khan wrote:I am curious about something, people keep telling me that India is upgrading the ability to disproportionately punish Pakistan (beyond what is already happening) and it is a matter of a few years before this becomes noticeable - and hopefully changes Pakistani behavior.
I was wondering, what to watch out for. Are there any milestones for induction of equipment (or tactics), what new capabilities does it provide to punish Pakistan & what the impact on Pakistan this is expected to have.
You cannot absolutely change Pakistani Behaviour or strategic objectives, but there was a period 2003-05 where after Operation Parakram they were keeping a bit quite. Before the Government of the day messed it up.
Milestones are Planes, Artillery, missiles etc and even numbers of basic stuff, when you have lots of Anti material rifles, Motors, Swati radars, abundance of 155mm guns with Shells, Pinaka regiments, lots of sniper rifles and Pakis are getting hit more often and continuously they temporarily quiten down.
Even in Dec 2001 to June 2002 they suffered massive casualties along the LOC, they quietened down waiting for us to lower our guard. Keeping them off thier balance while working to increase our economic and miltary capability to decisively higher and outside parties think twice before helping them is the need of the hour.
Also small things like making Pakis abandon transports by weakening their railways, more Pakistanis doing Madrasa education and unable to understand/maths science to produce maintain equipment/guns all help, calculate accurate firing positions all help. It is this lack of education which hinders Arab Armed forces has helped the Israelis a lot.
But the attitude that a wall/ fence or Pakis will also us to be in peace is stupid, that is like Germans would have abandoned Nazism due to Maginot line.
There is no quick and easy solution for the Pakistani problem, but it clear most BIF forces concentrate over the Paki Punjabi elite and Army. Long term for Strategic safety we need Independent Baluchistan, Sharkargarh Bulge , Poonch Bulge, Neelum Vallyer, Gligit Baltistan, Thaprakar area of Sindh. We will still need to futher break the Pakis- while doing this we need continue to Develop Miltarily , have energy security, and Develop ourselves technologically/ Economically.
These things cannot be done in a day, in needs to continue over time without 2004-14 type handover of Government and resources to BIF processes.