Search found 101 matches

by Agasthi
06 Jul 2025 14:50
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

ramana wrote: 05 Jul 2025 06:31
Agasthi, Here is an X video on the Mirage and JF-17. It was near Bhimber in Pakistan

https://x.com/defencealerts/status/1939 ... C6leA&s=19
[/quote]

Thanks Ramana ji!
by Agasthi
05 Jul 2025 04:47
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

Quoting my post just a few posts before the links to the Lt. Gen Rahul Singh's talks were posted. Again cryptic messages that raises more questions than closure. My observation from the information warfare from the two conflicts is that hitting back civilian areas (Poonch, Tel Aviv, Haifa) or crypti...
by Agasthi
04 Jul 2025 12:43
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

This can be an interesting option. Lahore and Sialkot are 20% of Pakistan's GDP. Jammu and Amritsar are 2% of ours. All four cities within artillery range of the other side. Shelling all 4 cities with the same quantum of firepower has a 10X bigger impact on the Pakistan economy. If hypothetically, ...
by Agasthi
03 Jul 2025 12:32
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

I'm trying to compile a timeline of the 88 hour operation sindoor. Q for gurus? There were reports on twitter and the links below are indicative of a Mirage 5 and a JF17 shot over the Kashmir valley (not Jammu). In fact, Shiv Aroor had reported this as well. Q1: Since this was on our territory, shou...
by Agasthi
16 Jun 2025 16:23
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indus Water Treaty
Replies: 3395
Views: 1014674

Re: Indus Water Treaty

That's awesome news, will take some time but the wheels have now been set up in motion. Hope they also build diversion tunnels to the Pong pondage and Ranjit Sagar pondage. That will be cherry on the cake!

Although a bit disappointed with the feasibility studies. God knows how long that would take.
by Agasthi
16 Jun 2025 16:11
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

L&G's, When the PM in his May 12 speech said India will no longer differentiate between Pak govt and the terrorist orgs. operating on their soil. I understood that to mean we will start with their military first. What form will that take? Seeing what Israel is doing, will it be something similar...
by Agasthi
08 Jun 2025 19:27
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indus Water Treaty
Replies: 3395
Views: 1014674

Re: Indus Water Treaty

The project proposes to channel 15-20 million acre-feet of water from the Chenab to Indian states of Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan.
That's more than 80% of Chenab's full flow of 22-24 MAF per annum :lol:
by Agasthi
08 Jun 2025 18:58
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

What’s valid: Induced seismicity is real. Human activities like: blasting, deep fluid injection or extraction (e.g., fracking, mining, dam reservoirs) can cause earthquake swarms, especially at shallow-to-intermediate depths. The Gutenberg–Richter relationship (more below) is a recognized tool to a...
by Agasthi
07 Jun 2025 19:25
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

Different perspectives of why earthquake is happening so many in Pakistan. [youtube]https://youtu.be/cq-v2xZLyC4?si=Q3MFk1LucWjP66hj[/youtube] As per him it is engineered earthquake happening due to construction of subsurface bunkers for storing and moving nuclear warheads Thanks Madhu J! I had see...
by Agasthi
05 Jun 2025 08:46
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

Thanks Madhu ji for the summary of events, very informative! On May 9, this is what the Pakistani military spokie said "...that his country “will not de-escalate” with India. “With the damages India did on our side, they should take a hit. So far, we have been protecting ourselves, but they wil...
by Agasthi
01 Jun 2025 14:50
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!
Replies: 2938
Views: 604505

Re: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!

No true Indian gives a flying frack about how many IAF or PAF birds went down. We care about how many missions were a success within their predicted loss ratio. As far as I can see, GOI, IAF and IA seem to be happy about it. Pravula ji, this is where we are making a mistake and are underestimating ...
by Agasthi
01 Jun 2025 07:46
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!
Replies: 2938
Views: 604505

Re: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!

Went to sleep when everything was smooth and woke up to find the world in fury. :rotfl: Folks you don’t know a fraction of what he does You don’t have the faintest clue of where he and India are headed with this You are trying to put yourselves in his shoes. Sorry, not a wise thing to do. Hold your ...
by Agasthi
22 May 2025 15:55
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

Deans Ji, excellent analysis, sums up the whole thing! Pakistan GDP being 7-9% of India's should sober pakis up but no they will grind their own country down to hell.
by Agasthi
21 May 2025 11:40
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!
Replies: 2938
Views: 604505

Re: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!

Say what you will, all of the satellite photos, podcasts or news articles is just not satisfying as those bombing clips. All the hand-wringing over the years on these very forums have been answered by Allah Talah :lol: . Have been watching these on repeat mode. Indian kids taking selfies with the gl...
by Agasthi
20 May 2025 17:47
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

https://warontherocks.com/2025/05/operation-sindoor-and-the-evolution-of-indias-strategy-against-pakistan/ Above is a good article from Arzan Tarapore about the strategic implications of the conflict. Quoting a few salient points: Over the past decade, India has progressively transformed its respon...
by Agasthi
19 May 2025 04:30
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

The video with AM Bedi was really good! With PAF temporarily disabled PA will be a sitting duck. All of that with just 15 Brahmos and which means we can seriously disable any military activity in occupied Tibet which can constrain PLA and PLAF quite a bit. We may have just reduced one front of the 2...
by Agasthi
18 May 2025 06:38
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indus Water Treaty
Replies: 3395
Views: 1014674

Re: Indus Water Treaty

In addition to expanding the existing canal system like the Ranbir canal (starts at Akhnoor and ends at Jammu Tawi river near Jammu). India is fast-tracking water diversion tunnels as well. A 23 km DT from Chenab to Solang Nullah (a tributary of the beas river near Rohtang pass) is being fast tracke...
by Agasthi
17 May 2025 06:07
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indus Water Treaty
Replies: 3395
Views: 1014674

Re: Indus Water Treaty

India has started work on expanding the existing canal network in Jammu like the Ranbir canal that can take away water to Punjab. https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/india-to-rebuild-canals-dig-new-ones-to-tap-into-indus-101747421164080.html https://www.etvbharat.com/en/!bharat/chenab-water-di...
by Agasthi
16 May 2025 16:18
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

Hriday wrote: 16 May 2025 15:25 What is special in the Sundar Industrial estate?
From the video, your could see the missile/ bomb hitting what seems like a vacant piece of land and that too near power lines. Could have been a AD missile unit?
by Agasthi
16 May 2025 15:45
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

I looked all over the internet and am not clear about the PAF strike package that attacked the Kashmir valley on May 10 morning. Shiv Arror two aircraft were shot down by Akash. Does that mean the strike package penetrated the AD and were able to get through to the valley and did our aircraft not en...
by Agasthi
14 May 2025 09:45
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

I find it quite surprising that a western blogger has published a ball-by-ball commentary of how Op Sindoor transpired that multiple BRF folks are buying into without a second thought. May I know where this conviction comes from, considering most of the claims around our response, supposed losses, ...
by Agasthi
14 May 2025 05:13
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

@Rcase ji, of course. In one of the reports, it was mentioned that India has minute up to date details of paki nukes and movements and that spooked US intervention as they thought India was going in for a kill. Yes, Christine Fair is foul mouthed but her book is quite good at least from my POV. She ...
by Agasthi
14 May 2025 04:41
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

I know there is sigh of relief that a couple of Paki nuclear sites were struck and their nuclear bluff has been called. However, is it possible for them to have nuclear weapons stored somewhere else and use it later on in their 'survive to fight another day' thought process? How can we be certain t...
by Agasthi
14 May 2025 04:36
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis
Replies: 1788
Views: 469972

Re: Operation Sindoor - Post Conflict Analysis

Tom Cooper is one of the neutral guys and had a long collab with our late B Harry. If he was still with us, he would be the expert being interviewed. However, these western analysts are a double edged sword. They could have interviewed someone like Indranil B or Rohit Vats however both are enthusias...
by Agasthi
10 May 2025 07:37
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!
Replies: 2938
Views: 604505

Re: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!

Its disturbing to see the psychology of the punjabi muslim. The sheer depravity and perversity of their being and thoughts. He and she wants to kill Hindus unimpeded. When the Hindu retaliates, the shock, anger, denial and religious fervour that envelops the punjabi muslim is a sight to behold. Look...
by Agasthi
07 May 2025 14:20
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!
Replies: 2938
Views: 604505

Re: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!

Amazing Paki Abduls are supplying videos on the strikes to Indian news channels. It looks like they are not that sad that these sites got attacked. They get paid for these, things are desperate. Imagine being raised on a diet of TFTA and how superior you are in every way to the kaffir next door onl...
by Agasthi
07 May 2025 14:05
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!
Replies: 2938
Views: 604505

Re: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!

Behan at Baisaran: ek chutki sindoor ki keemat tum kya jaano jehadi babu?

Jehadi: evil laugh, ja modi se bol, apne sarkar se bol

Modi: zubaan ki keemat chuka di! Hizaab aur thoda baki hai paki :twisted:

Sarkar: we undertook a measured precise and non escalatory whatever!
by Agasthi
07 May 2025 12:57
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!
Replies: 2938
Views: 604505

Re: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!

Thanks Tanaji, but Nitin gokhale tweeted ‘prahaar ho gaya’ thought pun intended.Prahar is ballistic, no?
by Agasthi
07 May 2025 12:42
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!
Replies: 2938
Views: 604505

Re: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!

Btw Operation Sindoor what an apt name for all the husbands that were lost that day. Shabash!
by Agasthi
07 May 2025 12:40
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!
Replies: 2938
Views: 604505

Re: Operation Sindoor - Bharat Strikes Back: Jai Hind!

It looks like a combination of stand off weapons and missiles were used. Re: missiles, does that not break down the deterrence value of the nuke theory which stated that you can’t make out which missile is conventional and nuclear and hence will lead to all out nuclear war?
by Agasthi
04 May 2025 16:23
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indus Water Treaty
Replies: 3395
Views: 1014674

Re: Indus Water Treaty

Thanks Sridhar and Amber for your insights, appreciate it! https://www.tunnel-online.info/en/artikel/sunkoshi-marin-diversion-multipurpose-project-tbm-breaks-through-11-months-early-in-nepal-4173103.html As per the link above, Nepal has some 12 river diversion projects and this one for the Sunkoshi ...
by Agasthi
28 Apr 2025 20:03
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 5356
Views: 2372377

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

https://x.com/alpha_defense/status/1916571096221966394 Don't know why, but looking at Pakistan military bravado strangely reminds me of this famous comedy scene from a tamil movie by actor Vadivelu. :rotfl: Its about a guy who gets beaten up for all his bluster. He is even in Pakistan national colo...
by Agasthi
28 Apr 2025 19:20
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indus Water Treaty
Replies: 3395
Views: 1014674

Re: Indus Water Treaty

@SSridhar ji and other experts. I'm not a dam expert but i was reading up and learnt that Kishenganga is diverted to Jhelum river under the Pir Panjal mts. via the 24 km KHEP tunnel which was completed in 20 months or so and appears to have cost approx Rs. 4000 crores. Not bad at all! 1. Can we buil...
by Agasthi
23 Apr 2025 16:07
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 785
Views: 553626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

Pakistan is an existential threat and we should accelerate insurgencies there. We have a 2-3 year window where China and US are not taking eyes off each other. In this time period, Pak should break up into as many pieces as possible. We need to Chinese salami slicing on the LOC to keep intense pres...
by Agasthi
17 Apr 2025 14:59
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 785
Views: 553626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

Thanks Manish ji! Now coming to India, where do we stand. We are literally between the devil and the deep sea. One wants our soul and the other our soil. Both like the idea of us being servants. Navigating this is going to be tricky and we seem to be doing this fine so far to the best of our abiliti...
by Agasthi
16 Apr 2025 08:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 785
Views: 553626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

Just to follow on the above; 2020-2020 saw US get embroiled in ME + Afghanistan following 9/11 as no action meant loss of prestige. But it also set off the relative ascendancy and descendancy of China and US. In the next 10-20 years, China would have already planned how to tie up the US while presen...
by Agasthi
15 Apr 2025 20:04
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 785
Views: 553626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

My analysis tells me that China isn't going to get itself physically involved like Russia unless and until it is an existential which makes it easier to commit the population to a 'Patriotic War'. Given China's new found prosperity and one-child families, a war will mean enormous suffering. So far, ...
by Agasthi
10 Apr 2025 14:41
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 785
Views: 553626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

Thanks Ramana ji! Further to the above, and to the trade war and the US adopting protectionist policies, feel it is important to look at historical trends. I have made a chart that tracks share of countries and by bloc of the World GDP. It is expressed in US dollars. https://freeimage.host/i/3aGto8l...
by Agasthi
09 Apr 2025 18:17
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Urban Development and Public Policy Discussion
Replies: 577
Views: 318584

Re: Indian Urban Development and Public Policy Discussion

Agree that it is frustrating to see the general state of Indian urban landscapes. And the default coping mechanism is the temptation to lay the guilt on the people and find fault with culture or religion. Suggested improvement measures - shaming! If we are going on this path, we will end up with whi...
by Agasthi
06 Apr 2025 08:35
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 785
Views: 553626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

I'm coming around to a view that even within China - a seemingly opaque monolith, there are wheels within wheels and often these are fueled from outside forces especially the American empire. The empire realized following the Obama-Xi summits that China is going to be no Japan or Germany. 2020 - Cov...