Search found 260 matches

by RaviB
08 Sep 2023 14:21
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses
Replies: 1287
Views: 318557

Re: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses

The Chinese view of India-China rivalry by Lan Jianxue Today’s post is a summary of a recent piece by Lan Jianxue (蓝建学), the director of the department for Asia-Pacific Studies at the Beijing-based China Institute of International Studies (CIIS) – one of China’s top think tanks. Source: https://www...
by RaviB
02 Sep 2023 05:06
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

I hope it is ok to paste this here. I found my list of Chinese place names that I had used back in the day for research. Using the chinese terms while googling will show you chinese sources and then google translate can help one understand most of it. I hope young trainees with time and interest can...
by RaviB
29 Aug 2023 20:12
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses
Replies: 1287
Views: 318557

Re: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses

I therefore take a different view. There are other domestic issues that would be potentially more inflammable than a war with India and more certain of achieving the aims of deposing XJP. Besides, the domestic situation will only get worse as XJP steadily loses control . It can also happen that a t...
by RaviB
29 Aug 2023 15:38
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses
Replies: 1287
Views: 318557

Re: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses

India has been messaging China and I think they have been getting it. Three ex-service chiefs in Taiwan present in a very public way at the same time means a lot. PRC is super sensitive to anything happening in Taiwan, so they got the message for sure. New Taiwanese consulate also shows that Chinese...
by RaviB
21 Aug 2023 20:06
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Chandrayaan 3: Launch and Discussions
Replies: 1352
Views: 542272

Re: Chandrayaan 3: Launch and Discussions

Thank you for your services Dilbuji. I have observed your black magic several times onlee and bow to your superpowers.
by RaviB
06 Aug 2023 23:33
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

This is the report on the PLA Rocket Force that has the information that has (potentially) caused the death and investigation of its leaders due to suspicion of leaks. Members with the required missile knowledge please read. everyone else, please download. It will probably disappear quickly. https:/...
by RaviB
26 Jul 2023 18:15
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses
Replies: 1287
Views: 318557

Re: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses

In China, pretty much everyone who can afford it has a mistress. In business circles, it is seen as a sign of success. So the mistress can't be the real reason for him losing his post. I wouldn't be surprised if he actually got taken out by Wang Yi himself. The story is that Qin first got close with...
by RaviB
06 Jul 2023 19:15
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-EU News & Analysis
Replies: 1780
Views: 353929

Re: India-EU News & Analysis

I came across this comment section in a respected German newspaper Die Zeit I have autotranslated all comments from German. I think what is interesting to see is the role of Indian diaspora in spreading the myth of the decline of democracy in India. But also the role of Indian diaspora in fighting t...
by RaviB
26 Jun 2023 16:07
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8678
Views: 2231114

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

The reason we are getting such a warm welcome is that we are de facto militarily supporting USA against China, without actually being in an alliance. In fact, the most effectively of all potential allies. The Americans get this. India keeps away many Chinese soldiers from the Taiwan theatre, for our...
by RaviB
22 Jun 2023 19:49
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

I had posted this on another thread regarding the military implications of China's coming demographic collapse but it is more relevant here. If you look at China's projected population for 2050, they will have approximately 50 million men between 20-30 years old (India will have 130 million in the s...
by RaviB
21 Jun 2023 18:14
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8678
Views: 2231114

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

There is no question that China is our primary enemy over the next 20 years. USA can be the competitor from 2040 on and perhaps a counterpole from 2050 on. Why only next 20 years? You feel China's going to magically fall apart after that? Because of demographics? Overt friendliness now, combined wi...
by RaviB
21 Jun 2023 17:25
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: VayuSena Rafale: News and Discussions - 17 Oct 2016
Replies: 4656
Views: 1449791

Re: VayuSena Rafale: News and Discussions - 17 Oct 2016

Just came across this snippet in The Economist on France's military plans: [French] Parliament is currently examining a military budget for 2024-2030 worth €413bn ($446bn), a hefty 40% increase in nominal terms on the budget for 2019-2025. Under Mr Macron, this should enable France to meet its nato ...
by RaviB
15 Jun 2023 16:19
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

Though this story is about the origin of Covid-19, I think it fits better here. Patient zero was in Wuhan Lab https://twitter.com/shellenberger/status/1668661229727150081 Public officials in the U.S. and other countries have repeatedly suggested that uncovering the pandemic’s origin may not be possi...
by RaviB
15 Jun 2023 15:45
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 7928
Views: 2119036

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

They probably paid off the interest using domestic borrowing. The higher interest rates charged, plus the 26% higher price of dollars+ rollover fee. Since it's basically Pakistan not meeting its obligation paying back the principal, so there is a penalty called a rollover fee, that could be around 0...
by RaviB
15 Jun 2023 15:17
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8678
Views: 2231114

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

There is no question that China is our primary enemy over the next 20 years. USA can be the competitor from 2040 on and perhaps a counterpole from 2050 on. There should not be any aversion on our part to have a cautious friendship with US, to help us counter China in the meantime. There is a lot to ...
by RaviB
13 Jun 2023 14:11
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses
Replies: 1287
Views: 318557

Re: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses

Thank you Ravi B ji. There is a video posted in the China challenge thread, on how do the Chinese see us theme based on Chinese analyst publications and statements. Please watch it if you have time and share your comments. Here is the link to that post: https://forums.bharat-rakshak.com/viewtopic.p...
by RaviB
07 Jun 2023 16:23
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses
Replies: 1287
Views: 318557

Re: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses

Some of what she says is surely true, China has been a scam economy and their numbers are cooked since many years. ... Cyrano ji, even the Chinese don't trust their own GDP figures and use electricity consumption, etc. as proxy. There is some new work that uses night time lights data to estimate GD...
by RaviB
24 Apr 2023 20:28
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020 - Part 2
Replies: 5263
Views: 1736091

Re: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020 - Part 2

There are quite suspicious purchases by the city of Linzhi (Nyingchi) which is opposite Arunachal. From the top to bottom, the items are Walkie Talkie, undercover forensic equipment, camera, audio recorder, body camera , first aid kit , security tape, signal jammer, microphone, monitoring, and recor...
by RaviB
15 Mar 2023 22:49
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 4308
Views: 1184823

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

Tear gas shells, I think
by RaviB
22 Feb 2023 16:39
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 7928
Views: 2119036

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

From the above story shared by Dilbu ji https://tribune.com.pk/story/2402584/hopes-rekindle-for-2b-chinese-loans Although Minister of State for Finance Dr Aisha Pasha hoped that the staff-level agreement with the IMF might be reached this week, it would still take another one and a half months befor...
by RaviB
18 Jan 2023 19:11
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

Warning: Do not read this if you have high blood pressure , I'm sharing it only to increase understanding of how the Chinese view/misunderstand India. http://www.cicir.ac.cn/UpFiles/file/20201103/6373999766705249491072987.pdf .. That article is 2+ years old. Do you know if he has penned a more rece...
by RaviB
18 Jan 2023 18:40
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

ramana wrote:Thank you. Do you read Chinese?
Ramana garu, yes. I also did business with Chinese and travelled there often but now it's ten years since I visited. Also my Chinese is not all that great now because I shifted to a different area and hardly ever use it, other than following social media stuff.
by RaviB
11 Jan 2023 21:50
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Replies: 2709
Views: 622061

Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

The Chinese have started to signal distance from Russia. Qin Gang Has a Phone Call with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov 2023-01-09 23:00 On January 9, 2023, Foreign Minister Qin Gang had a phone call at request with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov. Qin Gang said that under the strategi...
by RaviB
11 Jan 2023 17:28
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses
Replies: 1287
Views: 318557

Re: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses

Venkat saar and Ramana garu: I was too quick regarding Zhao Lijian and I suppose should have waited before sharing rumors. The situation with him is that apparently his wife posted about the lack of medicines which embarrassed him, he was unable to respond to questions regarding the A4 protests, Chi...
by RaviB
09 Jan 2023 21:34
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Covid19 in China
Replies: 98
Views: 17200

Re: Covid19 in China

Apparently the National Health Commission released figures on the 7th: 120,000 confirmed cases and 30 deaths. This has caused a lot of outrage. Meanwhile, if family members want to have a death certificate, they are required to hand a letter of commitment, which reads: "I promise: the deceased ...
by RaviB
09 Jan 2023 17:32
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses
Replies: 1287
Views: 318557

Re: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses

There are heavy rumours on the Chinese internet that Ding Xuexiang has resigned from the politburo or committed suicide or most likely has died from Covid. Ding is a close aide of Xi, number 6 in the politburo and was being considered as a potential successor to Xi, so this is big if true. Also Zhao...
by RaviB
05 Jan 2023 18:53
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

Link: https://stratnewsglobal.com/china/india-lacks-sufficient-understanding-of-china-and-its-intentions/ ‘India Lacks Sufficient Understanding Of China And Its Intentions’ I know Hemant Adlakha personally, he's a total sinophile and JNU leftie. I haven't watched the talk but I think I know what he...
by RaviB
04 Jan 2023 16:45
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Intelligence & National Security Discussion - July 2018
Replies: 413
Views: 205391

Re: Intelligence & National Security Discussion - July 2018

After so many Twitter Disclosures, it is clear that Twitter (and Google) were being used by US for regime change and spread misinformation among foreign countries... Zero thinking on this in our own IB/RAW or Govt From recent disclosures by a Twitter whistleblower, it sounds like there was at least...
by RaviB
02 Jan 2023 17:19
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

Posting an article on the use of Special Forces in Tibet against China from 2017. It is remarkable that it already talks about the use of SFF, 3 years before it was actually done. Also discusses the use of proxy forces in Tibet (and the dangers associated with it). Also discusses the use of Garud to...
by RaviB
02 Jan 2023 17:01
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020 - Part 2
Replies: 5263
Views: 1736091

Re: India's Border Security with China and Pakistan-2020 - Part 2

I don't think this has been posted here before. It's a very interesting peer reviewed quantitative study of India-Tibet border incursions by China published in Nature communications which is not as prestigious as Nature but still relatively good quality. The nice thing is that they created a set of ...
by RaviB
29 Dec 2022 19:23
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Covid19 in China
Replies: 98
Views: 17200

Re: Covid19 in China

Guess where the Chinese are getting anti-Covid drugs from Chinese turn to black market for generic Indian Covid-19 drugs as surge sweeps nation Limited supply and steep price of the two approved Covid-19 antivirals driving many Chinese to opt for cheaper but illegal imports from India Indian generic...
by RaviB
29 Dec 2022 19:13
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

Related to my previous post on making movies to be released following each clash, it might have come across as non-serious. So, I would like to add some quotes from the PLA's own doctrine on psy-ops to show how this reflects what the PLA itself will almost certainly do. These excerpts are all drawn ...
by RaviB
29 Dec 2022 17:58
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

Thinking about the #Yangtse attack, it's doubtful if India can trust China at all for foreseeable future. Just less than a month before XJP had met NaMo at Bali and appeared to put Galwan behind them. Either he is not fully in control of PRC or does not want to have a peaceful India-Tibet border th...
by RaviB
28 Dec 2022 22:00
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

Indian discourse on the LAC is incorrigible. It is the India -Tibet border. It isn’t the Tibetan autonomous region. It is occupied Tibet. Completely agree I am wary of recent generations of tibetans. With language banned, Dalai lama banned, opportunities in China, are they too pacified to put up an...
by RaviB
28 Dec 2022 20:21
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 548
Views: 182626

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

I am doing a more thorough thread like some I did way back when I had some free time. My main understanding comes from my surfing of Chinese social media, some Chinese writers, new laws, etc. apart from my previous work in and with China. Our responses need to account for the big vulnerabilities of ...
by RaviB
28 Dec 2022 19:21
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Covid19 in China
Replies: 98
Views: 17200

Re: Covid19 in China

I have not been able to source even one report, written, pictorial or video from the Chinese hinterland. Are international reports on such a short leash in China? Does the BBC or CNN provide a disclaimer on their reportage, so the viewer can assess their credibility? Or are the money and girls too ...
by RaviB
30 Mar 2022 02:05
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-Russia: News & Analysis
Replies: 6071
Views: 1219579

Re: India-Russia: News & Analysis

Good to see you back Gautam saar, you seemed to be on a sabbatical ;) Cyrano Sir, I went to Kolkata for 3.5 months. No access to computer, kind of marooned due to Covid and stayed there for the duration. Kolkata reminded me of East Germany of my youth back in 1980s, it was just like under one party...
by RaviB
30 Mar 2022 00:49
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses
Replies: 1287
Views: 318557

Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

@RaviB - thanks for sharing this. In lurker mode I have read several of your posts about what chinese media is propagating for internal consumption. My assumption is that all news/media outlets in china are state controlled. In your opinion, are there any news outlets that India could influence to ...
by RaviB
29 Mar 2022 23:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding New China After the 19th and 20th Congresses
Replies: 1287
Views: 318557

Re: Understanding New China after 19th Congress

There has been a lot of speculation about what exactly the Chinese were expecting from Wang Yi's visit. Mostly there has been incomprehension. I wrote a long time back about how the Chinese really perceive us and that we also need to see them differently. China assumes India has the same value syste...