Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]

[vijayk]

How is the Phase 1 voting percentage? How are the trends in TN?

[Tanaji]

I recall that EVMs would be pooled and votes cast would be tabulated for the pooled machines.

That was a proposal. There was a scheme to have a totalizer device which could get data from multiple EVMs and then give a consolidated figure. But there was a strong feeling that, during the totalization data could be manipulated (and there will not be much evidence left for trace back). So this does not happen now. The data from each polling station is available for each political party, and that is how certain governments do gerrymandering (shuffling constituencies based on polling patterns).

Are you sure about the granularity to each polling station? I think they aggregate at a particular block and then give the results per block

[chetak]

London Lectures: Tells India To Pull People Out Of Poverty

"The need for India to grow and pull people out of poverty is great," Foreign Secretary David Cameron said during his meddling into India's internal affairs at the britshit parliament on Wednesday (April 18).

India reduced extreme poverty from 12.2% in 2011 to just 2% in 2023, according to the Headcount Poverty Ratio. Meanwhile, absolute poverty in the UK stands at 18%, according to govt figures.

8% of UK citizens are suffering insecurity, and 11% are unable to heat their homes.

People in cold, unheated glass houses shouldn't throw stones?


WATCH VIDEO The video is 24 seconds long


cameron is a descendant of King William IV through one of the king's illegitimate children. So no need to call him any names because it looks like no one married in his side of the family after the royal bastid poked one of the chamber maids


It is however, a good time to raise the small matter of the 45$ trillions (the first installment) in reparations owed us

[Sachin]

Are you sure about the granularity to each polling station? I think they aggregate at a particular block and then give the results per block

EVMs sent to each polling booth is tracked. And there would be polling agents/party representatives at the counting centers as well. In the place where I stay now; we had a huge residential layout (made by state government) who kind of voted enmasse for one candidate. For the next Municipal elections, the layout was made part of three different wards (so that their votes would get split). The results may be given at block level, but counting can be tracked at polling booth level.

[Sachin]

Meanwhile even though exit polls on main stream media is banned, till the last stage of elections; social media warriors are already on the air declaring of massing I.N.D.I.A leads.

[vijayk]

[vimal]

London Lectures: Tells India To Pull People Out Of Poverty

It is however, a good time to raise the small matter of the 45$ trillions (the first installment) in reparations owed us

I’m always confused by this reparations number. It is 50 trillion dollars or GBP? I see people using both the number all the time.

[vijayk]

Anantha Narayan @ThisIsAnantha

We had accurately gauged that Coimbatore, Chennai South and Chennai Central will breach 2019 levels. As of 7 pm, Coimbatore clocked 71. 17% (we had predicted 72%). Last elections it was 63%. A massive jump of 8%. This is the Annamalai effect. Chennai South, the polling was 67.82%. In 2019, it was 57%. A jump of 10%. Can only be attributed to Tamilisai. In Chennai Central, it is 67.35%. In 2019, it was 58.98%. An 8% jump attributable to Vinoj K Selvam. So we rest our case on a positive swing for BJP.

Dilbuji - Please post your Jinx here urgently

[fanne]

Guys some of us have disconnected from Twitter etc. please post the usual suspects musings here.

[A_Gupta]

Turn out in Lakshadweep is lower than usual, but the BJP is not even contesting there.

[Sicanta]

1 lakh voters name missing in Coimbatore, Annamalai and DMK trade charges

https://www.timesnownews.com/elections/ ... -109439446

Meanwhile, voting % tally at 9 pm

https://twitter.com/sanjoychakra/status ... bmS2Q&s=19

2. In 40 seats that BJP won in 2019 , voting % is down by 9%

3. In seats where Congress won 2019, voting % is down by 10%

.

[Sicanta]

Voting % reported for Chennai and Coimbatore may have been too optimistic

https://twitter.com/AgentSaffron/status ... h0i6g&s=19

[A_Gupta]

Tamil Nadu’s Coimbatore constituency, which went to polls during the first phase of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections on April 19, registered its highest voter turnout since the past two decades.

According to Election Commission data available at 7 pm, the Lok Sabha constituency saw polling turnout at 71.7 percent, as against 63.84 percent in 2019. In 2009, Coimbatore had reached a similar figure at 70.81 percent, with the least in the past 20 years being recorded in 2004 at 55.51 percent. 10 years ago, in 2014, the figure stood at 68.40 percent.

https://www.moneycontrol.com/elections/ ... 78461.html

[A_Gupta]

Social media and regular media are full of contradictory data.
I guess trust it if and only if you can get it from the Electoral Commission of India website, and make sure you haven't reached a spoofed site!

[Tanaji]

So should we be dhoti shivering or not?

[Vayutuvan]

I’m always confused by this reparations number. It is 50 trillion dollars or GBP? I see people using both the number all the time.

Does it really matter?

[fanne]

Who will account for 130 million Indians killed? Can Money compensate for that? The regime that took part of it continues even today. The regime in Germany at least changed!!

[A_Gupta]

Dhoti-shiver.

The "चार सौ पार" seems to have created a complacency, which will turn sure wins into nail-biters.

[Amber G.]

As the Indian Elections goes on there is tanother key election in the region, the Maldives Parliament Election will be keenly watched as Muizzu faces a litmus test over policies--- Maldives' Parliament elections on Sunday, 21st as lawmakers are elected for 93 member strong People's Majlis. Opposition MDP currently holds 41 seats. Elections are a test for Prez Muizzu & his policies. If his party fails to secure good numbers interesting times ahead...

[Amber G.]

Meanwhile, here (If you are reading NY Times and other such trash...)
They ARE scared of Snarling Hyper- muscular Hindu Beast..! Really!

[KL Dubey]

Looks like 60 to 65 seats to NDA in phayze 1. A 20-25 seat improvement over 2019.

[fanne]

views on TN?

[nachiket]

However the not so good news for the BJP is regarding the expected heat waves during election season. He cited some analysis which predicts that on some election days the temperature in many seats could be over 40 degrees which would translate into a lower turnout.

How is this any different from 2014 and 2019 elections ? A major reason for BJP success in 2014 and 2019 was indeed the ground level organization that worked to get the voters out to the booth. Modi and Shah have always been closely connected with the organization during the LS elections, and from the number of publicized meetings this year, it is no different. Modi has been exhorting BJP workers to get the voters out in every meeting. Even from 2014 I remember Modi's slogan in every rally "pehle matdaaan phir jalpaan" (basically asking voters to get it done first thing in the morning). 2004 is ancient history. BJP of today is not anywhere similar to what it was then - and the opposition is currently a shadow of what it was in 2004.

It is difficult to generate same level of enthusiasm and energy amongst both cadre and voters when you are the two time incumbent and every poll seems to be suggesting a cakewalk for your party. This might be further adversely affected due to the heat. We are already seeing reports of lower voting percentage in some areas like RJ, MH and Bihar. Of course merely a lower voting percentage tells us nothing. If the decline is amongst all voters regardless of party it won't matter much. Let's hope that is the case.

Dhoti-shiver.

The "चार सौ पार" seems to have created a complacency, which will turn sure wins into nail-biters.

The "400 paar" slogan was specifically to reduce complacency. If the cadre thinks the election is already won it can backfire spectacularly. On the other hand, if you give them an extremely difficult target you might get them roused enough to work harder. Theoretically at least.

[KL Dubey]

The phayze 1 voting patterns and ground reports/result hints are discussed threadbare in Jay-pour Dialogues by padre Shawn Jay Dixie, pandit Omkar, and mullah Aab-e-sheikh al Tiwwari. Other commentators have broadly similar interpretations. Watching these on Jootube will be useful, and remove the need for random thoughts and anxiety.

Most importantly - Prayze be to Lawd Ram (the true king of all men)...and a belated happy bday to Ram Lalla who is enjoying his new crib.

True to da cyclical time theory of the Indians, Judgement Day comes every five (numba 5) years and not just once. Be sure to be on the side of dharma every tyme, all da tyme.

Gawbless you all, and gawbless the great land of Bharat.

Oh, and on to Phayze 2.

[bala]

There is a concerted effort to show Buddhism as different from Sanatan Dharma. Firstly they removed the original Gautama Buddha from Bihar who existed around 1800 BC and replaced him with another Buddha from Nepal. Read this https://www.stephen-knapp.com/were_ther ... uddhas.htm WikiLiePeddlar tells the rest of the world of this fake stuff and furthermore the newly created Buddha died around 950 BC. Nations like Myanmar have detailed records going back to 1800 BC but they ignore those and keep shoving China and other nations into the picture. Of course this hoax of Ashoka is another canard perpetuated by the BritShits.

The original 4 headed lion emblem dates much back and it originally represented the Yazhi lion with piercing teeth and ferocious roar. The idea was that they protected the kingdom in all four directions. The Kangress and Britshits removed the original Yazhi lion and made it docile looking and for good measure they slapped Buddhism into the picture to show the rest how peaceful Buddhists are compared to the ferocious Hindu. What bullcrap created by Neverwho, the Deep State (they were behind the BritshitRaj) and other global fakers.

[nachiket]

TN voting turnout revised downwards to 69% from 72% being reported yesterday somehow. Chennai is the biggest culprit - South and Central Chennai only recorded 54% and 53% respectively. Coimbatore (Annamalai's seat) which was being mentioned at >70% yesterday is now only at 64%. Some of the earlier higher estimates had been mentioned by the TN Elections CEO himself on TV. AT 7pm yesterday even AIR had reported Coimbatore at 71% and Chennai South at 67%. I don't understand what happened here.



Link: https://twitter.com/ANI/status/1781498676990668966

[hanumadu]

She should be the Telangana BJP president at some point of time. She is a natural and seems to do her homework.

[Vayutuvan]

The phayze 1 voting patterns and ground reports/result hints are discussed threadbare in Jay-pour Dialogues by padre Shawn Jay Dixie, pandit Omkar, and mullah Aab-e-sheikh al Tiwwari. Other commentators have broadly similar interpretations. Watching these on Jootube will be useful, and remove the need for random thoughts and anxiety.

Most importantly - Prayze be to Lawd Ram (the true king of all men)...and a belated happy bday to Ram Lalla who is enjoying his new crib.

True to da cyclical time theory of the Indians, Judgement Day comes every five (numba 5) years and not just once. Be sure to be on the side of dharma every tyme, all da tyme.

Gawbless you all, and gawbless the great land of Bharat.

Oh, and on to Phayze 2.

Very nice and very funny. Pranaam. That said, I Istill lyke juaar “pakraine” terminological egjactitude wonlee.

[Vayutuvan]

She should be the Telangana BJP president at some point of time. She is a natural and seems to do her homework.

[youtube…]NRh7QCZ129c[/youtube]

[youtube]…9OfLdRpL3Ck[/youtube]

@hanumadu gaaru,

She overreached with her drama of shooting an arrow at the mosque. She ate crow and apologized. aDusu tokkanEla? kaalu kaDuganEla?

[chetak]

She should be the Telangana BJP president at some point of time. She is a natural and seems to do her homework.

[youtube…]NRh7QCZ129c[/youtube]

[youtube]…9OfLdRpL3Ck[/youtube]

@hanumadu gaaru,

She overreached with her drama of shooting an arrow at the mosque. She ate crow and apologized. aDusu tokkanEla? kaalu kaDuganEla?

Vayutuvan ji,


They have specifically selected the shot of her "aiming an arrow at the mosque".


She did not eat crow

She released the full video explaining the facts

She is too experienced a politico to get caught like that. Those amateur tricks are reserved for the dimwit dynasts and other such liars claiming to be "misquoted"

All this happened on Ram Navami day, so the Bow and Arrow symbiology and gestures are more than justified.

beardo can go hop, especially since no mosque was ever mentioned by Madhavi Latha and also she has abrahamic voters in the old city who support her.

The guy who doctored the video and released it is a congi stooge and scum named mohammed zubair, alleged "fact checker", the same jihadi who purposely and criminally did the damage to nupur sharma, calling for her beheading

Madhavi Latha got the EC to remove +5lakhs of "non existent voters" from the voters list before the elections. This was done by combing through the existing voter's lists and weeding out the dead, fake and beedi/rohingiya scum with "locally issued papers"

The beardo "barrister" is gobsmacked as he benefitted the maximum from these "non existent voters".


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0G-RPay1VU



Asauddin Owaisi on Madhavi Latha: माधवी लता के तीर पर असदुद्दीन ओवैसी का पलटवार! |Lok Sabha Election






Ever since Ram Navami and Ram Dhanush were mentioned by Madhvi Latha, the beardo barrister has since backtracked rather hastily and is now on the back foot



Asauddin Owaisi on Madhavi Latha: हैदराबाद से बीजेपी प्रत्याशी माधवी लता के तीर वाले इशारे पर असदुद्दीन ओवैसी ने पलटवार किया है. ओवैसी ने कहा कि, वो तीर के इशारे का जवाब मोहब्बत से देंगे. बता दें कि, राम नवमी पर माधवी लता का एक वीडियो वायरल हुआ था. देखें, उसी पर ये स्पेशल रिपोर्ट.

Asauddin Owaisi on Madhavi Latha: Asaduddin Owaisi has hit back at the arrow gesture of BJP candidate Madhavi Lata from Hyderabad. Owaisi said that he will answer the arrow's gesture with love. Let us tell you that on Ram Navami, a video of Madhavi Lata had gone viral.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_iEiIuzZhDc


Madhavi Latha के तीर वाले वीडियो पर ओवैसी का पलटवार, कहा- शांति खत्म करने की कोशिश | Hyderabad

[OmkarC]

@hanumadu gaaru,

She overreached with her drama of shooting an arrow at the mosque. She ate crow and apologized. aDusu tokkanEla? kaalu kaDuganEla?

Vayutuvan ji,


They have specifically selected the shot of her "aiming an arrow at the mosque".


She did not eat crow

She released the full video explaining the facts

She is too experienced a politico to get caught like that. Those amateur tricks are reserved for the dimwit dynasts and other such liars claiming to be "misquoted"

The guy who doctored the video and released it is a congi stooge and scum named mohammed zubair, alleged "fact checker", the same jihadi who purposely and criminally did the damage to nupur sharma, calling for her beheading

Madhavi Latha got the EC to remove +5lakhs of "non existent voters" from the voters list before the elections. This was done by combing through the existing voter's lists and weeding out the dead, fake and beedi/rohingiya scum with "locally issued papers"

The beardo "barrister" is gobsmacked as he benefitted the maximum from these "non existent voters".

Ever since Ram Navami and Ram Dhanush were mentioned by Madhvi Latha, the beardo barrister has since backtracked rather hastily and is now on the back foot

+1 Chetak ji.

She is a bit eccentric, loud, over emotional and hyper reactive. But that's exactly what's needed in that part of the world. You can find dime a dozen street fighters in Hyderabad BJP, but they are not literate enough or know that society as well as Madhavi Lathaji does. Perhaps she knows old city even better than Owaisis or muslim elites.

Her candidature and aggressive campaigning style has already yielded good dividends :
- Owaisi has been forced to stop campaigning across India and focus on saving his own seat
- MIM & Congress alliance is now out in the open. No more BJP b-team or covert alliance rubbish.
- Deleting those 1/2 million bogus votes on whose strength, Owaisi keeps winning.
- Going to places where no candidate - either BJP or MIM or any political party had ever visited, just because they were so dirty & disgusting. MIM's 40-year track record is now out in the open.

Owaisi is being brutally exposed all over the nation as a feudal, elitist exploiter of his own community - especially women & poor.

[Supratik]

Terrible voting percentage in Hindi belt and MH in Round 1. Complacency. Maybe the cadres are over confident.

[Sachin]

Terrible voting percentage in Hindi belt and MH in Round 1. Complacency. Maybe the cadres are over confident.

Is this about Phase 1 polls? From what I read the Phase 1 polls were in regions where BJP/NDA was generally not strong. And today (20/04/2024) there were no Lok Sabha elections any where. So which constituencies in MH and Hindi belt are we discussing about?

[Supratik]

Phase 1 only. Primarily BH, UP, RJ, MP and MH. Although pro-BJP channels are confident of victory, IMO a large drop in voting percentage makes it uncertain as accurate prediction becomes difficult. I will call this 5 states in phase 1 as uncertain. We will have a better idea when exit polls come out.

[suryag]

Bhayankar dhoti shivering happening to me right now after seeing voting %ages, reminds me of 2004, am sure Bhajpa team would have analysed the votes and they would know if oppn sat out or NDA supporters sat out but still fat tho rahi hai. We will requisition our Dilbu services on Jun4

[A_Gupta]

Dilbu-services while phases 2-7 are still there would be good.

[Sumeet]

One thing I don't understand is why push elections into core Summer heat of the month of June and later half of May. By mid may everything should be done and core voting should not extend beyond first week of May except in cooler parts of India.

[KL Dubey]

Apart from other commentators, here is Pradeep Singh's excellent analysis of Phayze 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__dhAXIBTcc

There is not a whole lot to be inferred from "low voter turnout". Apart from a few seats in BH, most of these areas are already very strong for NDA. 1 lakh+ margins can be reduced by 3-4% less turnout but the result won't change.

E.g., In western UP the 2019 distribution was 3-3-2 for BJP/SP/BSP. This time the alignments are towards a 6-2 NDA/Dotdot at minimum, and quite possibly 8-0.

Net finding is that NDA will likely gain 20-25 seats over last time. People are clutching at straws to find some reason to worry.

Personally I think NDA will cross 400, and BJP will get about 330-340 seats.

[KL Dubey]

Phase 1 only. Primarily BH, UP, RJ, MP and MH. Although pro-BJP channels are confident of victory, IMO a large drop in voting percentage makes it uncertain as accurate prediction becomes difficult. I will call this 5 states in phase 1 as uncertain. We will have a better idea when exit polls come out.

There are no "accurate predictions" of any kind possible between now and June 1 - nothing to do with voter turnout. Exit poll results are banned and this time there are no people like Dr. BB doing model-based predictions. We do have a few commentators with ears close to the ground that can give some idea.

Final Phase 1 turnouts are 68.8% (2014), 69.6% (2019), and 68.3% (2024). I don't really see a significant change.

[Sumeet]

Final Phase 1 turnouts are 68.8% (2014), 69.6% (2019), and 68.3% (2024). I don't really see a significant change.

What about if we break it down statewise and compare between 2019 and 2024 ? Is it still similar ?