Depression is setting in. Need to visit maikhana on the way home.SRoy wrote:Congis are already on record saying that all combinations are acceptable to them to keep Modi out.
So, NDA at 250 is a lost cause.
-M
Depression is setting in. Need to visit maikhana on the way home.SRoy wrote:Congis are already on record saying that all combinations are acceptable to them to keep Modi out.
So, NDA at 250 is a lost cause.
Sounds reasonable. Though would be tragedy of epic proportion. Desh ka durbhagyaSRoy wrote:Congis are already on record saying that all combinations are acceptable to them to keep Modi out.
So, NDA at 250 is a lost cause.
At 250 NDA its a Modi govt. Period!arminius wrote:Sounds reasonable. Though would be tragedy of epic proportion. Desh ka durbhagyaSRoy wrote:Congis are already on record saying that all combinations are acceptable to them to keep Modi out.
So, NDA at 250 is a lost cause.
From where will these jokers bring 20 each ?? More likely:ramana wrote:Muraliravi, Need to ask you only.
What will be teh numbers for all regional satraps:
Mamata, JJ, Nitish, Mullhayam, Lalu and Commies anyother Congress mukut?
I think not more than 20 each at first cut.
Why are you guys so confident about NCP? I saw muraliravi counting on their support somewhere too. And if they do support, I fully expect Uddhav Thackeray to walk out.Sanku wrote: Seriously 250 NDA is in govt in bag. I suspect it will be more. Anyway NCP etc will happily support.
Sir CSDS is its march tracker gave BJP 193-212 on its own (not NDA). So some slip in Bihar by 5 seats wont change their tally much.Sanjay wrote:muraliravi, may I ask something to see if I have this right - bosechem (with a decent record of his own) is saying despite the M+Y consolidation enabling the RJD+Cong combine to do quite well - that even now the NDA may be around 205-215 ?
And that even CSDS is still predicting around 195 NDA (or is that BJP) without Bihar/UP even after all the disasters mishaps, mispeaks, mistakes and missed opportunities ?
None of these things will likely be needed though. NDA has already got about 250 from Phases 1-7. The main question at this point is how much majority they will have based upon results of Phases 8 and 9.Vamsee wrote:Guys,
NDA at 250 means Modi will be PM. No question of any UPA-3. There will be around 10-15 "independents" who are available to any party. and either DMK or ADMK will take them above 272.
c'mon dude, u get real. 22 is a joke they can manage anyday, INLD, TRS, JMM, JVM, DMK, breaking smaller parties, options galore. In 6 months u will many MP's from these parties breaking away and merging with BJP. Even RJD can be broken.SRoy wrote:Those that are saying 250 means Modi govt.
And who'll bring in the other 22?
At the best it will be a ABV v2.0, even if Modi manages to stay put.
Get real.
Thats what I also think sir, except Mamata I doubt if anyone will cross 20.ramana wrote:Muraliravi, Need to ask you only.
What will be teh numbers for all regional satraps:
Mamata, JJ, Nitish, Mullhayam, Lalu and Commies anyother Congress mukut?
I think not more than 20 each at first cut.
i am no pollster sir, all my projections are basically just aggregate of information that i collect, just that i usually trust conservative pollsters with some track record.Vamsee wrote:muraliravi,
Can I ask you a question? Are your projections based on leaked exit poll info from CSDS? or is it your own?
You can ignore this question if you want to.
Regards,
V
They'll flip. The estimate in 2014 this time is 15 crore per seat. The problem is will the government be stable? My guess is no as there will be gulf and EJ monies to flip votes out. With NDA 250, the govt. will last 2-3 years.muraliravi wrote:c'mon dude, u get real. 22 is a joke they can manage anyday, INLD, TRS, JMM, JVM, DMK, breaking smaller parties, options galore. In 6 months u will many MP's from these parties breaking away and merging with BJP. Even RJD can be broken.SRoy wrote:Those that are saying 250 means Modi govt.
And who'll bring in the other 22?
At the best it will be a ABV v2.0, even if Modi manages to stay put.
Get real.
All combinations may be acceptable to Congress, Commies, Lalu, AAP and BSP but not to other regional satraps like BJD, AIDMK, TMC or even NCP who may prefer to be in a more stable NDA than sharing bed with their sworn enemies in bloated UPA.SRoy wrote:Congis are already on record saying that all combinations are acceptable to them to keep Modi out.
So, NDA at 250 is a lost cause.
Kuch nahi hoga, they will be forced to resign and merge into BJP and fight by-elections. After that they cant resign.Mort Walker wrote: They'll flip. The estimate in 2014 this time is 15 crore per seat. The problem is will the government be stable? My guess is no as there will be gulf and EJ monies to flip votes out. With NDA 250, the govt. will last 2-3 years.
I hope your are correct. I pray that after Phase 7 the NDA 240-250.muraliravi wrote:Kuch nahi hoga, they will be forced to resign and merge into BJP and fight by-elections. After that they cant resign.Mort Walker wrote: They'll flip. The estimate in 2014 this time is 15 crore per seat. The problem is will the government be stable? My guess is no as there will be gulf and EJ monies to flip votes out. With NDA 250, the govt. will last 2-3 years.
Exactly.Mort Walker wrote:They'll flip. The estimate in 2014 this time is 15 crore per seat. The problem is will the government be stable? My guess is no as there will be gulf and EJ monies to flip votes out. With NDA 250, the govt. will last 2-3 years.muraliravi wrote: c'mon dude, u get real. 22 is a joke they can manage anyday, INLD, TRS, JMM, JVM, DMK, breaking smaller parties, options galore. In 6 months u will many MP's from these parties breaking away and merging with BJP. Even RJD can be broken.
That was early to mid-1990s. Today 15 crore is probably the starting point!suryag wrote:Mortullah ji - 15 crore is nothing, Shibu Soren himself got close to 1cr to save PVNR govt
You can ensure that by posting more frequently on your dhaaga. Just noticed your new entry. Was saving it for later ( as in when I'm feeling drowsy at work. Looks like now is as good a time as any )Singha wrote:Dhoti shiver has reached sentient levels here. Take a break from brf folks.
come back refreshed on may7.
Ramana saar is right. Once on the kursi Modi will have access to all the dirt accumulated over a period of 20-30 years in RAW/IB/CBI/CVC/IT/ED/and many such small narrow and dark corners of the government machinery. And Modi being the kind of administrator that he is. No amount of money will be able to counter this kind of treasure trove!ramana wrote:MW,
dont forget IB and RAW will be under control of whoever is the PM. And Modi is no ABV with Low Purush backstabbing him all the time!
muraliravi thanks for the affirmation. So with each around 20 not much chance of any of them demanding to be PM the others will undercut.
So Congress plan is a non-starter.
+1Sanjay wrote:muraliravi, if I haven't said it before - thanks for everything you've done.
Low Purush aka Loh Purush aka LOL Purush aka LKAchaitanya wrote:Sorry, slightly OT, but what is Low Purush?