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by DavidD
12 May 2020 15:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6395
Views: 591477

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

syam wrote:i saw a tweet about chinese planning to test 11 million wuhan people in 10 day sprint. the scale of testing is simply mind-blowing.


Probably batch testing. Swabbing will be labor and time intensive, testing probably won't be too overwhelming, maybe only a few hundred thousand tests actually run.
by DavidD
06 May 2020 04:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 465
Views: 71958

Re: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India

Trump administration pushing to rip global supply chains from China: officials https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-china-idUSKBN22G0BZ The United States is pushing to create an alliance of “trusted partners” dubbed the “Economic Prosperity Network,” one official said. It would...
by DavidD
04 May 2020 05:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6395
Views: 591477

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^ Possibly it did. But selling the same PPEs at eight times the original cost (Mexico case) will make even Shylock proud. Sure, but that's just economics, not a result of hoarding. Mask production world-wide pre-COVID was at about 20 million a day, of which about half were produced in China. By t...
by DavidD
04 May 2020 02:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6395
Views: 591477

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J9Vh9yqu5Qo The U.S. intelligence report says China not only misled the world on the severity of the virus, but also stockpiled medical supplies and PPE. J9Vh9yqu5Qo Who isn't stockpiling PPEs these days? If China didn't stockpile them the story would be how the Chin...
by DavidD
23 Apr 2020 04:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 465
Views: 71958

Re: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India

Why do so many people think COVID will speed up reshoring? Reshoring is happening mostly from AI/robotics eliminating the need for cheap labor, i.e. economic concerns, I don't see how COVID changes that. Reshoring was happening largely in manufacturing thanks to trade wars etc - the supply chain vu...
by DavidD
23 Apr 2020 04:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6395
Views: 591477

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Population density or lack of it shows up in R0 or transmission. Or rather in a given unit of time, x units will be infected vs. y units infected. However, once they are infected the death rates are to be compared. It helps to compare death rate even state wise and county wise. Using that, it has b...
by DavidD
23 Apr 2020 03:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 465
Views: 71958

Re: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India

Why do so many people think COVID will speed up reshoring? Reshoring is happening mostly from AI/robotics eliminating the need for cheap labor, i.e. economic concerns, I don't see how COVID changes that.
by DavidD
10 Apr 2020 20:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6395
Views: 591477

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Can someone figure out why - in Jan & Feb, were so few Chinese outside Wuhan infected ? The number of people travelling from Wuhan to other parts of China, through high speed rail and air, is exponentially more than those travelling abroad (who have since infected 1.6 million people and killed ...
by DavidD
07 Apr 2020 21:09
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6395
Views: 591477

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Intensivists are gobsmacked on how to tackle this disease ...this is not behaving like typical ARDS! There is widespread pulmonary microthrombus disadvantaging any lungs recruitment. Higher PEEP is counter productive. Some liberal fluids is OK. Prostacyclin , Nitric Oxide is back so is systemic ant...
by DavidD
02 Apr 2020 01:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India
Replies: 465
Views: 71958

Re: Post Wuhan-Virus(Covid19) World and India

The Anglo-Saxons have not been Number ONE in the past half millenia for no reason. They are a powerful, quick thinking, quick reacting, ruthless race. When the US and UK are openly considering Herd Immunity early in the game, we should not see it as some kind grasping at straws and not a deliberate...
by DavidD
26 Mar 2020 09:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6395
Views: 591477

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

No, you are wrong, the reason why dengue spreads more in the summer not because the virus prefers it, but because the vector, a mosquito, only survives in the summer not the winter. Please don't get those get those confused. Same for zika and chikungunya - they're all spread primarily by mosquitos ...
by DavidD
26 Mar 2020 02:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6395
Views: 591477

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I have one question in general. Why do we have less death rate in terms of flu when compared to other developed nations with such wonderfull health care facility? Interesting question. Someone should write a paper on this. India was also spared the wrath of the SARS virus. It is not the case just w...
by DavidD
19 Mar 2020 07:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6395
Views: 591477

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Azithromycin as far as far as I know is an anti-bacterial but will it work against a virus?. Here is some personal experience. Few weeks back my son who lives in bay area and does come in contact with Chinese at work came down with sore throat and cough but he had no fever. At that time no panic, n...
by DavidD
16 Mar 2020 07:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6395
Views: 591477

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Hi all, some might recognize me as the Chinese poster who posts mostly in China-related military and political threads. My day job, however, is an Internal Medicine physician working in the San Francisco bay area, one of the epicenters of outbreaks in the US. I'm not an expert on this virus by any m...
by DavidD
13 Mar 2020 03:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 6395
Views: 591477

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^^^not to mention that Soko has a larger elderly population than most. I guess isolation and quarantine are the most effective... There are more factors at play than that. 1) SK was exceptionally well prepared as they had literally just ran a national pandemic drill in December in response to recen...
by DavidD
21 Jun 2018 07:45
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

Pretty sure the 1st carrier returned to dry dock after a few days of first trial as well.
by DavidD
27 May 2018 02:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Sri Lanka - News and Discussion
Replies: 3770
Views: 336053

Re: Sri Lanka - News and Discussion

I cannot understand why we don't lend SL Money.Let it be caught in an Indian debt trap rather than the Chins! Utter myopia in the MEA.We will have to spend several billions just to counter the " Chins in the island.Centuries old prophecy allegedly in an ancient Trick Mobil is coming true...abo...
by DavidD
08 Mar 2018 18:52
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

Hello Dave! Long time no see. And never mind upholding the honor of the Middle Kingdom by pawning the ad hoc kitchen off on Vietnam. We already said the noodles look tasty. Please look at this and translate what is being said about the Z-20: Hmm, it's a bit cryptic, it says "Boss, a hot pot to...
by DavidD
07 Mar 2018 22:31
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

052Ds do not have slant launchers, 052Cs are no longer in production, 054As have square canisters, and 056/As do not have quad launchers. That newspaper appears to be in Vietnamese, it's likely a Vietnamese warship.
by DavidD
03 Feb 2018 20:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 1405
Views: 260263

Re: Analyzing CPEC

I think it's wrong to focus on material gains like money and assets with OBOR investments. Like many of you mentioned, countries can default on loans, they can nationalize assets. What would China do if countries do that, invade them like the U.S. does? No, what it's about is building a supply chain...
by DavidD
01 Feb 2018 07:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 3772
Views: 668223

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

That's a way too India-centric view of Chinese thinking. China has been dismissive of India because India has been dismissable. I am saying that the gap is widening rapidly, that one can understand the dismissive attitude of China and that we have a similar attitude towards Pakistan etc. I am not t...
by DavidD
01 Feb 2018 07:00
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

Possible railgun being tested aboard an 072 LST. http://imagesvc.timeincapp.com/v3/foundry/image/?q=60&url=https%3A%2F%2Fs3.amazonaws.com%2Fthe-drive-staging%2Fmessage-editor%252F1517418372024-jajah1313.jpg http://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/18119/is-this-chinese-navy-ship-equipped-with-an-exp...
by DavidD
31 Jan 2018 12:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 3772
Views: 668223

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

SS sir, if China is fearful of India, China will relent and there would not be the kind of language they are using in their official communication either through Gober Times or by "kya hua". China has a blind spot that is India. They think that India is much worse than Philippines in stre...
by DavidD
14 Jan 2018 14:32
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015
Replies: 913
Views: 169517

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

I'm surprised this isn't being talked about more. This is by far the biggest geopolitical/geoeconomics development of a generation. https://tomluongo.me/2018/01/12/surging-russian-chinese-trade-pressures-petrodollar/ Surging Russian-Chinese Trade Pressures Petrodollar JANUARY 12, 2018 / TOM LUONGO T...
by DavidD
08 Jan 2018 14:29
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

The poem doesn't really provide any info besides saying that it's testing at the beginning of the year. It's supposed to be the second airframe with the new WS-10X engine.
by DavidD
07 Jan 2018 08:39
Forum: Mil-Tech Archive
Topic: MBT Arjun - News and Discussions
Replies: 1820
Views: 322796

Re: MBT Arjun - News and Discussions

The Tesla battery is designed to replace ~50 liters of gasoline, you'll need like 30 of those to replace a MBT's fuel requirement.
by DavidD
07 Jan 2018 06:04
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

I think you need to give some examples of Chinese factories churning out planes without economic rationale. The only duplicate capabilities being built have significant export support, e.g. the JL-9 and JL-10, or the UAVs, just as you described with the American MIC. There are other duplicate projec...
by DavidD
07 Jan 2018 02:55
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 3772
Views: 668223

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

http://money.cnn.com/2018/01/03/news/economy/pakistan-china-trump-trade-yuan-dollar/index.html Pakistan's central bank said it has officially adopted China's yuan as a currency for trade between the two countries, which are neighbors and allies. That means companies in China and Pakistan can now tr...
by DavidD
05 Jan 2018 05:59
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

^^^ Kudos to both your fanbois and propagandists for fabulous artwork. What does this one say? Nothing revealing, "close look at the white chrysanthemum". Mostly it's just a more detailed drawing of the new engine nozzle. People who draw these pics for example most likely have inside info...
by DavidD
04 Jan 2018 22:40
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

The question is not of the gap IMHO - but of quality. As the Z-10 case shows, the PRC may be rushing out the numbers, but its a different case if they are of the right quality! One poster on a Pak fora laments that the current LY-80/HQ-16 SAMS purchased by PAK (some 8 batteries) can't target recedi...
by DavidD
31 Dec 2017 23:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India - South & North Korea Thread
Replies: 1357
Views: 170601

Re: India - South & North Korea Thread

NK is actually getting close to being able use their nukes now, if war is to happen it'll happen soon. I tend to believe it'll happen. China would intervene, but again I wouldn't be sure it'd be to KJU's benefit.
by DavidD
25 Dec 2017 23:56
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

Np. The J-20 cartoon specifically mentions TaiHang, the name for WS-10. Previous photos also clearly show that it's a TaiHang variant. The J-10 one doesn't specifically mention WS-10, but it doesn't look like the 117S or Al series. We don't have clear enough pictures or even specific rumors about w...
by DavidD
25 Dec 2017 03:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India - South & North Korea Thread
Replies: 1357
Views: 170601

Re: India - South & North Korea Thread

Why wait for war to break out? I suspect that "war" will consist of a "provocation" by North Korea, real or otherwise, followed by a massive simultaneous strike by US cruise missiles, artillery suppression, SAM suppression, anti-command&control strikes, and decapitation stri...
by DavidD
25 Dec 2017 03:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 3772
Views: 668223

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

IMO if China is to make a move it'll be in the winter. From China's perspective, infrastructure is their biggest advantage, and that advantage is the greatest during the winter. The current build-up is occurring during the winter because they believe that India cannot conduct similar build-up during...
by DavidD
25 Dec 2017 02:11
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

Np. The J-20 cartoon specifically mentions TaiHang, the name for WS-10. Previous photos also clearly show that it's a TaiHang variant. The J-10 one doesn't specifically mention WS-10, but it doesn't look like the 117S or Al series. We don't have clear enough pictures or even specific rumors about wh...
by DavidD
25 Dec 2017 00:30
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

Real picture today: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DR0KHziVQAAQXEF.jpg Testing pic from a few years back: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DR0KPH6UEAAfvxW.jpg Also, another minor addition to my previous post. The J-20 cartoon isn't meant to show the serrated nozzled WS-10s on them, real pictures of those en...
by DavidD
24 Dec 2017 12:39
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 4303
Views: 919499

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

Minor additions/corrections, the J-20 one is the serrated, non-TVC nozzle. The Chinese words say "Taihang's peak", with Taihang being the name for WS-10, indicating an upgraded, possibly final version of WS-10. The J-10 one is supposed to be the white TVC nozzle, of the Chinese words on th...
by DavidD
24 Dec 2017 12:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India - South & North Korea Thread
Replies: 1357
Views: 170601

Re: India - South & North Korea Thread

UNSC unanimously approves fuel cutoff. That is a green light for USN/Poodleboats to stop ships on the high seas and search for NoKo-bound content, IMO. IOW, blockade. Wonder if they will stop cheen ships. Strange that this got unanimous approval, which means that Russia is not willing to support No...
by DavidD
23 Dec 2017 13:55
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 3772
Views: 668223

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

That is a common Chinese argument and valid enough. You too have a right to be barbarous because there are babarians in the world. Sophisticated. The world is a barbarous place, and people are barbaric. We like to think we've become more civilized through the millennia, but really we're just barbar...
by DavidD
23 Dec 2017 11:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 3772
Views: 668223

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Well, you know what's gonna happen at Xinjiang. That kind of surveillance has only been around a couple of years. In a couple of decades it'll become the way of life, and in a few more decades Uighurs will at best be like the Hui and assimilate. There's certainly nothing ethical about any of it, but...

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