See Mediazona. This is an Anti Russia NGO working with the BBC to calculate actual Russian losses, which I have used in my blog, as the basis forYashG wrote: ↑20 May 2024 22:20 If both Russia and Ukn lose 1K soldiers a day - Ukn will run out of soldiers first. That explains why russia is fighting, they can win.
Why Ukn is fighting ?
Also much before they run out - depletion of force will lead to a total collapse. I dont know when that may happen. rn Ukns are defending well. They are losing but slowly - slow enough that at this rate Russia will take years to reach Kiev. ofcourse collapse is first slow, then sudden. I dont know when that will happen.
Russian losses. It also matches calculations of Opening strength + recruitment - losses - demobilized = current strength of Russian forces.
April losses are negligible (lower than Jan-Mar) though Russia is on the offensive.
https://en.zona.media/article/2022/05/11/casualties_eng
Ukrainian irrecoverable losses are consistently above 1000/day (1800 in the past week).