Search found 9211 matches

by Suraj
30 Mar 2020 10:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3827
Views: 417598

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

I have no qualms about using the fake news report feature in chehre-e-kitab to report garbage posts . I also have no qualms about calling out name calling by shaming them if I know them - ‘we know each other in real life . is this how you’d address me in person ? I’ve never seen you misbehave like t...
by Suraj
29 Mar 2020 03:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Sanjayc, it's a combination of factors. The devious politics might have been the immediate trigger but the ones amar mentioned are the fundamental ones. I think the PM missed a trick by not reassuring this section of people in his lockdown speech. People have a lot of trust in him. His reassurances...
by Suraj
28 Mar 2020 03:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Tragic. The story has a lot of open questions in it. Specifically regarding the test result, what exactly happened ? * When they say the 'test was in fact positive', did they do a second test on the same specimen the same way ? Different test on same specimen or on different specimen ? * Misreading ...
by Suraj
27 Mar 2020 23:48
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 4812
Views: 939301

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Finally RBI cuts the rate Repo rate reduced by 0.75% to 4.4% Reverse Repo rate reduced by 0.90% to 4.0% Decision take by 4 yes to 2 nos. Cheers. Good to see Market responding to it. It appears the RBI was told to wait until the lockdown was effectively implemented before announcing this massive rat...
by Suraj
27 Mar 2020 23:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

chetak: please stop posting stuff that should go in the politics thread. More thread derailment here will result in a ban.
by Suraj
27 Mar 2020 22:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

[A lot can happen in 21 days. Some number of people will get heart attacks, some others will be diagnosed for diabetes or cancer. Some families borewell motors will burn out. Some number of eyeglasses will break. Some number of hearing aids will run out of battery. Some number of phones will stop w...
by Suraj
27 Mar 2020 21:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Mod Note

I've deleted a bunch of noise about Chinese, Tbonds and punishment. C'mon people, can't you focus on the thread ? How hard can it be to tell that such conversation is off topic in a pandemic resource thread ?
by Suraj
27 Mar 2020 08:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Yes we can create a sticky post when we have enough material to collate.
by Suraj
27 Mar 2020 03:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

It is always useful, when a person of authority spreads the message. Bart_S has already made the valid point that a whatsapp or other message from a public source is more authoritative. It's also equally valid that instructions must be widely available in written form. Maybe old people don't do SM,...
by Suraj
27 Mar 2020 02:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

That's a fair point. The substance of the argument is that precise instructions need to be in written form because that's what humans are best adapted to use. It's also completely correct that it must be a verifiable message, amidst all the fwded noise.
by Suraj
27 Mar 2020 01:57
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

One thing I really want is the PM come on TV and tell me, what exactly to do if they feel they have the Chinese virus. Do not go to the hospital directly. Stay at home, specially for people below 60 and no underlying conditions. Call the helpline and hopefully they can arrange for a ambulance with ...
by Suraj
26 Mar 2020 22:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Sirs, I have no data but there was a sudden death in our locality. All symptoms and past history medical/travel is suggestive of what was the reason. Local doctor and the one who declared the demise is saying the same thing. Government contacted, not a word on it and certainly the number didn't bum...
by Suraj
26 Mar 2020 22:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Panic is definitely a factor, your advice is spot on. Regarding the document, please upload on google drive or some filesharing website like mediafire and link it. Has any treatment protocol been released yet from GOI? X medicine etc? I think panic is a bad term in the context. Given the circumstan...
by Suraj
26 Mar 2020 21:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Today some of my colleagues reported an increase in respiratory cases with fever and dry cough in some places. Almost all of them have mild symptoms. Should see if they are just panic cases or corona.. some of these were tested and results might take 2 days. My advice is, do not go to hospital if u...
by Suraj
26 Mar 2020 20:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Mod Note

Several low signal one liner and whining posts have been deleted as cleanup . Please avoid treating this thread like a Nukkad . It’s not a place to post any random emotion or vent.

manju, you are on notice. Please don’t disrupt the thread.
by Suraj
26 Mar 2020 03:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3827
Views: 417598

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

yeah, if millions of Indians don't die from the pandemic, virtually every Western media outlet, and most of the Indians with TFTA self-image, will all be severely disappointed. Am praying for that outcome. From a political perspective, a moment of cohesive national response to a great crisis, is a ...
by Suraj
26 Mar 2020 03:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

It's a temperature preference for the specific virus. The flu is very rare in northern hemisphere countries in the summer because it's not very active in hotter and more humid conditions. MERS on the other hand is a coronavirus that tolerates heat very well and has a reservoir in camels. Dengue and...
by Suraj
26 Mar 2020 02:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

[For me, these two points are enough to conclude that those who are questioning GoI's motives and actions are either blessed with no mind, or not applying their mind, or just propagating falsehoods for malicious reasons. :rotfl: Well said. Please stop couching CTs in 'it sounds really plausible, le...
by Suraj
26 Mar 2020 00:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Govt likely to unveil $20 billion-plus stimulus package Direct payments into the bank accounts of 100 million poor and to businesses affected by the lockdown. Excellent news. The government is acting in a very predictable, organized and rational manner. Spend years setting up a mechanism for DBT. I...
by Suraj
26 Mar 2020 00:10
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

She should be called 'Korona Kapoor', the new Typhoid Mary of India. Celebrities and influencers should set an example and urge everyone to do what is for the common good, stay home and keep everyone safe. Not go gallivanting around, promoting yourself for your two minutes of fame. Shame. She gave ...
by Suraj
25 Mar 2020 23:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015
Replies: 893
Views: 159917

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015

Once the dust has settled to some extent on the coronavirus crisis, probably later in summer, my view is that one thing will become apparent to SEA, ME and EU - the OBOR / BRI brought almost the entire world economy to a standstill by acting as the carrier of a pandemic. Spain, Italy all of whom hav...
by Suraj
25 Mar 2020 23:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Yes, the real risk is just how long people can live, almost literally without an economy for 2-3 weeks. I see a temporary UBI being issued using the JAM system in place.
by Suraj
25 Mar 2020 22:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

For those offering 20/20 hindsight based comments, please make the effort to normalize your argument to what every major economy is doing. Here's some perspective - India has already tested and then begun implementation of a far more draconian lockdown than any of the top 10 economies on the planet....
by Suraj
25 Mar 2020 22:03
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

sushant sareen Retweeted Gurugram Police @gurgaonpolice All officers of Gurugram Police have been directed that following online delivery services @zomato @flipkart @amazon @bluedart @wow_express @swiggy @groffers @bigbasket @milkbasket @dunzo @bigbazzar @Iffco Tokyo goods shall be allowed to opera...
by Suraj
25 Mar 2020 03:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

It's heartening to see how the industry - both public sector entities like BHEL and private sector - is rallying to the cause, identifying who has capacity, and immediately arranging to ramp up production and distribution. The common citizenry as well, needs to coordinate distribution efforts for ma...
by Suraj
25 Mar 2020 00:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I am bullish on India and remaining invested. The current fall was a good opportunity for me to sell and repurchase the same mutual funds - giving me a notional short term capital loss, which I can (over the next 8 years if required) set off against real capital gains tax. Genius. Just plain genius...
by Suraj
25 Mar 2020 00:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

This is also a great opportunity to physically clean up the country and particularly the urban areas. Build modern and clean city public spaces - as people saw in astonishment just how physically modern a city like Wuhan is. It's not hard to do - it's literally just bread and butter street infrastr...
by Suraj
24 Mar 2020 23:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

This is also a great opportunity to physically clean up the country and particularly the urban areas. Build modern and clean city public spaces - as people saw in astonishment just how physically modern a city like Wuhan is. It's not hard to do - it's literally just bread and butter street infrastru...
by Suraj
24 Mar 2020 23:35
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3827
Views: 417598

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

I see one glaring flaw in this lock down, why keep the stock market open, so rich and FII can short the market, I think this very unfair when the Retail investor does not have access to Business cash collections he is allowing the rich and FII mint money by shorting the market. If the country is in...
by Suraj
24 Mar 2020 23:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

People who are concerned about hit to the economy, can volunteer to give up some of the holidays on Saturday/Sunday and Religious days, later in the year. Let's see how many volunteer. In fact, GoI should announce that some of the holidays later in the year will be cancelled. This is actually an ex...
by Suraj
24 Mar 2020 23:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

guys, please do everything in your power to convey to GOI that a minimum DBT must be announced for daily wage earners at least for a month else we will have riot situations. use social media, contacts, everything. GoI is handling this well so far. They've done exactly what was predicted here - afte...
by Suraj
24 Mar 2020 23:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Would we prefer 21 days of increasing panic as infection counts head upwards and our cities become pandemic areas, or 21 days wherein GOI finally has breathing space (no pun intended) to put measures in place? This is all due to those a-holes who went around breaking quarantine and those jerks who ...
by Suraj
24 Mar 2020 21:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Guys, i was wondering how did they cone to conclusion of 21 days? Is it 14 days and 7 days as a factor of safety? Or was there any tradeoff or other logic. Estimated transmission dispersal so far. Those sick today were infected two weeks ago, by people who were themselves infected N days before tha...
by Suraj
24 Mar 2020 10:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Taiwan implements cellphone geofencing of quarantined patients, notifies authorities when individuals move out of home or turn off phones Something doable in India - geofenced people get called the moment they step out and are told to go home, with phone connections restricted outside geofenced area.
by Suraj
24 Mar 2020 09:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Ok. So the Worldometer site shows that current as of 3/23/2020, total cases = 379080 globally with 16524 deaths. What is bothering me is that the %age of deaths in the total number of closed cases (260133) has been gently creeping up over the last 5-6 days. I noticed it was only about 10%, 3 or 4 d...
by Suraj
24 Mar 2020 05:38
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

One of our members posted a gif on how isolation dramatically reduces the propagation. Are you referring to this ? https://secureservercdn.net/198.12.145.135/u0g.b50.myftpupload.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/power-of-distancing.jpg I posted that a few days ago, but the original link is gone.
by Suraj
22 Mar 2020 23:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Mod Note A reminder - this is the RESOURCES thread. Those repeatedly arguing about whom to blame, who others are blaming, and what constitutes blame, aren't contributing positively and will be given timeouts if you continue. Now is NOT the time for blame games. I'll repeat what I said before: a time...
by Suraj
21 Mar 2020 14:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

It's just a post Saar. Drone warriors naat hit banbamb if the link can be posted, Hainji? Seriously the reason I'm asking is that I can't make sense of that post... Twitter illiterate wonlee paste - Jennifer Zeng 曾錚 - in google box. the first result will be her twitter account. The problem with the...
by Suraj
21 Mar 2020 07:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Ram Navami festival at Ayodhya being cancelled according to OpIndia . A very good decision .
by Suraj
21 Mar 2020 04:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296462

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Khatavanga Posted this on Twitter. Do try to do more research. Example curve fit for the three countries and find the exponent. Find out the demographics of the three countries. Compare to India. There is a lot of useful things one can do instead of scaring ourselves. https://twitter.com/khatvaanga...

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