Search found 2514 matches

by Deans
07 Jan 2024 09:50
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4233
Views: 2472439

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

^^* Can you please put your numbers in a summarized tabular format? Makes it visually easier to see your estimates and make comparisons. There is a lot of analysis on how the figures were derived, In summary: Irreplaceable losses = KIA, Seriously wounded and Prisoner. Ukraine: 450,000 (145,000 dead...
by Deans
06 Jan 2024 09:19
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion
Replies: 2905
Views: 846227

Re: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion

If armchair warriors like us can analyse and learn from the incidents over the years then what makes us think that the forces, who have to literally put their lives on the line, are stupid enough not to do so? :roll: Added- on reflection I understand that the poster has put his remarks out of a sen...
by Deans
06 Jan 2024 09:00
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion
Replies: 2905
Views: 846227

Re: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion

A point about lack of armored vehicles for our troops: We will lose the insurgency the day we travel only in armored vehicles and do not walk around to interact with the locals. We will give the impression that we are too scared to be around our own people. Not armored vehicles, but will it to be t...
by Deans
06 Jan 2024 08:57
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4233
Views: 2472439

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Losses incurred both sides 24.02.2022 - 31.12.2023 I've analysed losses of both sides in my blog. After writing these posts, subsequent numbers from western sources, or 3rd parties (for Russian losses) appear to confirm my estimates. Link to the relevant posts: https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2023/09/...
by Deans
26 Dec 2023 09:42
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 4505
Views: 1390189

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

New low in Afgan-Pak relations as Taliban Govt plans to unilaterally build a dam over the Chitral River. The Chitral River, which flows into Afghanistan from NW Pakistan, is a significant tributary of the Indus River. Most importantly, an Indian company is involved in this project The Shahtoot Dam ...
by Deans
25 Dec 2023 08:37
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion
Replies: 2905
Views: 846227

Re: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion

A point about lack of armored vehicles for our troops: We will lose the insurgency the day we travel only in armored vehicles and do not walk around to interact with the locals. We will give the impression that we are too scared to be around our own people. That is when we will be called occupiers. ...
by Deans
25 Dec 2023 08:17
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion
Replies: 2905
Views: 846227

Re: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion

Can't help but admire the strategic brilliance of the Pakistani Establishment. With a few M4s and steel core bullets they can bring the Indian armed forces to its knees at a time and place of their choosing . See the sheer magic - every time such an attack happens... for every indian soldier that i...
by Deans
24 Dec 2023 17:31
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

And barrels for the guns That's a valid point, Currently NATO's entire barrel refurbishing capacity is unable to deal with the demands of Ukraine (which is seeing increasing number of inaccurate shells or burst barrels). Israel has always looked to fight short wars and hasn't anticipated guns firin...
by Deans
24 Dec 2023 17:28
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

This so called Houthi/Iran Drone attacks are suspiciously attacking only Ships either going or coming from India, is there a Chinese/ Pakistani angle to this? The thought had crossed my mind. Along with the following possibilities. 1) they don't care what they're hitting. Something gets hit, they l...
by Deans
24 Dec 2023 08:17
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2023/12/the-gaza-war-by-numbers-2-months-later.html Part two of my analysis of the Gaza war, in my attached blogpost. No politics, only numbers and military related details. Good analysis. The common thread in this and the Ukraine conflict is that it is high intensity a...
by Deans
23 Dec 2023 15:37
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2023/12/th ... later.html

Part two of my analysis of the Gaza war, in my attached blogpost. No politics, only numbers and military related details.
by Deans
19 Dec 2023 08:57
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 7961
Views: 2284382

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Any of the ME (Qatar/QA, Etihad/UAE-Abu Dhabi, Emirates/UAE-Dubai) will be interested in the routes. Since that will provide them a route into CAR and Tibet. However all of them will wait for PIA to collapse so that they can move in as vultures for the routes, for the infrastructure and the planes ...
by Deans
15 Dec 2023 19:12
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 869690

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

Even in the official statement of those arrested, none claimed it was about unemployment. Though facts will not come in the way of the arguments made by the usual suspects. Deans ji, the lady's father has come on teevee to claim that his daughter was jobless and that was bothering her but due to he...
by Deans
15 Dec 2023 09:31
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 869690

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

this seems to be the toolkit for now. More, and other toolkits, will follow for sure..... Prashant Bhushan@pbhushan1· 12h Seems that those who took the harmless smoke bombs to Parliament yesterday, were poor, educated & unemployed youth, who wanted to do a Bhagat Singh style of protest to draw ...
by Deans
13 Dec 2023 22:03
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 869690

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

This is a huge security lapse. I hope we don't try to play politics, but get our act together on security and get to the bottom of this.
At the least, members of Parliament are owed a detailed explanation about what happened.
by Deans
12 Dec 2023 19:09
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 4505
Views: 1390189

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

Have these events become so common that they get ignored on BRF? https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/pakistan/atleast-23-killed-several-injured-in-pakistan-terror-attack/articleshow/105926806.cms Atleast 23 killed, several injured in Pakistan terror attack Difficult to keep track these days. ...
by Deans
12 Dec 2023 14:50
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

Ji, many miss the elephant in the room. If the West Bank is truly palestine, then why did the Jordanians who controlled this domain between 1948 to 1967 not had it over to the palestinian authorities? Why no such demand for those years? NOBODY wishes to ask or answer this question. The Palestinians...
by Deans
12 Dec 2023 14:39
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
Replies: 4384
Views: 1499812

Re: J&K Union Territory-2019

I'm expecting trouble from CCP/PLA on the Himalayan borders. Last time 370 was repealed, they started mobilising and Galwan happened few months later. They think our SC is as pliable to power as their systems are. They will feel G219 and Sakshgam are next targets of GoI. Only this time we are more ...
by Deans
09 Dec 2023 12:03
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
Replies: 3327
Views: 869690

Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1

I have looked at seat wise data from LS 2019 (with 2014 data to validate some assumptions), to understand what BJP might realistically expect. My main assumption is that a lead of over 10% in vote share in 2019 is difficult to beat, if nothing extraordinary happens between now and poll date and if t...
by Deans
04 Dec 2023 09:03
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
Replies: 1718
Views: 420873

Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023

Sameer @BesuraTaansane It will be super fun now if CONg falls below 60 in Telangana CONg leading in 65 seats but 38 of these are margins of less than 500 votes Dilbiji - one more wish for TG too to wipe the smile off soros agent The BJP came 2nd in 18 seats in TG, but only 2 of them had a winning m...
by Deans
01 Dec 2023 10:51
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8985
Views: 2619881

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

What the FBI has is Nikhil Gupta who tried to contract out a murder to a FBI informant/undercover person, what he told that person (kill Pannun, Nijjar is also a target), and what he told them post-arrest. Now, if I was arrested for something, I could always say "Joe Biden told me to do it, wh...
by Deans
30 Nov 2023 18:32
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8985
Views: 2619881

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

I wrote this on the Pannu case in another forum: decided to share my thoughts after seeing a lot of flagellation among readers of the various posts suggesting that we were `caught' trying to assassinate a US citizen. By extension, RAW/Our babus/Politicians etc were useless and we have hurt relations...
by Deans
25 Nov 2023 09:14
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion
Replies: 2905
Views: 846227

Re: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion

In 2020, we had a fake encounter in Rajouri (Amshipora case). The court martial found the encounter was fake and a captain was guilty. The army tribunal has now given bail to the Capt, suggesting he was only following orders and was likely to be acquited. Lot of unanswered questions, a very badly co...
by Deans
23 Nov 2023 15:59
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion
Replies: 2905
Views: 846227

Re: CT & COIN Operations in India: News, Images and Discussion

https://twitter.com/MeghUpdates/status/1727353682134700502 Terrible News coming in from J&K- 4 Indian Army personnels, including 2 officers, have attained VEERGATI in the fierce encounter currently underway in Kalakote area of Rajouri district, J&K . 3 out 4 are 9 Para SF casualties. Always...
by Deans
20 Nov 2023 19:49
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
Replies: 7961
Views: 2284382

Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

I have come to enjoy the slower, finer things in life. its a slow painful death Manishji. There is no way the small change will catch up with the debt and interest payments. So credit worthiness starts to decline bit by bit. If you observe, like a absolute wretch, Pakis will look for the next short...
by Deans
17 Nov 2023 10:03
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4233
Views: 2472439

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Its 6 weeks since my last blog post on the Ukraine war. I looked at manpower and logistics for both sides and what the winter might bring. It looks like I was correct in my estimate of Ukrainian manpower (there are an increasing number of women casualties among the Ukrainians) and where Russia would...
by Deans
12 Nov 2023 08:51
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 4505
Views: 1390189

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

The anti India terrorists killed in Pak this year - all shot by unknown gunmen in similar ways. All protected by the Pak establishment. P@kis like to ascribe these events to RAW but I am certain we have nothing to do with this. Just see the frequency of the killings. February, September, October. R...
by Deans
10 Nov 2023 19:06
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Military Acquisitions, Partnerships & Developments
Replies: 3253
Views: 962030

Re: Military Acquisitions, Partnerships & Developments

What's the difference between the (Tata) Kestrel and the Stryker, for us to require another APC ?
The Stryker does not seem to have made an impact in Ukraine.
by Deans
10 Nov 2023 13:00
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications
Replies: 322
Views: 125340

Re: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications

If the US & Israel are serious, now is the time to go after: 1. Terrorist financing, incl those countries like block actions by FATF (Turkey and Qatar which prevented Pakistan from going to the black list also support Hamas). 2. Politicians in the West who support Hamas (since they are also agai...
by Deans
10 Nov 2023 12:54
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications
Replies: 322
Views: 125340

Re: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications

We abstained - was it right? Should we complain if others then abstain in regards to terrorism against us? Our problem is that we are economically vulnerable to those who harbour sectarian allegiances against us. We have to figure out how to remove this vulnerability. We supported the resolution th...
by Deans
10 Nov 2023 10:20
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

From SM and live conversations I had, I don’t think Hamas / Palestinian goal is 2-state solution. They & their supporters are unanimous and adamant in going back to the 1948 rejectionist position, demanding that the whole of undivided Palestine (from the river to the sea) should be theirs, sinc...
by Deans
10 Nov 2023 10:05
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 4505
Views: 1390189

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

The anti India terrorists killed in Pak this year - all shot by unknown gunmen in similar ways. All protected by the Pak establishment. 9 Nov Akram Khan LeT Head. 21 Oct Dawood Malik: Leader of Lashkar e Jabbar (Masoor Azhar's no 2). 11 Oct Shahid Latif: JeM, Mastermind of Pathankot attacks. 2 Oct M...
by Deans
07 Nov 2023 17:17
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

There could be some minor repurcussions. Arab sheikdoms may try to armtwist India by saying Indian expats in The Gelf would be asked to go back to India. In secular states like KL there would be a loud hue & cry, especially as the RoP folks and the commies now pretty much grovel in front of the...
by Deans
06 Nov 2023 22:03
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

Escalation at a global scale. IMO, Bharat should engage in this. A seat at the table will never come without taking huge risks. This risk, IMO, is worth taking. It should not be a situation like migrant workers in Kashmir, without the IA to protect them. These workers may be working among Palestini...
by Deans
06 Nov 2023 21:59
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

Deans Saar, PLO is open to co existing with Israel. Not Hamas. Second, Hamas is an off shoot of Muslim Brotherhood. Regardless of what people are saying about Israel's hand in its creation. Muslim Brotherhood is banned in Egypt and Crown Prince MBS had one of it's members dismembered in Turkey. So ...
by Deans
06 Nov 2023 17:52
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

The only country I support in this conflict is mine. In that regard, I think a longer war (with Israel on top at the end) works best for us. Before this conflict, a separate Palestinian state was dead. There was an emerging alliance of US+Israel+Saudi+Minor Gulf states all taking on Iran. India woul...
by Deans
06 Nov 2023 09:34
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

Hamas's objective in starting this, was to bring Palestinian statehood to the forefront - it has bene put on the backburner, as the various Arab regimes were in the process of normalizing ties with Israel. Hamas could only hope to this by incurring as many civilian casualties as possible. In that re...
by Deans
30 Oct 2023 11:21
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

what's a cope cage? To mitigate drone dropped munitions. Its like a wedding shamiana :D erected on top of the tank except its a metal mesh instead of the colourful tarps used in the wedding shamiana. Russia gets theirs factory fitted (and the West derisively called them cope cages). When Israel fab...
by Deans
30 Oct 2023 11:18
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023
Replies: 1256
Views: 3289788

Re: Hamas attack.on Israel. Oct 2023

A_Gupta wrote: 29 Oct 2023 04:11 Mr. Vivek Ramaswamy wants the IDF to do A, B and C; but he opposes the US sending any aid to Israel. So he won't put any money where his mouth is.
What has he done to support our fight against State sponsored terror ?
by Deans
27 Oct 2023 23:24
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India-Qatar Fallout: News & Discussion
Replies: 191
Views: 63157

Re: India-Qatar Fallout: News & Discussion

Ok back to the case. We are preparing for world war without even knowing the basic information. Why were 8 ex-naval personnel working in Qatar? Were they spying for another country? Which one? Let me be the Devil's advocate: The `Stealth' submarine Qatar was supposed to be buying from Italy, does n...