Search found 189 matches

by greatde
14 Apr 2024 18:09
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Replies: 442
Views: 130711

Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]

Covid can be the big factor between 2019, and 2024. Rahul Gandhi 72000 minimum wage failed in 2019, yet the 1L to women could appear differently in 2024 now. Covid has undoubtedly caused much pessimistic, lethargy and that is still reflected today across all sectors. BJP probably also knows this, an...
by greatde
13 Dec 2023 21:38
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 837001

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

It should not be limited to just parliament. All highly sensitive places got to rechecked, and training done professionally.

Surely, drills should be regular, both for the security personal, and people in the institution. Like here, many MPs here didn't even know what to do next...
by greatde
12 Sep 2023 13:38
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 837001

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

Its hardly about a panic or them being scared by BJP. These DMK are habitually spewers and thus, its not a new thing, and lets not forget their past. The only difference is now they are one combined opposition alliance, and thus national media are actually covering them. And then their leaders are f...
by greatde
21 Jun 2023 01:08
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 837001

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

Potentially allies like Manjhi of Ham party or Om Rajbhar have made interesting comments on Lord Ram itself. So it pointless to debate about Hindu people or Hinduphobia. BJP have both allies and hindu name members within who are not even really practising Hindus by any means. Similarly, there are op...
by greatde
15 May 2023 13:06
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

I've looked at the numbers in some detail. There are structural problems with the BJP which are evident in the last 3 state elections (Guj, HP and Karnataka). It has little to do with Hindu vote consolidation. In every single State election since 2014, the BJP's vote share is less than the previous...
by greatde
15 May 2023 09:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

Imo, our people vote on how bad the party is, rather than good of party. There was nothing against, nor questions on local Congress and their 2 big state leaders, and thus the environment favored them. Whereas, lots of questions, negativity about state BJP. It's the fault of local BJP for doing noth...
by greatde
13 May 2023 15:20
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

Impeding genocide, and the now impeding doom, that's always been the opposition propaganda, so let's not fell into that trap and over-react. The issues isn't BJP core voters or core agenda (UCC, CAA), but the ability to attract the weakest part of societies. The uneducated, poor people. This is toug...
by greatde
10 May 2023 22:15
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

In 2018, many seats with <5000 margin was won by BJP, which made the difference. So 1% swing can matter in a close election. Then, BJP struggles in urban city of Bengaluru, that region has been managed badly, together with just 50% turnout there and it's this region that potentially hurt BJP? Next, ...
by greatde
10 May 2023 19:37
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

Most are predicting Congress as either SLP, or simple majority. So that was the expected outcome for many months, a bit like Rajasthan 2018. Strong anti-incumbency, internal rebellion, weak CM, just that the Modi factor helped to reduce the gap, but not enough to overcome.
by greatde
24 Apr 2023 16:21
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 837001

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

There ought to something done about the growing cartoonize of the Hindu religion. This will blur and confuse future generations about how their cartoons can be seen as gods. And then the creators have no due diligence, they could add their own masala, woke, human rights elements in long term. There ...
by greatde
29 Mar 2023 21:32
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 7490
Views: 1726359

Re: Understanding the US - Again

In some irony, this non-binary movement is actually making the thinking "binary". This thinking process of either good or bad, either happy or sad. There is no middle ground, or tolerance when things are not going your way. There is high and low extremes, and are very prone to mood swings....
by greatde
29 Mar 2023 14:45
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 837001

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

Seems there is overconfidence on BJP numbers. That can be dangerous as make voters complacent. Ultimately, BJP voters need that do or die mindset, else turnout gets lower and that affects results. A small swing is all it takes. We already saw that in 2019 MH state elections, where what should have b...
by greatde
29 Mar 2023 12:37
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 837001

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

a similar situation is developing in TN too. many "alliance" leaders are looking to bypass the local/state BJP bosses and dialogue directly with AS because many "alliance" leaders are of the same caste/community as annamalai and will vie to dominate the very votebanks that annam...
by greatde
13 Mar 2023 22:40
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 837001

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

How can Simranjit Singh Mann remain an MP? That guy is opening calling for separate nation Khalistan, sikhs as not Indians. Surely, that goes against the constitution? What is the judiciary, media, and the government doing on such "mainstream" leader. I don't think even the Kashmir MPs are...
by greatde
28 Feb 2023 22:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 837001

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

My bacha analysis or whatever feedback with my circle of people is about, pro BJP ppl actually turning out to vote will decide it all. It could be complacency, or it could sheer oversmartness. I still hear hilarious arguments that Modi losing is good for democracy. Then, there are many “Uddhavs” amo...
by greatde
18 Feb 2023 14:49
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Uddhav has completely lost it, and now no chance of return back? How did Uddhav become a lost cause? Our history is filled with many selfish and traitorous acts. He is symbolic of many Hindus who are terrible confused and jealously among peers which often leads to senseless and self defeating decisi...
by greatde
26 Jan 2023 07:54
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

When Muslims can embrace Shiv Sena/Uddhav, it clear politics is about short term goals and oxymorons. Mulayam being awarded has to be seen on similar lines, which is a good move by BJP. It is completely wrong to fight about “purity” when the other side is full of oxymorons and contradictions. Winnin...
by greatde
13 Jan 2023 18:04
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Any big wishlist is amateurish. There are century old problems, and so to expect Modi/BJP to resolve them is foolish. Not everything can be done by government, it's always and more importantly about the people. Our own mentality has to change, like can we think of being job creators, not just job se...
by greatde
23 Nov 2022 16:07
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Swamy is driven by self-importance, and that leads to jealousy, and infighting. Its’s a big problem within the dharmic side of personal importance. Uddhav is another example, who just couldnt digest that his (once) juniors are now leading the state. And now he is ready to surrender himself to the ot...
by greatde
08 Nov 2022 23:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Talks about JDU merger with RJD. It seems inevitable, but what's the plan of Nitish? He really thinks himself as the compromise opposition candidate for 2024? Else, RJD+others just needs 1 more seat, and they can form government without JDU as well. They could even break 1-2 MLAs even from the BJP c...
by greatde
24 Sep 2022 12:51
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 2716
Views: 673979

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

You don't poke a bear and expect a result less than referendum/annexation. Ukr treated the Russian people in the eastern sector of Ukr very badly and reneged on their commitments. Teaming with Nato put the final stake into their chest. There are consequences for your own actions. That same can be u...
by greatde
21 Sep 2022 16:25
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4060
Views: 1897658

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Surely, the more Russia makes it about referendum or liberation, India will distance itself? As that can severely impact our own internal security and politics…
by greatde
15 Sep 2022 08:33
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Maharashtra state elections were largely influenced by low voter turnout and rebel candidates. Both BJP & NDA underperformed to pre-polls numbers due to the 2 factors. Thus, i take all pre polls with a pitch of salt. Ultimately, the voter turnout determines the result. As of today, those 2 state...
by greatde
10 Aug 2022 22:32
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

I guess the lack of scrutiny, is the big reason to go with "secular" side. Earlier, Nitish facing questions from within party, the media, and now this new alliance calms the water. Economics, social development are on backseat, as the communal/secular buzzwords are the only narrative. It a...
by greatde
06 Jul 2022 22:09
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

That's an embarrassing post. Instead of talking about Hindu causes and solutions, you are concerned with why Muslims get this much. more than that the party that says we will not do appeasement is doing more appeasement in the name of "sabka sath". Take for example there are so many killi...
by greatde
05 Jul 2022 23:15
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Muslims beneficiaries make up : 31% of Houses under PMAY 33% Kissan Samman Nidhi 37% LPG Connections 36% Mudra Loans This is not just appeasement, this is economic & social apartheid for a large number of Hindus by taking away their education & employment rights and handing it over to Musli...
by greatde
04 Jul 2022 17:58
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Rajiv Malhotra is right. His biggest criticism is about the Hindu people despite his large scale work about the other side. There is no will to do, but complaints, and advises. Similarly, when there are 500 words rants here about the government, imagine how much Modi could rant about his own people?...
by greatde
30 Jun 2022 22:22
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Is it a immediate political suicide by BJP? Or perhaps BJP doesn't want to face the heat in Maharashtra in short run? A BJP CM is always greater scrutinized and pressure, whereas a non-BJP CM can get away with many things, including development and tough questions. See Nitish as another example. Per...
by greatde
26 Jun 2022 17:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Doesn't the exception to anti-defection law is about merger? Not about separate group? Either those rebel MLAs merge with BJP else can still face disqualifications?? The anti defection laws applies only if the rebellion is of under 2/3 of the existing members of the legislative party. Shiv Sena has...
by greatde
25 Jun 2022 16:51
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Doesn't the exception to anti-defection law is about merger? Not about separate group? Either those rebel MLAs merge with BJP else can still face disqualifications??
by greatde
19 Jun 2022 16:25
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

The time of announcing a scheme to actually implementing a scheme has to be shorten and optimized. In case, immediate implementation is best. Like DeMo. It's that duration in between, that allows the BIF to protests, while the country and society doesn't get the actual benefits of the scheme. The be...
by greatde
13 Jun 2022 22:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

I think the trap has been set and the usual suspects here have fallen. There is no time nor space for any introspection, as it only creates self-doubts and disillusionment about ourselves and the leaders. That's exactly what the BIF wants. The focus should be completely outwards, not inwards. Purva ...
by greatde
05 Jun 2022 21:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2968823

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Ultimately, there are Hindus mistakes. It has to be realized that it is not a level-playing field and the fight is global. That's especially true for any high or mid-level Hindu political, or religious leaders. They need to be well-mannered in the language and not over-do themselves. Many get excite...
by greatde
12 Mar 2022 23:04
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

I wouldn't underestimate Congress. Their NJAY scheme might have failed in 2019, but with different packaging or leadership, it could change. Now, no governments can win elections without large public concessions or freebies.
by greatde
10 Mar 2022 23:42
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

I understand basics of electioneering. Let's get beyond that and go deeper. M+Y used to work earlier because there was no consolidating factor for "non M+Y" votes. For a brief while, Advani's Hindutva push in 1990s brought consolidation, but it was not sustainable beyond 1998, and especia...
by greatde
10 Mar 2022 22:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

The M+Y combination has been an abject failure. Only implementation of Modi's "Sabka-X" approach has worked, with Hindutva actually becoming a part of that (e.g. Kashi corridor, hindu tourism circuit, etc). Very clever. On to the remaining elections of 2022....HP and GJ. It will be intere...
by greatde
09 Mar 2022 22:23
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5804
Views: 942562

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

With big job losses, stuttering economy, yet no internal and public pressure on Putin. This whole episode tells more on Russia's politics and democracy than Ukraine.
by greatde
09 Mar 2022 18:19
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

The under-25 phenomenon is something I'd blame Modi & Co for. Been in power for 7.5 years and haven't touched the history our kids are taught, the Hinduphobia our UPSC candidates are taught, haven't cut the media down to size (though people like NDTV have literally criminal charges against them...
by greatde
09 Mar 2022 18:04
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

If Mann does become Punjab CM, does he own his allegiance or bow down to Kejriwal? The Punjab AAP itself itself can be seen as separate regional party? There could be infighting, differences and it can be exploited including by Khalistani elements. Yet, the worst part is alcohol, drugs are nowhere i...
by greatde
07 Mar 2022 22:09
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 407587

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022

Indian elections becoming personality driven, be it Modi, Yogi, Kejriwal, MB. That makes it very difficult for RaGa who has weak credibility and a joker image.