Search found 200 matches

by greatde
21 Aug 2024 13:16
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Modi 3.0 - Bharat
Replies: 2051
Views: 824922

Re: Modi 3.0 - Bharat

Actually, voters like leaders who can brazen out their decisions, as these people are seen as strong willed. Withdrawing the right step quickly just because RG gave it a spin shows poorly on Modi and voters will see it as chickening out Not really. In India, voters vote for their veto power. And it...
by greatde
18 Aug 2024 19:30
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Modi 3.0 - Bharat
Replies: 2051
Views: 824922

Re: Modi 3.0 - Bharat

The lateral entry for government jobs, and the RaGa reaction against it & privatization, is exactly why development is a double edged. I hope government realizes it, and that’s why it under-performed in 2024 elections. Development brings fair competition, small businesses, skill based approach, ...
by greatde
10 Jun 2024 12:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1499
Views: 516723

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

BJP also needs to ask itself. How many seats it lost as a result vote split to BSP. All that the BJP needs to do is get back to its roots and to re establish the connect it seems to have lost with its core grass roots savvy supporters Reduce imports, especially the shady guys from other parties and...
by greatde
10 Jun 2024 12:11
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
Replies: 4446
Views: 1815313

Re: J&K Union Territory-2019

We have to understand, BJP no longer enjoys the overwhelming support among middle class people. Last two years, most of the criticism was swept under rug cuz they had numbers. By hook or by crook, Cong+ punctured that bubble now. It's no longer core supporters that are being angry with BJP. It's no...
by greatde
09 Jun 2024 21:35
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1499
Views: 516723

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

BJP did give the first actual Dalit & ST for India president, and various record numbers of allocations within SC/ST/OBC. Yet, they lost their votes in some constituencies, and ironic, development could be one reason. New development brings competition, and changes the status quo, brings jealous...
by greatde
08 Jun 2024 20:26
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1499
Views: 516723

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

With hindsight, why did Congress/UPA lose 2019 elections then? After all, 2024 & 2019 was fought on the same lines, 1Lakh wages, freebies, Modi is corrupt, Modi will end reservation. The opposition actually had a better-defined campaign in 2019. Yet,few takers back in 2019, so what has changed ...
by greatde
08 Jun 2024 20:24
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1499
Views: 516723

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

A_Gupta wrote: 08 Jun 2024 19:45 It is like the Indian cricket team, beating everyone left and right, and then unexpectedly losing, too.
Wrong. BJP/NDA won, it was a simple win, not a outstanding one. Lets appreciate and be comfortable with imperfect results, imperfect leaders despite pathetic voters turnout.
by greatde
08 Jun 2024 17:18
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1499
Views: 516723

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

With hindsight, why did Congress/UPA lose 2019 elections then? After all, 2024 & 2019 was fought on the same lines, 1Lakh wages, freebies, Modi is corrupt, Modi will end reservation. The opposition actually had a better-defined campaign in 2019. Yet,few takers back in 2019, so what has changed t...
by greatde
08 Jun 2024 17:07
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1499
Views: 516723

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

%age votes polled by BJP are higher than in the previous election BJP also contested more seats. BJP definitely under-performed. Interestingly, many rants about Modi/BJP. But what about vice versa, surely Modi must many problems with us, his own voters? We let him down, and shown we can't be trusted.
by greatde
06 Jun 2024 18:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1499
Views: 516723

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

Inclusivity has to start at voting day! That should be first goal of Modi 3.0. Voter turnout got to increase. Be it at malls, ac polling booths, ballet polls, online voting. Challenges like internal sabotage, external interference are there, yet it has to be done foremost. Put pressure where Jitni a...
by greatde
03 Jun 2024 12:24
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results
Replies: 1499
Views: 516723

Re: 2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

1) BJP & Supporters have good presence on Twitter. This started pre-2014 itself. But not so much in Instagram, YouTube etc. They need to amp up the game. They dont have to do it themselves, but provide ideological, monetary & other forms of institutional support to citizens who want to beco...
by greatde
14 Apr 2024 18:09
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Replies: 1668
Views: 616008

Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]

Covid can be the big factor between 2019, and 2024. Rahul Gandhi 72000 minimum wage failed in 2019, yet the 1L to women could appear differently in 2024 now. Covid has undoubtedly caused much pessimistic, lethargy and that is still reflected today across all sectors. BJP probably also knows this, an...
by greatde
13 Dec 2023 21:38
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 1081184

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

It should not be limited to just parliament. All highly sensitive places got to rechecked, and training done professionally.

Surely, drills should be regular, both for the security personal, and people in the institution. Like here, many MPs here didn't even know what to do next...
by greatde
12 Sep 2023 13:38
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 1081184

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

Its hardly about a panic or them being scared by BJP. These DMK are habitually spewers and thus, its not a new thing, and lets not forget their past. The only difference is now they are one combined opposition alliance, and thus national media are actually covering them. And then their leaders are f...
by greatde
21 Jun 2023 01:08
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 1081184

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

Potentially allies like Manjhi of Ham party or Om Rajbhar have made interesting comments on Lord Ram itself. So it pointless to debate about Hindu people or Hinduphobia. BJP have both allies and hindu name members within who are not even really practising Hindus by any means. Similarly, there are op...
by greatde
15 May 2023 13:06
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 529563

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

I've looked at the numbers in some detail. There are structural problems with the BJP which are evident in the last 3 state elections (Guj, HP and Karnataka). It has little to do with Hindu vote consolidation. In every single State election since 2014, the BJP's vote share is less than the previous...
by greatde
15 May 2023 09:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 529563

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

Imo, our people vote on how bad the party is, rather than good of party. There was nothing against, nor questions on local Congress and their 2 big state leaders, and thus the environment favored them. Whereas, lots of questions, negativity about state BJP. It's the fault of local BJP for doing noth...
by greatde
13 May 2023 15:20
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 529563

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

Impeding genocide, and the now impeding doom, that's always been the opposition propaganda, so let's not fell into that trap and over-react. The issues isn't BJP core voters or core agenda (UCC, CAA), but the ability to attract the weakest part of societies. The uneducated, poor people. This is toug...
by greatde
10 May 2023 22:15
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 529563

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

In 2018, many seats with <5000 margin was won by BJP, which made the difference. So 1% swing can matter in a close election. Then, BJP struggles in urban city of Bengaluru, that region has been managed badly, together with just 50% turnout there and it's this region that potentially hurt BJP? Next, ...
by greatde
10 May 2023 19:37
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 529563

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

Most are predicting Congress as either SLP, or simple majority. So that was the expected outcome for many months, a bit like Rajasthan 2018. Strong anti-incumbency, internal rebellion, weak CM, just that the Modi factor helped to reduce the gap, but not enough to overcome.
by greatde
24 Apr 2023 16:21
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 1081184

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

There ought to something done about the growing cartoonize of the Hindu religion. This will blur and confuse future generations about how their cartoons can be seen as gods. And then the creators have no due diligence, they could add their own masala, woke, human rights elements in long term. There ...
by greatde
29 Mar 2023 21:32
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 10136
Views: 2974499

Re: Understanding the US - Again

In some irony, this non-binary movement is actually making the thinking "binary". This thinking process of either good or bad, either happy or sad. There is no middle ground, or tolerance when things are not going your way. There is high and low extremes, and are very prone to mood swings....
by greatde
29 Mar 2023 14:45
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 1081184

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

Seems there is overconfidence on BJP numbers. That can be dangerous as make voters complacent. Ultimately, BJP voters need that do or die mindset, else turnout gets lower and that affects results. A small swing is all it takes. We already saw that in 2019 MH state elections, where what should have b...
by greatde
29 Mar 2023 12:37
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 1081184

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

a similar situation is developing in TN too. many "alliance" leaders are looking to bypass the local/state BJP bosses and dialogue directly with AS because many "alliance" leaders are of the same caste/community as annamalai and will vie to dominate the very votebanks that annam...
by greatde
13 Mar 2023 22:40
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 1081184

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

How can Simranjit Singh Mann remain an MP? That guy is opening calling for separate nation Khalistan, sikhs as not Indians. Surely, that goes against the constitution? What is the judiciary, media, and the government doing on such "mainstream" leader. I don't think even the Kashmir MPs are...
by greatde
28 Feb 2023 22:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 1081184

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

My bacha analysis or whatever feedback with my circle of people is about, pro BJP ppl actually turning out to vote will decide it all. It could be complacency, or it could sheer oversmartness. I still hear hilarious arguments that Modi losing is good for democracy. Then, there are many “Uddhavs” amo...
by greatde
18 Feb 2023 14:49
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 3819918

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Uddhav has completely lost it, and now no chance of return back? How did Uddhav become a lost cause? Our history is filled with many selfish and traitorous acts. He is symbolic of many Hindus who are terrible confused and jealously among peers which often leads to senseless and self defeating decisi...
by greatde
26 Jan 2023 07:54
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 3819918

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

When Muslims can embrace Shiv Sena/Uddhav, it clear politics is about short term goals and oxymorons. Mulayam being awarded has to be seen on similar lines, which is a good move by BJP. It is completely wrong to fight about “purity” when the other side is full of oxymorons and contradictions. Winnin...
by greatde
13 Jan 2023 18:04
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 3819918

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Any big wishlist is amateurish. There are century old problems, and so to expect Modi/BJP to resolve them is foolish. Not everything can be done by government, it's always and more importantly about the people. Our own mentality has to change, like can we think of being job creators, not just job se...
by greatde
23 Nov 2022 16:07
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 3819918

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Swamy is driven by self-importance, and that leads to jealousy, and infighting. Its’s a big problem within the dharmic side of personal importance. Uddhav is another example, who just couldnt digest that his (once) juniors are now leading the state. And now he is ready to surrender himself to the ot...
by greatde
08 Nov 2022 23:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 529563

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Talks about JDU merger with RJD. It seems inevitable, but what's the plan of Nitish? He really thinks himself as the compromise opposition candidate for 2024? Else, RJD+others just needs 1 more seat, and they can form government without JDU as well. They could even break 1-2 MLAs even from the BJP c...
by greatde
24 Sep 2022 12:51
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 3068
Views: 1193092

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

You don't poke a bear and expect a result less than referendum/annexation. Ukr treated the Russian people in the eastern sector of Ukr very badly and reneged on their commitments. Teaming with Nato put the final stake into their chest. There are consequences for your own actions. That same can be u...
by greatde
21 Sep 2022 16:25
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4745
Views: 3179622

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Surely, the more Russia makes it about referendum or liberation, India will distance itself? As that can severely impact our own internal security and politics…
by greatde
15 Sep 2022 08:33
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 529563

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Maharashtra state elections were largely influenced by low voter turnout and rebel candidates. Both BJP & NDA underperformed to pre-polls numbers due to the 2 factors. Thus, i take all pre polls with a pitch of salt. Ultimately, the voter turnout determines the result. As of today, those 2 state...
by greatde
10 Aug 2022 22:32
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 3819918

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

I guess the lack of scrutiny, is the big reason to go with "secular" side. Earlier, Nitish facing questions from within party, the media, and now this new alliance calms the water. Economics, social development are on backseat, as the communal/secular buzzwords are the only narrative. It a...
by greatde
06 Jul 2022 22:09
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 3819918

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

That's an embarrassing post. Instead of talking about Hindu causes and solutions, you are concerned with why Muslims get this much. more than that the party that says we will not do appeasement is doing more appeasement in the name of "sabka sath". Take for example there are so many killi...
by greatde
05 Jul 2022 23:15
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 3819918

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Muslims beneficiaries make up : 31% of Houses under PMAY 33% Kissan Samman Nidhi 37% LPG Connections 36% Mudra Loans This is not just appeasement, this is economic & social apartheid for a large number of Hindus by taking away their education & employment rights and handing it over to Musli...
by greatde
04 Jul 2022 17:58
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 3819918

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Rajiv Malhotra is right. His biggest criticism is about the Hindu people despite his large scale work about the other side. There is no will to do, but complaints, and advises. Similarly, when there are 500 words rants here about the government, imagine how much Modi could rant about his own people?...
by greatde
30 Jun 2022 22:22
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 3819918

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Is it a immediate political suicide by BJP? Or perhaps BJP doesn't want to face the heat in Maharashtra in short run? A BJP CM is always greater scrutinized and pressure, whereas a non-BJP CM can get away with many things, including development and tough questions. See Nitish as another example. Per...
by greatde
26 Jun 2022 17:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 3819918

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Doesn't the exception to anti-defection law is about merger? Not about separate group? Either those rebel MLAs merge with BJP else can still face disqualifications?? The anti defection laws applies only if the rebellion is of under 2/3 of the existing members of the legislative party. Shiv Sena has...