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Search found 605 matches

by Deans
18 Nov 2017 10:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 873
Views: 107222

Re: Analyzing CPEC

The most dangerous scenario for India is if CPEC gets completed, Pakistan has excess power and industrial capacity and then the Chi-Pak combo push for opening up trade and a weak Indian govt agrees. Will lead to flooding the Indian market with Chinese goods made in Pak, enriching both and destroyin...
by Deans
15 Nov 2017 11:28
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4541
Views: 391043

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

More important than linking bank accounts to Aadhar is having a bank account itself. The opening of 200 million new bank accounts in the first 2 years of this govt, (ensuring that almost every household has a bank account) is unprecedented in banking history globally. Coupled with increased availabi...
by Deans
15 Nov 2017 09:56
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: LCA: News & Discussions: 15 August 2017
Replies: 1499
Views: 191101

Re: LCA: News & Discussions: 15 August 2017

Kashi wrote:A couple of members here have written for Swarajya, perhaps Swarajya will be willing to publish these view points.


I have written for Swarajya. Their heart is in the right place and I believe they will publish well researched articles which can educate readers.
by Deans
14 Nov 2017 08:50
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4541
Views: 391043

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

Before loans are given out, shouldn't there be a credit rating system in place to encourage responsible borrowers and track the defaulters? All those political "loan melas" in the past handed out free money to people with no intention of paying the money back. Perhaps things will be done ...
by Deans
13 Nov 2017 15:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 873
Views: 107222

Re: Analyzing CPEC

Given the terrain I would think them lucky to have it open 75% of the time. More likely between 50% and 75% of time it would be open i.e for between 180 - 270 days but not more. My best *guess* is for 225 [mean of 180 and 270] days of connectivity and traffic. One can pick the scenarios and assumpt...
by Deans
13 Nov 2017 13:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 873
Views: 107222

Re: Analyzing CPEC

assuming the road is open 365 days a year !!! It includes trucks returning empty and trucks covering part of the distance (e.g. Karachi to Lahore and not Pak to China) So, in a rare moment of honesty, Pak feels that in a best case scenario, they would have 50* 300 days = 15,000 trucks on the route ...
by Deans
13 Nov 2017 10:47
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operational Art or War Doctrine
Replies: 17
Views: 915

Re: Operational Art or War Doctrine

Deans, what were the plans in the Western Sector? Was it only about denting TSPA's belief that " The defence of the East lies in the West " or was it aimed at striking deep within W. Pak and use the gains as bargaining chips? The plans in the West in 1971 were largely defensive. In 1965 w...
by Deans
13 Nov 2017 09:32
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operational Art or War Doctrine
Replies: 17
Views: 915

Re: Operational Art or War Doctrine

I think the main difference between 1965 and 71, was that 1965 was thrust on us, while 71 was planned for. The planning process in the lead up to the 71 war, allowed us to develop politico-military goals. '65 did not, because we did very little scenario planning in the run up to Pakistan's operation...
by Deans
12 Nov 2017 12:02
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operational Art or War Doctrine
Replies: 17
Views: 915

Re: Operational Art or War Doctrine

Ramana ji, the pdf is an interesting read. I've studied Operation Bagrathon in detail (I had a working knowledge of Russian). I would argue that the Red army also had 2 other campaigns in WW2, where they demonstrated a equally high standard of operational warfare. These are: 1. Operations Mars, Uran...
by Deans
12 Nov 2017 11:05
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operational Art or War Doctrine
Replies: 17
Views: 915

Re: Operational Art or War Doctrine

Shiv, Slightly OT, but the concern I have with the IAF's reluctance to embrace theatre commands, is in my view, more to do with protecting their turf. The IAF rightly argues that aircraft have mobility across commands. In that case, why have multiple commands for the IAF ? I see merit in the Army ha...
by Deans
10 Nov 2017 10:20
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)
Replies: 2054
Views: 176802

Re: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)

Lots of confusion & fog on the air on the matter. Even with IR's clarification there are few doubts. Like.... 1. Between Mumbai & Ahmedabad a normal train have average 10-12 stops & with that the occupancy (load factor) is 103%. 2. Fares between intermediate stations will be as much as ...
by Deans
06 Nov 2017 15:21
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4541
Views: 391043

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

It says the possible scam was averted by use of Aadhar. But yes, any difference in interest rates will always attract scammers who will claim loans a a beneficial rate of interest in collusion with bank officials. Yes one more reason why aadhar linking and verification is a must.
by Deans
04 Nov 2017 22:03
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 873
Views: 107222

Re: Analyzing CPEC

guys... how is CPEC relevant for connecting central asia to Pakistan?? i was listening to a vid which said CPEC is a non starter without participation of Afghanistan and India .. no central asia connectivity? can someone explain. PanjakS is correct. I'd like to add that for Central Asia, the best r...
by Deans
03 Nov 2017 15:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 1597
Views: 132981

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Aditya_V wrote:Cheers Image

We must work to get the Paki GDP to 4% of our economy.[/quote]

When Pak is 7-8% of our economy, which will be soon, we will be adding a Pakistan to our economy every year.
by Deans
02 Nov 2017 09:20
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion
Replies: 4024
Views: 236347

Re: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion

I can't add much more to what JayS has said. Launch customers of the NEO (Indigo and Go) would typically have slightly better terms including enhanced penalties, if the projected fuel savings were not met. Launch customers had a choice of either the CFM engine (Leap) or P&W. A factor which led t...
by Deans
31 Oct 2017 22:24
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion
Replies: 4024
Views: 236347

Re: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion

Just wondering if the P&W A320neo engine problems due to India specific conditions could be an opportunity to invite global engine manufacturers to setup test facilities in the country. It will definitely help build local skills if nothing else. I agree with JayS's post. The engine problems hav...
by Deans
31 Oct 2017 21:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 759612

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

Deans-> looks like a nice trip, North of Gurudongmar lake it is pretty flat to Tibet going into the Gamba area, possible thatthe CHinese can play mischief in that area. The section of the Gurudomgar road (see google maps), starting about 10 km before Gurudomgar lake, is now a metalled stretch and g...
by Deans
31 Oct 2017 13:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)
Replies: 10352
Views: 759612

Re: Neutering & Defanging Chinese Threat (09-08-2014)

I just spent 9 days in the Sikkim, Siliguri corridor area. Went upto 17300 ft at Gurudomgar lake and the furthese point by road in North Sikkim, as well as Nathu La. The army's presence there is huge. I won't get into for e.g. the number of infantry battalions in a sector for obvious reasons. Suffic...
by Deans
18 Oct 2017 10:05
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4541
Views: 391043

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

There is a vested interest within our banking system to promote visa and MC. I believe that some higer-ups within the banking system are wined and dines by the int'al card cos to promote their cards. True. India is a cash cow for Visa & Mastercard and they would do anything to limit initiatives...
by Deans
17 Oct 2017 23:33
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4541
Views: 391043

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

:roll: not this hogwash again ! that drop in social sector spending was because the centre's share of the revenue that it spent on such services was directly given to the states to spend. You sir, are making a political point in a thread on economics and the next politically motivated post will att...
by Deans
16 Oct 2017 23:42
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion
Replies: 4024
Views: 236347

Re: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion

[ Can you elaborate more on what you think can be done with Nashik airport..? There has been many attempts to kick-start regular flying from Nashik since 1970s AFAIK. But it never got off. One reason is no real local demand. For it to act as proper alternate to Mumbai or Pune airport, we need a hig...
by Deans
16 Oct 2017 23:31
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion
Replies: 4024
Views: 236347

Re: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion

IIRC Nashil has a runway capable of handling double aisle wide body aircrafts. It is such a shame a that it is not even used or a listed as a an alternative airport for diverting flights in case of any issue at Mumbai. Pune having capacity constraints cannot be used and flyers have to face the ridi...
by Deans
16 Oct 2017 23:20
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4541
Views: 391043

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

^+108 to the post on agri revival in Guj.. For someone who lived in Saurashtra in 1999 2000 and revisited Gujarat on a full state tour in 2014, the agricultural growth was so visible to see. I remember to have an article in TIME magazine on Guj agricultural revival in somewhere around 2012 or may b...
by Deans
16 Oct 2017 09:14
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion
Replies: 4024
Views: 236347

Re: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion

IIRC Nashil has a runway capable of handling double aisle wide body aircrafts. It is such a shame a that it is not even used or a listed as a an alternative airport for diverting flights in case of any issue at Mumbai. Pune having capacity constraints cannot be used and flyers have to face the ridi...
by Deans
15 Oct 2017 22:04
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion
Replies: 4024
Views: 236347

Re: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion

UDAN routes ink massive 75 pct PLM An update on the UDAN scheme. Some interesting numbers! Good! load factor on the Chennai to Mysore routes is around 75%, while the same on the Hyderabad to Nanded route registers 67% on average. The occupancy levels on the Hyderabad to Kadappa route is around 65% ...
by Deans
15 Oct 2017 21:51
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion
Replies: 4024
Views: 236347

Re: Civil Aviation Development & Discussion



before we condemn our babus, I'm not sure if a technologically sound and safe aircraft can be built on someone's terrace. I doubt the journalist
has the slightest idea what is takes to build an aircraft.
by Deans
14 Oct 2017 14:55
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4541
Views: 391043

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

DD tweets, Exports grew 25.67% in Sept 17 vis a vis Sept 16. But wait, I thought exporters got screwed up big time by GST. So I read in multie articles. So whats the catch..? Exports have grown for 13 consecutive months (over the corresponding month a year ago). So have imports (even if you exclude...
by Deans
09 Oct 2017 11:20
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: 'Make in India' Single engined fighter
Replies: 4940
Views: 409285

Re: 'Make in India' Single engined fighter

Having read this thread and allied ones, I am unclear why the following options is collectively not better than the assembly of 126 SE aircraft. 1. Faster time frame for Tejas induction incl. if necessary getting Tata/Adani to assemble them. My sense is it would take as much time and cost less than ...
by Deans
08 Oct 2017 22:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: OBOR, Chinese Strategy and Implications
Replies: 588
Views: 58539

Re: OBOR, Chinese Strategy and Implications

Exactly. There is no *economic* rational for a China and/or Bangladesh transit trade to bakistan through India. Sea route is cheaper by an order of magnitude. As far as CPEC is concerned, Sea route is cheaper not just for oil but also for goods from eastern seaboard of China. It makes sense only as...
by Deans
08 Oct 2017 22:26
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy
Replies: 7668
Views: 512019

Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

^^^^ Integration and scaling is a great corporate ploy to grow; however it usually is accompanied by job redundancies/layoffs because obviously one of the benefits of integration is to remove duplication and raise productivity. Unfortunately, all the strong medicines administered by Modi are effect...
by Deans
08 Oct 2017 10:10
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)
Replies: 2054
Views: 176802

Re: Indian Railways Thread (Dec 2015)

Deans aware, which think tank did you write to if I may ask? Might it be The Vivekananda international foundation? India policy foundation (RSS's think tank on foreign policy). It was separately reviewed by national security thinkers like G Parthasarthy & Gen VK Singh, which resulted in it gett...
by Deans
08 Oct 2017 10:01
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4541
Views: 391043

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

I think this government is living on a different planet. Does anyone have any validations of the supposed job creations from Mudra, except for the government trumpeting unvalidated figures. Just to be clear, an employment is of an entity, even a sole proprietor employing another person with a wage....
by Deans
08 Oct 2017 00:05
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy
Replies: 7668
Views: 512019

Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

https://www.cleanmoney.gov.in/?q=content/clean-money-analysis The info in the operation clean money portal is worth a read. It is the first time to my knowledge that GOI has put up such detailed data on the action against against high value deposits. Lengthy documents but worth a read (particularly...
by Deans
07 Oct 2017 22:24
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Analyzing CPEC
Replies: 873
Views: 107222

Re: Analyzing CPEC

Its not a question of $30 Bln. Total Chinese bank exposure to dubious overseas projects will be almost a trillion $. Even excluding overseas loans, Chinese banking is an increasingly fragile house of cards. Its debt is 300 % of GDP. That's not just very high but also has the highest rate of growth (...
by Deans
07 Oct 2017 22:09
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - 29 September 2017
Replies: 1429
Views: 86128

Re: Terroristan - 29 September 2017

In the past this roothna-manana used to go on with clockwork precision. Pakistan the spurned gal would start sulking and some civilian neta would be asked by the fauj to issue such a statement. The US state dept would respond by sending a delegation to 'listen' to pakistan's concerns and accede to ...
by Deans
07 Oct 2017 22:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - 29 September 2017
Replies: 1429
Views: 86128

Re: Terroristhttps://forums.bharat-rakshak.com/posting.php?mode=reply&f=1&t=7599#an - 29 September 2017

Paki "Opinion Maker" Cum Journo Firmly Ensconced In Londonistan With His British Wife Now Expresses "Concern" About Taj Mahal Monument In Agra :roll: Downgrading the Taj Irfan Husain WHEN Yogi Adityanath, chief minister of the Indian state of Uttar Pradesh, wanted to celebrate s...
by Deans
07 Oct 2017 22:02
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy
Replies: 7668
Views: 512019

Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

Bhushan Steel (has anyone even heard of it) owes 47000 crore. It has an equity capital of 226 crore. Its revenues have never exceeded 15000 cr. No question has been asked of anyone in the banking industry as to why this loan was approved. To put 47000 cr in perspective, The total farmer loan wavier ...
by Deans
07 Oct 2017 21:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: OBOR, Chinese Strategy and Implications
Replies: 588
Views: 58539

Re: OBOR, Chinese Strategy and Implications

Export of cotton by sea from Karachi to Chittagong is faster and cheaper and by road through India, even if there was no transit fee . For the same
reason, Oil to China by sea from the Middle East is a lot cheaper than through Gwadar and then by land through the CPEC.
by Deans
07 Oct 2017 21:39
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015
Replies: 4541
Views: 391043

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Aug 26 2015

^^^^ So is Ajay Sahai correctly representing the subset of exporters that his organization represents? Or is he being political? PS: if the Indian economy is the new "Ram Mandir" - the issue around which controversy swirls, that is a great improvement. Apologies if this too political a po...
by Deans
07 Oct 2017 21:27
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy
Replies: 7668
Views: 512019

Re: Currency Demonetisation and Future course of Indian Economy

From what I know from reading stuff from last five years, he is the only person in recent memory who did anything about it. Media would only report the juicy and politically provocative stuff that does not mean he didn't publically talked about other stuff. A lot of research was done on the issue a...

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