US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

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kit
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US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

Post by kit »

The purpose of this thread will be to collect and correlate all the US measures being implemented against china and counter measures. None of these look adhoc. The outcomes will affect countries like India. Some of these will be opportunities. At the same time, patterns will emerge in Indias neighbourhood as China starts to influence its money power and military force in South Asia and beyond. India needs to prepare for both.It will all likely be the "tilting factor" for power equations.
kit
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Re: US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

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https://breakingdefense.com/2020/05/isr ... nese-deal/

The strict U.S warning to Israel to limit ties with China has its first result as the Chinese failed to win a tender for the construction of the giant desalination plant in central Israel. The Palmahim site is in close proximity to Israel’s missile test and satellite launch facility.
kit
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Re: US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

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https://techcrunch.com/2020/05/23/uk-go ... -networks/

Conservative members of the United Kingdom’s government have pushed Prime Minister Boris Johnson to draw up plans to remove telecom equipment made by the Chinese manufacturer Huawei from the nation’s 5G networks by 2023, according to multiple reports.
kit
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Re: US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

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https://www.reuters.com/article/health- ... SL8N2CU61T

Hundreds of German executives who want to get back to China plan to charter a first flight on May 25, with Beijing offering to waive quarantine measures introduced to stop the spread of the new coronavirus, business and diplomatic sources said.
kit
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Re: US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

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https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/11734343/ ... -monopoly/

The D10 club would see G7 nations – Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK and the US – join forces with Australia, South Korea and India to find another company to build the 5G network.
kit
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Re: US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

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https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/bri ... st-is-over

One consequence of this crisis is that nearly everyone in the Tory party has become a China hawk. Tomorrow sees the launch of a new China Research Group of Tory MPs. The CRG will examine Beijing’s industrial policy, its approach to technology and its foreign policy.

But perhaps the most striking thing about the group is its membership. Its chair is Tom Tugendhat, chair of the Foreign Affairs Select Committee, its Secretary is Neil O’Brien, a former adviser to George Osborne. Other members include former Cameron SPAD Laura Trott and Boris Johnson’s old economic adviser Anthony Browne. The fact that these former Cameron and Osborne aides are in this group shows how much Tory thinking on China has changed since the days of ‘the new golden era’ in UK / China relations.

Hawkishness on China is going to be one of the issues that binds together the new Tory electoral coalition. Every part of Boris Johnson’s new Tory party wants a tougher line on China.
kit
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Re: US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

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https://thediplomat.com/2020/05/chinas- ... -in-nepal/


In the last week of April 2020, Nepal’s ruling Nepal Communist Party (NCP) suffered a serious internal rift as rival factions within the party threatened to unseat Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli. Oli had come into power in 2018 with a five-year mandate.

Rival factions within the NCP were engaged in signature campaigns to demonstrate majority support in their favor. Senior leaders of the party, including co-chair Pushpa Kamal Dahal and Madhav Kumar Nepal, appeared to gang up against Oli. As the intra-party rift escalated, Chinese Ambassador to Nepal Hou Yanqi held a series of meeting with top party leaders including Oli, Dahal, Nepal, and Jhala Nath Khanal. According to local media reports, the Chinese ambassador requested that ruling party leaders maintain unity, and avoid a party split. The rival factions have since backtracked from their position seeking Oli’s resignation.

Foreign Minister Pradeep Kumar Gyawali said that Hou’s meetings with political leaders were part of China’s efforts to strengthen Kathmandu’s fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. But the series of meetings with specific ruling party leaders, namely those who were at obvious loggerheads with Oli, clearly demonstrated Chinese concerns about a possible internal rift within the ruling party.

Reports that Hou inquired about the internal NCP divisions and suggested they make efforts to maintain unity put on display China’s efforts to influence the internal political affairs of Nepal. Such efforts have gradually increased and become more clear and vocal than in the past. Local English media have published commentaries arguing that China is engaged in micro-management and is crossing a red line in Nepal.

Former Nepali ambassador to China and the leader of the ruling NCP, Tanka Karki, however, dismissed such reports. “In my understanding and knowledge, Chinese ambassadors meeting with political leaders was focused more on coronavirus-related issues, not about political issues and intra-party rift,” Karki said.
kit
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Re: US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

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https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Intern ... ebt-crisis

COLOMBO -- Saddled with heavy debts, and facing a financial crisis brought on by the coronavirus, Sri Lanka appears to be doubling down: piling on more Chinese debt despite having to pay millions of dollars this year to service its current obligations.

President Gotabaya Rajapaksa has twice turned to China in the last two months, desperate for a bailout as Sri Lanka's foreign reserves dwindled to $7.2 billion in April. So far, Beijing has granted an "urgent" loan of $500 million to help it fight the virus. Then, last week, cabinet ministers approved a decision to borrow another 15 billion Sri Lankan rupees ($80 million) from the China Development Bank, to improve 105 km of roads.

Amid a brewing financial crisis, the move to seek funding for the road project has drawn flak. Sri Lanka is doing fairly well in its fight against COVID-19, with fewer than 1,000 confirmed cases so far. Its struggle with the tide of debt has been less successful. Highly placed sources say the government hopes the additional Chinese credit will help plug a hole in its budget.
kit
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Re: US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

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https://www.reuters.com/article/us-myan ... SKBN1ZH054


China and Myanmar inked dozens of deals on Saturday to speed up infrastructure projects in the Southeast Asian nation, as Beijing seeks to cement its hold over a neighbor increasingly isolated by the West
kit
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Re: US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

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https://news.usni.org/2020/05/06/japan- ... -china-sea

We continue to see aggressive behavior by the PLA in the South China Sea, from threatening a Philippine Navy ship to sinking a Vietnamese fishing boat and intimidating other nations from engaging in offshore oil and gas development,” Secretary of Defense Mark Esper told reporters at the Pentagon on Tuesday.

In turn, the U.S. has stepped up presence operations in the region, including conducting two freedom of navigation operations in the South China Sea in April.

Additionally, while Roosevelt was pier-side in Guam, amphibious warship USS America (LHA-6) operated off the coast of Malaysia near a mineral claim dispute between Jakarta and Beijing.
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Re: US-China Conflict: The Beginning of an End

Post by g.sarkar »

https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/06/01/ch ... phase-one/
China Puts the Final Kibosh on Trump’s Trade Deal
By reportedly halting major agricultural purchases, Beijing makes it likely U.S.-China relations will dramatically worsen.
BY KEITH JOHNSON | JUNE 1, 2020

U.S. President Donald Trump’s phase-one trade deal with China, one of the few glimmers of success to come out of three years of harmful trade wars, was already dying a slow death as the economic devastation of the coronavirus pandemic made his massively ambitious trade targets all but unreachable.
Now, the Chinese government appears to be reneging on the sputtering deal, reportedly telling state-owned agricultural firms to halt purchases of U.S. soybeans, one of the major U.S. agricultural exports to China and a pillar of the deal’s promised $200 billion in extra exports. Beijing’s move, first reported by Bloomberg News, followed Friday’s U.S. announcement that Washington will potentially take steps to revoke Hong Kong’s special status and possibly levy sanctions and other economic weapons against both China proper and the once-autonomous region.
The big question now, some say, is not whether the trade deal will survive but what form of trade confrontation will take its place at a time when U.S. economic policy toward China is dictated less by long-term national interest and more by short-term electoral calculations.
“The locus inside the administration has moved from, ‘Should we drop the deal?’ to, ‘And then do what?’” said Derek Scissors, a China trade expert at the American Enterprise Institute who sometimes consults with the White House. “Trump wants to make sure that [prospective Democratic presidential nominee Joe] Biden can’t outflank him on China. But that dramatic action, if there is any, is going to have costs.”
Since Washington and Beijing signed the so-called phase-one deal earlier this year, just as the pandemic crushed global (and especially Chinese) economic activity, the agreement has been in trouble. Its highly ambitious goals—a huge, $200 billion increase in exports of U.S. energy, farm products, manufacturing, and other goods over this year and next—were always going to be hard to reach. The pandemic only made it harder, for instance by sharply depressing Chinese demand for U.S. oil and natural gas, sales of which have come nowhere near initial targets.
.....
Gautam
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