On the contrary, your own post states that this is exactly what he said - read the bold part below:Viv S wrote: That's not what he said. You're twisting his words here. The private sector is already involved in the Tejas production and will inevitably participate in any scaling up of the production. He was answering a very specific point on HAL's efforts to increase pvt sector participation (which the govt is promoting). He was NOT laying out any limitations on production.
The first 20 aircraft will be completed by 2018, by when we have to make a Mk 1A version of the aircraft. We are ramping up production to 16 aircraft a year. We have recently issued request for quotations to the private players to supply modules like fuselage parts and wings. If we can get this from the private sector, we can increase production to 25 aircraft a year. So, we are looking for capacity augmentation with these private players. We are looking at a concept in which HAL is an integrator that has some 20% (of total) work in the hangers. The remaining 80% of work can be off loaded to the industry. If a private company for example is setting up a shop for composites manufacturing, it will be assured for business for many years.
I don't see him equating higher production rate with higher order numbers. While he categorically states that capacity augmentation can happen only with private sector participation.
Has someone done some sort of analysis which says for X numbers ordered, Y production rate/ annum. And if it is 2X, production rate is 1.5 Y.
The above does not address my question.Doesn't require any elaborate analysis, simple arithmetic will suffice. Assuming the production is to cease at the same day, it remains a linear relationship. For a 2X order, production rate must be 2Y.
HAL has production capacity of 16 a/c per annum. And this is with 40 a/c order. The same production rate is to be carried over for Tejas Mk2 (with 80 a/c order) if the timeline for its induction are taken at face value.
So, why doesn't the 16 a/c per annum production become 25 per annum with 80 a/c order?
Secondly, I understand that Tejas Mk2 might cost X at 16 a/c per annum production which increases to x+delta if we wish to push it up to 25 a/c per annum. Has this been explored?