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by Rudradev
15 Jun 2018 02:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K News and Discussion - 2016
Replies: 2041
Views: 312352

Re: J&K News and Discussion - 2016

1) UN Report on "Human Rights Violations" in J&K, from a pure Hurry-rat/HM/LeT perspective, as ventriloquized by "Amnesty International". 2) Report of similar tone and content in National Geographic magazine in US, which in general steers clear of political stories. Oh yes. T...
by Rudradev
11 Jun 2018 10:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 3773
Views: 260623

Re: Internal Security Watch

Rahul M , If the moderators want to abrogate all discussion along the lines that have recently been taking shape, fine. I have a lot more to say on this subject but I will not. I would however ask that you (mods) discharge your responsibilities appropriately as well. Please delete each and every re...
by Rudradev
09 Jun 2018 02:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 3773
Views: 260623

Re: Internal Security Watch

To bemoan the actions of someone long dead and gone as some "root cause" of everything that's going on now is not merely intellectually lazy; it's also strategically challenged. The British ruled the entire effing country. If not Bhimrao Ramji Ambedkar, they would have found some other ral...
by Rudradev
09 Jun 2018 01:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 3773
Views: 260623

Re: Internal Security Watch

I would also ask readers to recall the Swami Laxmanananda Saraswati incident of 2008. Laxmanananda was a Hindu spiritual leader doing yeoman service amongst the Scheduled Tribes in the Ganjam-Gajapati districts of Orissa, the heart of the Red Corridor. The thrust of his work was not to reinstate fai...
by Rudradev
09 Jun 2018 01:10
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 3773
Views: 260623

Re: Internal Security Watch

Rona Wilson may call himself an "Ambedkarite" or a "Maoist" or a "Naxalite" or whatever is the conveniently revolutionary-sounding flavour of the month.

The name Wilson betrays what he genuinely is.
by Rudradev
09 Jun 2018 01:09
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 3773
Views: 260623

Re: Internal Security Watch

I don't see anything of the sort. Ambedkar came from a time during which (as a direct result of British and Islamic colonialism, cf: Nicholas Dirks) the jati networks of India had been distorted by intense privation and continuous oppression into a frankly discriminatory hierarchy. Some people ended...
by Rudradev
09 Jun 2018 00:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 3773
Views: 260623

Re: Internal Security Watch

Hmm. I'm not sure a grandparent can be judged by the deeds of his/her grandchildren, even if they invoke his/her name as political capital. After all, how similar are Lutyens Naxals Tushar Gandhi & Rajmohan Gandhi to M.K. Gandhi? And how similar is Rahul Gandhi to Indira Gandhi? Not that IG or M...
by Rudradev
08 Jun 2018 23:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US- Again
Replies: 606
Views: 56709

Re: Understanding the US- Again

Futt Gayee Rey.... The Great Western Alliance unraveling! Read and laugh :D BUT don't forget to pay attention to the underlying geopolitical implications. https://www.newyorker.com/news/letter-from-trumps-washington/under-trump-america-first-really-is-turning-out-to-be-america-alone Under Trump, “Am...
by Rudradev
06 Jun 2018 19:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 1357
Views: 164816

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

The Plight of Indian-American Immigrant Children https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2018/06/06/the_plight_of_indian_american_immigrant_children__137199.html?utm_source=spotim&utm_medium=spotim_recirculation&spotim_referrer=recirculation By Vikram Aditya Kumar June 06, 2018 This is a...
by Rudradev
31 May 2018 00:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 1115
Views: 38460

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

Maybe Babchenko was fine with it but he had forgotten to tell his SHQ that from now on she was Mrs. Johnson and they were all going to move to Londonistan with the kids. SHQs can wreck the best-laid plans of mice and men.
by Rudradev
31 May 2018 00:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 1115
Views: 38460

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

They did it out of sheer Pakiness (stage a hit and pretend it was yeevil Yindoos/Roosis, wait for Western MSM to take up the cry) Then they became aware of an imminent leak (with evidence), or maybe Babchenko reneged on the part of the deal that required him to adopt a new identity/pretend to be dea...
by Rudradev
30 May 2018 22:56
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Nipah Virus Outbreak IN Kerala-2018
Replies: 67
Views: 5310

Re: Nipah Virus Outbreak IN Kerala-2018

Take a bow Ramana garu. I think we can rule out zoonotic transfer. Even in Bangladesh it was difficult to find fruit bats that were actual carriers of NiV (they only found some bats which had antibody-based immunity to NiV, which suggests exposure but doesn't conclusively prove it). Even if they HAD...
by Rudradev
30 May 2018 22:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 1357
Views: 164816

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Philip and Chetak, US want to use IN as their Indian Ocean Gungadin. All this COMCASA etc. are for them to use IN as waterboys. They would even hope to wear out IN ships patrolling the Pacific so as to not pose a threat to Pakistan. The peaceful military purchases (transport etc.) after IUCNA were ...
by Rudradev
30 May 2018 22:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-Russia: News & Analysis
Replies: 5347
Views: 468426

Re: India-Russia: News & Analysis

There is something specific about the S-X00 ADS that makes the US cr@p its pants. Remember how they freaked out and screamed "red line" when there was even a chance that S-300 may get sold to Syria or Iran. And right now it's specifically the S-400 sale that's being cited by the US in its ...
by Rudradev
25 May 2018 23:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India - South & North Korea Thread
Replies: 1333
Views: 118390

Re: India - South & North Korea Thread

Despite all kinds of convoluted Chanakian CT defenses of how Trump is actually very clever, the outmaneuvering of DC by Beijing could not be more obvious. Trump had two choices: 1) Don't cancel the summit, and lose face completely when KJU cancels instead 2) Cancel the summit, and push SoKo further ...
by Rudradev
25 May 2018 02:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Nipah Virus Outbreak IN Kerala-2018
Replies: 67
Views: 5310

Re: Nipah Virus Outbreak IN Kerala-2018

Once they make the data and analysis public, we can compare the strains in this sort of a scoring matrix: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3373078/figure/F3/?report=objectonly Does anyone have access to Dr. Devendra Mourya at National Instt. of Virology, Pune? Anand Ranganathan might kno...
by Rudradev
24 May 2018 22:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Nipah Virus Outbreak IN Kerala-2018
Replies: 67
Views: 5310

Re: Nipah Virus Outbreak IN Kerala-2018

Ramana, Here is the published data from the Siliguri outbreak https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3373078/ It is very difficult to confirm whether a virus is exactly the same strain because as a general rule, viruses mutate fast and still retain their infectivity. Nonetheless: Sequence anal...
by Rudradev
24 May 2018 22:10
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India - South & North Korea Thread
Replies: 1333
Views: 118390

Re: India - South & North Korea Thread

NoKo is capped at test site. No more testing. Kind of defacto CTBT. Not defacto CTBT. It's more like the unilateral moratorium that ABV & co. declared... in theory can be rescinded at any time and a new test site utilized. In practice, NoKo is perceived by the international community to be far ...
by Rudradev
24 May 2018 21:26
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Nipah Virus Outbreak IN Kerala-2018
Replies: 67
Views: 5310

Re: Nipah Virus Outbreak IN Kerala-2018

Also in 2001, confirmatory tests such as RT-PCR were not commonplace, and the equipment and reagents needed to conduct these were not widely available to institutions in India. You need RT-PCR to positively confirm the DNA or RNA signature of a particular virus (earlier techniques like ELISA general...
by Rudradev
23 May 2018 01:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Internal Security Watch
Replies: 3773
Views: 260623

Re: Internal Security Watch

Vijay Salaskar and Ashok Kamte, along with Karkare. Both were legendary for their willingness and ability to do anything necessary to bring down D-company and other organized criminal/jihadi/ISI assets, including encounters. It is indeed suspicious that ALL three of these guys were sent to exactly t...
by Rudradev
18 May 2018 21:34
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: MRCA (Many Rakshaks Choose Aircraft) Contest - Episode III
Replies: 551
Views: 54960

Re: MRCA (Many Rakshaks Choose Aircraft) Contest - Episode III

About the F-16s. F-16s (at the time) failed to meet flight-test requirements during the original MMRCA trials. Along with Super Hornets they were eliminated from the running. Does this F-16 Block 70 address the specific issues that caused the failure and elimination from MMRCA contention 2-3 years a...
by Rudradev
18 May 2018 02:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)
Replies: 1743
Views: 200871

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (15-11-2017)

Article from a Western lens but may be worth skimming for current perspective. http://quillette.com/2018/04/10/china-model-failing/ POLITICS, WORLD AFFAIRS Published on April 10, 2018 The China Model Is Failing written by Eric C. Hendriks Chairman Xi Jinping is preparing to prolong his rule beyond t...
by Rudradev
16 May 2018 10:06
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4591
Views: 260064

Re: Deterrence

Sorry, did not see your post in response to my question earlier. Will go through the reference, thanks.
by Rudradev
16 May 2018 09:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4591
Views: 260064

Re: Deterrence

Shaurya, what exactly do you mean by "blast" radius? Radius defining a sphere of significant kinetic effects, i.e. overpressure, right? Ok, let's say for the moment 120m. And the zone of anything like 45+ psi overpressure, probably much smaller than 120m for a TNW of 5 kT or less. Fine. No...
by Rudradev
16 May 2018 08:57
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4591
Views: 260064

Re: Deterrence

Maybe, but still more efficient than a conventional airdropped fuel air incendiary device, no? And that's the best sort of munition they can field short of TNWs (that too, only until the point when IAF has completely established air dominance). Also, as I understand it the radius wherein thermal rad...
by Rudradev
16 May 2018 08:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4591
Views: 260064

Re: Deterrence

Why is 45 psi overpressure needed to destroy a tank? Does it need to be physically disintegrated? I would think the heat produced by a TNW will roast alive the crew of every tank in its blast radius. In WW2, flamethrowers and even molotov cocktails were efficient tank killers for this very reason. F...
by Rudradev
16 May 2018 08:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-Russia: News & Analysis
Replies: 5347
Views: 468426

Re: India-Russia: News & Analysis

None? The India-Russia bilateral arms trade volume, by revenue, is the largest in the world by a factor of 3. Even US-Israel, US-Saudi don't come anywhere close to it... let alone Russia-China. Moreover Russia-China will only decrease as China rapidly achieves self sufficiency in weapons industry. T...
by Rudradev
16 May 2018 01:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India - South & North Korea Thread
Replies: 1333
Views: 118390

Re: India - South & North Korea Thread

If I were in GOTUS, I would not be in favour of a Korean peace either. There is no question that it means strategic envelopment of Ko Pen by China in the medium term, and of the entire Western Pacific in the long term. Even the Sinophiles (Kissinger, Halfbright, Clintons, Biden etc.) who accommodate...
by Rudradev
16 May 2018 01:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India - South & North Korea Thread
Replies: 1333
Views: 118390

Re: India - South & North Korea Thread

:mrgreen: And President Chump thought he had NoKo Denuclearisation deal in the bag as a big Foreign Policy Victory! He is only beginning to taste the blow-hot-blow-cold khimchi. A massive, world-class humiliation is being orchestrated for Chump by Putin and Xi. He has been set up (a few knuckle-drag...
by Rudradev
15 May 2018 03:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indian Foreign Policy
Replies: 2085
Views: 192266

Re: Indian Foreign Policy

We will choose nothing, IMO. We will play both sides as quietly as we can, committing transactionally sometimes, but never strategically. We will keep our cards close to our chest and our feet firmly on the line. We will make statements that people like Bharat Karnad and Brahma Chellaney will decry ...
by Rudradev
15 May 2018 03:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US- Again
Replies: 606
Views: 56709

Re: Understanding the US- Again

From time to time, sure. That time is definitely not now (or the foreseeable future, if EU nations are coerced into backing Trump's sanction regime). Russia too has decided to stay neutral in the Israel-vs-Iran jollies currently under way in Syria. Which means, for Tehran, China is the only game in ...
by Rudradev
15 May 2018 03:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Understanding the US- Again
Replies: 606
Views: 56709

Re: Understanding the US- Again

kit wrote:
UlanBatori wrote:Wonder what happens if Iran decides to destabilize Baluchistan...


It could well be in their interests to create a bargaining tool vs the pakistanis


No way this will happen. Keeping China happy is more important to the Iranians now than it ever was. And China wants a quiet Baluchistan for CPEC.
by Rudradev
12 May 2018 11:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 573
Views: 68777

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

Putin is a coward, and ultimately an unreliable ally. Iran is learning that now. Serves them right. Hopefully the IRGC gets thoroughly decimated over the next few months. As for Assad, he had to accept Russian assistance as the only game in town. It was either that or Gaddafi-land (a bayonet in the ...
by Rudradev
12 May 2018 10:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2
Replies: 4959
Views: 279403

Re: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2

And third, we conclude that Early Bronze Age steppe pastoralists did not migrate into South Asia but that genetic evidence fits better with the Indo Iranian IE languages being brought to the region by descendants of Late Bronze Age steppe pastoralists ." Don't know how they can state the under...
by Rudradev
11 May 2018 10:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2
Replies: 4959
Views: 279403

Re: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2

Shiv, these guys are a lot more sophisticated than Pakistan or any defenders it has ever had. But, theek hai. Even as I disagree with your view of publication strategy, I have RTd your tweets on this subject every time I come across them on my TL, and wil continue to do so. I still do think this is ...
by Rudradev
11 May 2018 09:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2
Replies: 4959
Views: 279403

Re: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2

Gandharva ji one humble request. I am honoured that you have, in the past, tweeted my observations on your Twitter timeline. I would, however, ask you not to do that anymore. This is an information war. We need to coordinate our efforts at least as carefully as the enemy does... because they certai...
by Rudradev
11 May 2018 09:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2
Replies: 4959
Views: 279403

Re: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2

Gandharva ji one humble request. I am honoured that you have, in the past, tweeted my observations on your Twitter timeline. I would, however, ask you not to do that anymore. This is an information war. We need to coordinate our efforts at least as carefully as the enemy does... because they certain...
by Rudradev
11 May 2018 09:04
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2
Replies: 4959
Views: 279403

Re: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2

Good news. Vagheesh has blocked me on Twitter. The IE reference is fake but if he removes that steppe-IE ref his paper is destroyed. To that extent I am a mortal enemy of his paper :rotfl: Good Sorry to say "I told you so" Shiv. Vagheesh (and more importantly his handlers) have gleaned en...
by Rudradev
11 May 2018 03:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2
Replies: 4959
Views: 279403

Re: Out-of-India - From Theory to Truth: Part 2

Arun, also observe that in Fig B the Steppe EMBA are AS far removed from the brick-red Indic cline, if not more so, than the Tibeto Burmans and Australo Asiatics (on PC1) and both these groups are orthogonal to the Onge-Indic-IranN-Anatolian line (along PC2). Now think back to why Honest Vagheesh cl...

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