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by Suraj
22 Apr 2019 21:25
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 2970
Views: 508379

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Deposits in Jan Dhan accounts to soon cross Rs 1 lakh crore mark The total deposits in bank accounts opened under the Jan Dhan scheme, which was launched about five years ago by the Modi-government, are set to cross Rs 1 lakh crore soon. The total balance in the Jan Dhan accounts, which has been st...
by Suraj
21 Apr 2019 07:09
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Please make copies of the video and screenshots and use them well. Things are unraveling fast enough that these are ‘you just dropped the World Cup, mate’ Steve Waugh like moments . Such ads mocking the piety of a pious people suggests the INC camp have been entirely taken over by their urban naxal ...
by Suraj
21 Apr 2019 00:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

The UPSC and associated issues need better publicity . After GE2014 there were demands here as to why GoI cannot getthigns done better / faster . Well, winning a GE even by a majority only gets you control of the lower house of legislature and the executive . It does not give control of the upper ho...
by Suraj
20 Apr 2019 23:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

That’s right , commonwealth citizens resident in UK can vote there . However, the fact is that this is UK law and not Indian law . In its strictest interpretation , the act of voting in a UK election by an Indian National can be interpreted as an act of relinquishment of Indian citizenship since you...
by Suraj
20 Apr 2019 21:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

I know some things about UK citizenship because of personal experience with having a UK born parent and associated unexpected complexities. Generally speaking: * if you're born before 1983 and father is UK born, you're British * If born before 1983 and mother is UK born, you can register as British ...
by Suraj
19 Apr 2019 03:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Rudradev: Turnout history BJP voteshare history INC voteshare history If in 2019 the vote share of INC/UPA is utterly dwarfed by that of BJP/NDA... that will truly mark the end of the INC era. That is what it will really take to make Bharat "Congress-Mukth"... a demonstration that 2014 was...
by Suraj
19 Apr 2019 00:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Mulllah stop Ahmed Patel from getting on dais https://twitter.com/jpsin1/status/1118898250730233858 Here's how I translated that in my weak Hindi: "I won't let you climb on this dais. You are a deceitful liar. Do you remember the last time you came and told us Muslims so many words, and we too...
by Suraj
19 Apr 2019 00:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

GE2019 continues to maintain heavy voter turnout on par with GE2014:
A 67.84 per cent voter turnout was recorded in the second phase of Lok Sabha polls on Thursday in 95 seats spread across 11 states and a Union Territory, the Election Commission said.
by Suraj
18 Apr 2019 23:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

ShyamSP wrote:Looks like by putting Sadhvi in the race, BJP is indicating they want to recharge Hindutva in MP and other core areas to cut down losses.

It also serves as a dog whistle to signal that the 2nd admin will focus more on Hindu causes and needs the electoral support.
by Suraj
18 Apr 2019 23:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

ECI has plenty of turnout data available on their site. Here's the Karnataka election commissioner's site with turnout data and comparison to 2014, including turnout by assembly zone

Other state figures can be accessed from the drop down menu next to the map: Election Commission of India
by Suraj
18 Apr 2019 23:09
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

One more BJP vote: BSP supporter chops off his finger after voting for BJP by mistake Remind me of the anecdote from the 1990s by when Benazir was mistaken for the Indian PM in YooEss, by some Senators. They were baffled because she kept talking about India and thought she was the Indian PM. This gu...
by Suraj
18 Apr 2019 22:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

kerala is not so different from bengal despite being 100% literate .. which sane person will vote the commies 'Voting for commies' is the first step in misunderstanding KL politics. Yes their name says 'communist', but they're as Communist as CPC in Beijing, perhaps less, despite wasting vocal ener...
by Suraj
18 Apr 2019 21:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Gents a quick question - in many posts I saw news about "low turn turn out in green areas". People seem to like it, but could there be any other reason for this as well? The minorities generally are like well herded sheep, and so if they all have to stay put at home, that also would come ...
by Suraj
18 Apr 2019 20:55
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Dr BB's constituency-wise tracker is back for KA (not in the other states so far). It looks like a NDA sweep in KA (including the independent in Mandya). Only a couple of seats in which UPA is leading. If this is the situation in south KA, one can imagine what north KA will be like. One also hopes ...
by Suraj
18 Apr 2019 08:03
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Read somewhere that voter turnout is directly corelated to anti incumbency... At least in India and the US. What kind of figures do we have so far? I think Suraj made a post earlier in the thread with data that kinda disproves that in the Indian context. The correlation simply wasn't there. Here is...
by Suraj
18 Apr 2019 05:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

I thought UP might be a brilliant vindication of that, but recent Rajasthan and MP events are depressing. How a state whose rice and wheat produced an MS Dhoni, can vote for a RaGa is simply beyond me. The INC 'national party voteshare' in GEs has held strong for far far longer than their ability t...
by Suraj
18 Apr 2019 04:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Rudradev, very interesting insights. I've been looking at this voteshare data too, having posted about it earlier in this thread a few days ago. There have been only two elections where INC/UPA was not the highest voteshare recipient, regardless of who won the election - 1977 and 2014. Every other e...
by Suraj
18 Apr 2019 00:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017
Replies: 2021
Views: 268121

Re: Indo-UK News & Discussions- June 2017

Mallya fails to get UK court to stall Indian banks' bid to recover dues Vijay Mallya on Wednesday failed to convince a UK High Court to dismiss an order related to money in one of his London bank accounts, dealing a blow to the embattled liquor tycoon's efforts to prevent a consortium of Indian ban...
by Suraj
17 Apr 2019 20:44
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian ASAT Test
Replies: 855
Views: 95426

Re: Indian ASAT Test

I provided a few gyans of whizzdom there and elsewhere too. The point was to see who had the testimonials to print those comments and who didn't. These guys don't have the guts - they want some yes men.
by Suraj
17 Apr 2019 07:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

There are rumours about Gadkari trying to create alliances without the Modi-Shah duo and in turn being fixed in the Nagpur seat. Has anyone heard this or is this a ploy to divide the house? The answer to this question lies in finding out where your rumors are coming from . Don’t be one to unthinkin...
by Suraj
17 Apr 2019 05:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Looks like Kerala is changing. #KERALA THIRUVANANTHAPURAM-PATHANAMTHITTA-THRISSUR 3 seats where BJP+RSS is fighting like never before Then comes the next better triangular seats like PALAKKAD-ATTINGAL-KOTTAYAM-CHALAKKUDY- ERNAKULAM-KASARAGODE-ALAPUZHA-KOZHIKKODE- WAYANAD where BJP is giving tough f...
by Suraj
17 Apr 2019 01:35
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

There are news reports of NYAY ads being played at the start of movies in cinemas. Anyone ask ECI if they'd please confirm that this is properly accounted for in campaign spending data ?
by Suraj
17 Apr 2019 00:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

I was actually happy with his presence. Might have led to a light-bulb moment in the minds of Hindus who still vote for Jihadidi despite all the evidence staring them in the face. That was my hope anyway. Muslims are anyway going to vote for her. Not sure what more Ferdous Khan was going to accompl...
by Suraj
16 Apr 2019 23:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Supratik wrote:Bdeshi actor Ferdous' visa has been cancelled. He was campaigning for the TMC after having entered India on a business visa.

Excellent! Thanks again to those here who did their duty to notify authorities.
by Suraj
16 Apr 2019 22:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Election has been cancelled at Vellore. So only 38 seats in TN now? Quite a first: Elections in Vellore cancelled Accepting the recommendations of the Election Commission, President Ram Nath Kovind on Tuesday cancelled polling in Vellore, making it the first Lok Sabha seat to have had its elections...
by Suraj
16 Apr 2019 20:17
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US - Again
Replies: 2634
Views: 259692

Re: Understanding the US - Again

I've been hearing of this mythical 10% figure for a long time. I'll believe it when i see it. You’re post reflects a lack of understanding of the math. The growth rate numbers reported in the news are real GDP growth rates . The rate at which the economy actually grows is the nominal growth rate. T...
by Suraj
16 Apr 2019 09:27
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 2970
Views: 508379

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

According to the latest official data, purchases by various states via GeM touched Rs 9,209 crore in 2018-19 against Rs 7,947 crore by the Central government. https://images.financialexpress.com/2019/04/Capture-24.jpg The graph and the statement appear contradictory. The graph plots Rs 9,209 crore ...
by Suraj
16 Apr 2019 07:40
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 2970
Views: 508379

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Yes, CV sales are an extremely critical barometer of the investment cycle because it indicates that businesses are investing in capacity. Trivia: the economy last saw 800K CV sales back in 2011-12 . It took 6 full years for the activity to ramp up enough to exceed that number again in 2017-18 , and ...
by Suraj
16 Apr 2019 01:30
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 2970
Views: 508379

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Modi govt’s war on NPAs may boost India’s growth by 60 bps; Goldman Sachs explains how The government’s war on non perfroming assets (NPAs) could give a boost of 60 basis points to India’s GDP in FY20, a report by global brokerage said. The measures taken by the Modi government including recovery o...
by Suraj
16 Apr 2019 00:42
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 2970
Views: 508379

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Trade data for 2018-19 is out: Merchandise exports rise to $331 billion but deficit hits record high of $176 billion Despite exports and imports growing at the same rate of 9 per cent, India’s trade deficit reached a record high of $176 billion in 2018-19. According to data released by the commerce ...
by Suraj
15 Apr 2019 23:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

The 'TN always gives decisive mandates' argument is a conclusion upon which an understanding is being built. It may be empirically common, but there are exceptions: TN Lok Sabha electoral map Two elections (1999 and 2009) saw a fractured result, defined as the other party winning at least 10 LS seat...
by Suraj
15 Apr 2019 22:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Excellent, thanks. Please do the needful onlee, people.
by Suraj
15 Apr 2019 22:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Jail this creep, cancel his visa and permanently ban his entry into India. West Bengal: Bangladeshi Actor Ferdous Ahmed Campaigns For TMC Candidate; Appeals People To Vote For Mamata Is there a site to inform ECI of model code of conduct violations ? Also, does anyone know the home ministry contact...
by Suraj
15 Apr 2019 10:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

NO MORE about Bangalore, Kannada, Tamil and Hindi .

Warnings and bans will be issued to those who don’t follow.
by Suraj
14 Apr 2019 11:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

The point I’m making overall is that 2010s turnout data far exceeds the long term mean and while it could be explained in facile terms once, it’s harder to understand a second time . Of course most of us might be able to guess why but since that guess is subjective I’ll avoid it . One possible expl...
by Suraj
14 Apr 2019 01:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Suraj the high % in 2014 was because ece and parties took effort to get everyone a voting card. The process was made easy, technology helped so did adhar etc. of course there was anti incumbency as well. This comes from study that a bunch of us did. Interesting perspective . Does your data also sho...
by Suraj
14 Apr 2019 00:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Chowkidaar Arvind Jain ‏ @arvind_barmer I am hearing good reports from Telangana in at least 3 seats for BJP. Not sure if they will win, but Urban voters made distinction to vote for BJP in Lok Sabha election + Congress Melt down helped. I live in one of Northern districts of TS. As per the general...
by Suraj
14 Apr 2019 00:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

I’m being entirely data driven here . I’m not making predictions and cannot do so because I don’t know what to conclude from available data, other than that the data for turnout in the 2010s far exceeds historical trends on both the entire north/central and in the NE . Only the south seems to have ...
by Suraj
13 Apr 2019 23:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion
Replies: 1564
Views: 113652

Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Mort, I’m not being complacent . Far from it, I’m trying to collect data and analyze WHY the 2010s have reported far higher than historical turnout . What is it that drives people in states that until ten years ago had pretty consistent turnout figures for decades, suddenly report 5-10 higher percen...

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