Patrick BlackettThis brit physicist with leftist views influenced Nehru to peg defence budget to less than 2% since 1947. Nehru was all ears to this and this has been maintained ever since. For first 20 years nothing was done to fortify India. Nehru believed and successfully argued against military modernistaion.
we paid the penalty and are still paying it.
restraint and affluenceQuote:
To make a fresh start on military and defense affairs, Nehru hired British
scientist and Nobel Prize–winning physicist P. M. S. Blackett to advise him
on how the Indian state could leverage science for defense.5 Blackett had been
at the center of the Allied war effort. He was privy to Ultra codebreaking, the
development of nuclear weapons, and other major military technology pro-
grams. In 1946 the United States gave him the Medal of Honor for his service
during the war, and in 1948 he won the Nobel Prize for physics for his pre-
war work. Blackett’s 1948 report went beyond the role of science in military
affairs to address both India’s strategic position and its military spending.
It recommended that India limit its military ambitions and pursue a policy
of nonalignment with both superpowers to escape a potentially debilitating
arms race. He proposed that military spending should not exceed 2 percent
of Indian GDP. Blackett also argued against India’s acquisition of nuclear
and chemical weapons. Instead, he emphasized India’s need to develop an
industrial and technological base.
Blackett’s report resonated in the Indian government and especially with
Nehru, a secular modernist who believed entirely in the ability of science to
deliver not only economic progress but also social change. He called India’s
first large dam project, the Bhakra Nangal in Punjab, “a temple of moder-
nity.” The Indian government shifted spending priorities and pushed infra-
structure for technology development over military readiness. Nehru charged
a number of scientists to develop institutions to alter the defense landscape
in India. The Cambridge-educated physicist Homi Bhabha was the father
of India’s nuclear program, and a close friend of Nehru’s. Bhabha’s home
was one of the few places Nehru visited regularly. Daulat Singh Kothari, a
Blackett protégé, became the head of the Defence Science Organisation, the
precursor to the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO).
While Indian defense research gathered momentum, India did make some
1
chapter one
Restraint
and Affluence
One of the most remarkable attributes of India as an
independent nation has been its longstanding restraint in military strategy.
Reticence in the use of force as an instrument of state policy has been the
dominant political condition for Indian thinking on the military, including
military modernization. From the initial delay in sending troops to defend
Kashmir in 1948 to the twenty-four-year hiatus in testing nuclear weapons,
India has used force mainly in response to grave provocation and as an
unwelcome last resort. The country’s greatest strategic success, the victory of
1971, occurred in response to a Pakistan Army crackdown on rebel Bengalis,
which killed tens of thousands and forced millions of refugees to flee to India.
It is notable that New Delhi did not press its military advantage in the west to
resolve the Kashmir problem. Similarly, India’s nuclear weapons program,
the military capacity that could have transformed India’s strategic position,
remained in limbo for twenty-four years after India tested its first atomic
device in 1974. There are exceptions to Indian restraint as well as questions
about whether it was driven by capacity or intention. Of course, Pakistan has
never been persuaded of Indian restraint. We discuss these issues below as
part of our investigation in this chapter into whether India’s new affluence
and access to advanced weapons technology will end the pattern of strategic
restraint, turning India into a traditional great power with clear strategic
objectives and the military means to achieve them.
The answer is not self-evident. India’s burgeoning resources will go a
long way in reducing the most apparent obstacle to India’s strategic ambi-
tion: lack of resources. Equally, India’s access to Western technology—most
importantly from the United States—could transform the Indian armed
Page 2
2 / restraint and affluence
forces in unprecedented ways, giving the country new instruments of stra-
tegic assertion. While there are good reasons to expect a breakthrough, we
do not believe it is likely. Military preparation just does not receive the kind
of political attention that is necessary to marry military modernization and
strategy. India’s military modernization suffers from weak planning, indi-
vidual service-centered doctrines, and disconnect between strategic objec-
tives and the pursuit of new technology. In comparison, other modern states,
especially India’s primary rivals, Pakistan and China, focus more steadily on
developing the military means to deal with their own security concerns.
The bar for change in India is so high that any talk of imminent military
transformation is highly premature. Since armed force has not been a cen-
tral instrument of state policy, the country has not developed the institutional
structures necessary to overhaul the mechanisms for generating military
power. Notwithstanding India’s newfound affluence or new access to military
technology, we do not see good reasons to expect dramatic change. Contrary to
conventional realist wisdom, wherein threat and affluence drive military pos-
ture, we believe that military change in India will be evolutionary, driven by the
slow pace of institutional change in the Indian military system. Consequently,
India’s strategic choices will remain limited. The Indian military system can
expand in size; create new agencies, commands, and positions; and purchase
new advanced weaponry, but it cannot address the contested demands over
retrenchment, coordination, and reconciliation of competing interests.
It is important to emphasize that strategic restraint has not served India
poorly thus far, nor will it be an ill-conceived choice for the future. In a
region characterized by many conflicts and an uneasy nuclear standoff,
restraint is a positive attribute. However, restraint is not seen as a virtue by
those who want India to be a great power, a counterbalance to a rising China,
and a provider of security in the international system rather than a passive
recipient of the order created and managed by others They strongly criti-
cize the lack of political direction, confused military doctrines, dysfunctional
civil-military relations, and lack of interest in reforming defense acquisition
and policymaking processes. Below, we examine the roots and trajectory of
Indian strategic restraint and then the challenges to restraint brought on by
the advent of affluence and new technology.
The Development of Restraint
India’s weak military policy from independence in 1947 to the war with
China in 1962 is evidence of the lower priority given to military matters
than to other national concerns. The country was unable to afford ambitious
Page 3
restraint and affluence / 3
strategic objectives and robust military rearmament. Instead, as the cold
war intensified, the national leadership sought gains in the political arena
through its policy of nonalignment. As has often been noted, India’s posi-
tion resembled America’s strategy of distancing itself from European wars,
and Nehru’s speeches of the day resembled George Washington’s Farewell
Address, which cautioned against entangling alliances.
The primary military assignment in the 1950s was international peace-
keeping, a function in which the Indian Army excelled. In Korea and later in
the Congo, the Indian Army’s performance was professional and measured.
In the peacekeeping roles of the time—as opposed to contemporary UN
Chapter 7 peace enforcement—the Indian Army found the perfect canvas for
the expression of its quiet capacity. In national defense, however, the civil-
military system, and particularly the political leadership, fell short.
The British Empire had raised a powerful Indian Army, which had fought
creditably in the world wars in Europe, North Africa, and Burma, and secured
possessions from Hong Kong to Aden; but India’s nationalists saw military
power as an instrument of oppression, imperialism, and undue financial
burden, and most were strongly critical of India’s armed forces.1 The struggle
against the British had focused in part on the Raj’s use of military power. The
success of the nonviolent independence movement buttressed the view that
India did not have to raise a strong military to develop effective means of
international influence.
Though early Indian nationalists such as Bal Gangadhar Tilak and Gopal
Krishna Gokhale saw military service as a means to secure home rule;
Mahatma Gandhi and Jawaharlal Nehru, the two Indian leaders with the
greatest influence on the direction of independent India, saw military spend-
ing as a burden imposed by the British in defense of their empire. In 1938
Nehru wrote that India did not face any significant military challenge; the
only military role he saw for the Indian Army was in suppressing the tribes
of the North-West Frontier Province, who were, in any case, too primitive
in his view to fight a modern military outside the tribal areas.2 In general,
Nehru agreed with Gandhi that the use of force in political life was inappro-
priate. The mainstream in the Indian independence struggle was committed
to nonviolent strategies. Nehru, in particular, believed that high principles
trumped the use of force as an instrument of Indian foreign policy. This
thinking was in sharp contrast to that of Nehru’s greatest political rival, Sub-
has Chandra Bose, who had a very different view about the use of force as an
instrument of politics. Bose turned to the Germans and Japanese to support
his Indian National Army that fought the British during World War II. Had
Bose survived the war (he was killed in a 1945 plane crash), India’s history
Page 4
4 / restraint and affluence
would have been very different. There were others who remained in the Con-
gress but expressed strong interest in strategic and military matters, most
exceptionally, K. M. Panikkar, the eminent diplomat-scholar, who wrote
an important treatise on India’s new security situation, especially regarding
China and the Indian Ocean.3
Despite the ideological preference, the new government did use force
repeatedly in the early years. The Indian Army put up a rearguard action to
defend Kashmir in 1948–49. The First Kashmir War remains one of India’s
most intense conflicts; the Indian Army won more Param Vir Chakra med-
als, the highest military honor in India, in that war than in any other conflict
since. Earlier the Indian Army had contributed units to the binational Pun-
jab Boundary Force deployed along the India-Pakistan border in the Punjab.
The campaign was unable to stop the ethnic carnage that accompanied par-
tition, and it went down in history as an early example of a catastrophically
failed peacekeeping force.
The army deployed at home on three other occasions. In 1948 Nehru
ordered the Indian Army to annex the princely states of Hyderabad and Jun-
agadh. In 1955 he asked the Indian Army to conduct a counterinsurgency
campaign against the rebel Naga tribesmen in Northeast India, a campaign
that has since haunted the region. In 1961 he pushed for the military libera-
tion of Goa from continued Portuguese colonization.
Civil-Military Relations
India’s nationalist leaders preserved much of the colonial state and its insti-
tutions, including the armed forces, police, and civilian bureaucracy. They
sought to maintain continuity despite imperfections and contradictions in
how the colonial institutions served a new democracy. With respect to the
armed forces, the new government allowed continuity within the institution
but brought strong political and, in time, bureaucratic supervision. The role
of the armed forces in the new nation was limited sharply, control over the
armed forces was lodged in the civilian cabinet, and after independence the
status of the army was reduced by making the uniformed heads of the navy
and air force “commanders in chief.” Then in 1955 all three positions of
commander in chief were abolished, and the chiefs assumed leadership of
their respective staffs.
Continuity in military institutions also meant that the Indian Army
remained caste- and ethnolinguistic-based in contradiction to the egalitar-
ian principles of the Indian Constitution. It also meant that the Indian offi-
cer corps preserved the tenets of British military professionalism, which,
especially since the interwar period, emphasized technology-driven doctrinal
Page 5
restraint and affluence / 5
innovation. The British inventions of tank warfare and air power revolution-
ized war. Similarly, India’s officer corps sought the best technology avail-
able, which in the early decades of independence meant importing from
the United Kingdom. In keeping with Western traditions, Indian military
officers prioritized security objectives and, unlike Pakistan, avoided involve-
ment in domestic politics.
A three-tiered structure from the colonial period continued to be used in
higher defense policymaking. The Cabinet Committee on Political Affairs
(CCPA) was the foremost national security authority. The CCPA comprised
all senior ministers of the prime minister’s cabinet and was responsible for
policymaking on a variety of subjects including foreign affairs and defense.
The next tier below the CCPA, the Defence Planning Committee (DPC)—
previously the Defence Minister Committee—consisted of the cabinet secre-
tary; the prime minister’s special secretary; the secretaries of finance, external
affairs, planning, defense, defense production, and defense research and devel-
opment; and the three service chiefs. The Chief of Staff Committee (CSC) was
the military component of the third tier. The other half was the Ministry of
Defence’s (MoD) Defence Coordination and Implementation Committee
(DCIC) chaired by the defence secretary. The DCIC coordinated defense pro-
duction, defense research and development, finances, and the requirements
of the services.4 A version of this arrangement continues to this day.
Despite production, release, and updating of official documents to facili-
tate the acquisition process (the Defence Procurement Manual and Defence
Procurement Procedure), the system continues to be plagued by fundamen-
tal structural problems. The Ministry of Finance, which has its own defense
wing, has the authority to intervene in specific spending decisions of the
Ministry of Defence, often with an eye toward limiting costs. One of the
key unresolved problems in the acquisition process, which is almost entirely
about importing weapons from advanced industrial societies (the West and
the Soviet Union), is an unrealistic and ambiguous policy of offsets (where
foreign companies, as part of their bids, commit to source a percentage of
the contract in India). However, any leader or bureaucrat advocating lower
offsets becomes vulnerable to charges of corruption. India simply lacks civil-
ian expertise in military matters. Few politicians are interested in defense
until forced by events. The bureaucracy that functions as the secretariat for
the political leaders comprises generalists with little practical knowledge
of military matters, but this group lobbies powerfully to preserve its posi-
tion against military encroachment. Even the Ministry of External Affairs,
with the greatest institutional capacity for international relations, has very
few people with sound knowledge of military matters. Although the armed
Page 6
6 / restraint and affluence
services are highly professional and have the necessary expertise, they remain
excluded from the high table.
A Fresh Start on Strategy
In military planning, the Indian government initially retained most of the
defense plan proposed by Field Marshall Sir Claude Auchinleck, the last Brit-
ish commander in chief of the Indian Army. The plan envisaged a regular
army of 200,000 backed by reserve and territorial forces, a twenty-squadron
air force, and a naval task force with two aircraft carriers. However, the new
strategic reality, the main threat coming overland from Pakistan, intruded
once the Kashmir War started, and the Indian government reduced its ambi-
tious plans for the air force and the navy.
To make a fresh start on military and defense affairs, Nehru hired British
scientist and Nobel Prize–winning physicist P. M. S. Blackett to advise him
on how the Indian state could leverage science for defense.5 Blackett had been
at the center of the Allied war effort. He was privy to Ultra codebreaking, the
development of nuclear weapons, and other major military technology pro-
grams. In 1946 the United States gave him the Medal of Honor for his service
during the war, and in 1948 he won the Nobel Prize for physics for his pre-
war work. Blackett’s 1948 report went beyond the role of science in military
affairs to address both India’s strategic position and its military spending.
It recommended that India limit its military ambitions and pursue a policy
of nonalignment with both superpowers to escape a potentially debilitating
arms race. He proposed that military spending should not exceed 2 percent
of Indian GDP. Blackett also argued against India’s acquisition of nuclear
and chemical weapons. Instead, he emphasized India’s need to develop an
industrial and technological base.
Blackett’s report resonated in the Indian government and especially with
Nehru, a secular modernist who believed entirely in the ability of science to
deliver not only economic progress but also social change. He called India’s
first large dam project, the Bhakra Nangal in Punjab, “a temple of moder-
nity.” The Indian government shifted spending priorities and pushed infra-
structure for technology development over military readiness. Nehru charged
a number of scientists to develop institutions to alter the defense landscape
in India. The Cambridge-educated physicist Homi Bhabha was the father
of India’s nuclear program, and a close friend of Nehru’s. Bhabha’s home
was one of the few places Nehru visited regularly. Daulat Singh Kothari, a
Blackett protégé, became the head of the Defence Science Organisation, the
precursor to the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO).
While Indian defense research gathered momentum, India did make some
procurement decisions. In the 1950s the Indian Air Force (IAF) ordered
Canberra bombers and transport aircraft. The Indian Army’s purchase of
jeeps precipitated India’s first major defense corruption scandal in 1955.
British debt, held by the Indian government from the colonial period, paid
for the purchases. India also struck its first nuclear deal, buying a nuclear
reactor from Canada.
On the conventional front, Indian capacity declined. Through the 1950s
defense budgets fell below what they had been under the British and were
less than those of other countries such as Pakistan and China as well as those
of the United States and the Soviet Union.6 At this time, the Indian Army
was clamoring for greater preparation against the Chinese, especially as the
Indian government had adopted a dangerous forward policy of setting up
small, unsupported positions in the disputed territory to serve as a tripwire
for a general war that New Delhi believed China did not want. Nehru worked
through close confidant V. K. Krishna Menon, the defense minister, to over-
rule military objections to the forward policy. Menon’s promotion of officers
who supported the forward policy led to India’s first civil-military crisis in
1958 when army chief General K. S. Thimayya resigned in protest. Nehru
persuaded him to stay, but was severely weakened thereafter. In contrast, B.
M. Kaul, one of Nehru’s and Menon’s handpicked generals, made a spec-
tacular rise to chief of general staff in New Delhi. His relentless push for
a forward policy against the better judgment of his colleagues in the army
brought the charge by Neville Maxwell, author of the definitive book on
India’s 1962 defeat, that he had led a putsch in the army headquarters.7
The forward policy angered the Chinese; they were further upset in 1959
when the Dalai Lama was granted asylum in India after the Chinese had
crushed the Tibetan uprising. In October 1962, after three years of Sino-
Indian confrontation, the better-prepared People’s Liberation Army routed
the Indian Army. China retained all of the disputed territory it claimed in the
northwest (including a sizable chunk of Kashmir); but more shockingly, it
invaded and occupied most of the North East Frontier Agency (NEFA—later
renamed Arunachal Pradesh). The Henderson Brooks Report, which was pre-
pared in the aftermath of the defeat and remains secret even today, reported
that Kaul’s general staff conducted the war from New Delhi, ordering thou-
sand-yard movements when local commanders reported their inability to
gain and hold ground.8 The official history of this war remains unpublished