Search found 1869 matches

by Shanmukh
24 Apr 2019 01:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1971
Views: 140615

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

From Dr PP. If true will send him money. He can get ghee shakkar Big shock today, Mallikarjun Kharge, the leader of the UPA in the parliament is trailing in Gulbarga. He was leading throughout the day because of mass deletion of Brahmin, Lingayat sounding names from voter list, yet we believe the c...
by Shanmukh
23 Apr 2019 02:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1971
Views: 140615

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Does anyone else think something smells here? https://www.mynation.com/video/india-news/5-jds-workers-among-dead-in-sri-lanka-blasts-2-missing-pqcozw 5 JDS workers among dead in Sri Lanka blasts, 2 missing 22, Apr 2019, 12:34 PM IST Bengaluru: Seven JD(S) workers who travelled to Sri Lanka on a vac...
by Shanmukh
22 Apr 2019 23:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1971
Views: 140615

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Even in your somewhat conservative analysis: -50 in existing strongholds and +30 in virgin territory: That Puts BJP at ~260 with NDA at comfortable 272+ position..? So is Panic called for? Panic? Where did I suggest panic? I just commented that the numbers of the satta bazaar that were published by...
by Shanmukh
22 Apr 2019 23:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1971
Views: 140615

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

IndraD wrote:can this be atoned with gains in Bengal, Odisha, South India & NE?


They can gain around 25-30 seats from the four regions [this is the best case]. It is hard for them to make up more than that.
by Shanmukh
22 Apr 2019 23:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1971
Views: 140615

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

In 2014, BJP won 25/25 in Rajasthan. This time it is likely to be 18-20. In 2014, BJP won 26/26 in Gujarat. This time it is likey to be 22-23. In 2014, BJP won 22/40 in Bihar. This time, they are contesting only 17, and are likely to win 14-15. In 2014, BJP won 23/48 in Maharashtra. This time, it i...
by Shanmukh
22 Apr 2019 21:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1971
Views: 140615

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Basically, it is going to come down to this. BJP will lose ~50 seats [at least] of the 282 seats they won last time. and This is assuming that the UP results go well for BJP and it does not lose >15 seats. seem to be mutually contradictory. you have given a break-up for possible seats in S, E &...
by Shanmukh
22 Apr 2019 19:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1971
Views: 140615

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

I have a Satta Bazaar estimate putting 299/350 for BJP/NDA. It's in Hindi. भाजपा.         = 299 सहयोगी।       =    51 *एनडीए -     = 350* *महाराष्ट्र (48)* = भाजपा -25 सहयोगी -16 *गुजरात (26)* = बीजेपी -26 *मध्य प्रदेश (29)* = भाजपा -25 *राजस्थान - (25)* = बीजेपी -22 *पंजाब (13)* = भाजपा- 4 सहयोगी ...
by Shanmukh
09 Apr 2019 08:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1971
Views: 140615

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Here is a survey by Mathrubhumi for 19/20 seats in Kerala [For some strange reason, they have not given the Kottayam survey]. https://www.mathrubhumi.com/election/2019/lok-sabha/news/mathrubhumi-survey-1.3712658 According to this survey, BJP is leading in Thiruvananthapuram by 8%vote, getting 40% o...
by Shanmukh
09 Apr 2019 08:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1971
Views: 140615

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Here is a survey by Mathrubhumi for 19/20 seats in Kerala [For some strange reason, they have not given the Kottayam survey]. https://www.mathrubhumi.com/election/2019/lok-sabha/news/mathrubhumi-survey-1.3712658 According to this survey, BJP is leading in Thiruvananthapuram by 8%vote, getting 40% of...
by Shanmukh
23 Mar 2019 15:32
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11859
Views: 811102

Re: Levant crisis - III

Apparently, ISIS has lost its last stronghold [Baghouz].

https://www.cnn.com/2019/03/23/middleea ... index.html

So what is going to happen next in Syria? Any ideas?
by Shanmukh
27 Feb 2019 17:15
Forum: Military Issues Archive
Topic: Indian Forces Strikes Pakistan Terrorist Camps
Replies: 2210
Views: 129460

Re: Indian Forces Strikes Pakistan Terrorist Camps

I am not going to second guess the IAF about the disposition of the planes and how they have to fight. They know far more than we civilians do about fighting wars. And anyway, in war, you cannot plan for every single eventuality. Let use see the results thus far and tabulate them. 1) IAF attacks Jih...
by Shanmukh
27 Feb 2019 00:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Endgame of NaPakistan: How and what afterwards
Replies: 372
Views: 44838

Re: Endgame of NaPakistan: How and what afterwards

Announce location and time of bombing raids? So that the AA/ PAF can be ready? That's what I meant by the genuflective tendency of civilian netas who think they are in RamaRajya. I would bomb at the deepest hour of the pre-dawn to catch as many as possible in their beds or goat-sheds. Then you need...
by Shanmukh
25 Feb 2019 23:09
Forum: Military Issues Archive
Topic: Upcoming India-Pakistan War - Force Balances, Strategy, Tactics, etc.
Replies: 200
Views: 11920

Re: Upcoming India-Pakistan War - Force Balances, Strategy, Tactics, etc.

@Ramana, Thanks for starting this thread. I am going to focus on one major point of this potential war - the war aims and objectives. The most important point which we need to answer is - what is our objective? What exactly do we want to achieve from the war? What is the final result we desire to se...
by Shanmukh
18 Feb 2019 10:35
Forum: Military Issues Archive
Topic: Pulwama Attack
Replies: 2282
Views: 161532

Re: Pulwama Attack

Three Jihadi students, Manzoor, Mushtaq, and Maqbool [all three from Kashmir, BTW], attack a fellow student, Koushik Debnath, over the latter's Facebook post supporting the army in BENGALURU. Here are the ironies - both Manzoor and Maqbool were admitted under Prime MInister's Scholarship Scheme [for...
by Shanmukh
17 Feb 2019 22:55
Forum: Military Issues Archive
Topic: Pulwama Attack
Replies: 2282
Views: 161532

Re: Pulwama Attack

Supratik Ji , Suffice to say that the Doval doctrine has failed at least in Kashmir and also wrt Pakistan. While we never had any major terror attack on civilian target till now , but two major and horrendous attacks have taken place on our security forces.The situation in Kashmir has gone from bad...
by Shanmukh
17 Feb 2019 20:37
Forum: Military Issues Archive
Topic: Pulwama Attack
Replies: 2282
Views: 161532

Re: Pulwama Attack

This comes from First Post, Dr Tara Kartha, who has spent 17 years at the National Security Council Secretariat, which sits at the apex of India's national security architecture. At the NSCS, she worked on terrorism and other security issues relating to the neighbourhood, and held special charge of...
by Shanmukh
17 Feb 2019 20:31
Forum: Military Issues Archive
Topic: Pulwama Attack
Replies: 2282
Views: 161532

Re: Pulwama Attack

No crowds in Dehradun who had cornered the Kashmiri girls, trapped in a hostel, but Kashmiri girls raised pro-Pakistani slogans which the police sorted out. This is what our hyper liberal media has turned into `attacks on Kashmiris.' https://twitter.com/uttarakhandcops/sta ... 9849795584
by Shanmukh
17 Feb 2019 19:43
Forum: Military Issues Archive
Topic: Pulwama Attack
Replies: 2282
Views: 161532

Re: Pulwama Attack

TSP is not a military power even today so what difference would it make? It’s failed state with a sh!t military and nooks. And we broke it into two four decades ago so did our problems disappear? And the western issues are overtly bloody but less dangerous than the eastern ones. Yes, 44 deaths on t...
by Shanmukh
16 Feb 2019 20:29
Forum: Military Issues Archive
Topic: Pulwama Attack
Replies: 2282
Views: 161532

Re: Pulwama Attack

Pakistanis violate ceasefire in Mendhar and Nowshera sectors after the terrorist strike. They are certainly spoiling for a fight. https://www.timesnownews.com/mirror-now/in-focus/article/terror-attacks-in-jammu-and-kashmir-s-awantipora-pulwama-district-pakistan-pm-imran-khan-kashmir-ceasefire-violat...
by Shanmukh
01 Feb 2019 20:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 4203
Views: 395786

Re: Internal Security Watch

I generally don't post my own articles, but this one, I think, needs to be read given the security and demographic implications that this is going to have for India. Saswati Sarkar, Dikgaj and I make a case for the Citizenship Amendment Bill on a civilisational, historical and demographic basis. We ...
by Shanmukh
18 Jan 2019 01:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 2761
Views: 385203

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Survey finds confidence in Pakistani economy to be the lowest in all of South Asia. https://profit.pakistantoday.com.pk/2019/01/17/pakistans-economic-confidence-falls-despite-strong-sentiment-in-region/ Commenting on the findings, ACCA Pakistan head Sajjeed Aslam said, “Despite overall confidence in...
by Shanmukh
01 Jan 2019 04:39
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: PRC Economy - New Reflections : April 20 2015
Replies: 1234
Views: 138871

Re: PRC Economy - New Reflections : April 20 2015

China's real estate market goes for a toss. If this really plummets, then I think China will be in deep trouble. Not sure how they can weather that upheaval. But then again, this is all western news and who knows how much they are cooking up stuff to keep the Chinese under pressure? https://www.thes...
by Shanmukh
12 Dec 2018 19:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wikipedia donations
Replies: 5
Views: 1267

Re: Wikipedia donations

Much as I might support the sentiment; I've gotta counsel... I don't think denying WikiPedia donations will obtain the result sought. The way to approach this, is to become a topic moderator for the topics where this has happened; and wage that battle in prose, backed with fact. I have seen those w...
by Shanmukh
12 Dec 2018 01:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wikipedia donations
Replies: 5
Views: 1267

Wikipedia donations

Every year, many of us donate to Wikipedia. However, there have been many concerns about their Indophobic/Hinduphobic content and how any corrections keep getting deleted by their moderators. This year too, I have got a mail from Wiki asking me to donate. Should we all try to draft a mail and send i...
by Shanmukh
05 Oct 2018 00:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 2761
Views: 385203

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

I will believe "The Rail Project" will only be on paper and the money will be in the pockets of Rashid and the other of the Ilk! Cheers http://www.skyscrapercity.com/images/smilies/beer.gif The next few PMs of Pakistan will have a blast of a time with this repayment to Chinese on the hori...
by Shanmukh
05 Oct 2018 00:12
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Urban Development and Public Policy Discussion
Replies: 425
Views: 44024

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

OT but TFR figures are falling pretty much every year. This is available data: 2010: 2.62 2011: 2.59 2012: 2.51 2013: 2.46 2014: 2.43 2015: 2.40 A simple forecasting experiment yields: 2016: 2.34 2017: 2.3 2018: 2.25 <--- Present day 2019: 2.20 2020: 2.15 2021: 2.11 2022: 2.06 In other words, we ar...
by Shanmukh
02 Oct 2018 23:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 2761
Views: 385203

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

"Therefore, we have reduced the loan from China under CPEC for rail projects from $8.2 billion to $6.2 billion," he added, referring to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Rasheed said the government remains committed to the Karachi-Peshawar Main Line-1 (ML-1) project but added t...
by Shanmukh
26 Jul 2018 09:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017
Replies: 2022
Views: 268941

Re: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017

Shanmukh, I’m not sure how the jurisdictional area of EWHC is relevant . It’s the banks themselves who appproached EWHC in order to win the ability to confiscate his properties within the jurisdiction of the court . Mallya has already been served his summons . He is to present himself in FMLA court...
by Shanmukh
26 Jul 2018 07:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017
Replies: 2022
Views: 268941

Re: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017

As a result of the High Court order, the Indian banks – State Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, Corporation bank, Federal Bank Ltd, IDBI Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, Jammu & Kashmir Bank, Punjab & Sind Bank, Punjab National Bank, State Bank of Mysore, UCO Bank, United Bank of India and JM Finan...
by Shanmukh
16 Jul 2018 09:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11859
Views: 811102

Re: Levant crisis - III

take a look at lake Ram in golan heights, it is completely rain fed and always remains full. So the area receives ample and more rainfall. Majdal Shams, the biggest Druze settlement, is on the banks of Lake Ram. However, its population is just about 10K & it still does not satisfy all its needs...
by Shanmukh
08 Jul 2018 20:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11859
Views: 811102

Re: Levant crisis - III

@Habal Here. Golan is always a water starved area, despite rains [due to the elevation], because there is nothing to hold the water. In a nutshell, the area is thinly populated simply because it is not economical to do anything there. It is not fertile - it is a rocky plateau, which is why mostly on...
by Shanmukh
07 Jul 2018 23:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11859
Views: 811102

Re: Levant crisis - III

Philip, Israel's plan is to expand into fertile areas of Syria like golan etc for its own citizens, not palestinians. That is why they are backing isis. So isis first creates instability and defeats status-quo power. Israel/usa defeats isis because 'hey it is a terrorist power' and it is the right ...
by Shanmukh
06 Jul 2018 06:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 2896
Views: 410160

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

@SSridhar,
Are we back to the One China policy again? After refusing to recognise it for years?
by Shanmukh
06 Jul 2018 03:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 2896
Views: 410160

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Air India succumbs to Chinese threat, & begins to refer to Taiwan as `Chinese Taipei'. https://www.firstpost.com/india/air-india-succumbs-to-chinas-strong-arm-tactics-on-taiwan-quad-member-india-has-weakened-own-position-4674441.html According to Brahma Chellaney, the Air India is just obeying t...
by Shanmukh
03 Jul 2018 05:26
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 2977
Views: 510909

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

From GST thread: A year since GST, Maharashtra govt’s coffers fuller by 28% What made a number of traders quickly adopt GST was the realisation that if one buys goods and services from an unregistered dealer, then a registered dealer would have to pay the entire tax and they won’t get any credit fo...
by Shanmukh
01 Jul 2018 19:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - April 24, 2018
Replies: 2845
Views: 215061

Re: Terroristan - April 24, 2018

The making of the Kargil Disaster - an inside story. https://www.dawn.com/news/1417105/the-making-of-the-kargil-disaster This is interesting for the number of assumptions that the Pakistani Army made in the Kargil disaster [for them] But it is also quite a bit of face saving for the civilian authori...
by Shanmukh
28 Jun 2018 07:11
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 2896
Views: 410160

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

We should welcome it, and propose to hold the first 2 + 1 session in Taipei. Rudradev-acharya, The 2+1 should be India, Japan & Taiwan. We should forget all about the US. Any balancing of China can be done only by India working with other Asian states like Japan, Taiwan & Vietnam. Maybe, ju...
by Shanmukh
21 Jun 2018 01:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K News and Discussion - 2016
Replies: 2460
Views: 439660

Re: J&K News and Discussion - 2016

After 2014 elections it was plain to BJP that J&K has to be freed from the grip of Abdullah-Gandhi/NC-INC nexus which was essentially pro Paki terrorists to hold Delhi govt. to ransom. Ram Madhav was given in charge and he contested in a four cornered election with PDP, NC. INC and BJP plus the...
by Shanmukh
13 Jun 2018 03:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 2896
Views: 410160

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Thanks, SS-saar, for the reply about Thailand. It is very interesting that Thailand is also playing a balancing game, though.
by Shanmukh
06 Jun 2018 00:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 2896
Views: 410160

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

It says `trilateral exercises with Singapore'. Which is the third country apart from India & Singapore? Season of Naval exercises: Guam, RIMPAC, trilateral - Manu Pubby, Economic Times . . . India will soon have another trilateral exercise closer home as well, with a decision taken to conduct j...

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