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Search found 6692 matches

by pankajs
21 Nov 2017 13:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - 29 September 2017
Replies: 1472
Views: 90536

Re: Terroristan - 29 September 2017

SSridhar wrote:
anupmisra wrote:The new and revised old SeePak. Note the "Border for Radiation Region" in yellow dashed line!!!

What the he!! is that ?

More a catchment kind of concept me thinks. Like with a river the map is trying to lay out the catchment area that will feed from and into the CPEC roadway.
by pankajs
21 Nov 2017 12:33
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4558
Views: 394535

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

The old tried and tested method is "evergreening" i.e. keep lending more money to ensure that interest and principal re-payment dues are met on time so that on the books all loans are current. Chinese SOE loans are kept current by Chinese banks by lending more and more with each tranche. T...
by pankajs
21 Nov 2017 00:02
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India - South & North Korea Thread
Replies: 871
Views: 58531

Re: India - South & North Korea Thread

http://www.business-standard.com/articl ... 407_1.html
US designates North Korea a state sponsor of terror, triggering sanctions
by pankajs
20 Nov 2017 10:59
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Missiles News and Discussions - May 2017
Replies: 1781
Views: 296311

Re: Indian Missiles News and Discussions - May 2017

With this move GOI is signalling that we are over the hump as far as the relevant technology is concerned. This is good news indeed.
by pankajs
18 Nov 2017 12:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 888
Views: 108581

Re: Analyzing CPEC

The most dangerous scenario for India is if CPEC gets completed, Pakistan has excess power and industrial capacity and then the Chi-Pak combo push for opening up trade and a weak Indian govt agrees. Will lead to flooding the Indian market with Chinese goods made in Pak, enriching both and destroyin...
by pankajs
18 Nov 2017 12:06
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 63
Views: 5604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Forget the military angle for the moment or India taking out CPEC for the moment. They want a direct route to India to make that project viable. Without access to Indian market the project is not going to return THE investment forget the return ON investment. So who is more strategically invested in...
by pankajs
17 Nov 2017 11:45
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4558
Views: 394535

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

It is good to see their surprise and disbelief and a lot of heartburn.
by pankajs
17 Nov 2017 11:41
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4558
Views: 394535

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

Yes it is odd because it does not suit their narrative. If it was a negative report it would have been lapped up by the same folks. When Yeshwanth Sinha went all out against Modi/BJP after GST I had written that we are past the low point. I couldn't have thought of a better contra indicator. Now we ...
by pankajs
16 Nov 2017 02:10
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 63
Views: 5604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Funny things, 1. Why is China holding the largest USD reserve in the world? 2. If the Chinese don't trust the USD or wanted to "teach US a lesson" and dump their USD holdings where would they go i.e. into which currency? 2a. Euro or Yen? After all they have to park their surplus into some ...
by pankajs
16 Nov 2017 01:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 63
Views: 5604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Yes saar I too have read about medical students but that still does not make a summer. That is why the willingness to shift to China vs the US from a "diverse background" will provide the clue. Even as far back as 60s/70s/80s i.e. before 2008 GFC and before the IT revolution some westerner...
by pankajs
16 Nov 2017 01:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 888
Views: 108581

Re: Analyzing CPEC

Correction So the throughput of the CPEC corridor should be between $3.65 billion [1/10 of 0.5% 1% of the Chinese global trade] @ 100 trips per day and $36.5 billion [ 0.5% 1% of the Chinese global trade] @ 100x10 trips per day. While the correction essentially doubles the % it does not change the o...
by pankajs
16 Nov 2017 01:03
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 63
Views: 5604

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

RMB will be the reserve currency. Let me start with this single point. Do you even know what it means for China to have its currency as a reserve currency? Before that do you know the requirements of a "reserve currency"? One can start on the process to the answer that question by startin...
by pankajs
13 Nov 2017 19:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4303
Views: 186972

Re: Deterrence

As SS saar has rightly pointed out while this lady might find the baki arguments "effective" Ms Lodhi herself admits that "the international community has ‘done little, if anything, to insist on and promote such an understanding.’" See it another way, only the Indians find any me...
by pankajs
13 Nov 2017 15:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 888
Views: 108581

Re: Analyzing CPEC

That too ..

I have another thought that I will expand on later.
by pankajs
13 Nov 2017 14:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 888
Views: 108581

Re: Analyzing CPEC

Given the terrain I would think them lucky to have it open 75% of the time. More likely between 50% and 75% of time it would be open i.e for between 180 - 270 days but not more. My best *guess* is for 225 [mean of 180 and 270] days of connectivity and traffic. One can pick the scenarios and assumpti...
by pankajs
13 Nov 2017 14:02
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 888
Views: 108581

Re: Analyzing CPEC

Ok .. Lets flesh out the other scenario 1. There is NO empty returning containers/ships from Bakistan to China i.e. No ultra low rates. 2. Current Bakistan to China ship "freight cost" per container comes to a round $1000 per container worth of goods. That necessarily means that CPEC trans...
by pankajs
13 Nov 2017 13:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 888
Views: 108581

Re: Analyzing CPEC

^^ the above is misleading The 50usd is actually the container cost. BL and land transport to the port is separate. Usually totals in the range of 1000 to 1200usd per container. To keep things in perspective, you can get containers for 0usd from India to certain destinations. You might well be righ...
by pankajs
13 Nov 2017 09:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 888
Views: 108581

Re: Analyzing CPEC

LOSING OUR MARBLE https://www.dawn.com/news/1369996/losing-our-marble “China... pays no export duty to Pakistan, and the freight the Chinese pay to transport the material on ship is just 50 dollars per container .” If uber banias that the Chinese are how much does bakistan "hope" to colle...
by pankajs
13 Nov 2017 09:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 888
Views: 108581

Re: Analyzing CPEC

How about capacity to carry 1% of China's external merchandise trade at least? i.e about $ 40 billion. This is closer to what is possible BUT with many ifs and buts. Will have to be a truck full of high valued goods. Lets do the maths. $40 billion on 36.5 K trucks means ~ $1.1 million worth of good...
by pankajs
10 Nov 2017 11:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 799
Views: 82839

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

That US is a power in decline even while it remains the strongest is know to all who follow the foreign policy. I will be more interested in knowing what China has put on the table to close the China-US trade deficit. Afterall what is Trump going to tout when he tries to get re-elected in 2020. A fe...
by pankajs
10 Nov 2017 11:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 799
Views: 82839

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Actually trade still will remain a source of friction unless there is a big movement there. China cannot just wish it away because of a *successful* visit. However what it does do is buy China something before Trump returns back to the topic. By that time China would have changed more facts on the s...
by pankajs
09 Nov 2017 15:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 888
Views: 108581

Re: Analyzing CPEC

CPEC and the environment - Edit, DT Not too long ago, the Karakoram Highway had supported only a handful of trucks that traversed its narrow route to move goods between markets in Pakistan and China. The highway is expected to carry up to 100 trucks a day when CPEC reaches its full swing . :shock: ...
by pankajs
07 Nov 2017 15:38
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4558
Views: 394535

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

There are cases of a random 12-digit Aadhaar number like ‘100000000000’ or ‘111111111111’ or ‘123123123123’ provided for multiple individuals. “ Banks did not realise that UIDAI does not allot Aadhaar numbers starting with 0 or 1. It seems wilful forgery by banks . If the data was not cross-checked...
by pankajs
07 Nov 2017 15:18
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4558
Views: 394535

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

Wrt banks, I am thinking if the current process passed court scrutiny and once all accounts are seeded with Adhaar numbers the next step would be pysical verification of the individual with the number to weed out fake identities inside the system, multiple identities and borrowed identities. This wo...
by pankajs
07 Nov 2017 14:56
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4558
Views: 394535

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

Not fake Adhaar card but fake number. That's just the easiest fraud to pull off. E.g. I don't have Aadhaar but GOI is forcing me to update my bank account with Adhaar. What I do is just make up a number in my mind and update the bank account. Simple! The banks facilitate the process by not verifying...
by pankajs
06 Nov 2017 03:35
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: United States - Human Rights Monitor
Replies: 11
Views: 903

Re: United States - Human Rights Monitor

'Terrorism' Flyer Targeting Sikh Mayoral Candidate Being Investigated As Possible Bias Crime https://www.nbcnews.com/news/asian-america/terrorism-flyer-targeting-sikh-mayoral-candidate-being-investigated-possible-bias-n817691 The Hoboken Police Department in New Jersey said Sunday it was investigati...
by pankajs
06 Nov 2017 03:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 799
Views: 82839

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Shooting in a Texas Church of all places. 20+ dead.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/201 ... nd-springs
At least 20 killed in shooting at Baptist church in Sutherland Springs, Texas
by pankajs
05 Nov 2017 14:50
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)
Replies: 2056
Views: 177538

Re: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)

Few sites like Quint, The Wire, The Logical Indian is rabid anti BJP & anti namo so, I always take them with a bucket of salt, but this article written by B ishwajit Bhattacharyya ( former additional solicitor general of India ) has sown several doubts even for a hardliner NDA/NAMO supporter li...
by pankajs
05 Nov 2017 13:57
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)
Replies: 2056
Views: 177538

Re: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)

Few sites like Quint, The Wire, The Logical Indian is rabid anti BJP & anti namo so, I always take them with a bucket of salt, but this article written by B ishwajit Bhattacharyya ( former additional solicitor general of India ) has sown several doubts even for a hardliner NDA/NAMO supporter li...
by pankajs
04 Nov 2017 15:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 888
Views: 108581

Re: Analyzing CPEC

1. Map and the CPEC/OBOR route is your best guide. 2. NO definitive conclusion can be reached without context and without stating the basic assumptions. So let's start with the definition of CPEC I.e it is China Pakistan economic corridor. So based on just the basic definition the corridor does not ...
by pankajs
02 Nov 2017 17:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4303
Views: 186972

Re: Deterrence

It is time for India to store weapons in Vietnam and make Vietnam a nuclear power in south China sea as part of Pacific big (4) + (1) I should say alliance strategy. Americans should be told in explicit terms that it's strategy of not allowing peopled make n bum is not working and hence they should...
by pankajs
02 Nov 2017 17:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 761795

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

US has a *permanent* presence on the Korean peninsular and Japan. It has continuous and sufficient presence in the south China sea. While China has claimed the whole sea USN still goes in, around and out regularly. So what has China done till date to push USN out and keep them out? Zlich, Nada, noth...
by pankajs
30 Oct 2017 02:35
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K News and Discussion - 2016
Replies: 1710
Views: 226017

Re: J&K News and Discussion - 2016

If we go back in time to when Modi landed in Lahore I am sure we will find many posters/posts assuming the worst and making it out as a baki victory of a sort. Even then I had written that such a visit should be considered as part of diplomatic maneuvering and nothing more. Same with Susma Swaraj's ...
by pankajs
28 Oct 2017 15:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: OBOR, Chinese Strategy and Implications
Replies: 597
Views: 59237

Re: OBOR, Chinese Strategy and Implications

Chinese have been able to bribe its way across Africa and now even Europe and they were expecting the same with India. However they failed with the current GOI so they are trying their luck via media. In the runup to the OBOR/BRI meet there was quite a bit of writing in Indian media about the GOI ma...
by pankajs
28 Oct 2017 15:17
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: OBOR, Chinese Strategy and Implications
Replies: 597
Views: 59237

Re: OBOR, Chinese Strategy and Implications

From any major Chinese industrial hub to bakistan it is going to be cheaper to transport goods via sea/ship than land/trucks. Distance is not the key but the cost to the destination is the key. Per one baki commentator the cost of transporting Crude Oil from Gwadar to the eastern Chinese seaboard is...
by pankajs
12 Oct 2017 11:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - 29 September 2017
Replies: 1472
Views: 90536

Re: Terroristan - 29 September 2017

How come PIA is in a loss when they are operating above capacity?
by pankajs
12 Oct 2017 01:51
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4558
Views: 394535

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

Also note if the retailer or anyone on the chain fudges sales data the guy immediately above him will be at their throat to get his credit. If the retailer does not fully report his sales figures that will cut the credit of the one immediately above and will come straight out of his pocket. Next tim...
by pankajs
12 Oct 2017 01:48
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4558
Views: 394535

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

Also IT will have access to the GSTN data and will cross verify. Sales turnover on IT form will have to match GSTN data.

i.e. One cannot claim higher VAT/ GST credit based on a higher sales but lowball the sales figures in the IT filing. That was common but not anymore.
by pankajs
11 Oct 2017 18:16
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4558
Views: 394535

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

And what happens when he sells his chips? If the buyer demands a bill, he will end up invoicing more than the input!!! Its probably much easier for him to do it properly, than try and do the balancing trick every time! He is bound to make a mistake at some point. The customer can ask for all the bi...
by pankajs
09 Oct 2017 10:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: OBOR, Chinese Strategy and Implications
Replies: 597
Views: 59237

Re: OBOR, Chinese Strategy and Implications

Most already have dual nationality or have investments/residences abroad that allows them residency or have children who are settled abroad where they can move at a moments notice.

These folks already have everything setup abroad.

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