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by Shanmukh
16 Jul 2018 09:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

take a look at lake Ram in golan heights, it is completely rain fed and always remains full. So the area receives ample and more rainfall. Majdal Shams, the biggest Druze settlement, is on the banks of Lake Ram. However, its population is just about 10K & it still does not satisfy all its needs...
by Shanmukh
08 Jul 2018 20:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

@Habal Here. Golan is always a water starved area, despite rains [due to the elevation], because there is nothing to hold the water. In a nutshell, the area is thinly populated simply because it is not economical to do anything there. It is not fertile - it is a rocky plateau, which is why mostly on...
by Shanmukh
07 Jul 2018 23:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

Philip, Israel's plan is to expand into fertile areas of Syria like golan etc for its own citizens, not palestinians. That is why they are backing isis. So isis first creates instability and defeats status-quo power. Israel/usa defeats isis because 'hey it is a terrorist power' and it is the right ...
by Shanmukh
06 Jul 2018 06:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 1898
Views: 221430

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

@SSridhar,
Are we back to the One China policy again? After refusing to recognise it for years?
by Shanmukh
06 Jul 2018 03:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 1898
Views: 221430

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Air India succumbs to Chinese threat, & begins to refer to Taiwan as `Chinese Taipei'. https://www.firstpost.com/india/air-india-succumbs-to-chinas-strong-arm-tactics-on-taiwan-quad-member-india-has-weakened-own-position-4674441.html According to Brahma Chellaney, the Air India is just obeying t...
by Shanmukh
03 Jul 2018 05:26
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 1747
Views: 253419

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

From GST thread: A year since GST, Maharashtra govt’s coffers fuller by 28% What made a number of traders quickly adopt GST was the realisation that if one buys goods and services from an unregistered dealer, then a registered dealer would have to pay the entire tax and they won’t get any credit fo...
by Shanmukh
01 Jul 2018 19:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - April 24, 2018
Replies: 2515
Views: 162937

Re: Terroristan - April 24, 2018

The making of the Kargil Disaster - an inside story. https://www.dawn.com/news/1417105/the-making-of-the-kargil-disaster This is interesting for the number of assumptions that the Pakistani Army made in the Kargil disaster [for them] But it is also quite a bit of face saving for the civilian authori...
by Shanmukh
28 Jun 2018 07:11
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 1898
Views: 221430

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

We should welcome it, and propose to hold the first 2 + 1 session in Taipei. Rudradev-acharya, The 2+1 should be India, Japan & Taiwan. We should forget all about the US. Any balancing of China can be done only by India working with other Asian states like Japan, Taiwan & Vietnam. Maybe, ju...
by Shanmukh
21 Jun 2018 01:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K News and Discussion - 2016
Replies: 2226
Views: 340839

Re: J&K News and Discussion - 2016

After 2014 elections it was plain to BJP that J&K has to be freed from the grip of Abdullah-Gandhi/NC-INC nexus which was essentially pro Paki terrorists to hold Delhi govt. to ransom. Ram Madhav was given in charge and he contested in a four cornered election with PDP, NC. INC and BJP plus the...
by Shanmukh
13 Jun 2018 03:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 1898
Views: 221430

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Thanks, SS-saar, for the reply about Thailand. It is very interesting that Thailand is also playing a balancing game, though.
by Shanmukh
06 Jun 2018 00:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 1898
Views: 221430

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

It says `trilateral exercises with Singapore'. Which is the third country apart from India & Singapore? Season of Naval exercises: Guam, RIMPAC, trilateral - Manu Pubby, Economic Times . . . India will soon have another trilateral exercise closer home as well, with a decision taken to conduct j...
by Shanmukh
06 Jun 2018 00:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

unable to militarily browbeat iraq, the sultan has now closed a massive "illisu dam" and the tigris water levels are at record low. he has also periodically dammed the euphrates headwaters to pressure the syrians. as the upper state to both rivers, he is sitting pretty with hand on the ta...
by Shanmukh
02 Jun 2018 06:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 1898
Views: 221430

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

From the 'Joint Military Exercise' thread, India to soon start tri-lateral exercise with Singapore: PM Modi The recent access to Changi Naval base by the IN, which is already a large base for the US Pacific fleet, and the above statement suggest that it could be a new trilateral between India-Singa...
by Shanmukh
31 May 2018 02:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 1517
Views: 182493

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Trump has upended this calculus. I don't know whether he is a master-strategist or a baboon, and frankly at this point I don't care. I only care about the repercussions for us. We are seeing, for the first time since Parakram days, Congressional Committee members standing up and making threats agai...
by Shanmukh
17 Apr 2018 00:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

Maybe the Chinese were trying out their kill switches on the `Made in China' parts in Yumreeki mijjiles? Maybe that is why only a few reached the final destination?
by Shanmukh
30 Mar 2018 03:29
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Historical Battles in Ancient & Medieval Bharat
Replies: 2398
Views: 255567

Re: Historical Battles in Ancient & Medieval Bharat

csaurabh wrote:
ramana wrote:Grant Duff.
It's there in Archive.org


Downloading now.. Isn't there a good book by an Indian author? /disappoint


New History of the Marathas, GS Sardesai. All the volumes are there on archive, I think.
by Shanmukh
19 Mar 2018 04:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations
Replies: 572
Views: 42101

Re: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations

#All I am actually curious about this. The Ottoman Sultan's avowed intention is to restore the Ottoman empire. Once he has got the Kurds under control in Iraq, Syria, etc, can he expand in the other direction, i.e., Europe into Bulgaria or maybe even Ukraine? Wiki chacha tells me that two provinces ...
by Shanmukh
19 Mar 2018 04:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 579
Views: 70883

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Cross posting from the Turkey thread. Turkey's semi official paper wants 5 million `Army of Islam' to use against Israel. http://mobile.wnd.com/2018/03/army-of-islam-would-be-worlds-biggest-military/ had opined earlier that this was what would happen, i.e., that when the dust settled down in West As...
by Shanmukh
19 Mar 2018 04:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations
Replies: 572
Views: 42101

Re: Turkey News, discussions, India Turkey Relations

Turkey's semi official paper wants 5 million `Army of Islam' to use against Israel. http://mobile.wnd.com/2018/03/army-of-islam-would-be-worlds-biggest-military/ I had opined earlier that this was what would happen, i.e., that when the dust settled down in West Asia, the winner of the regional confl...
by Shanmukh
13 Mar 2018 21:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

@Singha,
You have done a fantastic coverage of the Syrian-Iraqi conflict. If the East Ghouta front is removed, what Syrian forces does it free up? Also, what other fronts are still active? Idlib, south near the Israeli border for sure. But are there any other serious fronts still active?
by Shanmukh
19 Feb 2018 12:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-Russia: News & Analysis
Replies: 5356
Views: 473409

Re: India-Russia: News & Analysis

The major problem we have with Russia is that there is not much ordinary citizen engagement with Russians. Most of the engagement is in defence or via public sector companies like Oil & Gas, etc. Probably because most Indians don't speak/read Russian, but also Russia is out of favour with many ...
by Shanmukh
11 Feb 2018 00:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-Russia: News & Analysis
Replies: 5356
Views: 473409

Re: India-Russia: News & Analysis

The major problem we have with Russia is that there is not much ordinary citizen engagement with Russians. Most of the engagement is in defence or via public sector companies like Oil & Gas, etc. Probably because most Indians don't speak/read Russian, but also Russia is out of favour with many A...
by Shanmukh
09 Feb 2018 21:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

and its not as if the kurds are historical enemies of turkish people..infact they were enthusiastic participants in past genocides like of armenians and served the sultans army. most famous historical kurd https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saladin#Early_life Saladin was born in Tikrit in modern-day Ira...
by Shanmukh
02 Feb 2018 06:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

@Singha,
Fantastic overview of the involved groups in the Syrian rebels. Thanks.
by Shanmukh
31 Jan 2018 21:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

@Singha, Fantastic analysis of the strategic points. Assuming that Idlib falls & Nusra is shattered, what happens to the other Jihadi units that are under the Syrian rebels? Will Nusra just hide among them? Or will they take a few nice buses to Europe? If Idlib & Jisr al Shugour fall, will t...
by Shanmukh
25 Jan 2018 10:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

@Singha, It is not just the Armenians & Assyrians & the rest of the Middle Eastern Christians who dislike the Kurds. Even the Russians in the 18th & 19th century really really disliked the Kurds for what the Kurds did to the Christians of the Middle East. More than one Russian officer ha...
by Shanmukh
21 Jan 2018 22:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indo-Israel: News and Discussion
Replies: 2510
Views: 215075

Re: Indo-Israel: News and Discussion

Also, Haaretz is a left-liberal (Labor Party leaning) newspaper and therefore at odds with Netanyahu, who's the leader of the center-right Likud Party. Pretty much analogous to quoting ToI regarding NaMo. Likud Party was founded by Ariel Sharon and Menachem Begin. Haaretz is more partial to center-...
by Shanmukh
21 Jan 2018 21:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

@Singha
Grand! How many Kurds can take refugee status in Europe? Can they accept another 10 million West Asians/Afghans/Pakistanis as refugees? (3 million for France, 3 million for UK, 3 million for Germany & 1 million in the rest)?
by Shanmukh
15 Jan 2018 06:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indo-Israel: News and Discussion
Replies: 2510
Views: 215075

Re: Indo-Israel: News and Discussion

Israeli perspective of what they want from us. A share in the arms import pie, a share in the Indian defence modernisation pie & de-hyphenation of Palestine-Israel & reduced ties with Iran. Well, about the last, they seem to be a bit more pragmatic. https://www.haaretz.com/opinion/.premium-1...
by Shanmukh
15 Jan 2018 06:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

@Singha, You have done a phenomenal job tracking the Syro-Iraqi war. Assuming that Idlib falls, is it the end of the revolt in Syria? Is there anywhere else they can take green buses & continue fighting? Or will the next set of green buses be to France & UK? What comes next for the alphabet ...
by Shanmukh
28 Nov 2017 16:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Levant crisis - III
Replies: 11415
Views: 661269

Re: Levant crisis - III

The path followed by that road is interesting. Why does it follow the Tigris from Baghdad to Mosul & then turn southwest? The natural ancient roads, IIRC, used to follow the Euphrates from west of Babylon (southwest of today's Baghdad) to Zeugma (east of Aleppo). Why is the current road so zigzag?
by Shanmukh
28 Nov 2017 01:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 1877
Views: 206415

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

I don't understand the question. Why would any creditor willingly destroy collateral ?? When the only way to recover anything from the investment on the bridge is not by tolls (good luck to anyone collecting anything in Pakistan), current or future, but by selling (the section) of the bridge for sc...
by Shanmukh
28 Nov 2017 01:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 26/11/2008: Never Forget. Never Forgive
Replies: 540
Views: 41493

Re: 26/11/2008: Never Forget. Never Forgive

“ If Pakistan does not take action to lawfully detain Saeed and charge him for his crimes, its inaction will have repercussions for bilateral relations and for Pakistan’s global reputation. ” This has to be a sick joke. Pakistanis harbouring bin Laden didn't have any repercussions for US-Pakistani ...
by Shanmukh
28 Nov 2017 01:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 1877
Views: 206415

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

@Suraj,
If the Pakistanis refuse/fail to pay up, can the creditor dynamite that section of the highway/bridge that has been pledged? Or is the poor creditor only limited to collecting tolls (assuming that anyone can collect anything in Pakistan) in that section of the highway/bridge?
by Shanmukh
25 Nov 2017 23:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017
Replies: 1406
Views: 157886

Re: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017

@Peregrine
Thanks very much, saar.
by Shanmukh
25 Nov 2017 03:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Afghanistan News & Discussion - April 2016
Replies: 724
Views: 100403

Re: Afghanistan News & Discussion - April 2016

Pak is fretting because India may be asked for boots on ground and joint ops with NATO. Hectic activity/lobbying between Beijing & Riyad. PRC was asked to cover/deploy in FATA/NWFP. Can't see how it is conceivable. Just to provide an update on this. Spoke to someone who is a go-between between ...
by Shanmukh
25 Nov 2017 03:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017
Replies: 1406
Views: 157886

Re: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017

@ArjunPandit Thanks very much, saar.
by Shanmukh
24 Nov 2017 22:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017
Replies: 1406
Views: 157886

Re: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017

@Suraj
Thanks for answering my question with the fantastic research on the UK vote.

@A Nandy
The article is behind a paywall for me. What does it say?
by Shanmukh
21 Nov 2017 01:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017
Replies: 1406
Views: 157886

Re: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017

How come Somalia got elected so easily? Is there some kind of quota system in ICJ too, which makes India face off against the UK (maybe the Commonwealth seat)?
by Shanmukh
14 Nov 2017 00:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 579
Views: 70883

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

@JEM, Thanks for your answer. With all this turmoil in Saudi & all the rest, with Qatar outraged, can Iran pursue a Shia spring in Bahrain? How feasible is it? On a side note, JEM, you may well be right. A Lebanese Christian colleague's famly has come here on `vacation' (in the middle of winter,...

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