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by KL Dubey
25 Apr 2019 18:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

So INC has fielded (Ganpat) Rai again from Varanasi. I guess they can't find anyone else that can take it like a man.
by KL Dubey
25 Apr 2019 10:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Today is NaMo's 7 km roadshow in Kashi....i feel jittery about his personal security in these type of situations. I hope all is under control.
by KL Dubey
25 Apr 2019 09:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

While I am no supporter of either, it does not do any good to this forum to use such words when talking about an elected representative, who is also the chief minister of a state in the Indian Union to boot. He should have thought about the responsibilities and dignities expected of him by the same...
by KL Dubey
25 Apr 2019 09:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Report from KL: There was record turnout. The history (before BJP became a significant player) is that increased turnout always favour UDF, especially when CPIM is in power. The logic is, hardcore CPIM folk will vote 'rain or shine'. The indifferent will move their kappa-meen bellies out to vote if...
by KL Dubey
25 Apr 2019 08:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Ok sure. Just realized two of the states come into that specific point. (Facepalm)! Matlab? I expect Karnataka and MP to fall and RJ with a little coaxing. and if Jihadidi does not cooperate even after that sweets and kurta remarks half her party could defect. The mahul in Bengal is quite different...
by KL Dubey
25 Apr 2019 08:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

ShyamSP wrote: I already stopped saying I can provide evidences to Karan. Don't call troll as that topic (EVM/EC) has been going on for 4-5 pages before I joined.



So, it looks like Chandranna is heading for bust then ? :mrgreen:
by KL Dubey
25 Apr 2019 08:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

johb wrote:Google trends analysis shows Modi will win. If you ask Google Trends, this election is over. The writing is on the wall.


Again...the tip of the iceberg... the power of 'big data analytics' cannot be underestimated. 'Pollsters' may soon go out of business.
by KL Dubey
25 Apr 2019 07:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

From Chintamani. Phase 3 estimates: https://twitter.com/IamIconoclast/status/1121009407091986432?s=19 #ChintamaniSpeaks #Elections2019 @Election_in 3rd phase post-poll. Kerala 20: BJP 1, UDF 15, LDF 4; KA 14: BJP 12, Cong 2; MH 14: BJP 5, SS 6, NCP 3; Guj 26: BJP 26; Chh'garh 7: BJP 4, Cong 3; OR: ...
by KL Dubey
24 Apr 2019 19:02
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

That is not correct. I have never bothered to even put my name of the voting register. They threatened twice, then send a babu to get me to fill it, then they said I will be summoned to court and then they stopped. Well, the process is there to fine or take one to courts (to that extent what I said...
by KL Dubey
24 Apr 2019 05:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

An Asianet survey last week predicted Kummanam 40%, Tharoor 34%, and Divakaran 25% votes. If this is credible, we can hope that Tharoor will not darken the doors of Tvm again anytime soon. You're right. It appears to be a tough fight for Tharoor in Trivandrum. Did Modi or Amit Shah make an appearan...
by KL Dubey
24 Apr 2019 05:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Mortullah, it is my understanding that he's already listed on the voter roll there, as mentioned earlier in this thread. I would rather see him debarred after being elected. Hmmm. The seat would stay empty until some sort by-election. I'd rather see him lose and be barred from future contesting. I ...
by KL Dubey
24 Apr 2019 05:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Sahsi Tharoor is contesting from Thiruvananthapuram constituency. Voting increased from 68.63% in 2014 to 73.37% in 2019. It is a 3-way race between Tharoor on the UDF ticket, Kummanam Rajasekharan-BJP, and C. Divakaran-LDF. This may be a case where it becomes difficult for Tharoor. An Asianet surv...
by KL Dubey
24 Apr 2019 04:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

UB here is Kerala turnout. Can we see what it means? https://twitter.com/shalinispv/status/1120739250721267712?s=19 Seems like generally good news for BJP in places like Tvm, Ptmta, Att, Triss etc where voting % has jumped substantially. On another note, the same twitter handle says that the Shivag...
by KL Dubey
24 Apr 2019 04:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

I don't see why GOI cannot enforce it: they can threaten to cancel the passport. Right...and how would GOI determine if someone has been voting in UK elections ? Is GOI supposed to set up an office with babus whose job is to check all UK electoral rolls and cross-check with Indian national data ? G...
by KL Dubey
24 Apr 2019 03:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Voting in local elections in Bilayat does not negate Indian citjenship, as I read here. Can do it as a "Commonwealth citjen". It is not only local elections, commonwealth "shitty-jans" can vote in ALL elections (incl. national parliamen) in UK, and also contest for MP themselves...
by KL Dubey
24 Apr 2019 02:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Suraj wrote:
Manu wrote::D In other news, Sunny Deol has joined BJP...

He's the BJP candidate from Gurdaspur constituency. Right on the Border onlee 8)


Good selection on two counts. That was Vinod Khanna's seat recently usurped by a Congi (Balram Jakhar's son) in a by-election. Also Deol, like Jakhar, is a Jat.
by KL Dubey
23 Apr 2019 23:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

ramana, where can they discuss? God forbid, but if members of your forum are scammed they will need a place to exchange information. Is there another thread where it can be discussed? ramana Ji is right. Even if we have been scammed, which is debatable, it is a personal matter and not relevant to t...
by KL Dubey
23 Apr 2019 22:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

KL Dubey is better informed on this topic. Well.... According to BB he currently has teams on the ground in 378 constituencies sending in large amounts of information. Unless he is simply fantasizing about that and cooking up numbers with no data, I don't see how he can handle those large amounts o...
by KL Dubey
23 Apr 2019 20:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/bs-yeddyurappa-says-he-is-101-sure-they-will-win-22-seats-in-karnataka/videoshow/69003144.cms Based on info coming out after Phases 2-3, it is hard not to agree with BSY. 22 seats seems to be the "low end" for as of now. Additi...
by KL Dubey
23 Apr 2019 19:55
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Seems like a huge Modi wave in north KA...near total sweep. Same in GJ...repeat of 2014 on the cards, maybe Anand is still doubtful. BH continues to be very strong for NDA. Waiting for news on KL, UP, WB, MH. A reliable roundup of the northeast would also be nice. CG and JH seem to be darkness. Even...
by KL Dubey
23 Apr 2019 19:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

INC is a villain and anti-national force for the last 50 years - no doubt about it, and it doesn't matter if there are "some good people" in INC if they are not calling the shots.

Election thread, peeps...please don't derail with other discussions.
by KL Dubey
23 Apr 2019 05:35
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Well dawgs, it be "Super Tuesday" on da sweet earth of India.

Phase 3, 115 seats.

April Twenny Three.

Could be the decisive dayte of dis here election.

As I had hoped, Dr. BB has live constituency-wise trackers set up for all 26 seats in GJ and all 14 seats in nawth KA.
by KL Dubey
23 Apr 2019 03:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/elections/lok-sabha/india/youth-does-surgical-strike-on-digvijaya-at-poll-rally/articleshow/68995013.cms Youth does surgical strike on Diggi "Surgical strike kar diya Modiji ne. Atankvadiyo ko mara (Modi conducted surgical strike, killed terrorists),&q...
by KL Dubey
22 Apr 2019 22:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

According to Dr. BB's trackers, the total seat projections and voteshares for BJP and NDA have both been slowly going up after each Phase. This indicates that the momentum keeps building for NDA day after day, and that the alliance is functioning smoothly. As of now, he is projecting the NDA to have...
by KL Dubey
22 Apr 2019 01:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

ground report from UP is that SP-BSP arithmetic vote transfer has not happened at many places. SP-RLD have transferred votes to BJP candidates at places Behen ji is fuming and wld avenge in remaining rounds https://twitter.com/ANINewsUP/status/1119656590385266688 I am happy my predictions seem to b...
by KL Dubey
22 Apr 2019 01:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Congress In Revolt As Workers Protest Against Shatrughan Sinha's Patna Sahib Candidature Outside Party Headquarters In visuals, it could be seen how Congress workers were protesting against their own candidate after he reached party headquarters in Patna for being absent during his term from his ow...
by KL Dubey
21 Apr 2019 21:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Anyway why we need to sort this out ? Let it hang & Rahul ji must contest from both seats with that confusion over his citizenship hanging over his head.It will be a tremendous loss to the nation if Rahul ji is divested off the Congress president status as a fallout from this citizenship row. W...
by KL Dubey
21 Apr 2019 20:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Objections surfacing on RG from Waynad, Kerala too now re. his citizenship, qualification, his former company Back Ops Ltd in the UK and his name. He's had Vinci in his last name. His Doctorate and other foreign qualifications are supposedly under Rahul Vinci. The boy's got to sort this out fairly ...
by KL Dubey
21 Apr 2019 20:17
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Phase 3 coming up. Several things of interest on the "Super Tuesday" (115 seats): - how strongholds like GJ and North KA are doing - how are tried and tested alliances working in MH and BH - will lotus bloom in KL, and in how many places - will the momentum continue in WB and OR - northeas...
by KL Dubey
20 Apr 2019 22:55
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

.... The place in Hampstead where he stays had him listed in the electoral roll. AFAIK, commonwealth citizens are eligible to vote in UK under some conditions(not sure what those are). one of my friends voted while doing his post-doc there. He was certainly an Indian citizen at the time. Absolutely...
by KL Dubey
20 Apr 2019 21:10
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

It looks like Pappu is in real trouble over the citizenship issue due to a complaint from an independent candidate in Amethi. EC has deferred evaluation of his nomination till next week.
by KL Dubey
20 Apr 2019 15:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

@Sootradhar Naveen Pattnaik 1) Does not even get down to meet the citizens 2) Then he seems to be mocking them. Is he drunk? Watch till the end. #Odisha https://twitter.com/Sootradhar/status/1119523637315325953 Wow! Naveen Patnaik seems to be the teflon man of India's politics hardly getting questi...
by KL Dubey
20 Apr 2019 15:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

ramana wrote:I have a Satta Bazaar estimate putting 299/350 for BJP/NDA. It's in Hindi.

*उत्तर प्रदेश (80)*
= भाजपा -61 सहयोगी -5


Lagta hai UP me ishwar bhi "sahyogi" hai bhai...Apna Dal waale keval 2 seaton par lad rahe hain lekin paanch mil rahe hain. :lol:
by KL Dubey
19 Apr 2019 00:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

357 seats left to poll. Going by Chintamani's numbers BJP needs to win 202 of these for simple majority and 291 for 2/3. 2/3rd majority for BJP on its own, i.e. 362 seats, looks like a bridge too far this time (but you never know what Modi can do!). However, a 2/3rd majority for NDA is in the realm...
by KL Dubey
18 Apr 2019 23:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

The first 2 phases (mainly south) were the weakest for BJP. Big zero in AP, 1 in TG (out of 42 total) and poor show in TN by allies. Yes, Phases 1 & 2 covered large tracts of the most challenging regions for BJP. Of the 437 seats BJP is contesting, there are about 80-90 "low chance" s...
by KL Dubey
18 Apr 2019 19:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Dr BB's constituency-wise tracker is back for KA (not in the other states so far). It looks like a NDA sweep in KA (including the independent in Mandya). Only a couple of seats in which UPA is leading. If this is the situation in south KA, one can imagine what north KA will be like. One also hopes t...
by KL Dubey
17 Apr 2019 17:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Both of them were raised in India, work and pay their taxes in India and have been born to Indian parents (at least one). When Green Card holders can run RBI and Indian economy, then why blacklist people for adding their 2 cents to the already existing Gyan. IMO, Short of voting for any candidate, ...
by KL Dubey
16 Apr 2019 23:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Delhi: It seems BJP is waiting for all the Congi-Aappi dramas to play out before announcing any candidates. A good call, since the candidate list is surely ready and campaign plans have likely been completed. The opposition seems to be in a state of confusion, since both INC and AAP have already ann...
by KL Dubey
15 Apr 2019 20:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

https://indianexpress.com/article/india/shashi-tharoor-suffers-head-injury-in-thiruvananthapuram-5676214/ looks like God is also involved in Indian politics .. :mrgreen: .. Reminds me of the incident of a ceiling fan falling on Laloo's head in 2014 (a case of the fan hitting the $hyte rather than t...
by KL Dubey
14 Apr 2019 09:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1991
Views: 141455

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

He looks tired and has a raspy voice with all that speaking.


He has been fasting the last 9 days...Navaratri.

Thanks for the great update.

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