Ramana,a long post unfortunately was lost due to system failure.I'll repost the basics.Ckd out some of it with sources inside the force.
Here is a maverick viewpoint,perhaps not so maverick after all and you have put superbly the finger on the spot.
Who benefits? That is the question....
Gen.VKS,the "Saint",etc. are mere pawns on the chessboard.The pieces think that they are making their own moves,but the moves have already been anticipated and programmed and they are playing true to form.The real target is "the Saint".He is the chief stumbling block for vested interests.His "statuesque" image is because like a statue,he never moves on anything major. Gen.VKS is a "ship that passes in the night".He is a transitory phenomenon.He is of nuisance value.His term in any case has been terminated,but he is also playing his unwitting part.The media too are being manipulated,with exclusive scoops being thrown to them from inside sources ,some of them do not realise how they are all pieces on the board being manipulated.
For quite some time now,a few years in fact,the grouse in Delhi has been the slow decision of the "Saint". $80 billion worth of acquisitions is expected within the next 5 years (KPMG).A real boom time for global defence manufacturers.However,the UPA-2 regime is rapidly running out of steam and the deals must be clinched asap.Removing "the Saint" without good reason is going to be veryt difficult,given his clean character.A raging controversy and scam has to be found.There is already one controversy that will terminate the chief's tenure,his DOB error.It is put into play and "the Saint" has fallen for the babu bait.The "civil vs military" mindset,"politicos must be the bosses" argument is trotted out,and Gen.VKS true to form fights back controversially for a COAS using the media-perfect! The cat is out of the bag,the country now knows that the IA (Gen.VKS) and the MOD (the Saint) are at war.The media regales us with names of other IA suspect senior officers in the "line of succession",reputations are trashed, giving the impression that there is war within the IA too.
But this is only the appetiser.Next comes the "entree".The alleged Tatra bribe offer that rocks the nation.Here the pieces moved on the board are an arms manufacturer-Indian owned,and a PSU.The quiet role of PSU price padding becomes universally known.This is worse than foreign manufacturers where we drive a hard bargain.We are now informed that the PSUs are the main route for kickbacks.One can just imagine what is happening in the other defence PSUs! No longer is the issue a DOB spat,or a succession spat,but a series of potential major scams like Bofors.But this is not the end of the banquet,wait for the main course.
The main course of the plot is the good general's secret letter to the PM,which is tradition for service chiefs,who all moan about the state of their service.The timing is superb,as if it was done by the chief in an act of revenge,on the eve of the BRICS summit when the Chinese "Dr.Hu" will delight in the revelations.Suddenly we are aghast at the state of affairs (as if we didn't know about it all along).Uproar in the house.Cries of "sack the general" from all parties. No ammo to fight with,tanks unreliable,no artillery,the PLA can come down the Himalayan slopes tomorrow and it will be '62 deja vu ! Find the culprit.Who is to blame? Not the good chief,he has been in the saddle only for two years and it takes time to re-equip,at least 3-4 years.Therefore,the villain of the piece is the "Saint".He has done nothing for 6 years while at the helm of defence.He has been an abject failure.He couldn't keep the DOB issue within the "family",he allowed it to become public knowledge,kept quiet about Tatra and now stories about his failure to book the guilty in scandals when CM and Min for civil Supplies (sugar scam) are trotted out staining his dhoti.
What must be done? Typical Congress firefighting.One can't sack the chief,he will become a martyr and enrage the IA.,sacking Adm.Bhagwat was much easier as the IN doesn't have sufficient troops on land for any mischief making unlike the IA.Sack the "Saint"? The Congress dissident hounds start their usual background baying for his scalp.He is a quitter,but will he? Doubtful. Therefore embarass him to the maximum,put a shaft up the "Saint's " backside,and force him to take quick decisions on a fast track basis.He starts obeying and uses the words "streamline" to the IA regarding trials and decision making.The green light goes on,decisions will be forthcoming in double-quick time,no one can now fault the govt. for decisions as the chief's letter revealed all and the GOI/PMO is coming to the rescue!
"Who benefits ?" ,and are now going to laugh all the way to the bank? ....The foreign mainly US and western arms dealers and manufacturers.Here is why.
"Indian Bloom",is one heading in a def.mag."Industry fights for a piece of the growing Indian defence pie".
KPMG study."$80B" to be spent in 5 years time.Only two years left for decision-making.Hurdles though.Some details:
* Boeing expects to do "$32B" business in the next decade."Not just sales ,but partnerships too",Boeing overseas VP.
*IAF to have 60 sqds (1000 aircraft) by 2030.
*Indian Def. budget up ($33.3B")
*New rules,PSUs and private players can form JVs with foreign firms,apart from the formation of "consortia" and pub-pvt partnerships,policy includes provisions for "the exit of state-run defence companies from deals" !!!
Now we understand why the Tatra scam has been exposed.It is a PSU.The owner is an Indian.The principal a former east-bloc manufacturer.No tears shed if Tatra is taken down,it won't affect western manufacturers and open huge opportunities for them! Expose Tatra first then step by step irregularities in other PSUs."Why buy from PSUs wares with padded prices when it costs far less if made abroad ? Bring in pvt. players to replace PSUs,they will be more efficient and less costly".Allow JVs with foreign firms and increase the level of FDI.
* "Not suprisingly",Boeing,Lockheed Martin,and EF have set up Indian operations,including partnerships with pvt. players.30% offsets.
*Robust growth also attracting foreign "second-level" players and leading desi companies like...the Hinduja Group,poised to enter the def, sector to manufacture..."guns,rockets,missile artillery systems"! Ashk Ley. is to establish a JV with Brit. Chemring,munitions and EW major.Also with S.African Paramount Group (anti-mine vehicles).
* 250 Arjuns and 1650 T-90s by 2020,114 LCHs,400 Light helos,150+ ALHs,F-INSAS (future infantry soldier as a system,1st phase alone worth $5B),66,000 advanced assault rifles,plus lcocal manufacturing to equip 800,000 troops,tripod mounted 12.7mm HMGs .IA's mil. mod program of upgrading firepower ( to counter China with more divisions,etc ) $12B.More Agnis,A-5 ICBM etc.
Apart from making massive moolah from the nation's defence plans,another sinister interest is at work.The vested interest want to protect Pak from any Indian adventurism.Therefore,against Pak,we should be incapable of a decisive mil. victory due to eqpt. shortfalls.The thrust should be to counter China.China too does Pak a favour by sabre rattling and India in knee-jerk fashion now plans to spend tens of billions to counter China,while we are being seduced by Pak about "peace",turning our attention away from Af-Pak,where Pak and its backers plan to control Afghanistan.The master-manipulators have been playing this war game for a long time.The pieces on the board are moving very rapidly as time is running out for the UPA-2 "game".We must now wait and see what turns up for for dessert!
PS:The mood in the IA is that Gen.VKS should not suffer Adm.Bhagwat's fate.He is clean,so too is his designated successor (fine soldier) say officers who have served with both.
Just one PSU horror story. LIke Ripley's "Believe it or Not ?" Take your pick.
Deputed IA offr. to major PSU discovers info being regularly sent to Pak. "Mole" in outfit,writes to the boss.Boss calls back ,"mind your own business"! Offr. furious, further investigates and finds PSU R&D product secretly offloaded to pvt. player,while pretending that R&D on product still going on. Pvt.player offers Govt. same (PSU developed) product at huge price.Same bought! When offr. reveals/threatens to reveal all,is sacked!