Pratyush wrote:Chetak, as we have demonstrated with Pakistan. There is considerable space between a full scale nuclear war and a full spectrum localised conventional conflict like Kargil.
The only way to deter the PRC from doing a Kargil to us is to have the capacity to defeat the PRC in a localised conventional conflict all accross the LOAC.
Compared to the length of the LOAC Kargil was not even one sector.
What happens when the PRC decides to activate all of LOAC in a scaled up Kargil.
In such a conflict the IAF will still require the ability to deny operational space for the PLAF. Is our force structure going to be sufficient in 2045-50 timeframe?
Pratyush ji,
this scenario has already been gamed and it will involve malacca straits, Indian ocean region, and maybe the coco islands too, among many other things. The options are many depending which pieces the cheeni move first and in what direction.
I, for one, do not expect the ching chongs to be so foolish as to burn economic bridges, and wash out permanently from a huge and lucrative market just because some ching chong punk is feeling his/her/their/them oats
this is not like the amrikis fighting in eyeraq but this war will be in Indian and cheeni lands with both sides having the options to climb up the escalatory ladder
"what if" is a game that has been played to the death.
It will be our "what if" versus their "what if"
many satellites are watching, even small troop movements will trigger matching responses from India and comparable assets will be brought in play.
better than us, the cheenis are well aware that this is not 1962 and Modi is in chair with the full support of the nation behind him. The Indian forces are blooded, competent, professional, and highly motivated and that makes for one hell of a difference. Also, our economy is in reasonably good shape with food and resources rivalling the cheeni. India can squeeze the cheeni in the pincer of the malacca straits as well as in baluchistan.
At this time, the CPEC, oil pipelines, gwadar, et al are just so many meaningless alphabets and financially detrimental to the cheeni plans, even to complete urgently. A few missile strikes can shut down the karakhoram highway by collapsing the critical tunnels and other areas en route by triggering massive landslides.
just saying onlee.
Now, we neither have a woke, know nothing, weak kneed, and egoistic political "leadership", nor an incompetently led and deliberately ill equipped army (dimwitted neverwho and his equally moronic side kick, the execrable menon who were directly responsible for the sorry state of affairs) headed by dynastic buffoons directing the battle at the front while lying sprawled comfortably in a "hospital bed" in dilli
and at this point, Modi has vastly better global PR than xi or any other cheeni will ever have.
Also, India does not expect help from any country in terms of boots on the ground. We are, well and truly, on our own.
anything but an outright win for the cheeni will mean a severe loss of face, and a moral victory for India, and that outright win is an impossibility for xi and his henchmen to achieve, no matter how anyone slices it.
And even more than Modi, the cheeni fear the enemy property act. If they attack, ALL their assets in India are under grave risk of immediate take over with no recourse, whatsoever, to courts of law. Just like the pakis were denuded of all so called "evacuee property" which they tried so very hard, and for so many decades, to protect using the lootyens gangs, the aman ki tamasha nonsense, and presstitute media in India.
any dissidents in wartime will be jugged mercilessly, no matter if he/she/it/them/they grew up eating tagliatelle with ragu
the commies, of course, will simply go underground as is their traitorous wont.
expect shaheenbagh types to raise their heads and congregate in the streets, and the soreass + BIF gangs to push for riots in the name of "peace" asking for India to "withdraw" and comply with cheeni "wishes and territorial claims" or worse, "surrender, because that is the ghandyhian way".
Since the cheeni will be attacking, our red lines are of vital importance to triggering our tailored responses. The pakis know our red lines as we do theirs. Hence conflicts under the nuke threshold is possible.
With the cheenis, one is not quite so sure if they have read the new govt and it's resolve to engage quite as clearly as the pakis have.
They still seem to live in the comfort of those compliant years when the congis ran their rancid foreign policies to the diktat of the goras and the cheeni perfected their slice and dice salami tactics....
The cheeni are doggedly trying to push India far away from the water sources in tibet and safeguard them from Indian interdiction because the cheenis are diverting waters of the tibetan rivers to the cheeni hinterland.
Our forward airbase in Daulat Beg Oldie (DBO) is of very great bother to the cheeni.
That is why the congis completely avoided using it for fear of "upsetting" the cheenis until one air marshal Pranab Kumar Barbora anyway went ahead and quietly reactivated it "without" orders. Good for him. His political bosses of the time were gutless wonders.
Those were the days when the eyetalian mafia ruled the roost in the MEA and had their pliant "house negroes" running roughshod over the Indian forces. The lineage leading up to the eyetalian mafia ruled the MEA for tens of decades, pandering ceaselessly (and shamelessly) to cheeni whims and fancies.
No wonder the cheenis are demanding a similar walk over from the Modi govt as well.
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne ... s?from=mdr