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by A_Gupta
16 Apr 2026 17:34
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

Fox News: PETER DOOCY: “There are now 10 American scientists who have either gone missing or died since mid 2024. They all reportedly had access to classified nuclear or aerospace material. Is anybody investigating this to see if these things are connected?” KAROLINE LEAVITT: “I’ve seen the report,...
by A_Gupta
16 Apr 2026 01:45
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 2788
Views: 985158

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Did the tariffs help with the US goods trade deficit? Maybe by $60-$70 billion per quarter. U.S. Quarterly Goods Trade Deficit (2024 – 2026) Year Quarter Goods Deficit (Billions USD) Key Drivers / Context 2024 Q1 $272.9 Stable growth in capital and consumer goods imports. Q2 $309.6 Significant rise ...
by A_Gupta
16 Apr 2026 01:39
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 2788
Views: 985158

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

I won’t go into the “BRI in shambles claim” (also does not seem to be supported by the data).
by A_Gupta
16 Apr 2026 01:37
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 2788
Views: 985158

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

> Recently their own stats point to 17% dip in car sales

Yes, internal sales are falling.

“China's car exports continue to rise rapidly, growing 19.4% in 2025. As of March 2026, monthly passenger car exports reached 748,000, representing an 82.4% increase from a year prior.”
by A_Gupta
16 Apr 2026 01:32
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 2788
Views: 985158

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

> China was flying high with its exports but the tariff regime put paid to that notion. China goods exports 2024: $3.58 trillion 2025: $3.78 trillion (6% YoY growth) For the first quarter (Q1) of 2026, the key export figures are: Total Goods Exports: 6.85 trillion yuan (approximately $977.6 billion ...
by A_Gupta
15 Apr 2026 04:05
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

How much worse has Israel's current path been, from any objective standpoint, than the actions of Pakistan in Balochistan, KPK, or Afghanistan— or those of China in Xinjiang or Tibet? Perception management makes all the difference. The strategy that works with a domestic cat may not work with a tig...
by A_Gupta
15 Apr 2026 03:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

Relying on AI again, not for the accuracy of its answer but all the various facets that it throws up, and to have a framework. Question: In 1973, after a war, Egypt and Israel came to an enduring peace. Is it possible in 2026 for Iran and Israel to come to such a peace? A durable Egypt–Israel‑style ...
by A_Gupta
15 Apr 2026 00:25
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India Nuclear News and Discussion 4 July 2011
Replies: 5113
Views: 1334615

Re: India Nuclear News and Discussion 4 July 2011

Vaiko made some anti-Kalpakkam statement in 2013 too.
by A_Gupta
15 Apr 2026 00:24
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

The Israel-Iran conflict is no more solvable than the India-Pakistan conflict. The best one can hope for is a cold peace.

I don’t think that Israel can achieve that on its current path. It might get a temporary respite, but a blink of an eye in the life of a nation.
by A_Gupta
15 Apr 2026 00:14
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 12949
Views: 3840291

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Part of an article at talkingpointsmemo.com https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/frisco-texas-great-replacement FRISCO, TEXAS – Far-right activists are seizing on a new example of the America they fear. It’s a booming, Texas city home to the Dallas Cowboys’ practice facility and a PGA golf resort. The...
by A_Gupta
14 Apr 2026 10:55
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Analysis on Future Scenarios
Replies: 116
Views: 57768

Re: Operation Sindoor - Analysis on Future Scenarios

Your post deoesnt close anything. You mistake some PR statements made to set up a narrative of a country that can practice self-restraint in the exercise of its killing power (contrast with Israel and the US and the mess they have blundered us all into, or Putin’s unending war in Ukraine.) and a com...
by A_Gupta
14 Apr 2026 10:40
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has faced multiple stages of losing its ability to track Iran’s enriched uranium, with the process beginning in early 2021 and culminating in a total verification blackout in mid-2025. Timeline of the Monitoring Gap February 2021: The "Blind Spot&qu...
by A_Gupta
14 Apr 2026 09:47
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Analysis on Future Scenarios
Replies: 116
Views: 57768

Re: Operation Sindoor - Analysis on Future Scenarios

Sigh, go back and see what they said at the time of combat, not this retrospective feel-good stuff. In any case: The operation took place in the early hours, with 24 missiles striking 9 targets between 1:05 AM and 1:30 AM. None of the five times of namaz is any time close to 1:00 AM. --- Across all ...
by A_Gupta
14 Apr 2026 07:55
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

AI: "The Israel–Iran conflict isn’t about Palestine, but Palestine is the moral and political fuel Iran uses to justify its posture. If there were a serious, visible political horizon for Palestinians—statehood, rights, end of open-ended occupation: * Iran’s narrative of “we are the only real d...
by A_Gupta
14 Apr 2026 04:54
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

Rhetoric vs. Reality: Claims regarding "Obummer" or secret "deep mountain hide-outs" are old techniques designed to sway those already convinced of a conspiracy. From a technical standpoint, the deal's physical constraints—such as limiting Uranium Hexafluoride UF_6 and concrete-...
by A_Gupta
14 Apr 2026 01:34
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 13364
Views: 4765195

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Amber G. wrote: 14 Apr 2026 00:33 My Take: Is this administration had its way would wreck US scientific leadership and for what?
Obviously scientists and engineers who come to find that reality has a liberal bias can’t be allowed to send wokeness into outer space. /sarc
by A_Gupta
13 Apr 2026 22:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

4. Major Goods Exports by Country (2025–2026 Trends) Country Primary Goods Exports Saudi Arabia Crude oil, refined petroleum, plastics (polymers), and industrial chemicals. UAE Crude oil, gold, refined petroleum, broadcast equipment (re-exports), and aluminum. Qatar Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG), heli...
by A_Gupta
13 Apr 2026 10:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

Once the knowledge of how to make a nuclear weapon is acquired, it cannot be made to evaporate just like that. On one day Trump is confident that the June 2025 bombing has obliterated the necessary infrastructure and DNI Tulsi Gabbar testifies to Congress that US intelligence has not detected any at...
by A_Gupta
13 Apr 2026 09:19
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 12949
Views: 3840291

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump April 12 2026 at 9:49 PM https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116394884725149647 (This is not a retweet by POTUS. This is posted by POTUS). https://static-assets-1.truthsocial.com/tmtg:prime-ts-assets/media_attachments/files/116/394/884/415/399/453/original...
by A_Gupta
13 Apr 2026 07:23
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 12949
Views: 3840291

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Viktor Orbán - now ex-Prime Minister of Hungary - first note, he was a Soros man: "In September 1989, Orbán took up a research fellowship at Pembroke College, Oxford, funded by the Soros Foundation, which had employed him part-time since April 1988." Trump is compared to many autocratic ru...
by A_Gupta
13 Apr 2026 07:16
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

@HouseForeign (US- House Foreign Affairs Committee -Dems ) J D Vance says the goal is getting Iran to commit to not build a nuclear weapon. It already made that commitment in 2015 under the JCPOA—a deal Trump tore up. 1. To note, that under JCPOA, Iran shipped over 11 tons of low-enriched uranium o...
by A_Gupta
13 Apr 2026 06:57
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

KootNiti: "अनवरुद्धपूर्वां जलडमरूमध्यं राज-ऐच्छिक-युद्ध-हेतुना निरुध्यमानं रोधं रोद्धुं अन्य-रोधः। एषा हि कूटनीतिः॥" Translation: "A blockade to block the blockade that's blocking the Strait that wasn't blocked before being blocked due to war of choice launched by a Raja. This is Str...
by A_Gupta
12 Apr 2026 21:08
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

The latest USD to Rial conversion I was able to find:
United States Dollar / Iranian Rial 1,316,125
Apr 10, 5:39:00 PM UTC

Feb 27, before the war started, the rate was 1310799.

Note that as a infrequently traded currency, the rates might be a record of one deal that was done around that date.
by A_Gupta
12 Apr 2026 20:22
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

Freedom House Iran’s Internet Blackout and the Authoritarian Playbook Jamie Fly ... In announcing the start of Operation Epic Fury, President Trump urged the people of Iran to “seize control of your destiny” and “take over your... . 3 weeks ago DW.com Iran’s internet blackout fuels fear and isolatio...
by A_Gupta
12 Apr 2026 20:13
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

If Trump blockades ships other than Iranian-flagged ships or ships of other countries that touched Iranian ports, that is an act of war against more than Iran.
by A_Gupta
12 Apr 2026 19:54
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

American military personnel seem to be equipped with IoT type devices that monitor health signs and have a range of a one to two hundred meters.
by A_Gupta
12 Apr 2026 19:42
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

Donald Trump @realDonaldTrump • Truth Social icon Truth Social • April 12, 2026 @ 8:53 AM ET So, there you have it, the meeting went well, most points were agreed to, but the only point that really mattered, NUCLEAR, was not. Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, wi...
by A_Gupta
12 Apr 2026 09:42
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

Exactly the point. TDS folks seek out the wounds of POTUS. Invoking 'TDS' is the ultimate काकदन्त-परीक्षा (Note**).. Labeling the observer doesn't change the observation. ***** Note** - For those who have not heard the term, काकदन्त-परीक्षा or "Examining the Crow's Teeth," refers to a use...
by A_Gupta
12 Apr 2026 03:14
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

This war on Eyeran : what is the real motive?? 1. Regime change: not achieved 2. BM and Drone power depletion: not achieved 3. Breaking up of IRGC and Military hold: not achieved 4. Eradication of theocratic rule: not achieved 5. Erasure of Shia might: not achieved But what if the real purpose was ...
by A_Gupta
12 Apr 2026 03:08
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

I am sure the Financial Times would have had a bias against Stalin, and Mao, and Franco, and Mussolini and Hitler.
Curse it, why can't we find a publication without a bias??????
by A_Gupta
11 Apr 2026 09:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 12949
Views: 3840291

Re: Understanding the US - Again

‘Using Frisco as a film set’: Indian-origin man exposes ‘coordinated’ anti-Indian campaign in US
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/wor ... 164826.cms
by A_Gupta
11 Apr 2026 07:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

محمدباقر قالیباف | MB Ghalibaf @mb_ghalibaf Two of the measures mutually agreed upon between the parties have yet to be implemented: a ceasefire in Lebanon and the release of Iran’s blocked assets prior to the commencement of negotiations. These two matters must be fulfilled before negotiations begi...
by A_Gupta
11 Apr 2026 07:39
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

Kitchen cabinet - yes. But they remain advisers. They don’t become treaty or ceasefire negotiators. AI could find cases of family members or friends taking on negotiations- most famously RFK, Attorney General, negotiating on JFL’s behalf in the Cuban Missile Crisis, but “A president sending a non‑ap...
by A_Gupta
10 Apr 2026 17:51
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 12949
Views: 3840291

Re: Understanding the US - Again

Strangest theory that trump is deliberately losing the war to bring usa on top: https://www.instagram.com/reel/DW7ranziB2A/?igsh=MjN5YnFycnJ0bWhp Trump is never wrong. He has admitted to only one mistake in public - and that was leaving the White House in 2020. His followers find him to be playing ...
by A_Gupta
10 Apr 2026 04:50
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015
Replies: 2326
Views: 1288403

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015

Reuters reports: UK says it deployed military to deter Russian submarines from attack on undersea cables https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/uk-tracked-russian-submarines-north-101310079.html LONDON, April 9 (Reuters) - Britain deployed military vessels to prevent any attacks on cables and pipelines...
by A_Gupta
09 Apr 2026 17:53
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015
Replies: 2326
Views: 1288403

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015

How the Taiwanese see it: https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2026/04/08/2003855216 KMT’s Cheng arrives in China for ‘peace’ mission CCP ‘PAWN’? Beijing could use the KMT chairwoman’s visit to signal to the world that many people in Taiwan support the ‘one China’ principle, an academic s...
by A_Gupta
09 Apr 2026 17:47
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

Via the Times of Israel https://www.timesofisrael.com/report-hungary-offered-iran-intel-on-hezbollah-pager-attack-by-israel/ Report: Hungary offered Iran intel on Hezbollah pager attack by Israel Transcript of call two weeks after 2024 operation in Lebanon prompts concern among Western officials ove...
by A_Gupta
09 Apr 2026 17:33
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 579
Views: 59039

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

The perils of negotiations done in public and via a go-between: “ Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf has asserted that Lebanon is an “inseparable part” of the US-Iran ceasefire, as per Pakistan’s announcement. In a statement shared on X, Ghalibaf said, “Lebanon and the entire Resist...