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by A_Gupta
16 Jun 2019 21:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: The next war in the Persian Gulf
Replies: 97
Views: 10254

Re: The next war in the Persian Gulf

Apart from the article linked above, I find no other that confirms that Trump offered to lift sanctions while negotiations with Iran were ongoing. I find only stories that Iran has a precondition of lifting of sanctions for talks to happen, while the US has 12 steps Iran must take for talks to happen.
by A_Gupta
16 Jun 2019 21:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Tradition, Culture, Religion & Law in Indian Society
Replies: 253
Views: 12075

Re: Tradition, Culture, Religion & Law in Indian Society

Disambiguations, Polly Hazarika's Ph.D. thesis, should be accessible below. https://drive.google.com/file/d/12gcs6o34l8X8gEzglseT1z78G04pF_Gz/view?usp=sharing She provided it to me in response to my question, "how does one jump from "such and such are problems with Hindus" to "th...
by A_Gupta
16 Jun 2019 07:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 165
Views: 20774

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Pakistan is doing a squeeze on itself. None of the 3 1/2 can change the Paki army vampire sucking dry the economic blood of the country. Nor can they stop the balloooning population or the falling literacy rate. Before anything else watch the video posted by Prem: https://forums.bharat-rakshak.com/v...
by A_Gupta
15 Jun 2019 06:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: The next war in the Persian Gulf
Replies: 97
Views: 10254

Re: The next war in the Persian Gulf

^^^ Normally, your words are more measured. What straw broke the camel's back?
by A_Gupta
15 Jun 2019 02:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: The next war in the Persian Gulf
Replies: 97
Views: 10254

Re: The next war in the Persian Gulf

The American right-wing outlet, townhall.com, joins in the fun: https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2019/06/13/report-uk-officials-covered-up-iranian-bomb-plot-in-london-during-negotiations-over-nuclear-deal-n2547854 Report: UK Officials Hid Iran-Sponsored London Bomb Plot From the Public Amid N...
by A_Gupta
15 Jun 2019 02:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 3067
Views: 446939

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/trump-has-gotten-china-lower-its-tariffs-just-toward-everyone Trump Has Gotten China to Lower Its Tariffs. Just Toward Everyone Else. China increased its retaliatory tariffs hitting US exports on June 1 in response to President Donald Trump’s late...
by A_Gupta
15 Jun 2019 02:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: The next war in the Persian Gulf
Replies: 97
Views: 10254

Re: The next war in the Persian Gulf

https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/436929 ... -with-Iran
Tehran Times reports:
Chinese President Xi Jinping told Iran’s president on Friday that China will promote steady development of ties with Iran no matter how the situation changes, Chinese state media said.
by A_Gupta
15 Jun 2019 02:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: The next war in the Persian Gulf
Replies: 97
Views: 10254

Re: The next war in the Persian Gulf

UK joins US in accusing Iran of tanker attacks as crew held https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jun/14/us-accuses-iran-of-detaining-crew-after-oil-tanker-attack On Friday night the UK formally joined the US in attributing the attacks to Iran. After carrying out its own assessment – the product of...
by A_Gupta
14 Jun 2019 19:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: The next war in the Persian Gulf
Replies: 97
Views: 10254

Re: The next war in the Persian Gulf

https://www.thedailybeast.com/japanese-oil-tanker-owner-says-us-is-wrong-about-gulf-attack Yutaka Katada, the owner of one of the stricken oil tankers crippled in explosions in the Gulf of Oman on Thursday, says the U.S. is wrong about the way the attack was carried out. Speaking at a press conferen...
by A_Gupta
14 Jun 2019 18:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 165
Views: 20774

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Desperately trying to get hooks into PM Modi: Foreign Policy mag:
https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/06/13/mo ... bal-brand/
Modi’s Nationalism Is Spoiling His Global Brand
by A_Gupta
14 Jun 2019 18:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Non-Western Worldview
Replies: 1014
Views: 87543

Re: Non-Western Worldview

The fallacy of thinking Asia will recapitulate European/Western history. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/06/30-years-after-tiananmen-us-doesnt-get-china/591310/?utm_source=pocket-newtab Decades of Being Wrong About China Should Teach Us Something American analysts keep trying to fit t...
by A_Gupta
14 Jun 2019 07:17
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

^^^ probably belongs in the "Solar Energy in India" thread.
viewtopic.php?f=2&t=5797&start=1000
by A_Gupta
14 Jun 2019 04:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: The next war in the Persian Gulf
Replies: 97
Views: 10254

Re: The next war in the Persian Gulf

https://thehill.com/policy/defense/448421-pompeo-blames-iran-for-attack-on-oil-tankers The Trump administration is blaming Iran for attacks on two oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo leveled the accusation from the State Department briefing room on Thursday. “It is the as...
by A_Gupta
14 Jun 2019 03:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017
Replies: 2098
Views: 284978

Re: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2019/06/24/the-empty-promise-of-boris-johnson The Empty Promise of Boris Johnson The man expected to be Britain’s next Prime Minister makes people in power, including himself, appear ridiculous, but that doesn’t mean he’d dream of handing power to anybody else. Eur...
by A_Gupta
13 Jun 2019 18:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: The next war in the Persian Gulf
Replies: 97
Views: 10254

Re: The next war in the Persian Gulf

The view from Tehran: https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/436921/Explosions-hit-two-large-oil-tankers-in-Sea-of-Oman-Reports TEHRAN- Media reports say two large oil tankers have been hit by explosions in the Sea of Oman. Iran’s Al-Alam television network cited local sources in Oman as saying that two s...
by A_Gupta
13 Jun 2019 17:49
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

https://commerce.gov.in/PressRelease.aspx COMMERCE MINISTER TO CHAIR JOINT MEETING OF BOARD OF TRADE & COUNCIL FOR TRADE DEVELOPMENT AND PROMOTION New Delhi, 7th June 2019 To take Indian economy to 1 trillion dollar exports in goods, and 1 trillion dollar exports in services in the next five...
by A_Gupta
13 Jun 2019 02:00
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Digging further by separating correlation coefficients up to 2011-12 and since then: Relationship Upto2012 Since2012 Tax-GDP 0.68 0.21 TradeVol-GDP 0.65 0.15 NonFarmCredit-GDP 0.16 0.93 Now the relationship changes a lot - what used to correlate well (tax vs GDP and trade vol vs GDP) no longer does...
by A_Gupta
12 Jun 2019 23:16
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Good old Jaggi: https://swarajyamag.com/economy/ex-cea-arvind-subramanian-has-junked-not-only-gdp-data-but-also-monetary-and-fiscal-policy-wonks Ex-CEA Arvind Subramanian Has Junked Not Only GDP Data, But Also Monetary And Fiscal Policy Wonks Which brings us to question four: is Subramanian merely s...
by A_Gupta
12 Jun 2019 23:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 4292
Views: 423057

Re: Internal Security Watch

http://colombogazette.com/2019/06/12/indian-investigators-raid-locations-in-tamil-nadu-over-sri-lanka-attacks/ India’s National Investigation Agency (NIA) has raided seven locations in Tamil Nadu’s Coimbatore over a suspected link between an Islamic State (IS) module in Coimbatore and the Sri Lanka ...
by A_Gupta
12 Jun 2019 18:08
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

http://mospi.gov.in/sites/default/files/press_release/FRE%20of%20National%20Income%2C%20Consumption%20Expenditure%2C%20Saving%20and%20Capital%20Formation%20For%202017-18_0.pdf Capital Formation 13.Gross Capital Formation (GCF) at the current as well as the constant prices is estimated by two approac...
by A_Gupta
12 Jun 2019 17:59
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

http://pib.nic.in/PressReleseDetail.aspx?PRID=1574000 Economic Advisory Council to look into estimates made in Dr. Arvind Subramanian’s paper Posted On: 12 JUN 2019 3:42PM by PIB Delhi The former Chief Economic Adviser (CEA), Dr. Arvind Subramanian, has published a paper “India’s GDP Mis-estimation:...
by A_Gupta
12 Jun 2019 17:55
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Initial April IIP, revisions for March and January. April 2019 IIP = 126.8 (preliminary) April 2018 IIP = 122.6 {Wiki} The level of the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) is an abstract number, the magnitude of which represents the status of production in the industrial sector for a given period o...
by A_Gupta
12 Jun 2019 10:12
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

^^^ and e.g., household debt to GDP, Gross Capital Formation to GDP etc., are all underestimated by about 10%.
by A_Gupta
12 Jun 2019 07:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 165
Views: 20774

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

The utter bankruptcy of the "secularism" espoused by Karan Thapar is exposed by Sri Arif Mohammad Khan, who espouses a real secularism - that all that matters between any person and the government is that the person is a citizen.
by A_Gupta
12 Jun 2019 02:04
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Here is the Index of Industrial Production, the three series, including overlap years. How each series is normalized onto the next and how that affects Arvind Subramaniam's analysis is beyond me. IIP Growth over Previous Year 1993-94 2004-05 2011-12 series series series 1994-95 9.1 1995-96 13.0 1996...
by A_Gupta
12 Jun 2019 01:28
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

I can put it like this:
From 1998-99 to present, commercial vehicle sales grew 7.8 fold.
But from 1996-97 to present, commercial vehicle sales grew only 4.5 fold!

Start wringing your hands about the growth rate.
by A_Gupta
11 Jun 2019 23:35
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Commercial vehicle domestic sales: 1995-96: 200,038 [3] 1996-97: 221,676 [3] 1997-98: 143,814 [3] 1998-99: 129,822 [3] 1999-00: 161,407 [3] 2000-01: 136,673 [3] 2001-02: 146,671 [3] 2001-02: 132,250 [1] 2002-03: 190,682 [4] 2002-03: 191,201 [3] 2003-04: 260,114 [4] 2004-05: 307,862 [4] 2005-06: 351,...
by A_Gupta
11 Jun 2019 20:26
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Let's understand some data points, e.g. commercial vehicle sales. Where is the data for 2001-2005 available? I can find post-2005 easily, e.g., https://www.statista.com/statistics/265 ... -in-india/
by A_Gupta
11 Jun 2019 18:13
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Re: the GDP debate, look at the "Index of Eight Core Industries (Base: 2011-12=100)": Coal, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Refinery Products, Fertilizers, Steel, Cement, Electricity. I assume that the measures of these items are pretty good. Going from index 100 to index 135 in 7 years is a compo...
by A_Gupta
11 Jun 2019 01:55
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Well, what exactly will unlock a sustained additional 3% to the current growth rate is a bit of mystery. Likely there is no "silver bullet" but rather a lot of things which add up to more than one would think. No it's not, in mathematical terms. Growth is just return on investment. At the...
by A_Gupta
10 Jun 2019 04:51
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Well, what exactly will unlock a sustained additional 3% to the current growth rate is a bit of mystery. Likely there is no "silver bullet" but rather a lot of things which add up to more than one would think.
by A_Gupta
09 Jun 2019 02:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Tradition, Culture, Religion & Law in Indian Society
Replies: 253
Views: 12075

Re: Tradition, Culture, Religion & Law in Indian Society

....their fundamental belief... I think that we infidelators don't understand "belief" very well. Remember, Satan knows that God exists, and thus in our parlance, "Satan believes in God". But that is not true. If Satan believed in God, Satan could be also be saved, but Satan is ...
by A_Gupta
08 Jun 2019 23:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 165
Views: 20774

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

A_GuptaJi, saw an interview with Mohandas Pai on this campaign. It was started by westernized Bimbo filth like Fey D'Souza on MirrorNow who have nothing in common with vast majority of Hindus. In an ideal world, I would say these assorted Bimbos, Hindu haters, and BIF ought to be ignored. But like ...
by A_Gupta
08 Jun 2019 18:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 165
Views: 20774

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Very old-timers might remember the "Forum of Indian Leftists" and "South Asian Citizens Web" , Vijay Parshad, Angana Chatterjee and other such notables uniting to defame the Indian Development and Relief Fund (IDRF), and trying to get it shut down. Part of beating it back was don...
by A_Gupta
08 Jun 2019 07:23
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 3166
Views: 555643

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

2008 paper from goldman sachs on what it would take for Indian economy to grow 40-fold by 2050:
https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/a ... -india.pdf
by A_Gupta
08 Jun 2019 02:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 165
Views: 20774

Re: 2019 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

https://swarajyamag.com/videos/why-catt ... beef-mafia
Why Cattle Owners Are Helpless In Their Struggle Against The Beef Mafia
by A_Gupta
07 Jun 2019 17:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 2895
Views: 295185

Re: Understanding the US - Again

On role of West in spreading Wahabism https://twitter.com/TarekFatah/status/1135591182195724292?s=19 I am blocked from seeing Tarik Fateh’s tweets. That “liberal” did not like my presenting him with this, as it contradicted something he was claiming about Kalat, Baluchistan. http://thepartitionofin...

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