Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

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Viv S
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Viv S »

Mihir wrote:In the IAF context, the MiG-27 is very much a CAS bird. Its pilots train extensively for CAS and have nothing but praise for its ability to fly and fight at low and medium altitudes.
Unlike the A-10, the MiG-27 is not designed to sustain heavy battle damage. No aircraft in the IAF's inventory is. At Kargil for example, after the losses suffered on May 27/28, all further operations were flown outside the MANPAD envelope.

Similar dynamics come into play even in the plains, where in addition to MANPADs, aircraft flying low altitude will find themselves very susceptible to radar guided AAA and SAMs.

I didn't know the Longewala ops involved striking Pakistani POL dumps and supply lines.
Battlefield air interdiction. Most of the casualties inflicted on the Pakistani units, occurred well after they'd broken contact with the static defences at the Longewala post. IAF operations in Chhamb and Sialkot are probably a closer description to CAS.

You think the pilot can see what's happening in a confused melee on the ground from more than 30k feet and accurately hit enemy targets?
If the ground units are locked in melee, there's little that an aircraft can do resolve the situation, save perhaps for attacking the enemy's rear echelon to affect a loss of morale.

"Did not face air defences" is not the same as "will fail against air defences". You seem to imagine that air defences are this magic weapon that will sanitize the airspace and prevent aircraft operations. They are nothing of the sort. Short-range AD has plenty of weak spots that can be exploited by skillful pilots and staff to deliver effective fire support.
The issue is risk vs reward. Ground vehicles can be distinguished and targeted at altitude. But carrying out low level gun attacks to support infantry with the possibility of friendly fire undiminished (given that camouflage is de rigueur for modern forces) is an appalling risk to a $100 million aircraft that may be critical to the war effort.

It's a pity those A-10s are on the way out. But then again, the USAF won't be fighting the Red Army anymore, so there's that as well. They have very few opponents remaining that have the ability to use massed mechanised forces, organic air defences, and air cover to achieve tactical (or even operational) superiority on the ground. India does, and IMHO, still needs specialist CAS aircraft.
The KPA (esp. with mobilized reserves) has the numbers, if not the training, to match the Red Army. An operation across the DMZ would be the kind of target rich environment that the A-10 was built to thrive in. But its still a fact that the A-10 was designed in an era when precision guidance was in its infancy. The situation is radically different today, where JDAMs not only equip the A-10 (as do LDPs), but can also be equip delivered by cheap platforms like the MQ-1 & MQ-9.

For the record, I don't think the Rafale or Tejas will be good solutions to the CAS problem either. The MiG-27s and Jags will be sorely missed when the are retired. Unfortunately, this is one of the side-effects of the transition to a multi-role force. You run short of specialist aircraft, and have to force platforms that are ill-suited for some roles to fulfill those roles anyway.
I don't quite agree. Most aircraft designed for low level flight - the Mirage F1, Jaguar, Tornado, MiG-27, Su-24, F-111 etc, have all been or will all be, phased out without replacement. Its just not productive to fly those flight profiles any more, which is one of the reasons the IAF wants a more powerful engine on its Jaguars.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by arthuro »

Yes one 'senior officer' said 'don't worry all's well'. May I remind you what the title of the article was -
"Questions of huge costs dog Mirage jet upgrade project with France"
Good try but you are simply mixing the question and the answer. For the record the answer was:
"But the project cost has not exceeded our planned estimates. The Mirage-2000 has had a very good track record in IAF. After the upgrade, we will get a very capable, state-of-the-art fighter, which will serve for another 15-20 years," said a senior officer.
MoD and IAF, however, say the Mirage upgrade's scope is much bigger and sophisticated than the MiG-29 one.
http://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes ... integrator
I guess you quoted this article and the other one hastily (you just read the title and you thought it would make your point) to pretend to have a source when actually it contradicts you.
This from the fellow who's still claiming that the IAF chose the Rafale as its next fighter.

And to no one's surprise you're again wandering off on your own little tangent. The Mirage 2000 upgrade was brought up to illustrate the fact that the Rafale MLU would put the Indian taxpayer back by a considerable sum. And now you enter trying to prove that the MoD was delighted with the Mirage upgrade (which wasn't the issue in the first place) and pretending that the Rafale acquisition is all but wrapped up.
Again when you can't substantiate your point you use your usual diversion. It is easier than answering the direct request for links isn't it ? When you asked me for linked I provided you some. On your side you still failed to prove that the IAF was forced to take the mirage 2000 upgrade when many other options were available like other aircrafts (LCA or mig-29) or a cheaper mirage upgrade. Actually the second link you posted contradicted you on that very idea. Had you taken the time to read it (and not only the journalist's title) you would not have fallen in your own trap.

My point on the mirage 2000 upgrade was not that it was cheap. It is simply that it is worth the cost as the IAF and MoD say themselves ! If it wasn't the case and if the IAF/MoD thought this upgrade was a Dassault rip-off, the rafale would not have been selected for MRCA, the mother of deals...Unless you believe they are incompetent. The fact that the rafale was selected for MRCA confirm that mirage 2000 upgrade was worth the costs and that was a non issue.

As far as a rafale MLU is concerned, I would remind you that during the second stage of the competition Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) was assessed vs the typhoon.

So if the MoD thought that rafale MLU was going to be hugely expensive (and more importantly not worth the cost) in the light of the mirage 2000 upgrade experience they could have eliminated the rafale from the MRCA. They did not which tells that this is not an issue deemed important enough conversely to some opinions on this board. Unless you call the MoD incompetent.

So all your questions about mirage 2000 and rafale costs (including upgrades) have already been answered by IAF and indian MoD. You might still disagree but the debate is over for them and that's what matter. (well definitely once the rafale deal is formally signed, but choosing the rafale for exclusive negotiation is already a good indication).

Last but not least, if I said the IAF selected the rafale it was simply a mistake due to hasty typing and I apologize for that. You should read india or IAF&MoD instead. I know the process well enough not to make such a basic mistake intentionally.

****
As for rafale range, payload and radar range vs SU-30 you are consistently adapting your arguments to avoid admitting you were wrong in your first assumption. You are consistently dodging precise questions, making side steps about the subject when you can't answer or when you are proven wrong.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Viv S »

arthuro wrote:Good try but you are simply mixing the question and the answer. For the record the answer was:

guess you quoted this article and the other one hastily (you just read the title and you thought it would make your point) to pretend to have a source when actually it contradicts you.
So your claim is that a statement provided to 'balance' the article negates its basic premise viz. 'questions raised about price'. The links were posted to illustrate my point that the MoD wasn't happy with the cost but decided (after five years of wrangling) to just go ahead with it. Similarly, a Rafale MLU despite the 'options' will go through as well.

Again when you can't substantiate your point you use your usual diversion. It is easier than answering the direct request for links isn't it ? When you asked me for linked I provided you some. On your side you still failed to prove that the IAF was forced to take the mirage 2000 upgrade when many other options were available like other aircrafts (LCA or mig-29) or a cheaper mirage upgrade. Actually the second link you posted contradicted you on that very idea. Had you taken the time to read it (and not only the journalist's title) you would not have fallen in your own trap.


What part of 'risk averse MoD' are you finding hard to grasp?

My point on the mirage 2000 upgrade was not that it was cheap. It is simply that it is worth the cost as the IAF and MoD say themselves ! If it wasn't the case and if the IAF/MoD thought this upgrade was a Dassault rip-off, the rafale would not have been selected for MRCA, the mother of deals...Unless you believe they are incompetent. The fact that the rafale was selected for MRCA confirm that mirage 2000 upgrade was worth the costs and that was a non issue.
I'm hardly contradicting you. Merely pointing out that when the $100 million (plus inflation) bill for the Rafale MLU arrives, there will continue to be a reasonable argument explaining how its worth it, and an institutionally cautious MoD will simply go along with it, after the requisite hemming and hawing.

So all your questions about mirage 2000 and rafale costs (including upgrades) have already been answered by IAF and indian MoD. You might still disagree but the debate is over for them and that's what matter. (well definitely once the rafale deal is formally signed, but choosing the rafale for exclusive negotiation is already a good indication).
Because the signing of the deal is just a formality at this point? The Rafale negotiations are still at the CNC stage so far. Lets wait till the actual costs emerge... the MoD isn't the only entity that gets a say.

As far as a rafale MLU is concerned, I would remind you that during the second stage of the competition Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) was assessed vs the typhoon.
Right. Now I suggest that you assess their assessment of the cost versus the assessment of what India can afford given the economic conditions.

When the economy was roaring away they could shortlist away top-of-the-line. Expect a lot more circumspection today, all indications are that its going to be delayed for quite a while yet.

So if the MoD thought that rafale MLU was going to be hugely expensive (and more importantly not worth the cost) in the light of the mirage 2000 upgrade experience they could have eliminated the rafale from the MRCA. They did not which tells that this is not an issue deemed important enough conversely to some opinions on this board. Unless you call the MoD incompetent.
Perish the thought! The MoD is a well oiled machine greatly respected for its dynamism, efficiency and foresight.


As for rafale range, payload and radar range vs SU-30 you are consistently adapting your arguments to avoid admitting you were wrong in your first assumption. You are consistently dodging precise questions, making side steps about the subject when you can't answer or when you are proven wrong.
Well I asked you to substantiate your claim about the Rafale having a greater operating range, payload and radar range than the Su-30MKI.

1. The operating range that you quoted was achievable only by negating one of its actual strengths (reduced RCS), however... grant you that one.
2. The payload figures extrapolated from Wikipedia explicitly contradicted your claim.
3. Your assertion with regard to radar range has been refuted, not just by me but also Karan M.
SaiK
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by SaiK »

I am thinking of leasing next generation fighters like F35s and 22s. That will create an opening for NATO standard platforms for desh, and with a vision that India in the future has to (actually poised) to integrate both NATO and non-NATO platforms. This is an expertise area, where we have actually established by having 70% russkie hardware, and slowly showing our strengths by way of Su MKI where the strategic mileage was obatained from having integration with various French and Indian inputs.

We have to enhance our capabilities first, and we are tired of waiting for MMRCA. 15 years is not a joke folks.. just think about this utter misconduct by our MoD and babu department. Enough is enough.. so let us begin a new chapter for integeration., that establishes slow transfer of Technology agreements at sub component levels. Now, this is where operational aspects are learned much ahead and without having to wait for purchases and establishments to manufacture locally.

With this comes our future strategic plans too, ie. establishing our own industries. As integrators of western and Indian components, we enter the boldly go where no one has gone before! with a starship experience. DRDO and ISRO and edu labs are playing extremely well, and this will energize them better. For eg: recent inventions for DAS like components in desh itself. [just a vision I get from local news].

We have done leasing.. we have done it with Russians with nuke subs. We can do it with Amrikka too. That will also test all jackals and hydes behind agreeements as well. A first step with a right charter.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Philip »

If you go through the upgrades in chronologic order,you will find a pattern emerge.First the MIG-21s were upgraded into Bisons because the LCA was late.The IAF saw this in the '90s itself.Then realising that the LCA would be another decade late they decided to upgrade legacy M-2000s and MIG-29s,whose combined strength is just over 100.It had NO alternative.MIG-27s were to be upgraded too.The MMRCA deal was just half-way through.It had to have the upgrades if anything went haywire with the MMRCA deal,a delay,which we are now experiencing along with an eco slowdown.Along with the upgrades was additional SU-30MKI acquisitions to keep numbers and capability adequate to deal with the Sino-Pak combine.From available reports,the extra hours of life now available on the MIG-29s will give them another 40 yrs. of service.Even if it is around 30 max.the same would be the case for the M-2000.Therefore,the IAF in effect is getting a refurbished aircraft almost as good as a new one,of type which is out of production.I don't think it was happy at all about the price.There were reports at the time about IAF officers being unhappy about it,but if the MOD/GOI was willing to go the whole hog,why not?!

270 MKIs,100+ M-2000s/MIG-29UGs,120+ Jaguars (to be UG) 120 Bisons,100+ MIG-27s is all that we will have with us until 2020.Whatever LCAs can be built will be a bonus.About 200 legacy MIG-21s will be pensioned off long before,unless the IAF can nurse them on for a few more years,and from 2020,the MIG-27s will start leaving the scene along with older Bisons.To maintain the planned sqd. strength of 42 sqds. will require a whopping 250-300 aircraft to be replaced.This gap[ cannot come from even LCAs,and MMRCAs.At least another 4-6 sqds. will have to be acquired from abroad.

Now,writing in the IMR,which I quoted some of it a while ago,Maj-Gen.Bakshi in a piece about "Fighting Smart",about the primacy of air power in an eco. crunch,recommends the foll:

The development of max. concern is the Chinese PLAAF.BY 2020,it will possess 1300 4th-gen fighters like the SU-27 and SU-30,as well as the J-10 and J-11 (reverse engineered SU-27).The PLAAF is developing two stealth fighters and procuring the SU-35 to overcome its inability to produce advanced aero-engines.Thus for the first time since '62,the PLAAF would have not just a huge quantitative edge but also a qualitiative edge.Gen.Bakshi says that this is unacceptable and has to be met by "greatly speeding up the FGFA,induction of the Rafale,Lca,and procure large stocks of PGMs that could see us through multiple crises. Indigenisation must move forward,work should begin
on the MCA and we should overcome our shortcomings in the sphere of aero-engines.

Air power should be our preferred response option to asymmetric threats and enable us to fight smart.We can do that only if we create significant qualitative differentials in air power between ourselves and the China-Pakistan combine.We can no longer afford to simple "catch up" in air power,we must consciously seek an edge that we can drive home in any conflict scenario.

This coming from an army officer is enlightening.We are at a huge disadvantage logistics wise with the PLAAF.China has developed roads to every remote part of its border with India,the last in the N-east through awful terrain,taking 30 yrs.! It will take us between 5-10 years before we can improve ours to some decent measure.Almost all infrastructure border projects are delayed.In such a scenario,the nation will have to depend hugely upon the IAF to stem any invasions and deep thrusts from the PLA,playing the major role which will ease the difficult position in which the IA is in.Gen.Bakshi earlier in the piece,looks back at Kargil,where with the intensive air operations and dominance of the IAF,the Paki troops could not be resupplied and relieved and were desperate without food and water. Nawaz S. had to run to Washington to save himself and his state from a greater catastrophic defeat.

The cardinal lesson learnt was that air power would be the key component in any limited war in the future.It has great reach,precision and responsiveness.It can mobilise much faster than ground forces,why it is the key response option for the Israelis .In any limited conflict with Pak,air power would provide India with the most precise and lethal response unleashed within minutes.It is the best option,far superior to ground forces,which when engaged,get embroiled and found difficult to break contact ,abort an op and and pull ones own troops back.Cruise missiles and naval aviation strikes from the flanks the next best option.Last would come army special forces,limited ground offensives and saturation with heavy arty and SMERCH rocket attacks.After this would be attacks covertly by "insurgents"in enemy territory,something which has to be a completely deniable op.The cost of escalation is dependent squarely upon the aggressor,however the defender has to prepare for the full spectrum of the escalation ladder prior to initiating any proportionate response options.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by NRao »

MMRCA = numbers for the IAF + Technology (hate ToT, so) infusion

Does not seem to me that the combination of these two will come at a reasonable cost - anything, among the 4th Gens, beyond $12-14 billion is really not worth it.

That leads me to suggest the MiG-29 (NOT MiG-35) from a financial angle. Would like it to be disposable after say 15-20 years - no need for a MLU.

And, from a technology perspective, perhaps buy technologies (DAS from the F-35 as an example) for the AMCA (some of which are a given: engine, radar).
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by srai »

Mihir wrote:...

Your point that CAS is inherently *very* dangerous business and will lead to losses against any well-equipped opponent is valid. I just happen to think that bombing from high-altitude, while keeping pilots safer, will not help provide ground support in the Indian context.

It's a pity those A-10s are on the way out. But then again, the USAF won't be fighting the Red Army anymore, so there's that as well. They have very few opponents remaining that have the ability to use massed mechanised forces, organic air defences, and air cover to achieve tactical (or even operational) superiority on the ground. India does, and IMHO, still needs specialist CAS aircraft.

For the record, I don't think the Rafale or Tejas will be good solutions to the CAS problem either. The MiG-27s and Jags will be sorely missed when the are retired. Unfortunately, this is one of the side-effects of the transition to a multi-role force. You run short of specialist aircraft, and have to force platforms that are ill-suited for some roles to fulfill those roles anyway, with less than stellar results.
IMO, you have to first define what CAS is and then will you be able to find what types of platform and weapons are suitable for it in today's battlefield. Traditional CAS platforms are less effective and survivable than in the past. As you know, there have been a revolution in munitions and platform since the advent of A-10s/Su-25 designs. New generations of anti-tank/fortification/area PGMs have become available. These can be fired from fixed-wing to helicopter to ground-based gun/missile platforms to man-portable and from stand-off ranges. When you factor in these, you will realise that the CAS in modern context can be best achieved through an optimal mix of these assets as dictated by the battlefield scenario.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by srin »

Mihir wrote:The moment you press Hawks, IJTs, and HTTs into CAS duties, you compromise on the training of new pilots. They will be brought into play only as a last resort. IAF Hawks don't even come with a CMDS, as far as I know, so their utility in providing CAS is highly suspect.
True, you don't want to press the existing ones into CAS. But modify them - remove the extra seat, add kevlar armor around the cockpit, add IRST, arm them with 30 mm gun or ATGMs. And manufacture tons of them. And finally, sell them to the army.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by pragnya »

Philip wrote:If you go through the upgrades in chronologic order,you will find a pattern emerge.First the MIG-21s were upgraded into Bisons because the LCA was late.The IAF saw this in the '90s itself.Then realising that the LCA would be another decade late they decided to upgrade legacy M-2000s and MIG-29s,whose combined strength is just over 100.It had NO alternative.
IAF chief is at variance with your observation. let me quote what he says about the Mig 21s phasing out/upg. from latest VAYU mag -
Vayu : when releasing the book on '50 years of Mig 21s in India' in april 2013, you announced that the 'type' would continue in fronline service with the IAF till 2019, even though RRM had (in 2011) said that these would be phased out by 2017. is this extension an inevitable result of the continuing delays in LCA clearance for service??

CAS : our transformation plan adopts 3 pronged approach which besides inducting new assets also includes exploitation of combat worthy legacy systems. i have already discussed the new inductions as well as the the upcoming upgrades. it is essential that IAF maintains an ever vigilant posture with requisite combat assets, therefore, my foremost priority is to ensure that our combat potential is always sustained. towards this, the Mig 21 aircraft are planned to be exploited as they have adequate residual life available. and to address any other apprehensions, let me assure you that every Mig 21 which gets airborne is fully airworthy with sufficient residual flying hours and calendar life left.
net, irrespective of delays pertaining to any, IAF wants to induct new assets when available but wants to exploit the existing ones thro' upgrades. it is not only cost effective - in terms of infra, training, spares stocked, ease of use etc.. but also is a necessity given our economic situation.
From available reports,the extra hours of life now available on the MIG-29s will give them another 40 yrs. of service.Even if it is around 30 max.the same would be the case for the M-2000.Therefore,the IAF in effect is getting a refurbished aircraft almost as good as a new one,of type which is out of production.I don't think it was happy at all about the price.There were reports at the time about IAF officers being unhappy about it,but if the MOD/GOI was willing to go the whole hog,why not?!
:eek: extra 40 yeras?? The modernisation programme will bring the fighters’ service life up to 40 years. considering these were inducted in mid to late 80s, an additional life of 15/20 years is what the upgrade will mean. same with M2Ks.
This gap[ cannot come from even LCAs,and MMRCAs.At least another 4-6 sqds. will have to be acquired from abroad.
IMO either M2K (preferably) or Mig 29SMTs (atleast 2 sq each) or a combination of both should be explored/sourced from french and russian govts directly. UAE IIRC, was asking the french to take care of the disposal of their M2K-9s (60+) for the Rafale procurement. however with the Rafale deal still not settled, the question does not arise in the short term.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by vic »

Mihir wrote:The moment you press Hawks, IJTs, and HTTs into CAS duties, you compromise on the training of new pilots. They will be brought into play only as a last resort. IAF Hawks don't even come with a CMDS, as far as I know, so their utility in providing CAS is highly suspect.
I did not mean that the actual aircraft being used for training should be used for CAS. I wanted to say that CAS optimized variants of Hawk, HTT, IJT, Rustom, NURAV can be ordered and then used in the said role. They are not perfect but better than nothing. Though the best would be New Jaguars with better engines.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by vic »

Also substantial role of CAS can be taken over by Prahaar. Unlike USA we have to fight on our borders, so we can order massive numbers of Prahaars and pre position them in bases near the borders. For the price of 100 CAS aircraft, we can have around 1000 Prahaar launchers.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Viv S »

With regard to using jet trainers/turbo trainers for CAS:

The aircraft in question have minimal air defence capability. Affording them top cover undoes the basic premise of freeing up the bulk of the fleet for other roles, so they can only operate in sanitised air space. Assuming such conditions were created, lets say... in a two front war, where rather than fight slow losing battle of attrition on both fronts, the IAF carries out a brief air defence operation to the north and east, while conducting a blitzkrieg against the PAF, which is mostly based at shallow depths along the IB and LoC. After sufficiently disabling it, the bulk of the IAF's resources are relocated to the east, leaving the ground forces to slug it out.

Even in such a scenario, the Hawk/IJT/HTT is still a sub-optimal solution. It will have the capability of carrying out guided bomb drops from medium altitude, but this role can be performed more efficiently still, by UAVs like the MQ-9 (7 hard-points; JDAM, PWII, Hellfire, Stinger). The other alternative is strafing runs, but given the danger to the aircraft, it would be preferable to employ the AH-64 or LCH instead, which can exploit the terrain to mask their approach far better than any fixed wing aircraft.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Philip »

I don't see what the CoAS has said that dramatically differs from what I've posted.Upgrades have been neccessary to extend the lifespan of old aircraft because of the delays in the LCA and now the MMRCA deal too.The IAF has expected the best but planned for the worst.Reg. the lifespan of the upgrades,I've posted details showing the engine life extended to a theoretical life of 40 yrs.The ET report (http://articles.economictimes.indiatime ... 9/recent/3) says between 25-40 yrs.(Russia's RAC MiG aircraft corporation will upgrade over 60 MiG-29 fighters, in service with the IAF since the 1980s and service life of the aircraft will be extended from 25 to 40 years.) Now even our Bisons which were supposed to be retiring before 2020 are being extended to last upto 2025 at least by not exercising them too much.In IAF service,with replacemetns always arriving late,one can expect the two UG birds ,M-2000/MIG-29s to last until 2035 at least.

http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/ind ... ted-01879/

India’s Fighter Modernization: Add MiG-29s to the List
Aug 29, 2013
Its MiG-29s have had reliability problems, but India needs them too much, and has to upgrade them. Planned buys have taken too long, and the IAF is dealing with the same fighter modernization numbers crisis that affects a number of air forces around the world. Its MiG-21s are retiring fast, and so are the subsequent generation of MiG-23/27 and MiG-25 aircraft. At the same time, India’s locally-developed Light Combat Aircraft (Tejas) program has been beset by numerous problems and ongoing delays, raising questions concerning its readiness and ability to begin filling some of that void in time. India’s MMRCA light-medium fighter competition will fill other gaps with 126 imported fighters, but it has yet to produce a contract, let alone a delivery date.

As the timelines for replacements stretch, more upgrades became necessary to keep their existing fleet viable. In February 2006, reports confirmed India’s existing fleet of MiG-29B, MiG-29S, and two-seat MiG-29UB “Baaz” (Falcon) aircraft as candidates. December 2006 reports indicated that a contract had been signed, but the deal wasn’t finalized until March 2008. Instead of arriving by 2010, therefore, they began arriving in 2013, at the MiG-29 fleet’s air base in the Punjab region, overlooking Pakistan and Kashmir.

Appendix A explains and details the numbers pressures that successive Indian governments, and poor execution by the Ministry of Defence, have created within the IAF. IANS reported in December 2006 that India was “finalizing” a proposal to have its fleet of MiG-29 lightweight fighters refurbished for $888 million by the Russian company RSK-MiG, which has a dedicated upgrade set designed to turn older MiG-29 air defense fighters into multi-role MiG-29SMT/UBT fighters. India’s focus on its domestic industries will ensure that its modifications will include their share of unique attributes and equipment, in addition to the standard set – an insistence that is now causing problems for the program.

The program last official total was $964 million for 62 upgraded “MiG-29UPG” fighters. They’re expected to remain in service for 10-15 more years, with their safe flight-hour lifetimes extended from 25 years/2,500 hours to 40 years/ 3,500 hours.

The planes will be fitted with upgraded weapons and a new avionics suite, including the Phazatron Zhuk-ME radar. The Zhuk-M/ME is a derivative of the baseline Zhuk radar, but its acquisition range has increased 1.5 times, with a wide scan and tracking area of + / – 85 deg. in azimuth and + / – 60 deg. in elevation. It also adds terrain following mode, and ground target acquisition including high-resolution SAR. To ensure readiness, a maintenance and repair center will be established in India.

Normally, these moves would accompany weapons upgrades. India’s MiG-29s are already believed to be capable of firing the R-77/AA-12 “AMRAAMski” medium range air-air missile, but photos consistently show the R-27/ AA-10. The new systems will offer certain R-77 compatibility, along with the ability to mount precision air-to-ground weapons. Upgraded electronic warfare systems round out the package, to improve survivability against modern threats.
short MiG-29 UPG, 1st flight
MiG-29UPG
(click to view full)

In terms of aerodynamic performance, India’s MiG-29s will be upgraded with extra fuel tanks in a thickened center spine, but even upgraded MiG-29s have Soviet short-legs syndrome. Adding mid-air refueling capability completes the upgrade, offering dramatic changes to the fighters’ deployment range. Unspecified engine modifications may also correct some of the problems experienced with the R-33 engine, such as the visible smoke trails that have already been addressed in the MiG-29M2. Local R-33 engine production will offer much improved maintenance turnaround time.

India will be left with an MiG-29UPG aircraft that’s comparable to the F-16C as a strike fighter, with air-to-air performance that’s arguably superior to all but the F-16E/F Block 60s with their ultra-advanced AESA radar.

RSK-MiG will be the sole vendor to perform the upgrades and service life extension tasks, delivering the first 6 aircraft from Russia and then supplying upgrade kits. Other components may come from a range of Indian, Russian, French, Israeli (Elbit has its own MiG-29 ‘Sniper’ upgrade program), and other vendors, per Indian specifications. The MiG-21 Bison upgrade worked that way, and the $130+ million MiG-27ML upgrade sources equipment from Russia, Israel, and Britain (Vinten optical pod), among others.

Indian media report that all of the upgraded MiG-29UPGs will be stationed at Adampur Air Force Base, located in the northwest Punjab region overlooking Pakistan and Kashmir. Adampur is also the home base for India’s Garud commandos.
A Better Baaz: Program Updates
2012 – 2013

More ancillary industrial contracts, which are important.
Indian Ocean
Zhuk-ME
(click to view full)

Aug 28/13: Industrial. Russia’s UAC signs $55 million in MiG-29UPG related contracts at the MAKS 2013 show. A $43 million contract will create an Indian maintenance and repair center for the fighters’ Zhuk-ME multi-mode radars, and a $12 million contract will create an Indian servicing center for the upgraded MiG-29UPGs.

Why does this matter? Under the old system, if things broke, the IAF had to ship the problem component to Russia, then wait for replacements. The waiting times were generally measured in weeks and months, not days. The result is terrible, terrible readiness rates, which means an actual serving force that’s much smaller than the supposed fleet size. That’s why India has insisted on all kinds of local facilities as ancillaries to this upgrade set, including outright manufacture of the plane’s engines (q.v. Sept 4/06 entry) and awards like these. If you do the math, these industrial changes could make a bigger difference around the Pakistani border than the MiG-29′s technological upgrades. Sources: RIA Novosti, “India Signs $55M in Deals With Russia’s MiG Fighter Jet Maker.”
Appendix A: The IAF’s Numbers Problem
AIR MiG-21 Bison

MiG-21 Bison

A look at the IAF’s composition, projects, and fleet retirements shows the relentless pressure they’re under.

By 2010, the IAF had phased out the majority of its 300-or-so MiG-21s, the 16-18 aircraft in its only remaining swing-wing MiG-23 external link ground attack squadron, and the IAF’s MiG-25 Foxbat external link high-speed reconnaissance jets.

India’s 125 or so updated MiG-21 ‘Bisons’ caused a lot of trouble for American jets at COPE India 2004 & 2005, but the type crashes a lot. Since 1971-72, as many as 380 of the IAF’s 872 MiG-21s of all variants have crashed, and crashes continue with the Bison. The type is not expected to last in service beyond 2019.

Around 100-110 swing-wing MiG-27M Bahadur ground attack fighters were grounded after a crash in 2010, and the 80 or so remaining jets aren’t being upgraded again. The Bahadur’s phase-out is scheduled for 2017.

India has about 118 Jaguar strike aircraft that have been upgraded several times. The latest DARIN III upgrade with a new IAI Elta radar and new F125 engines flew in late 2012, and upgrades are expected to be complete by 2017. The IAF has viewed its Jaguars as deep strike aircraft, with the exception of 1 maritime Jaguar IM squadron. Improving air defenses could make that role chancy, in which case the upgraded Jaguar’s natural shift is into the MiG-27′s similarly dangerous close support role.
MiG-27M India

Indian MiG-27M

At the lower end currently occupied by the MiG-21s, an initial order has been placed for 24 of HAL’s LCA Tejas light fighters. They were expected to arrive by the end of 2010, but production has been slow, and operational status is expected to take until 2014-15. That won’t even begin to dent the fighter gap. Further orders are held up by the fact that key design choices for the full production “Tejas II” upgrade remain in limbo.

In the middle, India has been forced to upgrade its remaining 51 Mirage 2000s to a standard similar to the Mirage 2000-5 or 2000-9. Those upgrades are underway, and include a new radar and new weapons. The upgraded fighters can be expected to serve until around 2030.

The 62 upgraded MiG-29UPGs will join the Mirage/ Vajra fleet in the IAF’s multi-role mid-tier. Under a proposed set of upgrades, these planes would see a set of improvements that would address their biggest deficiencies, insert important upgrades, and change their role from air-superiority planes to full multi-role fighters with modern air-to-air and air-to-ground weapons. A parallel set of deals will invest a good deal of money into local manufacture and repair facilities for key components, removing the Russians from those maintenance chains and hopefully improving mission readiness. A total of 62 planes are included: 54 single-seat fighters and 8 trainers.

India continues to assemble and field SU-30MKI aircraft, under a joint agreement with Sukhoi, and overall orders are pegged at 272 as of 2013. These aircraft will be the high end of India’s air power, can be expected to remain in the force past 2030, and are competitive with or superior to top-end European fighters and American F-15 variants.
PAK-FA

FGFA, MAKS-2011
(click to view larger)

A pair of newer projects aren’t even finalized yet.

If Dassault’s Rafale can hold on to its selection and hammer out a viable contract, it would serve beside the SU-30MKIs at the high end of the force. The 100 or so planes would offer some compatibilities with the upgraded Mirage 2000s, but will come at about twice the SU-30MKI’s price. If budget pressures intervene and Tejas continues to lag, India could be forced to buy a less expensive mid-tier plane instead. MMRCA is already late, however, and the Indian government might have a case for paying more now, rather than running another competition that will take them 5+ years.

At some point, India’s FGFA (SU-50?) stealth fighter will become the new high end of the force. India hopes to order 144 planes, but the existence of even a final design is in question, let alone a contract. The IAF is unlikely to have any operational FGFA fighters before 2025 on the present schedule, and India’s record of project performance makes 2030 an unsafe bet.

Seen in this context, upgraded MiG-29s aren’t merely a useful adjunct. Over the 2015 – 2025 period, they’re crucial to India’s fighter fleet.
More reason why buying/acquiring another 60-80/4 sqds. of the same would be an interim solution until the cutting edge fighters FGFA,etc. arrive.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by abhik »

A Q for the gurus, as recently as 1-2 years ago the IAF was reported to have planned to get the all the Mig-21s retired by 2018 (2020 max), and all the Mig-27s by 2016-2017. What exactly has changed in 2 years that the Mig21s are going to serve till 2025(there has been no update on the Mig27)? Can't be the delays in the LCA because that should have been factored in already and the IAF had not ordered too many of them any way. The only other factor is the MRCA.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by raj-ji »

SaiK wrote:I am thinking of leasing next generation fighters like F35s and 22s. That will create an opening for NATO standard platforms for desh, and with a vision that India in the future has to (actually poised) to integrate both NATO and non-NATO platforms. This is an expertise area, where we have actually established by having 70% russkie hardware, and slowly showing our strengths by way of Su MKI where the strategic mileage was obatained from having integration with various French and Indian inputs.

We have to enhance our capabilities first, and we are tired of waiting for MMRCA. 15 years is not a joke folks.. just think about this utter misconduct by our MoD and babu department. Enough is enough.. so let us begin a new chapter for integeration., that establishes slow transfer of Technology agreements at sub component levels. Now, this is where operational aspects are learned much ahead and without having to wait for purchases and establishments to manufacture locally.

With this comes our future strategic plans too, ie. establishing our own industries. As integrators of western and Indian components, we enter the boldly go where no one has gone before! with a starship experience. DRDO and ISRO and edu labs are playing extremely well, and this will energize them better. For eg: recent inventions for DAS like components in desh itself. [just a vision I get from local news].

We have done leasing.. we have done it with Russians with nuke subs. We can do it with Amrikka too. That will also test all jackals and hydes behind agreeements as well. A first step with a right charter.
Another option would be to look at the two fronts separately. It is unlikely that India will be the aggressor on either front. So most strikes could be as a result of provocation from the Pukis or Pandas. With the Pukis the MKIs and rest of the IAF fleet are more than adequate to decimate the PAF. The concern would be from the Pandas. In this area is where the type and numbers of aircraft are lacking by the IAF.

With this in mind, the GOI can spend enormous amounts trying to catch the Panda. Or possibly use another tactic. The one I would suggest is buy large numbers of advanced SAMs. A large number of S-300s would cost much less than upgrade costs and purchase costs of fighters but could buy India the breathing room it needs to get the Tejas in good numbers. Finalize the Rafale deal and complete upgrade projects on other fighters.

The deficiency faced now by the armed forces can be dealt with IMO by procuring a state of the Art SAM system in large numbers. Add to this accelerating production of indigenous SAM systems.

A SAM system even the best, is much less expensive than fighters. It could be the strategy to fill the deficit in fighters in the IAF. It can give some breathing room to get the IAF fleet properly renewed.

An old example, but the USAF and the issues they had with SAMs in Vietnam. Or the impact of the Stinger against the Soviets in Afghanistan show how this tactic can make even the most formidable of air forces vulnerable. The noise of S-300s being sent to Syria in small amounts add to this.

Now imagine a very large order of these systems by the GoI and a large order of indigenous SAM systems as well. A strategy that needs more thought IMHO. A strategy that is more in tune with our circumstances and neighborhood. A large enough order can make Indian airspace a no go for all but maybe one Air Force in the world. Talk about getting bang for your buck.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Philip »

The point that the Gen. is making is that unless we possess the qualitative edge in offence/strike,it may not be enough to deter the enemy.SAMs will be defensive in nature and not enough to prosecute any deep intrusion of PLA forces.We will not be able to mobilise fast enough with ground forces to blunt a major offensive as the enemy will choose a location/locations of his choice to attack/invade.Using a variety of UAVs for surveillance,including sats,will give us some early warning as to the enemy mobilizing,but with the Chinese we've seen that they keep on scinching,pushing the LAC back on our side relentlessly.The terrain is all in their favour,with their logistic infrastructure very close to the border.Therefore,the use of air power right from inception of a major thrust by the enemy has to be undertaken,to blunt,destroy enemy forces and to give our troops that extra time in which to reach the enemy.

However,SAMs like the S-300/400 ,our own ABM systems under development,are required to protect high value defence installations and key cities and industrial clusters.Any spat with the PRC will involve intense missile attacks,as the PRC possess hundreds of tactical missiles and will use them from Tibet against Indian cities to demoralize the population.Chinese cities are way beyond the reach of our tactical missiles,which are only now within reach with the latest AGNI series ,3-5,and ar of a strategic nature.It's why we need dedicated strategic bombers ,ideally Backfires,which Russia has in abundance and which China want to pick up lock,stock and barrel!
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by abhik »

If we are talking of out of the box solutions, why not go on the offensive? For the money we are paying for the Rafale deal($20b+) we can probably buy 10-20,000 cruise missiles(like the Nirbhay) preferably with sufficient range to reach most parts of china proper. An arsenal like this have great deterrence value and can create terror in the minds of the enemy(we see a version of this in the PRC vs Taiwan situation). Just imagine the effect of firing a couple 1000 missiles in the first hour of a war. :twisted:
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by NRao »

So much for Rafale and all the attendant noise.
ramana wrote:Bharat Karnad on 1 Novemeber

Stop wasteful military deals
Stop wasteful military deals

By Bharat karnad

Published: 01st November 2013 06:00 AM

Reduction of the Rs 4 lakh-crore fiscal deficit will require a drastic winnowing of defence expenditure programmes. The wasteful military procurement system that fetches, as it were, as much chaff as grain, offers obvious targets for excision. Among them the egregiously wrong-headed deals for the Swiss Pilatus PC-7 turboprop trainer and the French Rafale MMRCA (multi-role, medium range combat aircraft).

Consider IAF’s priorities: It bought PC-7s for $1.5 billion, an amount the Chinese Air Force spent to secure the entire production line from Russia of the latest, most advanced, Tu-22M3M strategic bomber! This Pilatus purchase, moreover, was approved by defence minister A K Antony at a time when Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL), Bangalore, had its new HJT-44 turboprop trainer up and ready. Brazening out such mindless splurges, Air Chief Marshal N A K Browne advised closure of the HJT-44 line to enable purchase of more PC-7s!

IAF has at most tolerated licence-manufactured foreign fighter planes but sought stubbornly to kill off indigenous combat aircraft projects. In the past, it buried the Marut Mk-II, the low-level strike variant designed in the 1970s by the highly talented Dr Raj Mahindra, who won his spurs under Kurt Tank, designer of the Focke-Wulfe fighter-bombers for the Nazi Luftwaffe and of the original HF-24 at HAL, buying the Jaguar from the UK instead. History repeats itself.

French and Israeli pilots who have unofficially flown the Tejas Light Combat Aircraft (LCA) have gone gaga over its flying attributes. The Tejas will come equipped with an indigenous AESA (Active Electronically Scanned Array) radar — the heart and the brains of any combat aircraft, enabling it to near-instantly switch from air-to-air to air-to-ground missions. The Flight Control System (FCS) of the Tejas is so advanced, it can deal with the sort of turbulence in flight that its counterpart onboard the Eurofighter — supposedly technologically superior to the Rafale, plainly cannot, as per an expert familiar with the FCS in both aircraft. This deficiency nearly ended in disaster for the Eurofighter on several occasions but was not disclosed by EADS to IAF during the jockeying for the MMRCA contract. The larger, heavier, longer range Mark-II variant of the near all-composite Tejas, in fact, fills the bill of “MMRCA”. An LCA version of Tejas has already been flown weighted down with ballast to mimic the Mk-II plan-form. The fact that the Mk-II variant was coming along well, besides, was known to the IAF-MoD (ministry of defence) combo. So, how come the tender for MMRCA was not terminated midway?

The Mk-II’s chances were scuppered by IAF-MoD on the ground that Tejas was not operational. But the LCA has been prevented from entering squadron service after it obtained the Initial Operational Clearance (IOC)-1 last year, because of their insistence that IOC-2 and subsequent clearances be done by HAL rather than permitting the clearances to be obtained by the designated Tejas squadron, flying the aircraft, at the Sulur base in Tamil Nadu. The latter procedure will allow our fighter pilots to test the plane’s flight envelope and performance, and to provide feedback to designers — normal practice of advanced air forces inducting a new locally-produced aircraft. Further, rather than restricting the initial off-take to just 46 aircraft, MoD should order the full complement of 7-8 squadrons worth of Tejas to facilitate economies of scale and the farming out of work by HAL to private industry, thereby growing it. In the interim, additional “super Sukhois” could have been procured for a total force of some 70-plus of these planes, inarguably the finest combat aircraft now flying.

The fact is the original price tag for the MMRCA deal of $12-15 billion is set to balloon to $26-30 billion. Why? For one thing, having won the MMRCA contest, the French company, Dassault, doesn’t want to abide by the contract requiring the plane to be manufactured at HAL under license with transfer of technology (TOT). Dassault maintains it cannot guarantee Rafales made in India unless its chosen private sector partner, Reliance Aerospace, is tasked with its production. The arrangement with Reliance, however, is to have it import all of the most high-value assemblies and avionics as “black boxes” for the duration of the Indian production run, keeping over 500 French firms employing a workforce of 7,000 people, according to a French newsletter, L’Úsine Novelle, in the clover for the next few decades!

The real kicker here is the fact that while India will pay for full TOT — amounting to tens of billions of dollars — no meaningful technology (flight control laws and source codes) will, as in past such deals, ever actually get transferred. New Delhi as always will pay up, not caring whether India gets what it paid for or not and, even less, whether it will ever become self-sufficient in arms. It may be better to simply buy 126 Rafales off the shelf if the IAF deems it such a critical need, when it is not, rather than pay through our ears for technology we won’t get.

The conjoined Mk-II Tejas-Super Sukhois option will make Rafale redundant, and is the reason why those Indians who have pocketed French baksheesh (which totals a very hefty sum, indeed) will resist it. But for the country’s good, the best thing that can happen is that the Pilatus and Rafale contracts are immediately junked.

What about self-sufficiency that our politicians and uniformed brass keep yakking about? Alas, that’s only public speeches and posturing. When has the government ever insisted, or compelled the military to go with, a home-made product at the expense of a foreign item, and the armed services told that otherwise they would have to make do with nothing at all?

Militarily ignorant political leaders are easily stampeded into making capital acquisitions owing to public fear of a “growing gap” in aircraft, tanks, or whatever, generated with the help of a gullible media. Rather than laying down an iron law favouring indigenous hardware Antony, like his predecessors, has played into the institutionalised distrust of the Indian military of indigenous weapons platforms. IAF is merely the worst offender.

(Bharat Karnad is professor at Centre for Policy Research and blogs at http://www.bharatkarnad.com)
Like I have always said, the Rafale is not worth it - IAF/MoD notwithstanding. And of course a poster here too.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by negi »

^ Well there is a subtle difference folks here are pitching F-35 where as BK is pushing for Tejas MKII. The alternative is what makes the Rafale a viable or not viable solution.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by arthuro »

I'm hardly contradicting you. Merely pointing out that when the $100 million (plus inflation) bill for the Rafale MLU arrives, there will continue to be a reasonable argument explaining how its worth it, and an institutionally cautious MoD will simply go along with it, after the requisite hemming and hawing.
Glad we can finally agree. The fact that the rafale was chosen means they were ok overall with the mirage 2000 upgrade. They certainly thought it was expensive but worth the cost. Rafale MLU will be costly as well but if they decided to enter in exclusive negotiations with Dassault it means it is deemed not that critical.
well I asked you to substantiate your claim about the Rafale having a greater operating range, payload and radar range than the Su-30MKI.

1. The operating range that you quoted was achievable only by negating one of its actual strengths (reduced RCS), however... grant you that one.
2. The payload figures extrapolated from Wikipedia explicitly contradicted your claim.
3. Your assertion with regard to radar range has been refuted, not just by me but also Karan M.
You've got quite a selective memory and forgetting your first hasty assertion. First you asserted without source that the SU-30 had a greater range, greater payload and radar range than the rafale which is wrong, so I said it was wrong. You then asked me for links and I provided you the links. The you ask to substantiate...The usual side steps.

range: true for RCS but should remain reasonable compared to the SU-30 as they are RAM treated as well as pylons and most rafale weapons (mica and scalp mostly). In case of emergency you can still drop them.

payload: The wikipedia explicitly contradicts you as any other possible source you can find on the internet, including from SU-30 fans diehards forums. I've done a quick google search "SU-30 payload" and all the links I found and especially the most active ones all indicate 8 tons. Just a few example including wikipedia :

SU-30:
Armament:
The Su-27PU had 8 hardpoints for its weapon load, whereas the Su-30MK's combat load is mounted on 12 hardpoints: 2 wingtip AAM launch rails, 3 pylons under each wing, 1 pylon under each engine nacelle, and 2 pylons in tandem in the "arch" between the engines. All versions can carry up to 8 tonnes of external stores.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sukhoi_Su-30
The aircraft is fitted with a 30mm GSh-301 gun with 150 rounds of ammunition. The aircraft has 12 hardpoints for external payloads of up to 8,000kg and can carry one or two mission pods, such as a laser designator or an anti-radiation missile guidance system. The Malaysian Su-30MKM is fitted with the Thales Damocles laser designator pod.
http://www.airforce-technology.com/projects/su_30mk/
The Su-30MKI combat load is mounted on 12 stations. The maximum advertised combat load is 8000 kg (17,600 lb). The aircraft features the built-in single-barrel GSh-301 gun, a 30 mm weapon, and space for 150 rounds. Over 70 versions of guided and unguided weapon stores may be employed, which allows the aircraft to fly the most diverse tactical missions.
http://defenceforumindia.com/forum/indi ... s-mkk.html
For surface-strike missions, the Su-30MKI can carry air-to-surface missiles like the Kh-25MP, Kh-29L, Kh-29T, Kh-31A, Kh-31P, Kh-59 and the Kh-59M, as well as KAB-500 and KAB-1500 high-precision bombs which can be fitted with either laser or television guidance systems. Over 70 versions of guided and unguided weapon stores may be employed, which allows the aircraft to fly the most diverse tactical missions. The Su-30 can also carry a tactical nuclear payload.
Maximum External Stores Load: 8000 kg; 17,600 lbs.
http://indianaf.tripod.com/su30mki.htm

and there are dozens of more example.

rafale:
Armament
Guns: 1× 30 mm (1.18 in) GIAT 30/719B autocannon with 125 rounds
Hardpoints: 14 for Air Force versions (Rafale B/C), 13 for Navy version (Rafale M) with a capacity of 9,500 kg (20,900 lb) external fuel and ordnance and provisions to carry combinations of:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dassault_Rafale

same for the rafale you will always found 9,5 tons for payload.

Radar range: more difficult to assess as no official datas are available but doubling RBE2 PESA radar range puts rafale AEAS in the more than 200 km range category which should be at worst similar to SU-30mki range and most probably better.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by NRao »

LCA MkII for MMRCA has my full support. Rafale simply should no longer be considered. It now seems to have a Reliance based screw driver technology.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by arthuro »

So much for Rafale and all the attendant noise.
do you realize that this article is full of mistakes (french pilots flying the LCA, Dassault refusing to partner with HAL - this issue has been smooth out long ago, and serious claims like corruption that are not even backed as a proper journalist would ? It is more a fanboy tribune than something seriously documented

LCA mkII is wishful thinking to please the fanboy at this stage, it has not even flown and LCA track record of delivering capability speaks for itself. The so called "risk averse" MoD will not risk Indian military in this venture for MRCA given LCA track record. In fact apart from certain ill informed columnists, the LCA mk2 has never been considered as an option for MRCA by IAF or Indian MoD. This is just dreaming.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by NRao »

I do realize that that damn plane could, would cost $40 billion when all is said and done. That is vulgar, if not corrupt.

Junk is not worth that even if the IAF + MoD thinks so.

Skirt notwithstanding.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by NRao »

F the mod plunks $40 billion into the LCA!!!!!!!!!

We would never even think of Dassault, forget the Rafale.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Eric Leiderman »

With every price jump 12b to 40b It makes the project less appealing.

1) Price 2) time frame 3) technolgy upgrades 4) transfer of tech, we could go on

I am thinking along the same lines as Phillip
1) add 50 Mig 29's immediately we already have the infrastructure in place for support
2) Buy 50 Rafels outright no TOT etc except codes for digital fly by wire, etc so we can upgrade later with Isreali help Like the Mirage 2000 DEAL +++ softwear)
3) Tejas handed over to IAF immediately and IOC ( II III IV etc) FOC conducted by them
3) put in a few billion $ in setting up a manafacturing facility that can churn out 16 aircraft a year and ramps up to 50 if and when need arises, (exports)

With 100 new aircraft inducted in the next 5 years not counting the LCA our dropping suadron strength can be reversed.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Viv S »

negi wrote:^ Well there is a subtle difference folks here are pitching F-35 where as BK is pushing for Tejas MKII. The alternative is what makes the Rafale a viable or not viable solution.
I assume the reference is to me. For the record, I'm hardly pitching it as a one-to-one replacement i.e. 126 aircraft. I brought it up primarily to illustrate the capability we were getting with the Rafale against what what that money would otherwise buy us.

Several posters have suggested that while the deal needs to be cancelled, we should still get a few squadrons delivered to bolster the numbers and maintain the current technological edge. That being the case, I would suggest that those few squadrons we replace with the F-35A. And that too starting... maybe 2019 if not later.

That would serve two purposes - one it would potentially give the IAF, a force that can penetrate heavily defended airspace and secondly, entering talks with the US Gov/LockMart would give us badly needed leverage in our business with the Russians over the FGFA, without the downside of appearing to negotiate in bad faith.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Viv S »

arthuro wrote:Glad we can finally agree. The fact that the rafale was chosen means they were ok overall with the mirage 2000 upgrade. They certainly thought it was expensive but worth the cost. Rafale MLU will be costly as well but if they decided to enter in exclusive negotiations with Dassault it means it is deemed not that critical.
Heh heh. There's the little matter of affordability. All the shortlisting as well as the Mirage upgrade happened at a time when the MoD, if not awash in money, was certainly not counting its pennies. I'm not sure if you've noticed but times are little different now. Not to mention ,politically, there's change on the horizon.
range: true for RCS but should remain reasonable compared to the SU-30 as they are RAM treated as well as pylons and most rafale weapons (mica and scalp mostly). In case of emergency you can still drop them.
The Su-30MKI is also being 'RAM treated'. Dynamics of shaping don't change.

payload: The wikipedia explicitly contradicts you as any other possible source you can find on the internet, including from SU-30 fans diehards forums. I've done a quick google search "SU-30 payload" and all the links I found and especially the most active ones all indicate 8 tons. Just a few example including wikipedia :
All the Su-30 reference each other. Are you telling me that the MTOW was increased from 30 tons on the Su-27 to 38.8 tons on the Su-30MKI, but the payload remained unchanged.

Here you go this is from Wikipedia as well.

The maximum take-off weight and weapon load are increased to 38 tons and 12 tons respectively, but this extreme limit is often avoided by taking off at lighter weight. - Su-30MKK

So the Su-30MKK can fly with 12 tons of payload but the Su-30MKI can't cross 9.5 tons?

Radar range: more difficult to assess as no official datas are available but doubling RBE2 PESA radar range puts rafale AEAS in the more than 200 km range category which should be at worst similar to SU-30mki range and most probably better.
Why should it be so? The MKI's radar antenna is over three times larger than the Rafale's. While the quality of the T/R modules will be a factor, there's little to suggest that the RBE2 AA can equal the Irbis-E let alone a highly scaled up Zhuk AE.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Viv S »

abhik wrote:If we are talking of out of the box solutions, why not go on the offensive? For the money we are paying for the Rafale deal($20b+) we can probably buy 10-20,000 cruise missiles(like the Nirbhay) preferably with sufficient range to reach most parts of china proper. An arsenal like this have great deterrence value and can create terror in the minds of the enemy(we see a version of this in the PRC vs Taiwan situation). Just imagine the effect of firing a couple 1000 missiles in the first hour of a war. :twisted:

The fundamental problem is that cruise missiles are effectively just drones with a payload.

In the 1973 war, Egyptian Tu-16s fired 25 AS-5 Kelt missiles. 20 of those 25 were shot down en route by Israeli fighters.

In the Indian context, the induction of short range (Spyder, Maitri) and medium range (Akash) SAMs, particularly on the western front, is at least partially to counter the threat of long range cruise missiles. Its unlikely that the Chinese have been lax in that regard.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by NRao »

The Rafale at $10 billion (everything included) is great, at $20 billion it is foolish, beyond that it is corrupt.

Not worth the cost, no matter what the IAF/MoD think and sign off on.

I think the biggest stuff against the Rafale will be the process itself. Once whoever is talking agrees to a price, then the Rafale deal has to still go through some 7 committees. Multiple kick backs, more ill informed people, all the while the price increasing. And, if teh government changes, kick backs all over again. One for the price of two. And, $40 billion at the very least.

Get a handful of throwaway MiG-29s and keep the IAF happy (I guess they will cry - but that is OK). And take the remaining billions and give it to the Indian Labs who will put it to better use than the French for sure. Neither the LCA and AMCA are that far away. And for the track record, what does the French and Russians have to show? France has nothing going beyond the limping Rafale in manned flight. And the Russians are limping with the miG-35 and need further assistance on the PAK-FA. (And, where exactly is this Indian Rafale parked? That too is a paper plane right now. they will need to integrate Russian missiles, etc - long way off and very expensive too.) Both these nations will make progress on the funds provided by India. Let India benefit from Indian funds.

Forget MKII, buy 200 MKIs, those are enough to keep Pakiland away. The MKII is doing very well and will be just fine. And park the remaining FA next to Chicom. No need for Rafale here on out.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Karan M »

arthuro wrote:
So much for Rafale and all the attendant noise.
do you realize that this article is full of mistakes (french pilots flying the LCA, Dassault refusing to partner with HAL - this issue has been smooth out long ago, and serious claims like corruption that are not even backed as a proper journalist would ? It is more a fanboy tribune than something seriously documented
How do you know this? Are you an insider to state that no French pilot has ever flown the LCA? Confirm that, provide evidence to rebut Karnad and then commit. I don't see anything particularly amazing in that a French TP or any other one could have had access to the LCA or its developmental flight simulator to evaluate control laws or provide a third party perspective.
Could be hyperbole, could be wrong, but to dismiss it out of hand is also to take an extreme position.

Second, Dassault's intent not to partner with HAL has long been in doubt. BK cites a French paper. You can quote that line and verse to point out his mistakes in interpretation, if any.

As versus, ad hominem attacks - "fanboy this, fanboy that" make you sound like a French version of all the Rafale Francophobes, anything they dont like is dismissed as fanboyism.
LCA mkII is wishful thinking to please the fanboy at this stage,
Yes, the funds committed, engines ordered, systems in development are all to please fanboys. Meanwhile, you post speculation about future Rafales and how it will beat/be superior to other platforms and all that is a given.
it has not even flown and LCA track record of delivering capability speaks for itself. The so called "risk averse" MoD will not risk Indian military in this venture for MRCA given LCA track record. In fact apart from certain ill informed columnists, the LCA mk2 has never been considered as an option for MRCA by IAF or Indian MoD. This is just dreaming.
Again, how do you know all this? Please lay off the speculation. What may or may not have been considered for plugging holes in the operational capability of the IAF by the MOD or the IAF itself, is not going to be available in lay media. As regards LCA's track record of delivering capability, if there is constant scope creep, that is a given. But the India of today is no longer the India of the 80's or 90's in terms of finances or access to technology either.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Philip »

You know the continuing problems that the Dreamliner is facing ,which is turning it into a "nightmare',is being experienced on the JSF.A media report today on the "Nightmare",says that the aircraft was pushed into production too soon without the glitches being solved.Most of these glitches are reportedly in the software.Now the JSF is so heavily dependent upon software,never before experienced on any combat aircraft.Each increasing level of capability depends totally upon version-1 being perfect,so that version-2 can be installed,etc.,etc.Bill Sweetman jokes that SoKo-Japanese rivalry making both want the JSF won't be a major problem as most of the time the aircraft will be gounded due to software problems.This is a high-tech aircraft in the extreme and requires intensive maintenance.When it performs,it will in all probability,deliver the goods,but in the Indian context cannot ever be the workhorse of the IAF as much as the FGFA will be.The heavy-duty tasks will still be done by the 270+ MKIs ,upgraded to "Super-Sukhoi" status once the ugrades are over and air-launched BMos integrated.

The point that NR is making about future avatars of the LCA being capable of MMRCA duties in theory is certainly an alternative,except for the fact that the Mk-1 itself is delayed.Full scale production hasn't arrived.One can't forget the words of a former air chief who said that the LCA would be the "workhorse" of the IAF in similar fashion that the MIG-21s have served us for decades.However,how much the threat scenario has changed since that decade+ statement is moot point.At that time we perhaps ignored the quiet Chinese build-up and had Pak mainly in mind.The LCA is crucial for the IAF to induct large numbers at low cost ,with local support solving the logistic problem. Posted above is reports of Indo-Russian service establishments being set up in India to service MIG-29UG radars,engines,etc. Our immediate need for an interim fighter/fighters to tide over a decade when 300+ fighters will be retiring is the crux of the MMRCA/alternatives problem.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Mihir »

Viv S wrote:
Mihir wrote:In the IAF context, the MiG-27 is very much a CAS bird. Its pilots train extensively for CAS and have nothing but praise for its ability to fly and fight at low and medium altitudes.
Unlike the A-10, the MiG-27 is not designed to sustain heavy battle damage. No aircraft in the IAF's inventory is. At Kargil for example, after the losses suffered on May 27/28, all further operations were flown outside the MANPAD envelope.
It seems like you're arguing just for the sake of arguing. The initial debate was about CAS aircraft, not just subsonic and armoured CAS aircraft. The MiG-27 fills this niche role in the IAF, and not just as an afterthought. This is a platform designed for low-level attack missions including CAS. Before the introduction of the Su-25, it fulfilled this role even with Frontal Aviation. The big gun, cockpit armour, laser ranger and nav/attack suite all point to that.

Next we'll have you arguing that the MiG-27 doesn't count because it doesn't have twin engines.
Viv S wrote:Similar dynamics come into play even in the plains, where in addition to MANPADs, aircraft flying low altitude will find themselves very susceptible to radar guided AAA and SAMs.
Are you even reading my posts? If low-flying aircraft are vulnerable to short-range SAMS and AAA, then those flying at higher altitudes are more vulnerable to medium range SAMs. The USAF and Israeli AF paid a heavy price in lives to learn that lesson. It is why low-flying tactics were adopted in the first place.
Viv S wrote:
I didn't know the Longewala ops involved striking Pakistani POL dumps and supply lines.
Battlefield air interdiction. Most of the casualties inflicted on the Pakistani units, occurred well after they'd broken contact with the static defences at the Longewala post. IAF operations in Chhamb and Sialkot are probably a closer description to CAS.
Now you're just nitpicking. Please point to an IAF or at least a reputed Indian publication that calls the Longewala operation "battlefield air interdiction". As for the "most casualties" argument, are you denying that low-flying IAF aircraft did indeed turn the tide of the battle? Are you denying that they engaged Pakistani forces while they were fighting the Indian Army? In fact, were it not for Wingco Bawa's Hunters, the Pakistani forces wouldn't have broken contact with Indian defences in teh first place.
Viv S wrote:
You think the pilot can see what's happening in a confused melee on the ground from more than 30k feet and accurately hit enemy targets?
If the ground units are locked in melee, there's little that an aircraft can do resolve the situation, save perhaps for attacking the enemy's rear echelon to affect a loss of morale.
That's your assumption, and not borne out by facts. In a close battle, aircraft can pick out and attack enemy targets, and have done so in the past.
Viv S wrote:
"Did not face air defences" is not the same as "will fail against air defences". You seem to imagine that air defences are this magic weapon that will sanitize the airspace and prevent aircraft operations. They are nothing of the sort. Short-range AD has plenty of weak spots that can be exploited by skillful pilots and staff to deliver effective fire support.
The issue is risk vs reward. Ground vehicles can be distinguished and targeted at altitude.

Yes, as blobs on a screen. Do tell us what modern technology short of IFF transponders is going to help IAF pilots distinguish a T-72 from an Al Zarrar or a T-90 from a T-80UD from 30,000 feet. Let us also know how they are going to id infantry formations with certainty without someone on the ground doing the designating.
Viv S wrote:But carrying out low level gun attacks to support infantry with the possibility of friendly fire undiminished (given that camouflage is de rigueur for modern forces) is an appalling risk to a $100 million aircraft that may be critical to the war effort.
It is an "appalling risk" only if you force a Rafale of F-35 into a role ill suited to its basic design. It isn't an "appalling risk" for dedicated CAS birds.
Viv S wrote:But its still a fact that the A-10 was designed in an era when precision guidance was in its infancy.
You're confusing two very different things again. "designed in an era when precision guidance was in its infancy" is not the same as "was conceived for an era when precision guidance would no longer be a novelty". In any case, the Maverick was operational before the A-10 first flew. And by the late seventies, it's fire control systems had been upgraded to greatly increase the accuracy of the gun and rocket pods.
Viv S wrote:
For the record, I don't think the Rafale or Tejas will be good solutions to the CAS problem either. The MiG-27s and Jags will be sorely missed when the are retired. Unfortunately, this is one of the side-effects of the transition to a multi-role force. You run short of specialist aircraft, and have to force platforms that are ill-suited for some roles to fulfill those roles anyway.
I don't quite agree. Most aircraft designed for low level flight - the Mirage F1, Jaguar, Tornado, MiG-27, Su-24, F-111 etc, have all been or will all be, phased out without replacement. Its just not productive to fly those flight profiles any more, which is one of the reasons the IAF wants a more powerful engine on its Jaguars.
Those aircraft were phased out because (a) the dissolution of the Red Army made them unnecessary in Europe and (b) the downward pressure on budgets at the end of the Cold War necessitated the consolidation of platform types, so specialist fighter aircraft of all kinds were replaced with more types (and fewer numbers) of multi-role fighters. There is some merit in your argument that it wasn't cost effective for NATO to maintain a huge fleet of single-purpose aircraft. But that is only true for Western Europe. For India, it makes very little sense to blindly follow what the world is doing without taking the capabilities of its potential adversaries into account.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Mihir »

NRao wrote:So much for Rafale and all the attendant noise.
I thought Bharat Karnad had lost all credibility when it came to commenting on indigenous military development. Today he sings peans to the Tejas, when just six months back, he wrote this laughable piece:
So criminally negligent has HAL been that in all the years it assembled a variety of MiG-21s, MiG-27s, MiG-29s, and the Jaguar, and the power plants for each of these aircraft at its Koraput factory, it failed to maintain a dat­abase. In other words, for all the licence manufacturing it has done over the years, by failing to compile how every component in the aircraft and in the engines does what and how, it has learnt nothing.

Had HAL maintained a database of all the items it has put together, the country by now would have had the built-up capability to manufacture the Tejas Mk-I and Mk-II on the run. But this defence pu­blic sector unit has red­uced its­elf to an adjunct of supplier companies. That top HAL leadership has not been brought to acc­ount on this score and that the Indian taxpayer continues funding such profligacy only reflects the state of things.

DRDO, on its part, has prospered by creating illusion. Other than in certain areas, such as in writing sophisticated software and devising complex algorithms to drive military systems, DRDO projects are mostly scams. Behind every project that’s touted for realising “self-sufficiency” lies imported technology in some guise.
And now we have claims like
ramana wrote:Bharat Karnad on 1 Novemeber
Stop wasteful military deals
...the Chinese Air Force spent to secure the entire production line from Russia of the latest, most advanced, Tu-22M3M strategic bomber...

...French and Israeli pilots who have unofficially flown the Tejas Light Combat Aircraft (LCA)...

...The Tejas will come equipped with an indigenous AESA (Active Electronically Scanned Array) radar...
He makes a good point about the Tejas Mk.II being a good MMRCA provided it's development doesn't suffer too many hitches, but I no longer take him seriously after repeated amateur mistakes like these and those silly calls for disbanding the strike corps and getting rid of the Prithvi missiles as a CBM for Pakistan.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Karan M »

Thing is Karnad is a messenger. He lacks the ability to understand or even write about technology. He basically repeats stuff told to him, sometimes with some added "analysis" of his own..

Plus he can be pretty eccentric (disband strike corps and be friendly to Pak etc).

Thing then is to pick up tidbits from what he writes and ignore his own analysis, and see if it is correct in any fashion.. that will allow you to judge that particular article.

In this case he is correct about the following:
1. An AESA radar is indeed being made at LRDE for the MK2 (advanced stage of development with local Tx/Rx modules in process)
2. MK2 is being prototyped using MK1 airframes - testbeds etc- Nikhil P made a post to that effect earlier.

About Israeli/French pilots flying the LCA - they could have flown the sim to get an idea of how it handles, control laws etc. ADA would, time to time, involve third party folks. We were discussing it in the other thread as well. DRDO is pretty publicity averse and these things get out as leaks or when a journo asks questions. For instance, Israel officially auditing the Arjun program was known many days after the fact, including the fact that they actually trialled the tank called it desert ferrari etc.

So, again not out of the reams of possibility.

Do I buy the theory that LCA MK2 can replace the Rafale? Not really.. but I wouldn't dismiss the nuggets of info in the article either, since they seem to have come from somebody else and are not a product of BK's own "analysis". That as you say, can be laughable/plain wrong.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Mihir »

Fair enough, I didn't know about the AESA :oops:

The problem is that Karnad loses credibility when he makes so many silly mistakes and gives in to those eccentricities. So when he makes a claim that sounds outrageous (like French and Israeli pilots flying the LCA), the first reaction is to dismiss it as bunk. It may very well be true; if Vishnu Som or T.S. Subramaniam or Anatha Krishnan M had written something similar, we would have bought it in a heartbeat.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Karan M »

You are right.

Plus some of his policy prescriptions are so far out to be ludicrous. He wanted India to disband all strike corps, retain some limited capability and reach some "agreement" with Pak (quoting chanakya and all) to contain China. Never mind that Pak establishment has an intense religious loathing of India..

At best he is hit or miss.. hence I only look through his articles for data mining and ignore some of the other policy/big picture suggestions (though I do agree with him about improving our deterrent - how we do that is of course a big topic by itself..)
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by pragnya »

arthuro,

while you have every right to defend Rafale, it does not have to be - by 'bad mouthing' an indian effort of LCA mark 2 - for which engines are being procured, sanctions have been made and is in full steam development.

does not behove you or anybody doing similar.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Karan M »

Its pretty ironic that he is following the same script which a lot of EF supporters do when attacking anything Rafale. Anyone saying anything positive about Rafale is a fanboy.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by Viv S »

Mihir wrote:The initial debate was about CAS aircraft, not just subsonic and armoured CAS aircraft.
The initial debate started with: 'CAS performed in the manner of the A-10 or Su-25 is fast becoming obsolete'.

The MiG-27 fills this niche role in the IAF, and not just as an afterthought. This is a platform designed for low-level attack missions including CAS. Before the introduction of the Su-25, it fulfilled this role even with Frontal Aviation. The big gun, cockpit armour, laser ranger and nav/attack suite all point to that.
One one hand you say I'm arguing for the sake of it and on the other you go ahead and claim that the MiG-27 was built for CAS. Single engine. Single rudder. No control redundancies. It has big gun indeed and ammunition enough to last for about... 5 seconds.

The fact that it was employed for CAS doesn't imply that it was suitable for CAS (which is why the Su-25 was developed in the first place).

Are you even reading my posts? If low-flying aircraft are vulnerable to short-range SAMS and AAA, then those flying at higher altitudes are more vulnerable to medium range SAMs. The USAF and Israeli AF paid a heavy price in lives to learn that lesson. It is why low-flying tactics were adopted in the first place.
The whole point behind flying at higher altitudes is to attack from stand-off ranges. Mobile army units are usually equipped only with AAA and SR-SAMs, and infantry with MANPADS.

USAF and IsAF paid a heavy price?

The same Israeli Air Force that lost some 40 fighters in 1973 to ZSU-23s, including six lost in one day?

As for the US, of the 25 fighter aircraft lost after Vietnam, 18 were downed by AAA, VSHORADS or MANPADS. Having paid as you put it, 'a heavy price', its little wonder that they're opting to attack from safer altitudes and retiring the A-10 altogether.

In the UK's case, 9 out of 9 losses sustained after the Suez War have been to AAA & VSHORADS. In Iraq '91 losses totally 6 Tornados all flying low level strike. In Iraq '03, the same Tornados flew mid altitude and engaged almost exclusively with PGMs.

Now you're just nitpicking. Please point to an IAF or at least a reputed Indian publication that calls the Longewala operation "battlefield air interdiction". As for the "most casualties" argument, are you denying that low-flying IAF aircraft did indeed turn the tide of the battle? Are you denying that they engaged Pakistani forces while they were fighting the Indian Army? In fact, were it not for Wingco Bawa's Hunters, the Pakistani forces wouldn't have broken contact with Indian defences in teh first place.
The Pakistani formation had been routed by the time the second sortie returned to Jaisalmer. Air operations continued for another two days. Also I did not, at any point, belittle the importance or contribution of the IAF to the battle.
-You think the pilot can see what's happening in a confused melee on the ground from more than 30k feet and accurately hit enemy targets?
-If the ground units are locked in melee, there's little that an aircraft can do resolve the situation, save perhaps for attacking the enemy's rear echelon to affect a loss of morale.
That's your assumption, and not borne out by facts. In a close battle, aircraft can pick out and attack enemy targets, and have done so in the past.
Melee implies close quarters combat. And the armies don't wear olives or khakis in the field anymore. Even with support from FACs and some degree of separation on ground, pilots are usually loath to employ weapons, in NATO parlance, 'danger close'. There's no question of doing so based on minimal visual cues.

Yes, as blobs on a screen. Do tell us what modern technology short of IFF transponders is going to help IAF pilots distinguish a T-72 from an Al Zarrar or a T-90 from a T-80UD from 30,000 feet. Let us also know how they are going to id infantry formations with certainty without someone on the ground doing the designating.
Do you think a pilot zipping along in a MiG-27, an aircraft with poor cockpit visibility and designed to deliver its payload in a supersonic dash at low level (not for low speed loiter over the battle area), trying to keep his aircraft from being shot down, can distinguish between a T-72 & Al Zarrar, or T-80UD & T-90?

A pilot of an aircraft operating at range, can survey a far larger swathe of the battlefield, accept a feed from UAVs on scene, have targeting information passed on from an FAC on ground, use SAR imagery with sub-metre resolution and/or employ CCD-TV. And do it all in a calm measure manner, without his feet in the fire, and while keeping an eye out for enemy aircraft.

It is an "appalling risk" only if you force a Rafale of F-35 into a role ill suited to its basic design. It isn't an "appalling risk" for dedicated CAS birds.
Aside from the fact that we don't operate dedicated CAS birds, even modern CAS birds are at far greater risk today given the proliferation of SHORADS and MANPADS.

You're confusing two very different things again. "designed in an era when precision guidance was in its infancy" is not the same as "was conceived for an era when precision guidance would no longer be a novelty".
The statements have nearly opposite implications. No scope for confusion. To whit - '[they] were conceived for an era when precision guidance was a novelty'.

In any case, the Maverick was operational before the A-10 first flew. And by the late seventies, it's fire control systems had been upgraded to greatly increase the accuracy of the gun and rocket pods.
The A-10 is designed to fly slow, be highly maneuverable and can employ Hellfires and Mavericks. It ability to do the job when on scene is not in doubt, its ability to survive on the other hand, is.

First, while the requirement for the A-10 was identified in late 60s, it wasn't until the mid-80s, that the Igla and Stinger (more reliable than the Strela-2 and Redeye) were in wide service becoming potent threats to low level aircraft.

Secondly, until the later 90s, low level rocket and missile attacks were the only means of carrying out CAS missions. Its only recently that long range LDPs and PGMs capable of hitting moving targets from altitude, have become common.

Those aircraft were phased out because (a) the dissolution of the Red Army made them unnecessary in Europe and (b) the downward pressure on budgets at the end of the Cold War necessitated the consolidation of platform types, so specialist fighter aircraft of all kinds were replaced with more types (and fewer numbers) of multi-role fighters. There is some merit in your argument that it wasn't cost effective for NATO to maintain a huge fleet of single-purpose aircraft. But that is only true for Western Europe. For India, it makes very little sense to blindly follow what the world is doing without taking the capabilities of its potential adversaries into account.
While I do agree that there's been an understandable and deliberate shift away from single purpose aircraft, it wasn't cost effectiveness that I was referring to. All those aircraft were designed long before the proliferation of PGMs and long range cruise missiles. And it wasn't until they entered their last leg of service that long range EO sensors were being widely fielded. Coupled with the advent of net-centric warfare, both events vastly reduced the utility of such aircraft.
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Re: Alternatives to MMRCA - News & Discussion

Post by raj-ji »

abhik wrote:If we are talking of out of the box solutions, why not go on the offensive? For the money we are paying for the Rafale deal($20b+) we can probably buy 10-20,000 cruise missiles(like the Nirbhay) preferably with sufficient range to reach most parts of china proper. An arsenal like this have great deterrence value and can create terror in the minds of the enemy(we see a version of this in the PRC vs Taiwan situation). Just imagine the effect of firing a couple 1000 missiles in the first hour of a war. :twisted:
+1

I don't think this is as out of the box as some would suggest. The combination of a large number of cruise missiles and advanced SAMs can be as effective as a large number of fighter aircraft. The best would be to have fighters and a large number of missiles and advanced SAMs. The prospect of sending a large number of fighters into unsanitized Panda airspace is troublesome. Unless stealth aircraft are used, one can assume the Pandas will have considerable SAM batteries in place which will cause issues for our fighters entering their air space. A large number of cruise missiles like the Brahmos could be used to take out Panda air defenses so that our fighters can enter into their air space.

Missile and rocket attacks in large numbers could accomplish what strike aircraft could do in certain scenarios. The Panda is a different opponent than the Pukis. The IAF will be outnumbered on the Eastern front, till squadron strengths are replenished with capable and proven aircraft, the cruise missile and SAM strategy should be looked at more. I agree it's not as appealing as the fighter option, but has serious capabilities that will assist our armed forces. This method has also been used successfully by one side fighting a larger adversary. A more cost effective way of fighting war one could argue.

The suggestion of a large number of advanced SAMs in place like the S-300/400 is not intended just to protect high value targets but deny entry into Indian airspace. With a large enough presence the Pandas will have a hard time using their Air Force in Indian territory. And without air support ground operations in Indian territory by the Pandas would be ill advised.

This 'out of the box' strategy could be one way to make up for the numbers gap with the Panda. Still looking forward to the LCA rolling out in large numbers, which will take time. And for the Rafale to be inducted in large numbers, which will also take time.
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