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by nam
03 Apr 2020 01:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I am genuinely curious to know if modern medical science has not progressed enough to able to rapidly create a safe vaccine against a form of flu virus? As far I understand, Corona is not a complex virus like HIV. It seems to have a simple mechanism of using protein based cell locking mechanism and ...
by nam
02 Apr 2020 22:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Karnataka has gone to Supreme court over the border closure b/w Mlore & Kasargoad.

As I mentioned previously, Karnataka will not easily open up the border.
by nam
02 Apr 2020 15:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://www.covid19india.org/ is showing only 46 new cases so far.

If it stays below 150, then the Delhi incident would be a one off, until the next super spread.

Less than 150, would be a sign the lockdown effect has kicked in.
by nam
02 Apr 2020 02:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

This is what is been done. Every-time there is a positive case in a place, the area around it is sealed off by the local DC.
by nam
01 Apr 2020 21:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Lock down is going to get extended, looking at the infection rate for last few days and today. We don't know yet. It has just been 7 days. The good thing is the increase in the infection rate is after 7 days from the lockdown. We will know early next week. However GoI might extend it for another 7 ...
by nam
01 Apr 2020 00:22
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Pakistan Armed Forces: News & Discussion Thread
Replies: 1162
Views: 330899

Re: Pakistan Armed Forces: News & Discussion Thread

So Nigeria is getting 3 JF17 for 180 M? 60M per jet for Block1? What is cheap about it?
by nam
01 Apr 2020 00:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

We seems to have uncovered this Delhi get together and positive cases based on these lot, are coming in fast. This is good, in the sense, we know the source and the "flower" has now blossomed. The media ho ha, will allow for some aggressive contact tracing. We might see more such source. I...
by nam
31 Mar 2020 21:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

As of today, total cases in India is 1,586 with 239 cases alone added today. I think we are already or beginning state of Community Transition... It would community spread, if the rate of infection to those tested substantially increases. It should be in the range of 25-30% + Yesterday, close to 4k...
by nam
31 Mar 2020 21:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

There have been a sudden increase in the past 3 days. Given the increase, these are not outlier cases. So if I take a average of 7-10 days to symptoms, bad enough for people to report to the doctor, we are looking at 18-23 March cases. 22 March was a lockdown. We were doing well till 3 days back. So...
by nam
31 Mar 2020 19:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

There will one unintended consequence of this getting back to the society with certificate.

People who haven't so far got the virus, would decide to take the risk to get infected.

It is human nature to not allow "others" with an advantage in the society.
by nam
31 Mar 2020 16:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Based on the spike in the number of cases, in the past few days, these seems to the ones from 14-21th. I think we may have just about got the timing right. I expected the numbers to shoot up in the past 3 days. Looks like it is happening. The next 14 days would allow us to find out all the hidden in...
by nam
31 Mar 2020 16:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

It is not just Kerala, but every state, which did not bother to invest enough in the health care system will have this problem. Kerala's dependency on Mlore is a prime example, of delegating the medicare job to another state. As we have seen worldwide, states will now guard medical access for their ...
by nam
31 Mar 2020 15:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Karnataka willing to open Wayanad, Kannur borders; refuse to unblock Kasaragod border. This is a prime example of when reality meets the claims of "dream state". There is a real possibility of furious reaction from the people in Mangalore area, if movement of people is allowed from Kerala...
by nam
30 Mar 2020 01:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Is BCG the reason for lower effect of the Chinese virus on kids?

I always wondered how immune system of kids seems to be able to contain the virus better than a grown up? where as technically their immunity is not as "experienced" compared to a grown up.
by nam
29 Mar 2020 22:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Another case of success with anti-malaria drug. https://twitter.com/JimSantilli/status/1244057432801906689 I was hospitalized due to #Covid_19. It was a struggle to breathe and I felt like I was slowly drowning. Luckily, the doctors decided to try Hydroxychloroquine and Azithromycin. Within a few ho...
by nam
29 Mar 2020 03:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

If I list out the most effected places. Wuhan, New York, California, Madrid, London, Northern Italy (rich part) etc.. All cities.

I wonder if it was better off locking down just these cities, rather than entire countries...
by nam
29 Mar 2020 03:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I am now thinking, it might be much easier to control the virus, if the spread happens in a village. The availability of mass transportation in large cities, is a prime source for the spread. May be it is better the migrant worker moved in to villages. It is probably easier to handle 200 infected pe...
by nam
29 Mar 2020 02:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The biggest lesson from this spread in India is this: It was mostly educated well to do, foreign returned morons, who have spread it around. it is now a metropolitan, rich state like Delhi, which has potentially laid the seed for a spread in UP villages. It was not the poor, who spread it. It was no...
by nam
29 Mar 2020 02:11
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Chinese making money selling used kit to Netherland.... The country should be sanctioned.

https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1243983975351271425

Not to mention, Turkey has given back useless testing kit..
by nam
29 Mar 2020 01:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Again for people who doubt our ability to manage pandemic.. or think we are not doing enough. Here is something.. Andhra government tracks down 12,000 foreign returnees and checks for symptoms, liaising with GoI. zGo2MDrd2DU Other than Germany, I haven't heard of such level of contact tracing, in an...
by nam
29 Mar 2020 00:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

How the damn thing works. It is so simple in the process, yet so difficult to defeat it.

by nam
28 Mar 2020 23:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I cannot say for sure, if the drug is useful. However there now seems to be some push among several nations to test it out, atleast on medical workers.

Here France seems to have given the go ahead for it's use.

https://twitter.com/MichaelCoudrey/status/1243779158737440768
by nam
28 Mar 2020 22:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

As expected 118 so far for today. It has spiked in the past two days.

It will probably take 2-3 days for the lockdown effect to trickle in.
by nam
28 Mar 2020 22:06
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

If a drug or combination can be figured out to allow controlling the viral load, then it could allow people to be given this at the start of symptoms.

It will allows managing it similar to what we do with regular cold & flu. That would also allow the world to reduce the lockdown.
by nam
28 Mar 2020 21:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://swarajyamag.com/news-brief/after-dakshina-kannada-karnatakas-kodagu-says-no-entry-to-kerala-pinarayi-vijayi-seeks-centres-intervention Amazing pictures in that article, it's almost like KA expects a zombie apocalypse from KL spilling over. Good move I think, given that the 'peaceful' neighb...
by nam
28 Mar 2020 20:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

On the question on why the migrants are moving to UP. It is not because they don't have money.. https://twitter.com/SeemaSindhu/status/1243833577323859969 I spoke to few myself. Not going coz of lack of resources. Have ample to eat. Many feeling homesickness in idleness n many thinking of getting wa...
by nam
28 Mar 2020 20:33
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Majority of the countries's pandemic response follow the same the procedure when it comes to testing. They first and foremost test high risk groups. US, UK, India etc follow the same process. US vice president, when he has said loudly, "if you feel you have symptoms, please go for test. Not bec...
by nam
28 Mar 2020 19:06
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Another point, are our migrant workers that poor that they don't have any savings to survive for couple of weeks? I find it difficult to believe.
by nam
28 Mar 2020 18:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Seeing some delhi images of people waiting for DTC buses to UP. This might be a disaster in waiting. Sigh. I might sound cruel, but the transport should not have been arranged. People are now crowded waiting to get in. Delhi government should have paid the rent money, instead of pushing them away fr...
by nam
28 Mar 2020 18:35
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Indian testing per day is around 2k-2.5k.

ICMR does a daily release of data, along with testing numbers. You can see the daily increment in testing numbers.
by nam
28 Mar 2020 18:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

What is the forum's opinion on the mass movement of migrant laborers? I am hoping it is a storm in a teacup because community transmission hasn't (hopefully) taken off I hope, most of them are construction workers, who would generally not come in contact with our foreign return idiots. However ther...
by nam
27 Mar 2020 23:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Chinis are trying to make profit using the current state of the world. This lot, tried to sell kit bought at locally in Czeck, labelled it as import from China/HK, to the Czech gov for a large profit.

https://twitter.com/JirousFilip/status/1243280177540534285
by nam
27 Mar 2020 23:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

For those to think, if we are doing enough, here is what is been done in a district in Rajasthan. A place of 6 lakh people.

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/battle-to-save-a-town-from-clutches-of-corona/articleshow/74810132.cms
by nam
27 Mar 2020 23:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Here is my theory. The people who bought this infection in to India are middle/upper middle class & rich people. What percentage of these would be use a regular transport means like buses or crowded train? Or even be in a very crowded street? Most of the spread seems to be by people, who got inv...
by nam
27 Mar 2020 19:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Kerala reports 39 new cases. The reason for the big jump. 34 in Kasargoad. I think Kasargoad is now becoming a epicenter.
by nam
27 Mar 2020 18:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Crossed 800 today. Rapid rise. I expect the next 2-3 days to see rapid rise, as lot of people came in between 21-23. 5 days incubation period cases coming up.


Reporting 843 now.

https://www.covid19india.org/
by nam
27 Mar 2020 02:10
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Ever try to memorize a shopping list ? Specific medical / care instructions are not something humans remember exactly at a time of crisis. They will encounter the 'what exactly did Modi say' mental block, or malicious folks may misuse such a message claiming someone died because of supposed PMO lev...
by nam
27 Mar 2020 01:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

One thing I really want is the PM come on TV and tell me, what exactly to do if they feel they have the Chinese virus. Do not go to the hospital directly. Stay at home, specially for people below 60 and no underlying conditions. Call the helpline and hopefully they can arrange for a ambulance with t...
by nam
27 Mar 2020 01:03
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4468
Views: 327947

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Today's infection rate is 65. This is less than yesterday's and less than day before yesterday's 66. We might see increased death rate. If we can control the infection numbers, we can flatten the curve. The lockdown hopefully helps, specially the foreign returns, who created this mess in the first p...

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