Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

[sanman]

General GD Bakshi says West/CIA have committed serious blunder by attacking Moscow

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WkJkRCq_Clo

I think NeoCons just don't understand Aurangzeb principle

[drnayar]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ym5d6b_lxVQ

5 billion to achieve regime change in a "friendly' country: Ukraine., the maidan "revolution"

Destroying Africa's most prosperous country: Libya

Doings of the "witch" of international politics: Victoria Nuland

The F word for describing the Europeans.

“No single person has done more damage to Ukraine, than Victoria Nuland". - Jeffrey Sachs

[drnayar]

[Haresh]

The French are getting excited for a face plant. This guy's analysis is right on:

The French and other Western countries are totally irrational.
France has a huge and restive Peaceful community, including 75,000 - 100,000 chechens who they thought it was a great idea to invite over and give asylum to, in order to spite Russia.
Does it not occur to them that Russia via it's chechen contacts could incite and arm to carry out attacks in France ?
Same with all the western nations. they are asking for trouble.
The intelligent thing to do is to negotiate. End the war.

[Deans]

WHAT IS KNOWN

- the shooters, originally from Tajikistan, fell under religious indoctrination online related to the Islamic State of the Khorasan Province
- the indoctrination groups were supervised by a Tajikistani citizen called Salmon Khurosoni, he was the one who made the initial recruitment
- Khurosani is said to be an intermediate link between the Islamic State of the Khorasan Province and the CIA
- Islamic State organisers do not promise financial rewards, but for some reason one was approved with the help of Khorasani
- tasks and instructions were prepared by an intermediary in Turkey (presumably a career employee of a foreign intelligence agency) and sent to Salmon Khurosoni
- Ukraine, where the shooters were heading to, was not the last link of the withdrawal plan. Another unidentified foreign intelligence agent, located in Ukraine, was supposed to transport them directly to Turkey, and then to Afghanistan
- that’s where the intermediary “ideological” organiser Salmon Khurosoni is located

https://x.com/narrative_hole/status/177 ... 00075?s=20

Some points that may clarify this further:

At the start of the Ukraine war, Ukraine through its embassies abroad, started recruiting Islamists (mostly Chechens, but also ISIS) to a Sheik Mansour brigade. Possibly, some were trained for Crocus type operations. This is the Pak model, where the smart jihadis do 26/11, the others are sent across the LOC.

Turkey was aware of the recruitment. Ergodan, playing both sides as usual, turned a blind eye, but asked that Turkish citizens not be
recruited, but he was Ok with Kurds, so he could blame any terrorist act in Russia on Kurds, and crack down on them in Turkey

There are 2 ISIS. ISIS K is active in Tadjikstan but not known to be anti Russia. The other ISIS (which claimed responsibility) is anti Russia and a Turkish/Syria presence. is not known to have many Tadjiks, or an active Tadjik presence.

[Prem Kumar]

Well, the most likely culprit is ISIL (Islamic State in Langley).

The Russians know this. Most watchers know this, because the US betrayed its hand via the Nordstream sabotage, which they try to weasel out of by way of flimsy denials. And by perpetrating this horror, the CIA & State Department have crossed a Rubicon. Its now open season for Russia sponsored jihadi attacks on American soil

Russia can bide its time. Retaliation might be served cold

Americans are displaying Paki level strategic brilliance

[drnayar]

All Russia needs to do is to incentivize the x large, peaceful communities in Western countries. It's now open season !

[IndraD]

A month ago (to the day!) at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Victoria "F the EU" Nuland promised they laid to Ukraine would allow the to "accelerate the asymmetric warfare that has been most effective" and that Putin is "sure to face some nasty surprises."

Nuland left her post as the Deputy Secretary of State 10 days prior to this video. Moscow civilians were killed today in an act of terrorism (asymmetrical warfare). https://x.com/DD_Geopolitics/status/177 ... 48358?s=20

Ukraine increases missile strike on Black sea fleet, also using ATACMS missile from US https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/ ... ied-crimea

[hgupta]

This goes to show that the Russians need to step up their game in countering the electronic warfare capabilities of NATO and how it feeds Ukraine with real time intelligence. Russians may have no choice but to take out those intel gathering platforms calling them unlawful combatants.

[IndraD]

Germany earmarks extra €300 million to arm Ukraine – Bloomberg
Berlin has joined a Czech-led initiative to buy 800,000 artillery rounds for Kiev

Germany has pledged to donate another €300 million ($326 million) as part of a Czech-led initiative to purchase artillery rounds for Ukraine, Bloomberg has reported, citing anonymous sources familiar with the decision. Czech President Petr Pavel unveiled the scheme at the Munich Security Conference in mid-February, setting the target at 800,000 shells.

In recent weeks, Ukrainian officials have increasingly been sounding the alarm over the country’s dwindling ammunition stockpiles due to which Kiev’s troops have been badly outgunned on the front line.

The shortages have intensified amid a months-long deadlock in the US Congress where the Republicans have been refusing to give the green light to President Joe Biden’s foreign aid package that envisages $60 billion for Kiev. Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky has also accused the EU of failing to deliver on a pledge to deliver a million shells by March.

On Thursday, Bloomberg said that Germany’s contribution to the initiative would cover the purchase of approximately 180,000 shells – the same estimate as the one given on Tuesday by the country’s defense minister, Boris Pistorius.

EU approves more money for Ukraine aid fundREAD MORE: EU approves more money for Ukraine aid fund
Berlin’s participation in the initiative was confirmed earlier this month by German government spokesperson Steffen Hebestreit.

A separate defense aid package for Ukraine unveiled by Pistorius on Tuesday is worth €500 million ($543 million), and includes 10,000 artillery shells from Bundeswehr (German military) stocks, as well as 100 infantry vehicles and 100 unarmored vehicles.

Germany is Ukraine’s second-largest Western backer, second only to the US. To date, Berlin has donated €17.7 billion in military aid for Kiev, according to estimates by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

As for the push to purchase artillery shells spearheaded by Prague, 18 nations have so far committed to it, including Canada, the Netherlands, France, Denmark and Belgium.

https://www.rt.com/news/594692-bloomber ... s-ukraine/

[Cyrano]

Only ex Soviet bloc country has some production capacity... So much for NATO!

[IndraD]

Putin asked to report on how the search activities are going to find the terrorists who staged the terrorist attack in Crocus and their customers.

Putin: We know that the terrorist attack in Crocus was carried out by radical Islamists. The United States, through various channels, is trying to convince everyone that there is allegedly no Kiev trace in the bloody terrorist attack in Crocus, that it is banned by ISIS, Putin added.

We know whose hands carried out the terrorist attack in Crocus, the customer is interested. We need to get answers to a number of questions about whether radical Islamists really decided to strike at Russia.

It is absolutely clear that the terrible crime in Crocus is an act of intimidation, and the question arises who benefits from it.

Putin said that the Russian armed forces were holding the initiative along the entire line of contact, and the Ukrainian "counteroffensive" had failed.

Putin called the terrorist attack in Crocus a link in a series of attempts by those who have been fighting Russia since 2014 at the hands of the neo-Nazi Kiev regime. The purpose of the bloody terrorist attack on March 22 is to sow panic in Russian society, Putin said.

Putin said that it was necessary to answer the question of why the terrorists tried to leave for Ukraine after committing the crime in Crocus, and who was waiting for them there.

The investigation established a complete chronology of the events that took place in Crocus, Bastrykin said.

https://t.me/vicktop55/23128

[Cain Marko]

My guess is that NATO is goading Russia to use tacnukes after which, they will take out Russian nuke facilities. This entire game while seemingly irrational has a very clear purpose.

[sanman]

My guess is that NATO is goading Russia to use tacnukes after which, they will take out Russian nuke facilities. This entire game while seemingly irrational has a very clear purpose.

I think these NeoCons are behind this terror attack in Moscow, as a desperate gambit to provoke/goad Putin into a major military escalation, which NeoCons can then use to reciprocally escalate against. The NeoCons are desperate to avoid losing power in Washington, and feel that a war escalation can somehow hang onto power.

[sanman]

CNN reports on how Russian forces are improvising uses for Starlink on front lines

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7rxCb5SrH9o

[sanman]

Russian glide-bombs are a very cost-effective alternative to cruise missiles, giving it a major advantage

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRG1GAmYtI0

[IndraD]

there is hardly any report from ground fighting from Ukr side, all you hear is of missile attack on Black sea fleet so change in tactics clearly https://news.sky.com/story/ukrainian-mi ... l-13101173

Ukraine pleads for air defence aid after Russia launches more missile strikes on Kyiv , Ru is now striking HQs of MI, SBU etc which were apparently off radar before https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/ ... rikes-kyiv

[srai]

^^^
Regarding Ukrainian attacks on the Russian Black Sea Fleet


Russia is losing the battle for the Black Sea

Ukraine wants to keep trade flowing and destroy Russia’s fleet

Jan 28th 2024
…

With 6.3m tonnes of goods exported in December, the Odessa region’s three ports—Odessa itself, Chornomorsk and Pivdenny—are now almost back to pre-war volumes.

…

…The third phase, completed over 2023, saw Ukraine push Russian warships entirely from the north-western, central and even south-western parts of the Black Sea.

This final part of the jigsaw was predicated on Ukraine’s maritime forces developing an arsenal of missiles and drones to hunt and sink Russian warships. Ukraine says it has destroyed at least 22 of the 80 working combat vessels of Russia’s Black Sea fleet, and damaged another 13. Now not even the eastern coast of Crimea is considered safe for Russia’s ships; its best ones shelter in Novorossiysk, 600km away, on the other side of the Black Sea. “It’s a matter of time before we destroy the Black Sea Fleet in its entirety,” says Dmytro Pletenchuk, the Ukrainian navy’s spokesman.

…

The return to action of Odessa’s deep-sea ports is a timely boost to Ukraine’s battered economy. Oleksiy Sobolev, Ukraine’s deputy economy minister, says the unblocking of the sea is forecast to add at least $3.3bn to exports this year, adding 1.2 percentage points to GDP growth.
…

[Lisa]

The war against the Russian Black Sea fleet goes so well that they are now digging trenches around Odessa! Wow, what a wonderful description of success. Many happy returns to them.

[drnayar]

The war against the Russian Black Sea fleet goes so well that they are now digging trenches around Odessa! Wow, what a wonderful description of success. Many happy returns to them.

Russia can switch to sea denial instead of controlling it.. all of Ukr shipments will be game

[IndraD]

Russia's FSB chief says U.S., Britain, Ukraine behind Moscow attack - TASS https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ru ... 024-03-26/

[IndraD]

[YashG]

^^^
Regarding Ukrainian attacks on the Russian Black Sea Fleet


Russia is losing the battle for the Black Sea

Ukraine wants to keep trade flowing and destroy Russia’s fleet

Jan 28th 2024
…

With 6.3m tonnes of goods exported in December, the Odessa region’s three ports—Odessa itself, Chornomorsk and Pivdenny—are now almost back to pre-war volumes.

…

…The third phase, completed over 2023, saw Ukraine push Russian warships entirely from the north-western, central and even south-western parts of the Black Sea.

This final part of the jigsaw was predicated on Ukraine’s maritime forces developing an arsenal of missiles and drones to hunt and sink Russian warships. Ukraine says it has destroyed at least 22 of the 80 working combat vessels of Russia’s Black Sea fleet, and damaged another 13. Now not even the eastern coast of Crimea is considered safe for Russia’s ships; its best ones shelter in Novorossiysk, 600km away, on the other side of the Black Sea. “It’s a matter of time before we destroy the Black Sea Fleet in its entirety,” says Dmytro Pletenchuk, the Ukrainian navy’s spokesman.

…

The return to action of Odessa’s deep-sea ports is a timely boost to Ukraine’s battered economy. Oleksiy Sobolev, Ukraine’s deputy economy minister, says the unblocking of the sea is forecast to add at least $3.3bn to exports this year, adding 1.2 percentage points to GDP growth.
…

If russia wanted, what is stopping it to sink cargo vessels with its own seadrone travelling along the shown coastal route ?

Will it contravene some treaty or russia just cant ?

[A Deshmukh]

sinking food grain export ships will not be good optics for Rus.
western profiteers will jack up prices and blame Rus.

[drnayar]

So far Russia has avoided striking Kiev and western areas in the same tempo as the frontlines. it could up the ante now

[srai]

^^^

It maybe because Russia has exhausted its stockpiles of long-ranged cruise missiles, hypersonic missiles and other LR munitions over the 2-years of war.

Long-pauses between massed strikes could be an indication of how long it takes Russia to produce those LR munitions in enough quantities.

Russian aircraft with glide-bombs and other short ranged munitions cannot reach beyond Ukrainian frontlines. The Ukrainian air defense coverage is too good.

[sanman]

Apparently, Moscow gunmen arrived at venue at 6:54pm and waited, then entered venue at 7:58pm commencing their attack, then left at 8:11pm to flee. So entire attack was barely 15 minutes long. All that carnage was carried out in a very short period of time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IguTZrTanzc

I'm pretty sure Nuland and her fellow NeoCons orchestrated this. They're desperate to provoke Putin. But Putin isn't going to just blindly take their bait.

[drnayar]

^^^

It maybe because Russia has exhausted its stockpiles of long-ranged cruise missiles, hypersonic missiles and other LR munitions over the 2-years of war.

Long-pauses between massed strikes could be an indication of how long it takes Russia to produce those LR munitions in enough quantities.

Russian aircraft with glide-bombs and other short ranged munitions cannot reach beyond Ukrainian frontlines. The Ukrainian air defense coverage is too good.

They could strike via Belarus !.. kiev to Brest appx 400 miles

[Deans]

If russia wanted, what is stopping it to sink cargo vessels with its own seadrone travelling along the shown coastal route ?

Will it contravene some treaty or russia just cant ?

The black sea is not `unblocked' for Ukraine. It's risky too risky for international shipping and even if they call on a Ukrainian port, the port
infrastructure is too badly damaged.
They are exporting wheat by road, but most of it is sold in Europe, affecting EU farmers. Ukraine overstates its potential exports to get more aid.

Russia cannot sink foreign ships in International waters. That violates International law and the optics look very bad.
Ukraine has no ships.
Russia's submarine fleet is intact (except for 1 damaged Kilo class). Using a torpedo is much simpler than undersea drones.

[srai]

That Kilo probably a write-off …

[sanman]

Russian FSB says US, UK and Ukraine behind Moscow attack

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ZqziQEz2b8

The Russians are putting the blame squarely on US/UK/Ukraine

(where it belongs, imho)

[sanman]

WION interviews Russia expert Dr Gilbert Doctorow, who comments on whether Nuland was behind the attack:

https://youtu.be/2RMFLQVym7M

[Haresh]

The French should stop worrying about Ukraine and Russia, they have other problems...

French schools are placed under armed guard after more than 130 received Islamist terror threats amid rising anger over classroom ban on religious clothing

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... anger.html

[srai]

Drone taking out drone … future of warfare

[IndraD]

Russian ‘scorched earth’ missile attack damages power plants in Ukraine
Utilities, industry and people have been left without power.
https://www.politico.eu/article/russia- ... n-ukraine/

In the east and west, thermal power plants are being eliminated one by one by completely demolishing the main turbine and generator sections.

Dams also began to collapse from south to north.
It is expected that all dams and thermal power plants will be put out of operation in the near future.

The Ukrainian military industry will be destroyed both by direct attacks and by the energy crisis.

The possibility of NATO-supported in-house production and maintenance will also be excluded.

Thus, the logistics infrastructure in the rear may not be able to cope with the events at the front."

[IndraD]

Zelensky: ‘We are trying to find some way not to retreat’ https://archive.ph/gm41Z
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions ... id-russia/

[drnayar]

Russian ‘scorched earth’ missile attack damages power plants in Ukraine
Utilities, industry and people have been left without power.
https://www.politico.eu/article/russia- ... n-ukraine/

In the east and west, thermal power plants are being eliminated one by one by completely demolishing the main turbine and generator sections.

Dams also began to collapse from south to north.
It is expected that all dams and thermal power plants will be put out of operation in the near future.

The Ukrainian military industry will be destroyed both by direct attacks and by the energy crisis.

The possibility of NATO-supported in-house production and maintenance will also be excluded.

Thus, the logistics infrastructure in the rear may not be able to cope with the events at the front."

Interesting., destroying ukie basic infrastructure means it will be harder to maintain NATO gold plated equipment

If the NeoCons have their way they will push Russia to go nuclear before Trump gets to white house

[IndraD]

if you read the wapo article ^^
he is asking for long range missiles from US to attack deep inside Russia
so far Ru has absorbed those shocks cos they are fine on frontline but you never know
when enough is enough

[Tanaji]

There is the matter of MTCR. US cannot transfer any missiles iver 300 mile range. If it does, then nothing stops Russia from exporting to NK or Iran. Thats a line the US wont cross now that VN is out.

[drnayar]

There is the matter of MTCR. US cannot transfer any missiles iver 300 mile range. If it does, then nothing stops Russia from exporting to NK or Iran. Thats a line the US wont cross now that VN is out.

since when did MTCR apply to the US ? The freedom of the "democratic" world is at stake