Search found 133 matches

by Lohit
12 Oct 2021 18:35
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

Political chaos intensifies in NaPak - Authority to appoint DG ISI lies with the prime minister: Fawad Chaudhry Harami link: https://www.dawn.com/news/1651602/authority-to-appoint-dg-isi-lies-with-the-prime-minister-fawad-chaudhry Addressing a post-cabinet meeting press conference, the minister said...
by Lohit
11 Oct 2021 15:47
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion
Replies: 2894
Views: 793042

Re: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion

Tit-for-tat with NaPakis will not give any gains. While we must provide all support to the half a dozen independence movements there - indulging in parity based proxy war will only delight NaPaki leadership. Consider this, if they are spending a max of 10L PKR on each soosaai, that's $5000. Peanuts....
by Lohit
11 Oct 2021 14:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2808737

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

what exactly are farm leader doing to meet the govt halfway after this? they are stuck to their demand that three farm laws should be repelled. What more do you propose the govt should do to win these "non-farming farmer protestors" back? The threat of militancy is a poor excuse, that wil...
by Lohit
11 Oct 2021 13:26
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2808737

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Also you over simplify when you say current agitation will lead to an insurgency in Punjab. ManSingh ji, I believe that there have been blasts recently and arrests of armed Khalistanis. I am unsure whether I am dhoti-shivering or seeing the re-surfacing of this menace that is not being taken with t...
by Lohit
11 Oct 2021 13:21
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2808737

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

chetak wrote: My mind is pretty much made up about the farm laws.
Chetak ji, thankyou for sharing your thoughts on this, I have avidly read your posts over several years as a long time lurker, thanks.
by Lohit
10 Oct 2021 22:10
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2808737

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

The entire nation is being held hostage by a few people who know very well what exactly they are doing and why. This is unforgiveable, self-serving and undoubtedly anti national Let's do ballpark cost benefit, Costs : potential rise of insurgency in a state where it has been dead for decades. All i...
by Lohit
10 Oct 2021 21:27
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2808737

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

कश्मीरी मुसलमान और भारतीय किसान कभी संतुष्ट हुआ है, इस देश में[/color] [/quote] Chetak ji, I think you misinterpreted my argument. I am not weighing in on the merit of the case being presented by Tikait or Mufti. I am saying, firstly, a cost-benefit of having unrest in Punjab and Kashmir specifical...
by Lohit
10 Oct 2021 19:43
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2808737

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Given that both China and NaPak are facing enough and plenty of issues domestically, I think it is high time that Namo considers measures to consolidate and pacify restiveness internally in Punjab and Kashmir . In both places we are right now in a position of strength - an ideal time to negotiate fo...
by Lohit
09 Oct 2021 22:43
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

Uh-oh! U.S. No Longer Sees Itself Building ‘Broad-Based’ Relationship with Pakistan: Sherman Ouch! / SMQ hasn't tweeted anything about his meet with Wendy Sherman. And no meeting with Niazi happened. That means kas ke danda pada hai. Make no mistake, it was NATO that was solely propping this charad...
by Lohit
09 Oct 2021 22:27
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 7930
Views: 2126095

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

It does seem AfPak had a pretty rainfall deficient season, For Pak - Country received 24pc below average rainfall: Met data The Meteorological department’s recently released data showed that the country received 24 per cent below average rainfall from July to August with many stations in Sindh and B...
by Lohit
09 Oct 2021 20:32
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 7930
Views: 2126095

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Here's a prediction: NaPak will face food riots next year. I came across this article from '97 in NYT : https://www.nytimes.com/1997/04/08/world/food-riots-hit-pakistan.html#:~:text=Food%20riots%20paralyzed%20the%20northwestern,stocks%20and%20blocking%20of%20roads. Food Riots Hit Pakistan Food riot...
by Lohit
09 Oct 2021 19:52
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: MRCA (Many Rakshaks Choose Aircraft) Contest - Episode III
Replies: 2935
Views: 695364

Re: MRCA (Many Rakshaks Choose Aircraft) Contest - Episode III

Slight correction... PAF has total 24 squadrons---> 16 Combat squadrons ... And in the 16 Combat squadrons---> 4 squadrons are F16 5 squadrons are JF17 1 squadron is Mirage III 4 squadrons are Mirage V 2 squadrons are F7 F7s are only point defenders... Won't be used in offensive operations... - Rea...
by Lohit
08 Oct 2021 16:13
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: MRCA (Many Rakshaks Choose Aircraft) Contest - Episode III
Replies: 2935
Views: 695364

Re: MRCA (Many Rakshaks Choose Aircraft) Contest - Episode III

With you questions, and possible options, you're providing a great answer to our squadron shortfall puzzle. Hope that we see a renewed push for Tejas like what happened during Shri Parrikar's time. Thanks chief, and I have high hopes that atleast under Gen Rawat and Namo the push shall sustain and ...
by Lohit
08 Oct 2021 15:49
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

Its striking how hardly any nation except Iran directly funds terror to Israel. I think the key reason for this is Israel's ability to put its own and their adversaries skin in the game. What I mean by this is that Israel does not hesitate in going after adversarial leadership at the topmost levels....
by Lohit
07 Oct 2021 21:13
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: MRCA (Many Rakshaks Choose Aircraft) Contest - Episode III
Replies: 2935
Views: 695364

Re: MRCA (Many Rakshaks Choose Aircraft) Contest - Episode III

Asking a noob question to the gurus here, please assume in advance the question is posed from one who has a 5 year old's knowledge/acumen on vayusena matters, Q. Does the S400 acquisition dramatically stabilize our fighter requirements, at least on the Western front? If I try and assess things from ...
by Lohit
06 Oct 2021 17:45
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 14901
Views: 2808737

Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Is India Headed for an Anti-Muslim Genocide? (Time) https://time.com/6103284/india-hindu-supremacy-extremism-genocide-bjp-modi/ Some choice excerpts, Modi coined a new sobriquet for India: “the mother of all democracies.” No one knows what that means, least of all one Indian mother still trying to ...
by Lohit
06 Oct 2021 16:28
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 6236
Views: 1739955

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Biden and Xi explore 'recoupling' as advisers meet in Zurich https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Indo-Pacific/Biden-and-Xi-explore-recoupling-as-advisers-meet-in-Zurich National security adviser Jake Sullivan will travel to Switzerland to meet China’s top diplomat Yang Jiechi, ...
by Lohit
06 Oct 2021 16:07
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 6236
Views: 1739955

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

China could be ready to mount a 'full-scale' invasion of Taiwan by 2025, island's defense minister says So it seems, in Taiwanese calculations, invasion threat is immediate but not imminent. Or at least that is the public posture they would like to hold. https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/06/asia/taiw...
by Lohit
06 Oct 2021 14:40
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indian Foreign Policy
Replies: 2499
Views: 515037

Re: Indian Foreign Policy

Is India's ‘neighbourhood first policy’ unable to win regional allies? Here are my 2 paisa super-subjective opinions 1. General population of countries such as Afg, Pak and Bang have an deep seated intrinsic loathing for us and view us as people that they ruled. A similar feeling exists amongst the...
by Lohit
06 Oct 2021 05:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015
Replies: 1776
Views: 570695

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015

7 key trends whose inter-play can cause significant global geo-economics turmoil (essay) I would like to table 7 key trends that I sense have become more exacerbated and I see them causing significant (by significant I mean at least a '08 level of economic destruction) global geo-economic turmoil i...
by Lohit
05 Oct 2021 21:21
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 6236
Views: 1739955

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Taiwan president warns of 'catastrophic' consequences if it falls to China https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/taiwan-president-warns-catastrophic-consequences-if-it-falls-china-2021-10-05/ Taiwan falling to China would trigger "catastrophic" consequences for peace in Asia, Preside...
by Lohit
04 Oct 2021 16:41
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 7930
Views: 2126095

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

I have serious doubt on Paki remittances. I think a significant part of the remittances is black money routed back into the Paki economy by the Paki elites. Spot on. Same goes for a lot of their exports and imports - Bakis exbort daal to Kaneda and imbort same daal at 2x rate. It ij unique Baki pis...
by Lohit
04 Oct 2021 16:19
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

Another one bites the dust - Pakistan Army sepoy (did anyone else notice NaPakis call their own soldiers, "sepoys" :lol: ) martyred in exchange of fire with terrorists in North Waziristan: ISPR Harami link: https://www.dawn.com/news/1650082/pakistan-army-sepoy-martyred-in-exchange-of-fire...
by Lohit
30 Sep 2021 22:39
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 7930
Views: 2126095

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Foreign exchange: SBP reserves fall $249m to $19.3 (Sep '30) Harami link: https://tribune.com.pk/story/2322688/foreign-exchange-sbp-reserves-fall-249m-to-193b The foreign exchange reserves held by the central bank fell 1.27% on a weekly basis, according to data released by the State Bank of Pakista...
by Lohit
30 Sep 2021 22:08
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

THREE FC shot dead by Afghan Taliban at spin Boldak border crossing : https://twitter.com/Natsecjeff/status/1443536515167096839 Imagine if after an argument at Wagah border, we casually shot dead 3 Pork guards, media outlets like ramdiTV would predict nuclear annihilation. Up there, is just another...
by Lohit
30 Sep 2021 21:09
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

Warms the cockles of my heart to see NaPakis repeating Bangladesh all over again in Baluchistan: Balochistan govt orders employees to set their ringback tones to 'Pakistan Zindabad' Harami link: https://www.dawn.com/news/1649322/balochistan-govt-orders-employees-to-set-their-ringback-tones-to-pakist...
by Lohit
30 Sep 2021 20:53
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

We being right next door should take extreme precaution not to be hurt by the implosion... A country with no food reserves, no forex reserves, no fuel reserves, no national assets that could be mortgaged if shit hits the fan, no credit standing for any more monetary relief, no soft power to elicit ...
by Lohit
30 Sep 2021 19:26
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

the requirement of the pakis has become redundant InshaAllah _/\_ the proposed sanctions also mean that the break is final and the pakis will be treated as just another jehadi trouble maker. I wonder what will its economic collapse look like? Lebanon like perhaps, but with global commodity and supp...
by Lohit
30 Sep 2021 17:09
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

U.S. intensifies talks to use Russian bases for Afghan counterterrorism ops : In a classified hearing with senators, top generals detailed negotiations for "over the horizon" staging locations to strike al Qaeda https://www.politico.com/news/2021/09/29/us-russia-bases-afghan-counterterror...
by Lohit
29 Sep 2021 20:46
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

It also means that the Pakis will have to expend political/lobbying/financial capital on blocking this, that would otherwise have been used to target India and stoke Jihadi/Khalistani fires. True. I also think key is that Unkil wants a scape goat and Na-Pak's backside presents a highly attractive t...
by Lohit
29 Sep 2021 20:37
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 6236
Views: 1739955

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Why Chinese conquest of Taiwan is a given and "total-war" war with India highly likely - a minefield created by Chinese miscalculations and unabashed ambition (Long post / Essay) Let me preface this post by taking stock of how India and China view each other. Chinese perception From a Chi...
by Lohit
29 Sep 2021 20:02
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

Manish_P wrote:
It's just a group of republicans. Unlikely it will result in anything except rona-dhona in Jihadistan and a meltdown in Krachi PSX
I agree. Its just that Romney and Rubio are signatories and command bi-partisan support which gives me some hope.
by Lohit
29 Sep 2021 16:35
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

Bill moved in US Senate to sanction Taliban, supporters Harami link: https://tribune.com.pk/story/2322439/bill-moved-in-us-senate-to-sanction-taliban-supporters Excerpts, Sanctions could extend to foreign governments, including Pakistan, that US believes were and are supporting Taliban A group of hi...
by Lohit
27 Sep 2021 16:54
Forum: Trash Can Archive
Topic: Terroristan - April 15, 2021
Replies: 2853
Views: 774596

Re: Terroristan - April 15, 2021

Pathetic inbred Pakis so jittery about the US-India-Japan-Australian 'alliance' meeting that they want to appropriate the name :roll: Bakis call this as “C-QUAD” . There were few articles with full of wet dreams about how C-QUAD is better than QUAD and why US should give money to Af-Pak. But It see...
by Lohit
20 Sep 2021 21:08
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: China's Global Strategy-I
Replies: 125
Views: 39879

Re: China's Global Strategy-I

And, how would eleven and his minions achieve this? Consume less products/services or raw material from RoW? How does that stop RoW from needing to earn USD/EUR to buy oil/gas, copper, and microprocessors to run its economies? In my opinion you answered the question yourself - by deflating demand. ...
by Lohit
20 Sep 2021 18:50
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: China's Global Strategy-I
Replies: 125
Views: 39879

Re: China's Global Strategy-I

Lohit, ji, if I may- equating US economic supremacy to USD as world's default settlement currency is IMVHO mixing cause and effect. USD is the global settlement currency because the US is the world's largest consumer market, not the other way around........ if/ when China becomes the world's single...
by Lohit
20 Sep 2021 18:19
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: China's Global Strategy-I
Replies: 125
Views: 39879

Re: China's Global Strategy-I

Let me also jot down thoughts on what could be Xi's endgame . Now, most of us on the board know that the secret to US' preeminence to power, the cornerstone of its strength, is not its trillion dollar defense spend, not its blue water navy of 20 aircraft carriers, not its 5.5k nukes, nor its soft po...
by Lohit
20 Sep 2021 16:38
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: China's Global Strategy-I
Replies: 125
Views: 39879

Re: China's Global Strategy-I

surviving spectacularly, killing the gangsters. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rgsucydYd3s That's a darn good analogy i must say :lol: I have to confess, $30Tn is a number I've pulled staright outta my a$$. :oops: The operating assumption here is that something similar to 1929 may happen. For inst...
by Lohit
18 Sep 2021 20:38
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: China's Global Strategy-I
Replies: 125
Views: 39879

Re: China's Global Strategy-I

Certainly worth thinking over.. That, coupled with his shake-up of the top brass in the Chinese armed forces, might mean that he is now pretty confident of his strategy. Perhaps this also gives an insight into why the US, under business minded Trump, and now Biden (partly forced by Trump, partly pu...
by Lohit
17 Sep 2021 18:54
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: China's Global Strategy-I
Replies: 125
Views: 39879

Re: China's Global Strategy-I

***Warning: This is a fairly speculative post, and quite low on analysis so take it with a maund of salt*** The approaching black swan - Chinese economic nuke that is going to wipe out the US and most other economies globally Xi bazookaed the Alibaba $1 Tn IPO. Pinduoduo lost $30 Bn in valuation alm...