This thread has moved quite fast...
Attacks on what? and with what? Instead of dealing in hypotheticals, why not take a look at the terrain and see what kind of military material the Pakistanis could bring across and how they would sustain their men, once they came down from the ridges. No invasion across those heights is possible. The only possible route, that I could see, is along the Shyok valley.
Sueepj: you made the case that Kargil heights may be vacated if an alternative route to Leh exists. That the Pakis can only shell a few villages and India can then shell a few other villages. So if there is an issue of hypotheticals then you need to not hypothesise.
Withdrawing form Kargil heights had a consequence once, why can it not have again? Pakis move in to occupy. So, same as Siachen, either we make them withdraw or accept. Correct? Isn't that what your hypothetical leads to?
Accurate targeting, but on what? some villages, which could be evacuated.. Some villages were evacuated for the duration of the war in any case! So if Civil lives were not at stake, should we have lost 600 lives for some property? We paid a price of 600 odd soldiers lives, and 1000 or so injured, two jets shot down, and one chopper. This price would not be paid by any military general, if the Srinagar Leh highway was not disrupted. The attack would have come at a place of our choosing.
How glibly you suggest that other folks give up their homes, possibly a few die, when there is shelling ! Are you now suggesting not only do we make an alternative route inland (yes, it is required even with the current highway functional and not under enemy threat), evacuate the border, and also evacuate villages. Essentially shrink our borders...and then what, once the enemy moves in, shrink more? Of course, probably not where you live, only where those villagers live. Or did I misunderstand you?
An evaluation based on the economic argument is likely to consider even a retaliation counter to progress and economy. Combined with lack of reaction to multiple infringements - killing of innocent Indians, and incursions on eastern border - there is very little confidence that the 'economic argument types' will countenance a reactive punishing counter-attack.
To make up *my* mind, I put fwd five criteria, not just the economic one. To refresh your memory, they are strategic/political/cultural/economic/cost of operations(human/monetary). If you want to make up your mind differently, its your prerogative. Why beat up a strawman?
It is not a strawman. A clear statement that the component of your thought based on economy will also consider retaliation counteer to progress and economy.
Are there no other aspects where bhaichara can be demonstrated first? Maybe suggest something to Pakis - can you suggest any such steps from the opposite side?
Sure. Give up some terror network that will not end up destabilizing the civil govt. there. Such as Paresh Baruah (though he is said to be in China these days), or give up the Indian Mujahedin network, or some muhajir don shon from India. Thats the best I could think of. I personally feel, that without such a gesture to show good faith, we should not move fwd on Siachen.
I see the deep thought and emphasis on what the Pakis shoudl do in return for India's gratuitous munificence