OmkarC wrote: ↑11 Mar 2024 03:44
Let's hope this is all part of some long term strategy, as it's not quite clear how an alliance now will be fruitful to BJP in the long run.
Like I said before, if you are planning to digest TDP's vote share in a few years, might as well start getting them to vote for you now on your own terms - especially if their leaders are standing at your door everyday begging to see you.
Even in the current polls, its not clear if TDP's cadre will do a 180 and suddenly start discovering their nationalist values (as likely as DMK folks start singing Ram bhajans overnight).
Nothing is clear till results of the election arrive. In the Modi era, the only empirical data points we have are the 2014 and 2019 elections. In 2014, TDP did help BJP get 3 seats. In 2019, no alliance = both parties decimated in AP.
Of all regional parties, including DMK, there are only two parties that took abuse of BJP & esp Modiji to another level - TMC & TDP. Just to fulfill "abki Baar 400 par" vision we don't see BJP allying w/ TMC in Bengal, do we ?
Totally different circumstances. The key to Modi/Shah success is to develop strategy according to specific circumstances. In WB the BJP has already worked up to a 40% vote share, good leaders, and sizable number of seats in both LS and VS, and TMC is openly hostile in all ways including the green menace. In addition, voters are fed up with TMC atrocities. There is no question of any alliance. All-out campaign to capture WB is the best option by far.
In TN, BJP has a strong leader who - along with Modi - is building up the party to remove the dravidian ideology. Alliances are still welcome with non-DMK parties.
In AP none of these apply. TDP has been a prior partner. They have no hardcore ideology and are shallow - will abuse one day, praise the next. There is no anti-incumbency against TDP. There is no BJP state leader with mass appeal. That being said, BJP has not been overly enthusiastic and has played very pricey.
From calling Modiji a "Napunsak" for leaving his wife to waving him w/ Black flags after Balakot attack to having their mobs throw stones at Amit shah's car when he was on a personal visit to Tirumala to supporting Paki version of Pulwama to sponsoring no-confidence motion against Modi to the consistent belittling of anything BJP or undermining every shred of progress the nation has made every single day for the past 6 years through their mouth piece TV channels or their social media cadre joining hands w/ Khalistanis & DMK on every issue, they have done everything they can to malign BJP, its leadership and national interests.
You would not make a good politician (that's a compliment)
One cannot go only by "who abused me last week/last year" if one wants to win big in elections. Instead one should understand "why is this guy abusing me? what is his insecurity?" and exploit it accordingly. A lot of things get discussed in private meetings between poltoos, and does not appear in media for us to know.
That said, BJP leadership took the right decisions for TG at least this time around by not allying w/ BRS or anyone else, and basically absorbing most of their sitting MPs. If they had only made it clear much ahead of assembly polls, they would have gained more assembly seats. Hope they garner at least 50% of seats, let's wait and watch.
Indeed, again apply the above reasoning. BJP situation in TG is much better than in AP. They are rising, already did well in the last election, and have strong leaders. After the VS election there was talk of possible alliance or "understanding", but BJP has not taken that approach since it has options. There is still a possibility that KCR has some understanding with the BJP and some of his voters may end up voting for BJP.
. Yesterday the daughter of KL's Congress 'leader' K. Karunakaran, Padmaja Venugopal jumped ship and joined the BJP. There is a 
