Bharat Rakshak

KL Dubey

@KL Dubey I agree with your assessment regarding the probable outcome of the 2024 elections and I may have said the same numbers as quoted by you above. I do not think however, it would have been better to have just 6 phases. I do agree. I just wish they had more personnel pulled from the different...

KL Dubey

Anyone here present on the ground in Calcutta and suburbs? Of the 58 seats going to the polls on Saturday, 9 are from West Bengal. DumDum- Saugata Ray (TMC) Barasat- Kakoli Ghosh Dastidar (TMC) Basirhat- Nusrat Jahan (TMC)- Sandeshkhali is part of the constituency Jaynagar-Pratima Mandal (TMC) Math...

KL Dubey

This election is way too long. They really should have combined the last three Phayzes into two. There is a lot of "time-pass" analysis going on now. Anyway, Shawn Jay has explained his prediction of total seats including predictions for Phayze 7: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3EqGGaChfe...

KL Dubey

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UNN0lLhp21U Just another over-hyped fellow talking mostly BS. Wide-eyed Indians sitting in the audience appear to be very impressed. On a personal note I remember sitting in a car to the airport with this guy after a meeting with a government agency shortly after Tru...

KL Dubey

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MG6md81QAcw&t=3856s Thorough statewise analysis of Phayze 6 by the multi-faith panel: padre Dixie, pandit Omkar, mullah Aab-e-sheikh, and this time in true judeo-Xtian spirit padre has added rabbi Mizrah. Hopefully he will also add granthi Ramnik for Phayze 7 (wh...

KL Dubey

The interesting contest in WB is between Mahua Moitra and the Maharani of Krishnanagar. The Maharani did no campaigning and is just a old, useless individual who thinks people will vote just because she is royalty. Modi on his swing through WB scolded the Maharani and said, look at me at my age I a...

KL Dubey

Phase 6: Haryana & Delhi. Summary (as of 2PM) from 5Forty3 . BJP leading in 4 seats, and INC in 3. There are three other seats in Tossup category. The "farmer" protests essentially is a Jat protest. Jats it seems have been punching above their weight for quite some time. There is coun...

KL Dubey

IT Department’s huge tax bill for Congress will be collected after the election. Rs 3567 crores I think. —— On a different topic - India’s electorate was 912 million in 2019 and 970 million in 2024. While everyone has focused on percentage turnout, no one has talked of the effect of this average of...

KL Dubey

^^^This does not make any sense to me. You're entitled to your opinion, of course.

KL Dubey

Pradeep Singh explains the futility of the last-ditch BIF effort to salvage something from the last two Phayzes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9bDEKnMHMgw Additionally, both Modi and Shah have declared in their latest rallies that NDA is already at around 310 after Phayze 5, and now its time for a...

KL Dubey

I voted "Unlikely". China is already trying to "attack" India through multiple avenues. I assume the poll is referring to a full-blown military offensive, not "squatter" operations like Galwan or border skirmishes with sticks and spears. Those may/will keep happening. A...

KL Dubey

With that out of the way, it does not look like a wave election (it could very well be, but only he exit polls people with sharp analytical skills would be knowing). The term "wave election" seems misused/misunderstood. Two main things: 1) "Wave" occurs either when people strong...

KL Dubey

BRF should be examining forward-looking topics. In 2029 Modi and Shah will likely consider allowing outsiders to contest in areas where the people look like they are Chinese, White, Arab, African, etc. This will be a good way to showcase the Indian democracy in an "immersive" way to people...

KL Dubey

My Dhoti shivering is increasing with each passing day... I'm not able to get clear picture of the ground situation... SM and Whatsapp groups are completely dominated by Congis and Aaptards... :(( Try not to ruin your health. If you want a clear picture of ground situation, why on earth are you fol...

KL Dubey

In 2029 bjp will return to "ham do hamare do", i.e. only Modi and Shah will have seats. Parliament will be delimited to 2 seats, East India seat (expanded from varanasi) and West India seat (expanded from gandhinagar). It will be world's largest election in the world's two largest constitu...

KL Dubey

I listened to the program. My conclusion was that the data is inconclusive in terms of saying that BJP has crossed majority or not in last 5 phases. It could mean either or the following. 272 has already been crossed. Or 272 will be crossed by the end of the 7th phase. Bjp will get 50 seats. 39 in ...

KL Dubey

vijayk wrote: ↑21 May 2024 08:58 https://youtu.be/wAGRzKg1N0w?feature=shared
Check for seat projection
BJP may not reach 272

BJP is seesawing between 200 and 400 seats every other day. Today is 200, you can now predict the result on june 4.

KL Dubey

Vayutuvan wrote: ↑17 May 2024 02:26 I doubt they would be speaking Hindu/Indian/Aardoo to Asatyanarayan GP.

But nobody doubts Pappu offering dog-chaatoed food to Himanta Viswasarma?

KL Dubey

I am now convinced that the NDA is sweeping the elections. Expect more of this posts coming out to build a narrative to deny legitimacy to the electoral process in India. The moment the election results are out, you will find a slew of foreign media outlets decrying the death of Democracy in India,...

KL Dubey

^^^Most of the toolkits put up to disturb Modi so far have been pretty much non-starters. This one would be no different.

KL Dubey

Taken together, two "nomination" related articles (Surat and Varanasi) in the western/BIF leaning media start looking like possibly a toolkit operation: https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/14/bjp-accused-intimidation-india-elections-gujarat https://scroll.in/article/1068014/...

KL Dubey

Rahul has outlived his usefulness to BJP's victories. He is becoming dangerously deranged & is in scorched earth mode, with strings being pulled from Western & Chinese BIFs I am sure Modi, Shah et al will know/decide when Rahul has outlived his usefulness. Clearly he is still roaming around...

KL Dubey

I know a lot of people are doing their bit, i was alluding to Sanman Saar who seems to be really passionate about this issue and wants the Indian govt to do the heavy lifting. I was merely alluding that since he strongly feels in this way maybe at the very least he can try to form coalition of all ...

KL Dubey

Amit Shah said NDA is now just 2 seats short of majority after 4 phases (270 out of 380 seats in 4 phases) - BJP will win 29 seats in South India - Largest party Just a correction, the tweet actually says that BJP won 29 seats in south india in 2019. This time it will be significantly more.

KL Dubey

srin wrote: ↑16 May 2024 19:19 I find it strange that the RM is talking about building 5-6 carriers when we don't have a destroyer pipeline (not to talk about submarines).

Cup half full viewpoint - Looks like we will get more destroyers and subs then!

KL Dubey

some comments from the SM Hello Madam @SupriyaShrinate ! Hearing that you are going to be thrown out of CONgress IT cell as Chairperson & will be replaced by Supriya Bharadwaj? Is it because of Internal Tussle b/w Bunty & Babli? It's quite possible Antonia/Pappu told some chaprasi "arr...

KL Dubey

The position of BJP and NDA after Phayze 4 has been a matter of some debate. Some folks give BJP about 200-210 seats so far, which would project out to a similar final result as 2019 (about 310 seats). Others are on the opposite extreme, i.e. BJP has already crossed 272 on its own. Neither seems rea...

KL Dubey

ramana wrote: ↑14 May 2024 01:33 Sumeet, It's from seasoned observers who do seat-by-seat analysis pouring over turn-out data and compare with news reports. Quite intense effort is put in. I just give the Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF)

You meant NDA has now reached 272+, not BJP on its own, right ?

KL Dubey

As for "400 paar", NaMo's confidence and humor comes through in this short but hard-hitting intryoo with India TV earlier today: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oIrYPvdpQg8

KL Dubey

In the 2014 election NDA crossed majority in Phase 6 and BJP in Phase 7. In the 2019 election NDA crossed majority in Phase 5 and BJP in Phase 6. In the 2024 election the timeline will be similar to 2019, except that NDA would get really close to majority in Phase 4 and BJP will get really close in...

KL Dubey

In the 2014 election NDA crossed majority in Phase 6 and BJP in Phase 7. In the 2019 election NDA crossed majority in Phase 5 and BJP in Phase 6. In the 2024 election the timeline will be similar to 2019, except that NDA would get really close to majority in Phase 4 and BJP will get really close in ...

KL Dubey

In the interview with Republic TV, Modi said that NDA during 2019-2024 was already at about 400 for legislative purposes, counting the support from various "non-aligned" parties like BJD, YSRCP, and others. So basically the "400 paar" goal for this election is a combination of se...

KL Dubey

#2 Owaisi has now openly declared his support to Congress - has asked Muslims to vote Congress in some key constituencies in his own unique style. So much for being B-team of BJP ! Perhaps low IQ lefty journos will call Congress a B-team of BJP ? It looks like jaahil-e-azam has panicked. BJP has li...

KL Dubey

Judging by how things are looking overall , I think the results will be as expected. This is not going to be 2004 redux . Not remotely. Anything other than bjp government seems very far fetched . Yes - whichever way one slices and dices it, conclusions seems the same. If NDA is to be contained belo...

KL Dubey

They are fine for entertainment, I agree that is a success and valuable in its own right. What about J. Sai Deepak? I find him a lot better than ARN and AIM. He and ofc Anaamalai had done an excellent job in Chennai recently at a raklly organized by Sivasri Skandaprasad's organizations. JSR is an a...

KL Dubey

Pradeep Singh rarely indulges in election seat counting, but this time he has done a detailed state by state count: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fIfG_G2uI7E He basically gives NDA close to 400 seats. Again, my detailed analysis post is in this thread. Read it to get reliable insight. To get 400, ...

KL Dubey

Czech court approves extradition of Nikhil Gupta to United States https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BmIydXa2LIY Does India have any insurance policy or hedge, in the event that US govt decides to charge senior Indian officials? (I'm sorry to be asking rude questions about defense of India and its pol...

KL Dubey

Still on the light note, how well a person performs their role is more important than whether they can perform someone else's role. Pappu may get a few crore votes but is overall a failure. Ranganathan and Abhijit do their commentary job well and don't want or need a few crore votes - they are succ...

KL Dubey

There is no possibility of any useful discussion. There is a limit to patience with trolls that seem to have a field day on BRF these days. I'm going to use the block function.

KL Dubey

Yes, I was there at this event, standing in the crowd munching on snacks. It was a parade for the Nagarketan celebration. Right now I'm just barely 700 meters from where this footage was taken, just around the corner from me. While I appreciate the generous dollops of snackfood, I really feel that ...

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