vinod wrote:
Can you please give an example of a person who might resort to any violence... of course, other than the guys with the black money.
shyamal wrote:
Most small businesses of non-essential goods(corner stationary shop, sweet shop, tiny garment shops, flower stalls, fruit stall, roadside eateries) are seeing 70 to 80% drop in sales. They are weathering through as they assumed that this will be a 2 week pain and around 24th Nov everything will be back to normal. How long do you thing they can sustain? Another week - if the stall owner does not earn anything then he cannot pay his employee any wage. They do not have any cushion left. After that either they starve or they loot.
i stay in outskirts of NCR and what i have seen:
- shop owners with current account are still accepting 500/1000 rs notes as they are confident they can get the money changed with back dated receipts. In fact lots of small shop owners in first 3-4 days made what they were making in 1-2 months or more. Now i have seen a decline in this practice.
- plus they all have 2-3 guys employed with them, now most of them are standing in line to get 4000k changed till today. (and they were just shifting line in banks.)
- I went to bank (kotak small branch with 3 rooms)on 10th and the waiting was not more than 3hr for conversion and i saw a different line for account holders in that bank, so withdrawal and deposit took me 20 min max both in same time. I took out 10000 with check and deposited 8000 i had taked out on 7th through ATM. .
Those selling essential commodities like vegetables, groceries are basically giving credit to their customers. They too have assumed the liquidity crunch to be for 2 weeks.
- sorry i have seen a different picture:
--- yes credit is given only to known customers.
- If you go with currency other than 500/1000 one can buy and get change. Only thing is if some uses 500/1000 note they are saying no change available, but if you give 2000 Rs note and buy 250Rs or 300Rs worth you get change. Since 500/1000Rs note in not a legal tender they and cannot accept it and cant giving change for it but accepting it without change
.
They cannot sustain any longer. And no - in lower income areas the shops are not going to convert to credit cards as none of their customers have credit card. My driver and security guard is never going to qualify for one. What happens when those groceries down their shutter next wednesday?
- My maid (cook) has a bank account but not card but i haven't seen her crib till yet. She has a JDY account. Till today she only stood in line once 2 hr to convert.
- most of the daily wage workers are actually earning more now. My neighbor is from business family (shops) they have employed daily wagers @ 300Rs per 4000/4500 rs conversion till today and they were barging about it.
- I have seen many small shops using ezswype (no need of a card) 1 ppl beauty parlor, pvt doctor, small grossry etc. and see a really surge i was surprised, as i paid for my SHQ's beauty parlor.
- My other maid is a Bangladeshi, she gave me back monthly salary i gave her on 9th in 500Rs. I told her gove me 15-20 days to give it back she took back the half salary and is ok to Waite till 30 dec.
Don't you think looting is a real possibility?
Riots have not started till now because politicians do not have the ready cash right now to start one. After next week you will not need a politician to start one.
- I only see 3 states where there is a possibility of riot.
-- Bengal
-- Delhi
-- Kerela
and Presidents rule is the right tool to use if these state govts cant cooperate[/quote]
I am wholeheartedly in favor of this move. I am completely in support for restricting cash transactions above Rs 5000. I just think it will be completely counter-productive to restrict low-denomination liquidity. The whole scheme will lose public support very fast if people have to suffer longer. Even the staunchest supporters are growing tired.
there is NO restriction on using low-denomination liquidity if you transact in same means. Buy of 20 rs pay 100rs you get change. Buy of 200rs and pay by 2000rs get change.
[/quote]
BTW - I have not suffered at all as I can do almost everything by credit cards. But over the last 1 week I have purchased almost exclusively from the supermarket and not patronized the local small shops that I usually spend money in.
i am in sales so i travel and am also a smoker so i need to smoke and buy it from nukkad/pan-tapri
- i am able to do it without more that 5% change in my behavior.
- I have not used my CC any more than regular normal use.