X-posting....
amit wrote:shiv wrote:What needs to be done to make Pakistan fail? What will China and possibly the US do to prevent that? How will Pakistan leverage these nations to avoid collapse?
Actually Shiv,
if you ask me what we need to do is take out Roland Reagan's Star Wars play book and keep at it. Just outspend the Pakis on defence and up the ante. There will come a tipping point when the four father will hesitate to give even smart weapons to them because they really don't trust the Pakis. And besides US will always have this worry that anything given to the Pakis will give the Chinese a chance to copy. And the Chinese are also, I think, worried that the US would snoop around stuff they give to the Pakis.
As a result you see that most of the stuff that's going to the Pakis, F-16, thundaar etc aren't really state of the art. IMO the S400 buy may be the start of the Indian version of Star Wars. If what we are reading comes to pass and India does develop a capability to enforce a no fly zone 200 km within Paki territory then it would be interesting to see what the US or China will dare to give to them for free that would neutralise/counteract this?
If they go back to infiltration, it would actually be step back for them and with the kind of technology at the borders today, it's not going to be as easy as it was in the 1990s early 2000. I hope we just keep upping the ante quietly while refusing to talk unless it's about terror. Meanwhile MSA and his ilk can have their chai biskoot and talk about a pissful progress till they join Pisfull Bidwai in jannat with their 72.
Alka_P wrote:^^ more weapons to puki land fortifies them as much as it destabilizes them. It'd be a double whammy for us. The best time to dismantle pukistan and take over land that belongs to us was 70 years ago, the next best time is next 10 years. The more we wait, the more intense the blow up is going to be. pakis are donkeys and pigs, they have no culture to speak of, no achievements, no government, no sense of citizenship nor have they worked hard to build themselves up. They can afford to blow themselves up at our borders, we can't. The lives of our soldiers matters and it's better sacrificed doing something meaningful.
Gulping pukistan without burping should be the next big goal of the "darinder modi" govt. I mean the intellectual cabal is crying anyway, what does it matter? Balochistanis and Pashtuns don't want to be a part of piggistan, start with them.
Kashi wrote:amit wrote:Actually Shiv, if you ask me what we need to do is take out Roland Reagan's Star Wars play book and keep at it. Just outspend the Pakis on defence and up the ante. There will come a tipping point when the four father will hesitate to give even smart weapons to them because they really don't trust the Pakis. And besides US will always have this worry that anything given to the Pakis will give the Chinese a chance to copy. And the Chinese are also, I think, worried that the US would snoop around stuff they give to the Pakis.
The four fathers have kept Pakistan afloat..just. And they will continue to do so for a variety of reasons. This will not change even if the Indian economy exceeds the Pakis by 100 times. Look at NoKo-SoKo equation. China shares a huge bilateral trade with SoKo and yet it continues to prop up NoKo with little signs of abandoning this policy. Russia as well, even if the support may have reduced.
amit wrote:As a result you see that most of the stuff that's going to the Pakis, F-16, thundaar etc aren't really state of the art. IMO the S400 buy may be the start of the Indian version of Star Wars. If what we are reading comes to pass and India does develop a capability to enforce a no fly zone 200 km within Paki territory then it would be interesting to see what the US or China will dare to give to them for free that would neutralise/counteract this?
The stuff may not be state of the art, but it's enough to give us a headache. F-16s are their only nuclear delivery air platform. While it's easy to shoot down 50, shooting down 100 takes a little more effort and increases the probability that one or two will skip through. We HAD to go for S400 to account for this probability and probable augmentation of their air fleet in the future. Which means we need to commit more resources to the Western border, resources that would have been very useful to reinforce and secure out North and Eastern borders. We need to get additional resources to do that.
amit wrote:If they go back to infiltration, it would actually be step back for them and with the kind of technology at the borders today, it's not going to be as easy as it was in the 1990s early 2000.
Yet they managed to get terrorists into Uri, Jammu and Gurdaspur, despite heavy fencing and border patrolling. No fence is fool proof. Once again citing the case of NoKo-SoKo border, recently, a NoKo soldier simply walked across the DMZ to SoKo barracks and wasn't even detected until he knocked the doors to give himself up!!
Pakis will continue to probe, to try and infiltrate here and there and find enough canon fodder within and beyond (in India) for their dirty work.
amit wrote:I hope we just keep upping the ante quietly while refusing to talk unless it's about terror. Meanwhile MSA and his ilk can have their chai biskoot and talk about a pissful progress till they join Pisfull Bidwai in jannat with their 72.
I believe that's exactly what is happening. GoI is refusing to budge from it's "talk terror or not at all" stance, the opposition, with the exception of MSA-types and a few WKKs are unable to play the Paki tune overtly, even if they do, no one cares. GoI is completely ignoring the Dehati aurat shenanigans and which is why we see Hajams and MockShoot, get shriller and desperate and resort of ad hominems and low blows. I believe they really expected (or probably were assured?) that things would soon get back to the earlier state of affairs. That hasn't happened and the tantrums are there for all to see. I wonder why they thought that things would remain the same...
Good thinking..
A few truths....
Ronald Reagan model of FSU collapse wont work for there was no one propping FSU up.
On the other hand Pakis have US and China in that order.
While China supplies nukes US provides delivery systems. US gave $20B of funds since 9/11.
Pak would have collapsed long ago but for this. And as US gives so will KSA etc chip in.
Nukes by themselves would just sit there!
Internal collpase is best option for Pakistan as Rajaram says.
Despite all the ummahness, nationalism has succeeded in Muslim lands all over the world from Morocco to Indonesia. Pak is an agglomeration just as Ottoman Turkey was.
Balochistan and Pakhtuns are repressed nationalities.