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by sudarshan
26 Oct 2020 22:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^Great work Sudarshanji - that correlation is a caution, can you find anything similar between case numbers and any of the other factors? I'll have to think of what correlates with case numbers. Not positivity fraction obviously, since case numbers are an input to that parameter. It seems the above...
by sudarshan
25 Oct 2020 05:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

So what now? Is the second wave/spike along with the coming of winter and "pandemic fatigue" likely to make the situation a lot worse for Western/colder nations? Michael Osterhom from the U of Minnesota seems to thinks so - what is forum guru spidey sense making of all this? Not guru, mor...
by sudarshan
24 Oct 2020 07:03
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)
Replies: 3849
Views: 435084

Re: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)

This seems to be fake newj: [url]https://www.altnews.in/surendra-poonia-passes-off-unrelated-photo-as-teacher-recently-killed-in- I thought as much. It was a little too convenient and coincidental, and besides, it didn't make sense that the placards would be in English. Not to stereotype, but those...
by sudarshan
23 Oct 2020 23:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Christianity, Evangelism & its geopolitical impact
Replies: 1010
Views: 131651

Re: Christianity, Evangelism & its geopolitical impact

No not at all. "Bible bashing" is English English. It means the same as thumping. Did not know that, I think there might have been others like me who interpreted it the wrong way, so good to get that cleared up. Have you watched the James Bond film with Daniel Craig set in a central Ameri...
by sudarshan
23 Oct 2020 22:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

... You can't go by daily testing values, those dip significantly during weekends and rise to catch up during the week. There was a week when they went to nearly 1.5 million, catching up from a low of 750,000 during the weekend. The 7-day average is currently 1.06 million. Divide the 7-day avg. of ...
by sudarshan
23 Oct 2020 21:10
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Christianity, Evangelism & its geopolitical impact
Replies: 1010
Views: 131651

Re: Christianity, Evangelism & its geopolitical impact

^ Is that reporting being deliberately misleading? The alienation seems to be because of her Bible thumping, not Bible bashing.
by sudarshan
23 Oct 2020 20:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Sudarshan ji, can we safely say we have peaked and are on the other side of the mountain? ...Image deleted... What's more, this is happening in the midst of Unlock 4.0. Cases are going down even as we open up! I do not want to sound overly confident but India is beating this thing while the US and ...
by sudarshan
23 Oct 2020 00:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 8086
Views: 1074522

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

... You can't publish a paper in a western journal or conference, unless there is a non-Indian (preferably - western) affiliation on it, with a readily identifiable xtian name. Try sending a paper to one of those with "Ram Narayan" and "Sunil" as author names. One can ask - why ...
by sudarshan
23 Oct 2020 00:19
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: BR Maths Corner-1
Replies: 1980
Views: 158008

Re: BR Maths Corner-1

Amber G ji, maybe you could suggest to Dr. Vidyasagar et al, that the bijaganita (tr.: algebraic; literally: "seed mathematics") terms in that supermodel could use Sanskrit aksharas instead of Greek letters. There's more than enough letters in Indian languages, and after all, the concept o...
by sudarshan
22 Oct 2020 18:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^ Nukkad-76 thread.

Amber G ji, if the discussion above is too mathematical, we can continue in the math dhaga.
by sudarshan
22 Oct 2020 18:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Re: Nukkad-76
Replies: 46
Views: 2449

Re: Re: Nukkad-76

Off track. But couldn't resist the temptation to make a wise crack. What you need is a spell as sub-editor at one of the mainstream print media to spot subtle differences in the written word!!? Are you talking about my confusing Ambar with Amber G? Or did I miss something in my reasoning about the ...
by sudarshan
22 Oct 2020 07:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Amber G, appreciate the parichay :). I responded to a post by Ambar (I thought) and that turned out to be you. Then my previous post was a response to you (I thought), some time later when I looked at the post, it said "Ambar wrote" at the top - that's what the outburst was about. As for a...
by sudarshan
21 Oct 2020 22:03
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The 2nd wave in Europe is real, deaths alone should not be the parameter because doctors & hospitals have learnt much about the virus in the last 6 to 7 months ,hence most deaths even in US occurred in Mar-Apr period. Secondly, after seeing the devastation many elderly people and those with com...
by sudarshan
21 Oct 2020 18:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)
Replies: 3849
Views: 435084

Re: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)

I was curious and checked their timeline. They are typical Abrahamic atheists who are against Hindus as well. Infact they have more posts criticizing BJP, Gomutra, cowdung than they have on Islamism. A sample of their recent posts. Rony ji, no sarcasm intended in the below, but here's a set of metr...
by sudarshan
20 Oct 2020 08:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^ Read it. Am curious about your take on WHO’s statement on Remdesivir. I have not been following this thread for a month or two and hence missed your reasoning/hints. I didn't actually present my reasoning so far in this thread, but here it is, FWIW. I don't think of the WHO as being focused on ...
by sudarshan
20 Oct 2020 07:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

SriKumar wrote:...


Responded in "Psy-ops techniques" thread, since it is OT here.
by sudarshan
20 Oct 2020 07:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Psy-Ops techniques employed to sucker Indians
Replies: 139
Views: 25310

Re: Psy-Ops techniques employed to sucker Indians

I am not sure but I doubt this team in IIT-K (or whoever built this model) came up with the predictions of peak in May, AND 5T economoy AND 15L in bank accounts. Since you lump them all together, I suppose 'same people' refers to PM Modi, or Home Minister Amit Shah - 'clowns to be reined in'. Odd t...
by sudarshan
20 Oct 2020 04:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Coming from the same people that promised, numbers peaking by Mid/End May (NITI aayog ??) 5T economy, 15L in bank accounts yada yada. Judging the merits of the current model by some list of mistakes (real/ perceived) made by its authors in the past, is silly. By that logic, we should deny every suc...
by sudarshan
20 Oct 2020 02:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

On what basis are these "experts" claiming 30% already infected now? If I read right, they are not claiming that. They are claiming HIT of 30%, i.e., eventually, by Feb., they expect 30% to be infected. It's probably half that right now. That's approximately 39 crore. Taking 2% mortality ...
by sudarshan
20 Oct 2020 02:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Sudarshan - I have not followed this thread for quite some time, so have not seen your earlier posts here. The "super" model - name coined by DST many months ago - evolved as the scientists were asked by Modi et al to consolidate all models and make it easy for decision makers to make dec...
by sudarshan
20 Oct 2020 00:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)
Replies: 3849
Views: 435084

Re: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)

No ji for me sir. Always good to have my thought process questioned/discussed! Hope I didn't come off as too agitated. Not at all. It's just my personal policy that, if I can't convince the other guy within two or three posts, and if the thread is the wrong one to be arguing in, to just let it go. ...
by sudarshan
19 Oct 2020 08:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)
Replies: 3849
Views: 435084

Re: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)

PS. Please don't express your glee on their timeline and start abusing islam. You will only be preaching to the choir. Let them do their thing. +1 - quiet and restrained support, yes. Don't go overboard and get the site blocked, or worse, get the poor guy cutletted. This site needs to stay open - b...
by sudarshan
19 Oct 2020 07:57
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

From the above: All the four parameters change with time as a function of level of lockdown and medical facilities available. Although epsilon is constant, its measurement is not exact due to effects of lockdown as well as testing strategies. Therefore, their estimation needs to be done in multiple ...
by sudarshan
19 Oct 2020 06:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Seems like the simpler SIR model, with an "A" category for "Asymptomatic," so "SAIR?" It seems this was good enough for the purpose. Heterogeneity wasn't addressed, so the model doesn't account for super-spreader events? Will trawl through further, I'm curious about wha...
by sudarshan
19 Oct 2020 04:11
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Amber G (ji), thank you so much for posting this hopeful news. From the data trends, I had already concluded that once this current peak in India wound down, India would not see any further resurgence of cases/ deaths. IOW, the virus has done its worst in rural and urban India. It seems that the abo...
by sudarshan
18 Oct 2020 21:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)
Replies: 3849
Views: 435084

Re: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)

^ Ji, not ignoring what you said, but it might be best to let this go. I'm anyway not in a position to influence GOI policy on this or any other issue (don't know if you are). I feel it would be a good idea for GOI to respond positively to the French action, you feel otherwise. It's okay to disagree...
by sudarshan
18 Oct 2020 08:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 8086
Views: 1074522

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

The clown in blue muffler is 'Bhim Army' chief Chandrashekar Azad Ravan (yes, Ravan). He has a pathological hatred towards Hindus, he orchestrated many riots during anti-CAA protests, one of the architects of jai bhim-jai meem BIF nexus, he is also the self proclaimed supreme leader of all dalits i...
by sudarshan
18 Oct 2020 03:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)
Replies: 3849
Views: 435084

Re: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)

It's not going to change the fact that their propaganda-rags ignore similar attacks in India. What will change is: 1. If the Indian police retaliate to similar attacks in India, as they should; 2. If the western p-rags condemn Indian police "brutality," as they would be expected to, if the...
by sudarshan
18 Oct 2020 02:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)
Replies: 3849
Views: 435084

Re: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)

Don't know why everyone is so concerned about this. It's just a single teacher and they already got the guy who did it. This shit happens daily in India and the white western media lectures everyone to stop islamophobia and hindutva bigotry. Shouldn't we be doing the same? I hope we write to Macron...
by sudarshan
18 Oct 2020 01:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)
Replies: 3849
Views: 435084

Re: Islamism & Islamophobia Abroad - News & Analysis (9-8-2014)

Nice Menon saar, the reminder about "slow process" is gruesome, but necessary. Shows the level of "commitment" on the perp's part to carry it through. Would it have been counterproductive to point out that their way of life recognizes and normalizes this kind of "revenge by ...
by sudarshan
17 Oct 2020 19:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 7694
Views: 834127

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^ I for one am feeling encouraged that the WHO said the above. It corroborates my notion that the WHO is seeing the same long term trends that I've been noticing in the actual data, and that their projections for the future are also in line with those trends. I've been dropping gentle hints in this ...
by sudarshan
16 Oct 2020 22:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 8086
Views: 1074522

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

... Thx for sharing. You did the right thing, and I commend your good sense, because falling "out of love" is not an easy thing. While you already did yourself and the country a great service by not falling for all that, you can still help out by sharing your experience with friends and w...
by sudarshan
15 Oct 2020 18:35
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Christianity, Evangelism & its geopolitical impact
Replies: 1010
Views: 131651

Re: Christianity, Evangelism & its geopolitical impact

To the Aditya's (AdityaVM and Aditya_V) - yes, there's a lot more going on with COVID than meets the eye. I've been noticing also. The only thread on it in this forum doesn't allow any discussion on that. Yes the data is funny, or vital aspects of the data are plain missing in many cases. The more y...
by sudarshan
15 Oct 2020 00:06
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5227
Views: 966458

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

suryag wrote:Dont tell me you composed the song "chacha nehru purush mahaan" that we used to sing in school


No no, the poem I composed was recited by me alone (thank goodness). If it had become a legacy, don't know how I'd live with myself (hard enough as it is).
by sudarshan
14 Oct 2020 23:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: China Meets World
Replies: 44
Views: 6093

Re: China Meets World

Beijing Being oBleijing again.... GloTimes zindabad. https://twitter.com/nitingokhale/status/1315928112907968512 If I do, it is my right; if you do it is provocation. Old Chinese playbook. Sums up Chinese expectation from tributary state that we refuse to be. As one responder pointed out, that Chine...
by sudarshan
14 Oct 2020 06:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5227
Views: 966458

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

End result is the same anyways, and should certainly be treated the same - firing squad. What to do onlee - many moons ago, yours truly was so misguided that he took it upon himself to compose a poem for Nehru on "children's day" (in English of course) and even proudly recited it in front ...
by sudarshan
13 Oct 2020 20:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5227
Views: 966458

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Nehru was the original surrender monkey, it seems. The list of his misdeeds in Tibet is shocking - from surrendering the telegraph links to Lhasa, to supplying the Chinese army with rice for a year. Let's try to make them more widely known to the world in time for his b'day, coming up in Nov. It's t...
by sudarshan
13 Oct 2020 20:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 5227
Views: 966458

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

X-post from mil thread: https://salute.co.in/cover-story-tibet-abandoned-and-the-lessons-of-nathu-la/ COVER STORY-TIBET ABANDONED AND THE LESSONS OF NATHU LA written by Maj Chandrakant Singh, VrC August 14, 2017 The stand off between Indian and Chinese troops on the Dolam plateau in Bhutan has all t...
by sudarshan
13 Oct 2020 20:09
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020 - Part 2
Replies: 2392
Views: 397828

Re: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020 - Part 2

This beggers belief, nehru supplied the Hans with food?? Is this mentioned widely known? Unbelievable. It *should* be widely known. I personally was shocked when I learned about this (it's come up on this forum before). Please do your bit to spread it on SM or wherever you have a voice. It would fu...
by sudarshan
12 Oct 2020 04:47
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020 - Part 2
Replies: 2392
Views: 397828

Re: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020 - Part 2

There has been conflicting reports and plenty of debate on this over the past month or so - I just posted a new open source fact that supports one side of case and my opinion on the same. Funny statement - going back and looking, it seems the conflict always started with you, and the debate was alw...

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