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by pgbhat
01 May 2020 22:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

So you are simply spreading imaginary made up statistics. Great. Thanks for pushing me to research on the image. Apparently, the numbers mentioned in the image are not backed up by any official health org. Since I cannot edit my post & remove the image, I've reported that post to the mods and h...
by pgbhat
29 Apr 2020 14:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

COVID-19 Vaccine Likely By September, Says Indian Firm Partnering Oxford A vaccine for coronavirus may be available in the market as early as the end of September, the chief of the world's largest vaccine maker has told NDTV. The cost, he said, would be roughly around Rs 1,000. "That's what we...
by pgbhat
23 Apr 2020 18:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Organized sector and agricultural sector can be somehow managed and put on some path to recovery with a combination of pay cuts and bailouts.
However we can expect large scale rioting from people employed/unemployed due to being in unorganized industrial sector.
by pgbhat
23 Apr 2020 12:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Very true sir. Truth be told, I seriously considered graduate entry into medicine for an MD after both masters and PhD. But got a family to look after, so cant do at this stage in life. Any way, OT for this thread so I'll stop. Sir, any opinion about potential vaccine efficacy in the context of my ...
by pgbhat
21 Apr 2020 17:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

It sure is saar, problem is, funding is always an issue. Some morbid humour- Pandemics like this are good for researchers, funding is assured for a few years. Other wise, there simply arent enough jobs and what ever are available, have low pay and job security. These areas are the ones which requir...
by pgbhat
21 Apr 2020 16:57
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Saar, I have a PhD in virology too. Saar, great field. Great to have your inputs on this. Look at this monoclonal antibody therapy trial that crushed the biotech boom. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16908486 A LOT of vaccine candidates fail at trial stage. Either the antibodies raised do not n...
by pgbhat
21 Apr 2020 14:06
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^ Good thread on twitter which talks about on vaccination coverage for corona and flu. https://twitter.com/PeterKolchinsky/status/1240498037958545410 I’m a virologist & investor... & I’m hearing people say it’s impossible to make covid vaccine b/c we haven’t been able to make one to any coro...
by pgbhat
21 Apr 2020 11:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Everything we know about coronavirus immunity and antibodies — and plenty we still don’t “Before we embark on huge policy decisions, like issuing immunity certificates to get people back to work, I think it’s good that people are saying, ‘Hold up, we don’t know that much about immunity to this viru...
by pgbhat
20 Apr 2020 14:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

DrRatnadip wrote:Dear all..

This is just cruel, evil and selfish. People have do not have any sense of dignity and compassion. :x
by pgbhat
20 Apr 2020 08:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

hanumadu wrote:All states bordering WB must strictly close the borders.

And MP
by pgbhat
19 Apr 2020 20:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I think we need to observe sweden carefully. They are doing completely different from rest of the world. This is in line with what jayprakash is telling. Swedish expert: why lockdowns are the wrong policy UK policy on lockdown and other European countries are not evidence-based The correct policy i...
by pgbhat
16 Apr 2020 11:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Great detail by Dr. Gangakhedkar of ICMR on testing strategy and procedures from Indian Perspective.
It is an hour long but totally worth it if you are staying back at home (even when the interviewer is Jyoti Malhotra. :mrgreen:)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gmXjg7_gACc
by pgbhat
15 Apr 2020 12:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

MP is well and truly screwed. With health dept in quarantine, MP struggles to tackle coronavirus pandemic The Shivraj Singh Chouhan-led government in Madhya Pradesh is finding itself in a tight spot in combating the Covid-19 pandemic. There is no Cabinet in place, and thus no health minister. Beside...
by pgbhat
15 Apr 2020 11:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Given what Primus and Suresh is saying, the death count in China should be at least in hundreds of thousands, if not in millions. Given that Wuhan mayor said millions left the city before lockdown was imposed, all of them travelling all over China should have resulted in millions of infected folks ...
by pgbhat
15 Apr 2020 09:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I know of locals who have had the infection. All are well now. One of the recovered ones is almost 90 years old. None went to hospital and like you said, done in a week. So why is the story vastly different in US than in UK? Based on what Suresh ji said the picture in US hospitals is very very grim...
by pgbhat
13 Apr 2020 20:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Just came across some UK numbers. 20K out of 84K positive cases are currently hospitalized! That is is 25% hospitalization rate of positive cases! Interesting that Italian hospitals in the North were overwhelmed even at less than these numbers. They were struggling at 4-5K hospitalization. Are they...
by pgbhat
13 Apr 2020 15:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The Dangerous History of Immunoprivilege Immunity mattered. “Unacclimated” white people were considered unemployable. As the German immigrant Gustav Dresel lamented in the 1830s, “I looked around in vain for a position as bookkeeper,” but “to engage a young man who was not acclimated would be a bad...
by pgbhat
13 Apr 2020 14:33
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

COVID-19: What Does it Take to Run an ICU? We only have 29,000 ICU beds in the country and quite frankly most are of dubious quality. There are multiple reasons for the above statement but the most important is that it costs an enormous amount of money to set one up. In India a comprehensive ICU be...
by pgbhat
13 Apr 2020 14:10
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Where there is will there is a way ... In Delhi, as of yesterdin IIRC, they already had identified 30 pockets that were sealed. If sealing is what I think it is then it can be easily controlled. E.g. in Bangalore, it is stated that all entry/exit points of a sealed pocket will be blocked and essent...
by pgbhat
12 Apr 2020 17:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 465
Views: 72015

Re: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India

Covid19 is a black swan event for China, and the rest of the world. Neither SARS nor other viruses could do such damage and though Pandemic scenarios were drawn up by many analysts, no one took it as a credible, in our lifetime threat. Its easy to criticize Xi for Belt & Road etc. But look at i...
by pgbhat
12 Apr 2020 14:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1249099768007024644 Chloroquine: Does Big Pharma owns the media? + Studies are said to be "not rigorous" when it comes to Chloroquine in spite of robust statistical signal + Studies w/less rigor and significance are promoted when it comes to drugs by Gil...
by pgbhat
10 Apr 2020 13:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

This 56-year-old IAS officer is the brain behind Bhilwara model of fighting Covid-19 Bhatt humbly claimed the success was no “rocket science”. “We got full cooperation from the state government. When we (at the district level) said that we need to seal the border, the government did it immediately ...
by pgbhat
10 Apr 2020 12:02
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 465
Views: 72015

Re: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India

Coronavirus: India makes face masks mandatory for more than 300m people, punishable by up to six months in prison Yet this also begs the question of how effective the measure will be from a public health perspective. If an N95 filter mask is the gold standard – a 10/10 – then a simple cloth coverin...
by pgbhat
10 Apr 2020 10:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

This is a good strategy. India too should try it, to permit persons with acquired immunity to return to economically or socially productive work. How extensively this strategy can be deployed depends on the availability of kits and human resources to carry out large scale testing. Great, so we will...
by pgbhat
10 Apr 2020 10:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://twitter.com/netshrink/status/1248443991130918912 Since economists have become public health experts, let's try the reverse too. Any stimulus has to be through the bottom of pyramid consumer. "Too small to fail" is the mantra. Tax breaks & bailouts to large cos perverse incenti...
by pgbhat
10 Apr 2020 08:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

K Srinath Reddy: ‘We have to wait for two more weeks to see if the curve has flattened’ On March 30, India reported 1251 COVID19 cases and 32 deaths; in less than a week, the country has witnessed an over 200 percent spike (4,000 positive cases and 109 deaths). Keeping two factors in mind, the lock...
by pgbhat
09 Apr 2020 11:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://twitter.com/DrShrikantK/status/1247956877704491009
Vacancies in state IDSP units shows preparedness & expertise of states 4 fighting pandemic #Covid_19
10 state Epidemiologist positions are vacant! How we r going 2 fight without d most needed expertise in this situation?
by pgbhat
09 Apr 2020 11:17
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

These ‘disease hunters’ developed a novel technique for tracking pandemics after 9/11, but lost funding right before COVID-19 But Mostashari’s website was still around, pulling in a feed of data from emergency rooms every day. So in early March, he started looking for incidents of patients complain...
by pgbhat
08 Apr 2020 10:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

More than ventilators, India needs thousands of coronavirus contact-tracers Ventilators dominate the public discourse, perhaps driven by what Atul Gawande calls the heroic expectation of how medicine works — the image of doctors saving a person from the clutches of certain death is fascinating. A c...
by pgbhat
03 Apr 2020 10:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Analysis of ncovid-19 mortality and other things... https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/ March 22, 2020 (I) Regarding the situation in Italy: Most major media falsely report that Italy has up to 800 deaths per day from the coronavirus. In reality, the president of the Italian Civil Protect...
by pgbhat
02 Apr 2020 21:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://twitter.com/ANI/status/1245733232240402433 #Update: A resident doctor of AIIMS who was tested positive for COVID19 earlier today, his 9 months pregnant wife (a doctor posted at Emergency) has also been tested positive. She has been isolated and her delivery will take place at AIIMS. :roll: ...
by pgbhat
01 Apr 2020 20:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I dont exactly know sir.. what I know is testing millions of patients for COVID if they have such trivial and common complaints is very costly.. and patients will need repeated testing as they may become positive after test.. Gradual withdrawal of quarantine with releasing least susceptible young p...
by pgbhat
01 Apr 2020 20:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://twitter.com/epigiri/status/1245112071135649794 There are so many patients cough , fever ,tiredness.. Considering everybody as COVID 19 will consume significant efforts, money and manpower.. Labs have to test other diseases too .. We have to treat other patients too.. Giving too much attenti...
by pgbhat
01 Apr 2020 19:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://twitter.com/epigiri/status/1245112071135649794 To be successful in tackling #covid19india, @tarunb20 we urge for review of containment measures by the PM @PMOIndia of each state. We propose a syndromic approach as the way forward for containment measures. We plead to use #techn…https://lnkd....
by pgbhat
30 Mar 2020 14:11
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Bengaluru-based Skanray aims to make 1 lakh ventilators, opens up design IP The DRDO, in particular, is helping Skanray find equivalent components from other industries. DRDO will help source local components from aeronautical, entertainment and auto industry that can be used in ventilators with a ...
by pgbhat
24 Mar 2020 07:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

IJMR special issue on Coronavirus "India and Covid-19" From: Prudent public health intervention strategies to control the coronavirus disease 2019 transmission in India: A mathematical model-based approach - Sandip Mandal, Tarun Bhatnagar, Nimalan Arinaminpathy, Anup Agarwal, Amartya Chow...
by pgbhat
20 Mar 2020 14:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Problem I have with the way community spread is being detected is that they seem to be taking samples from people already admitted to hospital with respiratory illness/pneumonia. The test results lag by 14 days because of virus incubation time, by the time community spread is detected we would be tw...
by pgbhat
18 Mar 2020 09:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6405
Views: 592929

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Places of worship are still not locked down in major cities in India. Seems like the decision is left to management. :roll:

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