Search found 163 matches

by khatvaanga
26 Jul 2019 22:12
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Bengal - news and strategy thread
Replies: 367
Views: 101284

Re: West Bengal - news and strategy thread

ramana wrote:I would like some one to go thru the seat by seat data of recent polls in Bengal.

What I am interested is of the ~7 MLA seats/MP seat who many would TMC retain?
And how many would BJP win?
And how many are toss ups?
Say 10 days?
I can do it. Will give it to you by Wed / Thursday next week.
by khatvaanga
24 Jul 2019 21:07
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

chetak wrote:moreover, is it constitutionally permissible.
dont think so. a non starter like his dad's muslim reservation. will be struck down by court. but he will get brownie points.
by khatvaanga
20 Jul 2019 05:16
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

Break as many parties as it takes to get majority in RS. At this point I have zero sympathy to any others. They put brakes on for most of last 5 years.
by khatvaanga
18 Jul 2019 01:37
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1396054

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

thanks Dubey ji. Hopefully BJP will be able to split SP soon.
by khatvaanga
18 Jul 2019 00:59
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

ramana wrote: I get the feeling that RS majority is the quest.
And more important.
To pass many long held up legislation.

looks like that is the only real tangible thing that Shah is looking for. Rest is all noise.
by khatvaanga
18 Jul 2019 00:32
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1396054

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

ramana wrote:- BJP strength in RS to go up by 4 as more MPs change parties.
I missed this. Who? Where?

now BJP is at 81
by khatvaanga
17 Jul 2019 02:22
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1396054

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

ramana wrote:I liked the way the speaker Sri Om Birla, kept control of the house during Amti Shah speech.
And Amit Shah spoke like a jingo from this Forum.
He has to do something on ground sooner. Lots of challenges past 2 months and I dont know what is the tipping point for him.
by khatvaanga
11 Jul 2019 06:28
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

This is the history of splits.. TANA was split as TANA and ATA in 1993 ATA was split into ATA and NATA in 2008 TANA was again Split into TANA and NATS in 2009 NATA was split into NATA and TATA in 2015. APTA was also formed 5 yrs ago. Now, TANA and NATS : TDP ATA and NATA: YSRCP TATA: TRS APTA: Jana ...
by khatvaanga
11 Jul 2019 04:47
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

Earlier in the event in the political forum discussion, Vishnu Vardhan Reddy was heckled by those who attended the forum. This was a day before Ram Madhav came to TANA. All the politicians - Ganta, Vishnu, Nadendla Manohar, Krishnadevaraylu etc were all in the same hotel, and they all had discussion...
by khatvaanga
03 Jul 2019 23:47
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1396054

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

2019 was on Vikas. 2024 will be on Hindutva.
by khatvaanga
03 Jul 2019 18:56
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: US - China Trade War : Where is India ?
Replies: 47
Views: 12860

Re: US - China Trade War : Where is India ?

Interesting. Can we hold off on the 5G until we have our own infra instead of piggy backing on either chini or amrikan infra? given both will have backdoors? A concept similar to development of NAVIC?
by khatvaanga
03 Jul 2019 18:42
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1396054

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

I follow simple numbers when referring to c-system. 20-50-200-2000-10000(treat it as chess pieces) If modiji goes after them like mao, they immediately run away to their safe havens. At the same time, he can't afford the situation like now.. I believe he will go after 50 and 200 pieces as usual. Th...
by khatvaanga
02 Jul 2019 06:12
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: A new world order .. why India should initiate a south Asian union
Replies: 40
Views: 11303

Re: A new world order .. why India should initiate a south Asian union

is it kosher / dharmic to post relevant article from ForeignAffairs here? There are a couple of articles which talk about the New World Order though we dont appear much in their design. Sam Huntington calls it the Civilizational World Order in the Clash of Civis. That when the balls land, eventually...
by khatvaanga
30 Jun 2019 03:42
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1396054

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Hs are having issues staying in places like Kairana, Meerut, Wayanad, parts of Hyderabad, and here we want KPs to be sent to Kashmir. I dont think that will ever happen. I will consider it a great win if 370 and 35A are gone and Narayana / Chaitanya open colleges in Kashmir valley.
by khatvaanga
29 Jun 2019 00:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K News and Discussion - 2016
Replies: 3305
Views: 967062

Re: J&K News and Discussion - 2016

super speech. I felt Shah's control over the sabha was much more than NMs.
by khatvaanga
29 Jun 2019 00:39
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

Good point Devesh.. TDP cadre in TG is not a problem, they will shift loyalties easily. But Congress cadre are not shifting loyalties easily.. they still see themselves as a viable alternative to both TRS & BJP. Already some leaders had to face embarrassing situations where they announced joini...
by khatvaanga
28 Jun 2019 02:10
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

Are any BRF Telugus based out of massaland attending TANA conferance in DC next week ? Ram Madhav and Venkayya naidu are attending. Along with recent turncoats from TDP to BJP CM Ramesh, Garikapati Mohan Rao and TG Venkatesh. Also Pawan Kalyan, Erabelli Dayakar Rao, Srinivas Goud, Malla Reddy, Nama...
by khatvaanga
28 Jun 2019 02:09
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

apologies for going on tangent here - Ramana garu, many of telugu words can be traced back to the "desi" language that was said to be prevalent during late Satavahana era. [This is from a book called Andhrula Charitra by Dr B S L Hanumantha Rao]. Also corroborated elsewhere During this per...
by khatvaanga
21 Jun 2019 00:22
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1396054

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

What happens to the remaining 2 RS MPs of TDP?
by khatvaanga
21 Jun 2019 00:22
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: One Nation One Election: News & Non-political Discussions
Replies: 24
Views: 5820

Re: One Nation One Election: News & Non-political Discussions

Going to full on-line is the way to do One Election. saar with dumb microcontroller, without ports only 21 parties are going ape-sh*t crazy. in a fully integrated online system maybe extremely vulnerable for hacking no? Though I think for our electionprocess to be online is a few decades away. Need...
by khatvaanga
20 Jun 2019 23:02
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1396054

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Grapevine is that 2/3 LS MPs are ready to go to BJP. If that happens we will see the end of a party in real time.
by khatvaanga
20 Jun 2019 23:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: One Nation One Election: News & Non-political Discussions
Replies: 24
Views: 5820

Re: One Nation One Election: News & Non-political Discussions

The recommendations are pretty solid and have taken into consideration the vagaries of our multi-party system. The two phase elections along with riders for what happens if a govt falls within out-of-cadence with the Two Phased approach is pretty good and I think this is something that will be benef...
by khatvaanga
20 Jun 2019 22:29
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

ramana wrote:BJP has decided to takeover TDP and become viable in Andhra Pradesh.
heard there was a secret meeting of TDP Kapu leaders. Now where they go will decide how hard BJP has to work in AP.
by khatvaanga
08 Jun 2019 20:17
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

There has been some chatter on how an ordinance on Sabarimalai would have fetched 2-4 seats in Kerala. After looking at AP, TN in GE I am not sure it would have helped. Btw Modi will be in Tirupati on 9th. Hopefully a better translator this time...

Sent from the mobile client - Forum Talker
by khatvaanga
06 Jun 2019 02:18
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1396054

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

this is still the Political Analysis thread right?
by khatvaanga
06 Jun 2019 02:17
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

There could be hope for Andhra more than TN or KL. thanks to the EJ & his family who are showing their cards right from day 1. Many andhras are now worried that it could be halleluyapradesh if something doesnt get done.. acknowledging the problem is the first step. As a result seebeeyaan is tryi...
by khatvaanga
06 Jun 2019 02:12
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1396054

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

We need to take more care of the environment for future generations. But we seem to think only of today. Maybe artificial lakes could be built and an ecology may come up around it after a manual start? this has to be done. of the thousands of lakes in Texas <10 are natural. I am curious to see what...
by khatvaanga
05 Jun 2019 21:46
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 6664
Views: 1396054

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

the biggest thing to me from BJP manifesto is their promise of potable water to all thru pipes. While i am a (lot) skeptical about it due to the distances from water sources in, lets say, states like RJ or lack of any perennial water sources in districts such as Anantapur etc. I hope these things ar...
by khatvaanga
31 May 2019 20:43
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Urban Development and Public Policy Discussion
Replies: 523
Views: 160370

Re: Indian Urban Development and Public Policy Discussion

I am not sure if this was already discussed here, but I was talking to someone about urban infra in India, and he made a comment on why India doesnt look at hub-and-spoke model for all its metros? The biggest challenges in second rung cities as opposed to metros are 1. Education 2. Employment Opport...
by khatvaanga
31 May 2019 20:14
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections : Results Discussion
Replies: 2982
Views: 454898

Re: 2019 General Elections : Results Discussion

Amit Ji in the home ministry will help fix the whole internal security situation and completely destroy internal BIF. Also will solve the Kashmir soft terror situation very quickly with Gen VK getting MoS road transport [N + NE / China most probably], Jaishankar getting EAM and, Shah as HM I am hop...
by khatvaanga
31 May 2019 20:12
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread
Replies: 1964
Views: 480970

Re: Kerala, Andhra and Tamil Nadu - news and strategy thread

There seems to be an interesting phenomenon playing out in AP, too early to judge if it is in passing or if it will sustain into something tangible. Last few days and especially last two days telugu WA has been flooding with images of jagan with bible next to him, how his top officers are all RoL re...
by khatvaanga
31 May 2019 20:07
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Structural Reforms Milestones post 2019 Elections
Replies: 81
Views: 21552

Re: Structural Reforms Milestones post 2019 Elections

I am not sure how many here have looked / read the NITI Aayog report on India @75 where it takes about things that need to be done by 2022/2023. It has a list of "end results" for various reforms that most here have been taking about [except, obviously, Judicial or Police reforms]. I would...
by khatvaanga
24 May 2019 21:29
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections : Results Discussion
Replies: 2982
Views: 454898

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

an oft repeated phrase here - 4th Battle of Panipat... now in words. Not sure who wrote it but makes very pertinent points..

https://www.opindia.com/2019/02/mamata- ... elections/
by khatvaanga
21 May 2019 07:13
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 1189437

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Gus wrote:
"bjp will lose wonlee" :((
oh thanks for letting me know Gus.

bjp will lose wonlee :((
by khatvaanga
21 May 2019 03:45
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 1189437

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

ramana wrote: Yes #Jihadidi game is over and she knows it. That's why high decibel ChabiLevelIndex 5.0 screaming and violence using state police.
Even they were replaced after Phases 2 onward.
as per sources on ground, connected to some TMC leaders, bjp could win anything from 12-26.
by khatvaanga
21 May 2019 03:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 6200
Views: 1189437

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

nachiket wrote:At 67.11%, 2019 turnout highest ever for Lok Sabha polls

Suraj saar will be interested in this. Overall turnout in 2014 was 66.4%, which was already a record.
earlier today I read some report in Hindu which said 2019 was 2-3% less than 2014. That moment I knew it had to be better than 2014..