chinese Communist Party standards, this is unacceptable,” said Cheng Li, an analyst of the Chinese leadership at the Brookings Institution. “This is red terror.”
The campaign’s overlord was Wang Lijun, Mr. Bo’s police chief and, now, the force behind Mr. Bo’s downfall. Mr. Wang caused an international incident last month when he sought refuge in a United States consulate, apparently fearing for his safety. Details that have surfaced in the past week indicate that, in part, he feared retaliation after telling Mr. Bo that his family was linked to an inquiry into the death of a British citizen, Neil Heywood, who was an acquaintance of Mr. Bo’s family.
Examples are not hard to find. Gong Gangmo, 48, a motorbike mogul, and Fan Qihang, 40, a construction entrepreneur, were charged with a string of felonies that included ordering the murder of a man after a nightclub fight. Both claimed innocence.

In an interview videotaped before his death, Mr. Fan said he had been secretly confined in a military reserve camp for five months and shackled to an iron bar — once, for five days straight — with only his toes touching a table. His handcuffs cut so deeply into his wrists that his guards once needed an hour to remove them.

Mr. Fan said he had tried to kill himself by beating his head against the concrete wall and by biting off the tip of his tongue, injuries supported by medical records. His lawyer, Zhu Mingyong, said he had seen only a few pages of the prosecution’s voluminous file. Even so, “There were so many obvious violations of the law, you don’t even have to look for them,” he said. Mr. Fan was found guilty and executed in July, 2010.

His co-defendant, Mr. Gong, underwent similar torture, according to his lawyer, Li Zhuang, and his medical records also documented wrist scars. But any chance to exclude his confession vanished after Mr. Gong suddenly accused Li Zhuang of advising him to lie about being tortured. Li Zhuang said Mr. Gong had turned on him to spare himself from execution.

Li Zhuang was convicted of suborning perjury just 18 days after his arrest. Upon appeal, with no hope of justice, he said he wrote a confession, but began his paragraphs with words that combined to read “forced to confess.” His 18-month sentence scared other private attorneys away from da hei cases.

He Weifang, a Peking University law professor, said the case “sets China’s legal reform back 30 years.”


One of the wealthiest magnates ensnared in the purges was Li Jun, a Chongqing real estate mogul. Like hundreds of other private business executives, he said during 16 hours of interviews this month, he became a target of police, government and military officials who framed him as a “black society” boss.

He eventually lost control of his $711 million conglomerate and fled the country, branded a fugitive. Before his escape, he said, he endured three months of beatings, torture and relentless pressure to implicate others in nonexistent crimes.

He said his tormentors sought to confiscate his assets and extract a confession that could help frame rivals of Mr. Bo’s powerful ally in the military, Gen. Zhang Haiyang, now the political commissar of China’s nuclear forces.

Li Jun buttressed his account with photos taken at a secret detention facility and with binders of legal documents signed by military and police officials. A scholar of Chinese politics at Columbia University, Andrew Nathan, authenticated five documents supporting his claims of innocence.

Li Jun’s troubles began within a year after Mr. Bo’s appointment. A subsidiary of his company won a $50 million public bid for a hilly tract of land outside Chongqing. The seller was one of China’s five regional military commands, he said, led at the time by General Zhang.

In December 2009, under orders signed by the police chief, Mr. Wang, Li Jun was detained on suspicion of more than a dozen crimes, including organizing prostitution, usury, contract fraud, bid-rigging and bribery. He was bound to a “tiger bench,” a medieval-style iron seat with a straight back and a grooved bottom, and was kicked, pummeled and berated for 40 straight hours. At that point, he said, “I just wanted to die.”

A top military interrogator presented Li Jun with a list of more than 20 military officers, apparently rivals of Mr. Bo’s ally General Zhang, and accused him of bribing 2 of them to win the bid on the tract of land. “Don’t you see?” he said his interrogator finally told him. “Bo Xilai and Political Commissar Zhang are friends who grew up together. You are being framed. ”
Thirty-one relatives and colleagues have since been jailed. His wife served a one-year sentence for aiding his flight. His elder brother was sentenced to 18 years in prison, his nephew 13 years. He had transferred ownership of his company to them in an attempt to shield it.

“It’s just like some new kind of Cultural Revolution,” he said. “Chongqing strikes down the landlords, redistributes the land and slaps a bad name on your head, ‘triad,’ from which you can never be freed.”
Oh well, what can I say. Good luck CPC drones. I just wish that you don't get "purged" one of this days after "criticism" and sent to "hard socialist labor" after being confined to an "Iron chair with grooved bottom and pummeled and kicked and beaten" and "interrogated".

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 27 Mar 2012 19:56
by gakakkad
brihaspati wrote:
gakakkad wrote:why is B.Raman claiming that the Bo Xillai episode never happened and it was just an internet rumour and that all is well ?
Watching what X is saying about Z is a good way of tracking who is representing about Z to X. If the proposed model was to focus away attention from Pak, and concentrate jingo attention on PRC - then one needs to be told that Bo affair was nothing, nothing is internally wrong with PRC power structure.

This serves two subtle purposes.

First, the fear of PRC strength cannot be allowed to be diluted. So that PRC can be posed as the overwhelming enemy while Pak gets to play innocent as it prepares - and pro-Paki elements can pull the wool.

Second, jingos do not feel that now is the time to push for peripheral dismemberment of China - and do something more substantial for Tibet. Eventually Tibet will have to win its freedom at the point of the gun, and this again is something that cannot be allowed.

So whoever is saying such sweet nothings to X - is actually speaking on behalf of both Pak and PRC interests.


very true saar. I was thinking on the same lines..

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 27 Mar 2012 23:25
by ramana
Or he could be in red blinkers?

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 28 Mar 2012 07:29
by abhishek_sharma

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 28 Mar 2012 07:55
by Roperia
India should work with China on this. Perhaps we'll have to accept Yuan as the currency of the bank but other than that this will be equally beneficial to us as well. Control of financial system by west alone is not in our best interests. We wanted to work in multilateral forums, this is our chance.

Governments must fund BRICS Bank: China
“BRICS countries have been left with few other options. One avenue is utilisation of foreign exchange reserves, which all BRICS countries have in ample quantity, for infrastructure development in BRICS and other developing countries. But routing foreign exchange reserves through multilateral financial institutions such as the IBRD, ADB and IMF will not give these countries enough say over utilisation because their voting power still remains small.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 28 Mar 2012 08:39
by gakakkad
>>India should work with China on this. Perhaps we'll have to accept Yuan as the currency of the bank but other than that this will be equally beneficial to us as well. Control of financial system by west alone is not in our best interests. We wanted to work in multilateral forums, this is our chance.


what ???????

Accept yuan ?

Even if I forget what a scumbag CPC is and try to be as objective on this as possible , that is an insane proposition..

Yuan is totally dependant on dollar.. CPC has printed yuan at will ..

a lot of their GDP is due to excess m2 liquidity creation ..

Exchange rate is artificially manipulated...


the above points would have held true even if PRC was a friendly nation , and cpc was filled with harishchandras .. but that is not the case ..so the following points-

CPC is a scumbag

prc is not a friendly nation..

a united prc may not exist in the next decade.. may fragment like USSR..


PS-- Coming from al-hundi such article is not at all surprising.. it is the musharraf-piece of the cpc in India..

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 28 Mar 2012 23:32
by wasu

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 29 Mar 2012 00:02
by Philip
Let's see how many protests our beloved desi NGOs organise against the depraved Chinese pres. "Hu He?",rapists of Tibet. here is news of a Chinese MNC fronting for Chinese intel.

http://www.nbr.co.nz/article/huawei-nz- ... -rv-114974
Huawei NZ almost certainly a front for Chinese intelligence - defence analyst

Xcpts:
Rod Vaughan | Wednesday March 28, 2012 | 68 comments
Huawei boss and former People's Liberation Army officer Ren Zhengfei

Chinese telecommunications giant Huawei - involved in a $1.35 billion Ultrafast Broadband project in New Zealand - is almost certainly a front for Chinese intelligence, a defence analyst claims.

That's the collective view of the security community in the US, Britain and Australia, according to Auckland-based defence analyst Paul Buchanan, who says it would be prudent for Prime Minister John Key to listen to them.

Dr Buchanan worked for the US Department of Defence before imigrating to New Zealand.

Huawei has been blocked from bidding for the national broadband network in Australia. In the US it is blocked by Congress in 2008 from buying networking company 3Com, and in 2010 Congress blocked them from bidding on telecommunications gear for Sprint.

"Our major security partners think these guys are up to no good. I would be very surprised if the GCSB and the SIS had not been in contact with our larger partners about the presence of Huawei in the New Zealand broadband market," Dr Buchanan told NBR.

"It could well be that concerns about these guys are about protecting market share for local businesses. But I think this is unlikely, so I tend to think their security concerns probably have a basis in fact."

Dr Buchanan believes Huawei could be intent on tapping into the top-secret Echelon intelligence network in which New Zealand exchanges highly classified information with the US, Britain, Australia and Canada.

"China has no such luxury. It has to do everything by itself and it's been lagging behind with signals intelligence and technical intelligence, and they've been playing catch-up for the last 10 years.

"But if they're going to be a great power they've got to do this. They've got to get out and get a significant signals and technical intelligence capability, and the suspicion among the Americans and the British is that Huawei is one way of doing something."

Dr Buchanan says there's no hard and fast evidence in the public domain that Huawei is up to no good. But he believes there is classified information in the hands of US intelligence agencies which would implicate the company in covert activities.

"Professional intelligence agencies do not deal in prejudice, they deal in facts. So whether they were Chinese, Indian, German or Pakistani it wouldn't matter.

"If these agencies think they are being used as a front they will say so and so it's not about being anti-Chinese."

So what is Huawei's primary objective in New Zealand if it is a front for the Chinese security services?

Paul Buchanan thinks it goes way beyond commercial considerations.

"With their global weight they can undercut the pricing structure of the whole local internet should they wish to, but in providing these platforms and being the basis for internet communications allows them indirect access to a number of things.

"If you have a government official's private broadband account on a server that is controlled by Huawei then, if people's suspicions are correct, they can tap into that.

"They can tap into government agencies, they may be using their servers or platforms, and that's what the Americans and others are concerned about.

"And let's not forget that New Zealand is particularly vulnerable to cyber espionage. This has been mentioned time and time again by the SIS.

"Within the last six weeks Murray McCully's private emails in which he had been discussing official business were hacked into and leaked to the press by people with an axe to grind.

"These people were not professional intelligence collectors with hundreds of hackers working right round the day to penetrate security systems of government agencies.

"They were just disgruntled folks, and that shows you the looseness of internet security protocols in this country - that a government minister can have his private emails hacked into by amateurs."

Dr Buchanan says New Zealand must stop thinking of itself as too insignificant and too remote for any major player to take a keen interest in it.

"I think that's a bit short sighted because we're part of a much bigger play as the south Pacific is becoming an arena for future competition and whether we like it or not we're being thrust into this fray."

All of which raises a fundamental question.

If Huawei is a wolf in sheep's clothing, did New Zealand do enough due diligence on it before allowing the company to set up shop here?

Paul Buchanan thinks not.

"I think sometimes in the quest to be market competitive the government sometimes overlooks the security concerns with the entrance of a foreign competitor such as a firm that has very direct ties to the Chinese State.

"There is a perception that China is now a market capitalist country. It is not. It is a state capitalist country run by a one-party authoritarian state.

"Nothing happens in their strategic sectors without the explicit permission and involvement of the Chinese State, specifically not in telecommunications.

"There's no such thing as pure private enterprise, particularly in the strategic sector, so the idea of Huawei having no State involvement, quite frankly, defies credulity.

"That's where the reports from the States and the Australians are very important because they detail the amount of capital the Chinese government has put into Huawei, and they detail the number of individuals who have come from Chinese intelligence to work as managers in Huawei.

"So are we doing enough vetting when it comes to this sort of business? Well, my answer would be no."

Dr Buchanan says now that Huawei is ensconced in New Zealand it would be very difficult to dislodge it as it would undermine this country's Free Trade Agreement with China.

But if the company's presence jeopardises our intelligence-sharing relationship with our closest allies it could force the government to have second thoughts about allowing it to remain here.

"The bottom line is that our security partners have these concerns, seem to have some reason to believe that they are an espionage threat and we're ignoring those concerns. John Key might want to take them on board."

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 29 Mar 2012 19:58
by gakakkad
i think we are not adequately following the chinese coup situation.. probably because a lot of info is not available. chinese burqua is a little to opaque..Info has to be dug up from chinese language fora . would not it be appropriate to start a dedicated new thread on this situation ? The one that deals with digging chinese language fora for the bo situation ?

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 30 Mar 2012 07:51
by abhishek_sharma

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 31 Mar 2012 14:56
by shyamd
The power transition in bejing means that Hu is being nice to all neighbors inc. india vietam SK Japan. Even uncle. No one is lulled into believing them

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 31 Mar 2012 19:15
by shyamd
A very important article.

Shyam Saran: An India allying with none
The country should not banish 'non-alignment' from its foreign-policy dictionary
Shyam Saran / Mar 21, 2012, 00:46 IST
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The publication of “Non-Alignment 2.0”, which seeks to promote an informed debate on evolving a new consensus on India’s foreign and security policies, has generated controversy. The authors stand accused of resurrecting the buried ghost of non-alignment, which allegedly served to limit rather than advance India’s interests. This is puzzling as no political dispensation in India, since the end of the Cold War, has discarded it. How do you stand guilty of resurrecting something that has not quite been pronounced dead by those who run India’s foreign policy?

Non-alignment needs to be assessed objectively and without prejudice. The way Jawaharlal Nehru conceived it, non-alignment was a strategy and not a dogma. Its relevance as a principle of our foreign policy must also be distinguished from the fate of the Non-Aligned Movement, which was specific to a binary Cold-War construct that no longer exists. There is more substance to the criticism that it has often been a convenient cover for not taking positions on key issues of the day, which all great powers must do. There is also a suggestion that non-alignment is reflexively anti-West and the use of this term may bring that attitude of mind back into the conduct of our foreign policy.

The phrase “non-aligned” was first used by V K Krishna Menon at the United Nations General Assembly in 1953 and by Pandit Nehru in 1956. However, the strategy that lay behind the phrase had been spelt out by Nehru much earlier, first in Constituent Assembly debates and later in Parliament. The very sense of India, with its history and civilisational attributes, he said, demands the pursuit of an independent foreign policy. Decisions relating to India’s vital interests should not be externally determined. Maintaining and, if possible, expanding the country’s strategic autonomy is a continuing objective. Nehru did propose that India should avoid entering into “other people’s quarrels”, unless, and this is important, “our interest is involved”. He demonstrated a realistic awareness of the limits of India’s ability to influence events when he added: “We should either be strong enough to produce some effect or we should not interfere at all”. This is eminently sensible advice.
Nehru also did not rule out entering into an alliance if that proved necessary: “We are not going to join a war if we can help it: we are going to join the side which is to our interest when the time comes to make the choice.”

The same pragmatism is evident in the following remarks: “Whatever policy you lay down, the act of conducting the foreign affairs of a country lies in finding out what is the most advantageous to the country.”

We often face a dilemma about how India should vote on important resolutions at the United Nations. Consider the controversy over our abstention on the Security Council resolution on Libya and our more recent affirmative vote, along with the West and the Arab League, on Syria. Nehru suggested criteria on which such decisions could be evaluated: “Our instructions to our delegates have always been to consider each question first in terms of India’s interest, and secondly on its merits.” This means that if the two criteria diverge, India’s interest should prevail.

None of these elements of non-alignment can be described as irrelevant today even if in the actual conduct of our foreign policy, we have often been seen as unusually defensive and even negative. In the Cold War period, such defensiveness was a product of our own limited power. Today, the essence and logic of non-alignment have not changed but they have to be applied in a vastly transformed international landscape and at a time when India itself is being transformed. India must continue to seek strategic autonomy but through a more contemporary reinterpretation and application of the principles of non-alignment. That is what “Non-Alignment 2.0” seeks to do.

So what are some of the features of the contemporary world that Indian foreign policy must address?

India’s enhanced economic and security capabilities enable it to influence external events and outcomes in a widening orbit compared to the Cold War years. India enjoys greater leverage but bears greater responsibility in dealing with regional issues such as South Asian and East Asian economic integration and global issues such as climate change and energy security. Furthermore, in a globalised world, external issues impact our economic and social development prospects while domestic choices we make as a country, in turn, have an impact on the external environment. Promotion of India’s interests demands far greater engagement with the world than ever before. Depending on the issue at hand, India will find itself working with shifting and variable coalitions rather than through settled alliances or groupings. The country has inherent assets, such as a favourable demography, a strategic location and a culture of creativity and innovation, which create a window of opportunity to drive India’s emergence as a front-ranking power, a master of its own destiny but generating a range of public goods that make the world a better and safer place to live in.

It has been argued by some that we are on the threshold of a new and enduring confrontation between the US and China. Given the challenge that China’s apparently relentless rise poses to India, the pursuit of a “non-aligned” policy appears unwise. The US has greater affinity and empathy with India. It supports India’s acquisition of economic and technological capabilities and has convergent concerns over Chinese hegemony. But the US has not yet determined whether, in its relative decline, its interests are better served by playing a balancing role in Asia among Asian powers including between China and India or seeking to contain China through a network of allies. Neither precludes India and the US pursuing closer partnership and both seeking a more cautious and nuanced relationship with China.

It is possible that a change in circumstances and India’s vital interests may demand that it gravitate towards alliance with the US and other major powers. As Nehru said, when the time comes to make a choice India will do so. It came close to doing this in 1971 when it concluded the Indo-Soviet treaty. But as long as the prevailing regional and international situation remains fluid and uncertain, India would be wise to hedge its bets, engaging with all with different degrees of proximity, but allying with none.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 31 Mar 2012 19:38
by brihaspati
Yeah, so the bits and pieces for not-even-grass-grows-there-II is being put into place alright!

The same pattern :
Shout a lot about Chinese aggression
Play Hindi Chini bhai bhai alternatively
Posture a lot without having any definite plan
Keep the Tibetan icon a virtual hostage and reassure Chini bhai
Play up before the nation about how we will fight China
Quietly make sure that chini bhai gets what he wants
Claim that India cannot be aligned to anyone, including the enemies of China, and India is not imperialist and follows Asoka as the ideal who is th greatest and only ruler of India worth mentioning because he gave up theory of empire and thereby allowed others to expand at India's cost who will clap such Asokan crap as oh-so-beautiful-ideal.
Sack the whipping boys - defence minister or army chief and thunder that not-even-grass-grows-there.
End of story - prepare for not-even-grass-grows-there-III.

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 01 Apr 2012 06:08
by Prem
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/31/world ... .html?_r=1
Tibetan Exiles March for One of Their Own Who Died in Flames
DHARAMSALA, India — The body was late for the funeral. It had left New Delhi on Thursday morning for the winding 12-hour drive to this Himalayan hill town. The Tibetan exiles here talked with anticipation about a mourning ceremony on Thursday night. But the ambulance carrying the body stopped overnight in the town of Chandigarh, and in the early morning continued the climb toward the snow peaks.This time, the streets were thronged with red-robed monks and young men wearing black jackets that said “Team Tibet 08” on the back. There were elderly women fingering Buddhist rosary beads, children carrying the Tibetan flag adorned with a snow lion, and teenagers taking photographs with their cellphones. personally respect and believe in what he did,” Mr. Kunchok Tenzin added. “He sacrificed himself not just for politics, but for religion. He is one of those figures that protects Buddhism. I am one of those figures that practices Buddhism. You need the two — they go together.” The speeches began with that of Tenzin Yangzom, an official with the Tibetan Youth Congress, a group advocating Tibetan independence, who read from a note that Mr. Jamphel Yeshi had left, one that beseeched all Tibetans to join together to end Chinese oppression.

Penpa Tsering, head of the Tibetan Parliament in exile, sought to put them in a religious perspective. “It’s not an act of violence,” he said. “The figures who took this action had pure motivation behind their actions. They sacrificed their lives no matter how painful it was, no matter how much they suffered, for the benefit of the majority of the people.” Later, he said in English, “Now the question is, how many more Tibetan lives will be lost before the Tibetan issue is resolved?” Dharamsala is a magnet for foreigners, and there were many in the crowd. One woman carried an American flag, and a man held aloft a South Korean one. Some young foreigners wore signs around their necks: “Germany, I Am With Tibet.” “U.K., I Am With Tibet.”

Re: People's Republic of China, Dec. 27 2011

Posted: 01 Apr 2012 06:17
by Prem
http://dailycaller.com/2012/03/30/chine ... and-tibet/
Security firm links cyber spy campaign to Chinese hacker
SAN
FRANCISCO — Tokyo-based computer security firm Trend Micro on Friday said it linked a hacker in China to a "cyber espionage" campaign targeting India, Japan, and Tibetans.A Chinese hacker whose nicknames include "Dang0102" and "scuhkr" was involved in online spying to steal military secrets, spy on Tibetan activists and mine information from players in the energy, shipping and aerospace industry."The Luckycat campaign attacked a diverse set of targets using a variety of malware, some of which have been linked to other cyber-espionage campaigns," Trend Micro said in a research paper.
"We were able to track elements of this campaign to hackers based in China."
Luckycat has been going on at least since June of 2011 and has been linked to 90 cyber attacks in Japan and India and on Tibetan activists, according to Trend Micro.Cyber spies compromised 233 computers, usually by tricking users into opening links or files booby-trapped with malicious software crafted to let hackers continually loot information, the security company said.The pinpointed Luckycat hacker has published posts in a notorious XFocus online forum and recruited peers to join a network attack and defense project at the Sichaun University Information Security Institute, according to Trend Micro.Trend Micro refused to comment on reports that the hacker was a former graduate student who works for China's leading Internet portal Tencent.The report did not directly implicate the Chinese government, but security researchers believed that the style of the attacks and the types of targets indicated state-sponsored spying."Unlike largely indiscriminate attacks that focus on stealing credit card and banking information associated with cybercrime, targeted attacks noticeably differ and are better characterized as cyber espionage," Trend Micro said.