Bharat Rakshak

A_Gupta

A very detailed look at axis MY INDIA exit polling data (in Hindi):
https://youtu.be/WtTyCJDDy7U?si=O9DgynFYriKOxB-9

A general observation is that where Congress gained, it was not at the expense of the BJP.

A_Gupta

https://pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2022466 Election Commission General Elections 2024 -Dissemination of Counting Day Trends and Results Posted On: 01 JUN 2024 7:44PM by PIB Delhi The counting of votes for General Election to the House of the People – 2024 and State Legislative Assemblies ...

A_Gupta

What are the 7 Opposition Demands to the ECI? 1. Count postal ballots first. 2. Count "a minimum five per cent of voter verifiable paper audit trail (VVPAT) per polling booth" Not sure what 2. means. Counting 5 percent of the polling booths completely may be useful; but counting 5 percent ...

A_Gupta

Reasons for Indians to sigh a breath of relief that the INDI alliance is nowhere near taking power: 1. Constitutional - Pappu & his kind have totally distorted the meaning of the Constitution - whether it be inserting "secular" & "socialist" in the preamble or their whole...

A_Gupta

> One expects a constitutional amendment to block secession from the Indian state, federalism and other pillars be damned Shows just how successful the Congress propaganda has been that one could think that a constitutional amendment is needed. I assure you, it is not at all necessary. I do not know...

A_Gupta

Kejriwal tried a "Jail Bharo" march on the BJP headquarters in Delhi on May 19th. That turned out to be nothing. Maybe in Kerala and Tamil Nadu a "national bandh" will shut down things for a while. Maybe West Bengal too. These are states where the INDI "Alliance" may re...

A_Gupta

From Yawn: “ Over time, debt servicing costs have grown from 4.8pc of GDP in 2019 to 6.9pc last year. During the same period, debt payments have jumped from 51pc of the federal tax revenues to 81.4pc.” Implicit in the above is federal revenues were 9.4% of GDP in 2019 and 8.48% last year - I.e., Pak...

A_Gupta

:(( :(( :(( If it turns out, as I expect, that the women's vote was majorly in favor of the BJP, then I also expect magazine articles and academic articles on "Modi's Naari Shakti & Devi worship as the genesis of female Hindu nationalist fascism". :(( :(( :(( The reality which they won...

A_Gupta

https://www.newindianexpress.com/web-only/2024/Jun/01/the-conspiracy-theories-about-elections-in-india-must-stop The conspiracy theories about elections in India must stop In India, fears about the election are being fanned. Right now, an online mob is being prepared. If these people do not get what...

A_Gupta

Everyone who attended the INDI get-together in the past day has come out with this 295+ statement. There is a similar statement from Kejriwal.

A_Gupta

Pradeep Bhandari on the Charvaka podcast yesterday said that those who think that the NDA will be routed in Maharashtra are in for a surprise.

A_Gupta

> IMHO Hizzoners are trying to set a precedent that marriages done under Special Marriage Acts will only get valid if they also are in compliance with Muslim personal laws. Basically Shariah through the back door. A woman has no inheritance rights in a fasid marriage. Basically the Court is pushing ...

A_Gupta

Psephologist Pradeep Bhandari has 350 as his upper end of estimate for the BJP. what about lower? Better than 2019. :). Pradeep Bhandari seems to think 325 for BJP is about right. I checked his 2019 prediction - he underestimated. He had BJP 244-260; NDA 304-316. From the chart above, actual was BJ...

A_Gupta

Solid if not spectacular GDP growth. The Gross Value Add and the Manufacturers Price Index are the two key numbers which work together to make it less than spectacular. Private consumption is not growing fast so the exports will have to grow to keep up the economic growth. Manufacturing did very wel...

A_Gupta

https://x.com/erbmjha/status/1796556928966947087 "OpenAI has found a network linked with an foreign firm that was involved in peddling anti-BJP propaganda and boosting Congress's impressions on social media." https://indianexpress.com/article/technology/openai-removes-influence-ops-targeti...

A_Gupta

Main reason for my Dhoti-Shiver... RG's 1 lakh per year promise... Wonder how many women are influenced by that freebie... Will probably know tomorrow... In that Barkha Dutt - Pradeep Gupta interview linked above, Pradeep Gupta says the credibility of the Opposition's promises is what can get them ...

A_Gupta

Dynasts lost and hence results are not acceptable. Results are out. :D BJP must up the Ante for the final phase and tell the people that Congress has already declared that they are not going to accept result. Its time to give a strong response by the people in the Final phase. :twisted: The Congi s...

A_Gupta

Sachin garu am also trying to find an article where someone from hindu munnani swamp overnight and put swamiji's statue or something because xtianists were planning to put a cross in the morning in connivance with local officials I have heard that too. A version of events is here: https://groups.go...

A_Gupta

Psephologist Pradeep Bhandari has 350 as his upper end of estimate for the BJP.

A_Gupta

https://pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2022274 The Election Commission of India is all geared up to hold Phase-7 of Lok Sabha polls tomorrow, which also is the last phase. Polling is scheduled in 57 PCs across 8 States/UTs including Bihar, Chandigarh, Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, Odisha, Punj...

A_Gupta

If Trump can get his appeal to the Supreme Court, given his allies there, he has a chance of getting his conviction thrown out.

A_Gupta

294 sure shot, 110 high chance, 55 low chance, 84 no chance.

If we assume this is overly optimistic and go with 95% of sure short, 40% of high chance, 5% of low chance and 0% of no chance, we get

294 * 0.95 + 110 * 0.40 + 55 * 0.05 = 326.

A_Gupta

^^^ @vijayk neat chart! Are the totals of Sure Shot, High Chance, Low Chance and No Chance available too? Thanks!

A_Gupta

If the media gave a politician nonstop coverage during the pre-polls quiet period, it is the media that is violating the code of conduct.

A_Gupta

Think about it - PM Rajiv Gandhi said that only 15 paise out of every development rupee reached the intended recipient. (That could be an overestimate, it could be as low as 10 paise.). Now, the Govt of India spends many lakhs of crores on development. Think of all the people munching on the 85% of ...

A_Gupta

Nawaz Sharif's fundamental complaint is that India is not giving him any agreement that he can casually violate and then accept blame for it a few times, till India is convinced to give him yet another agreement to violate. In other words, this "confession" is not an attempt at seeking for...

A_Gupta

> P.S. People were also charged with disputing the actual count in the US. If they do the same here, they should again be charged. Some 50+ cases went to court disputing the actual count, all were dismissed for no evidence, but when people faked evidence, such as fake documents, video, etc., they we...

A_Gupta

VIDEO : https://x.com/OfficeOfDGP/status/1795757758446534890 ---> He is not warning, He is telling what they will do after June 4th. June 7th would be a critical day. IMO, while the govt should be prepared for this, it is a whole lot of hot air. "If the BJP wins the match fixed election" ...

A_Gupta

"Meaning of BJP dropping more & more sitting MPs in each poll, 43% now, or 142 of 300" Shekhar Gupta has some interesting statistics, but, IMO, some lame conclusions. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yCwtHX7LQ2Q IMO the point of dropping sitting MPs is probably to winnow out non-perform...

A_Gupta

Any info on what Zee News Hindi broadcast that got Kejriwal upset? It is precisely that info that we have to propagate vigorously on social media. Searching, I found this: Kejriwal Latest Update: Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal has suffered two big shocks. On one hand, the Supreme Court has rejected the ap...

A_Gupta

Zee News blackout:
https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/aa ... r-BB1nbOtS

A_Gupta

'The Economist cr*p Barring a huge political upset, Narendra Modi looks likely to begin a third term as India’s prime minister soon after June 4th, when the results of the general election will be announced. But the poll has not been pretty: on March 21st Arvind Kejriwal, an opposition leader who is...

A_Gupta

Too much fake news, falsified Satta Bazaar info, out there for me to figure it out. I don't know what is real and what is faked.
But among those that I favor:

The Jaipur Dialogues
@JaipurDialogues
·
May 14
Phalodi Satta Bazaar predicts Madhavi Latha's Victory in Hyderabad

A_Gupta

I found this:

Ankit Jain (मोदी जी का परिवार)
@indiantweeter
Satta bazar is giving odds of 1-10 of Congress beating BJP in Amethi and 4-10 of Congress beating BJP in Raebareli.
3:26 AM · May 24, 2024
·
25.1K
Views

A_Gupta

What do all the poll predictors give as the result for Raebareilly?

A_Gupta

India needs healthy export markets.

A_Gupta

Amber G. wrote: ↑27 May 2024 04:24 Rajasthan Satta bazar prediction for NDA

3 in Kerala, 8 in Tamil Nadu!

A_Gupta

Mahua Moitra spouts off in The Guardian. Unfortunately, it looks likely she will win. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/may/26/electoral-laws-opposition-mps-arrested-narendra-modi-election-india "Electoral laws flouted, opposition MPs arrested – this is what it’s like to st...

A_Gupta

https://sundayguardianlive.com/top-five/trudeaus-india-allegations-meant-to-divert-attention-from-nijjars-misdeeds Official sources told The Sunday Guardian that one of the four arrested youths in the killing of Nijjar is the 22-year-old Kamalpreet Singh, son of Satnam Singh Bagri, a resident of Cha...

A_Gupta

The son expressed solidarity with Nijjar, months ago.

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/cit ... 976821.cms

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