Search found 2495 matches
- 08 May 2024 09:02
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 873
- Views: 205575
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Dr Praveen Patil's blog is open for subscription after a glitch. 5forty3.org. I am not pasting the reports here (the free summary is not useful), as he depends on paid subs. Just some highlights: TN - No of votes for BJP increased from 15 lac to 75+ lac since 2019. Can result in 1-2 seats. Karnataka...
- 08 May 2024 08:52
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 873
- Views: 205575
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Couple of predictions based on technical analysis and mathematical modelling. One guy in X is said to have accurately predicted in 2014 , the results of 2014, 2019 elections and also for 2024 which generally matches with opinion polls. Can anybody here give a short description of the basis of these...
- 07 May 2024 09:15
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 873
- Views: 205575
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
What is the real story behind the allegations that opposing candidates were pressured to withdraw from Gandhinagar, reducing the opposition to Amit Shah? Amit Shah would have got over 50% of the vote, irrespective of the quality or number of the opposition in that seat. I doubt any opposition candi...
- 04 May 2024 09:44
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 873
- Views: 205575
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
So to summarize: 1. Corruption is a big issue 2. Women exploitation/molestation on camera is an issue 3. Crass politicians are an issue TenaliRam'ji, if you were a voter in Treta Yuga, you will not vote for Lord Rama since Lord Rama asked for Maa Sita to go through AgniPariksha. But you will defini...
- 04 May 2024 09:28
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Recent release from Zelensky claimed russia is throwing 3200 fabs / month on Ukraine. = 100 fabs a day. What is the avg casaulty that one Fab inflicts ? This will give us a good way to know number of soldiers ukraine is losing every month. Lets say one fab kills 3 or 5 soldiers. Could be more. I wo...
- 04 May 2024 09:26
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Recent release from Zelensky claimed russia is throwing 3200 fabs / month on Ukraine. = 100 fabs a day. What is the avg casaulty that one Fab inflicts ? This will give us a good way to know number of soldiers ukraine is losing every month. Lets say one fab kills 3 or 5 soldiers. Could be more. I wo...
- 30 Apr 2024 10:44
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Pratyush, Abrams donated to Ukraine doesn’t have APS or anti-drone jammers. So let’s see what the Americans come up with in terms of tactics and countermeasures. Drones are not that easy to shoot down. If they were, Russia and Ukraine wouldn’t have lost so many armoured vehicles to kamikazi FPV. Ev...
- 30 Apr 2024 10:39
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
^^^ One example of how much losses Russians are incurring for incremental gains. Ukrainian troops destroyed over 300 units of equipment near Novomykhailivka That village was flattened and eventually overrun by the Russians but it was achieved at a great cost (both equipment and personnel). Although...
- 30 Apr 2024 10:34
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
What happened to Russian air superiority over Ukrainian skies??? What the hell happened to Russian Air Force? Ukraine had more anti aircraft systems in operation than the whole of Europe combined. This was backed up by AWAC's which were outside Ukrainian airspace and a dense satellite network. The ...
- 27 Apr 2024 11:10
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
- Replies: 77
- Views: 21148
Re: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKc7YJ2YCY4 Iran's nuclear centrifuges came from Pakistan. Pakistan is the reason why Iran has a stockpile of fissile material. Clearly, there's a significant risk that Pakistan could sell nuclear weapons technology to Iran, just as it has done in the past. That coul...
- 27 Apr 2024 11:07
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
- Replies: 77
- Views: 21148
Re: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
My latest blogpost on the Gaza war, I argue that Israel has turned it around and called the bluff of Hezbollah and Iran. https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/04/gaza-war-part-4-israels-quiet-turnaround.html Deans ji , very good and factual analysis. While not military related, would you have any comme...
- 27 Apr 2024 10:57
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 873
- Views: 205575
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Has anyone tried subscribing to Dr Pravin Patil's substack ? I wanted to take a one month sub, but the site does not let you make payment.
His articles before the 2019 election were spot on - perhaps the only analyst who got it right.
Seems to be some glitch with his account.
His articles before the 2019 election were spot on - perhaps the only analyst who got it right.
Seems to be some glitch with his account.
- 21 Apr 2024 22:14
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
- Replies: 77
- Views: 21148
Re: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
My latest blogpost on the Gaza war, I argue that Israel has turned it around and called the bluff of Hezbollah and Iran.
https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/04/ga ... round.html
https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/04/ga ... round.html
- 21 Apr 2024 22:13
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications
- Replies: 283
- Views: 117193
Re: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications
My latest blogpost on the Gaza War. I argue that Israel has turned it around, beating Hamas and calling the bluff of Hezbollah and Iran.
https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/04/ga ... round.html
https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/04/ga ... round.html
- 20 Apr 2024 12:42
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Tu-22 shot down I call that BS. Most likely it was an engine failure and the Ukrainians being the shameless SOBs they are took credit for something that they did not do. It crashed outside the range of Ukrainian SAM's, 2 of the crew were debriefed. Cause it apparently engine failure, which can happ...
- 10 Apr 2024 08:11
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 873
- Views: 205575
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Deans ji, if naidu makes a healthy headway in getting a significant number of seats, he will revert to his default position of blackmailing the center, if he can, even if he has to break the alliance and join up with others like it happened in MAH. He is testing the waters in the 2024 LS elections ...
- 10 Apr 2024 08:01
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
- Replies: 7957
- Views: 2268482
Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
PIA’s most recent full-year annual report shows it generated revenues of PKR172 billion ($619 million) in carrying 4.2 million passengers in 2022. That is around a million lower than its pre-pandemic passenger high of 5.2 million in 2019. The report shows the airline was loss-making between 2017 an...
- 09 Apr 2024 16:11
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 873
- Views: 205575
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Here's my two cents on the AP scenario: BJP's vote share in last elections was less than 1% and it is highly unlikely to improve on that if it goes all alone, with the uninspiring local leaders it has. The central BJP leaders are viewed by most AP people as having cheated AP post bifurcation. So, e...
- 05 Apr 2024 21:03
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
There is the matter of MTCR. US cannot transfer any missiles iver 300 mile range. If it does, then nothing stops Russia from exporting to NK or Iran. Thats a line the US wont cross now that VN is out. If Hypersonic Zircon missiles (with MTCR limits) are supplied to China and Iran, US Carrier battle...
- 05 Apr 2024 21:01
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
After recent €50 billion in economic aid by EU, there are now plans for a 5-year €100 billion military aid package by NATO (EU only). Meanwhile, US military $60 billion aid package still stuck in US Congress politics. NATO EU stepping out of US shadow. Over the years, US has become an unreliable pa...
- 05 Apr 2024 20:58
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Russia has officially begun second round of draft. The first draft was “officially” 300,000. The new second draft is for 150,000. Plus, unaccounted are large numbers of prisoners, domestic mercenaries, and foreign mercenaries. This is misleading. Russia's regular Bi-Annual conscription has traditio...
- 05 Apr 2024 09:13
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
- Replies: 4454
- Views: 1364484
Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Guardian claims it has proof of RAA involvement in 72 hoor ops in Bakistan. The names of the authors itself is enough to trust the investigation is for real :rotfl: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/04/indian-government-assassination-allegations-pakistan-intelligence-officials Just in time...
- 29 Mar 2024 08:49
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 873
- Views: 205575
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
PS: the voter turnout in all the Hyd metro constituencies appears very low (45-53%) in the last three LS elections. In the Hyderabad constituency, it was only 46% last time. Why? Is it because only one community is voting in strength? Or is it just a trend similar to other urban constituencies all ...
- 28 Mar 2024 16:12
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
If russia wanted, what is stopping it to sink cargo vessels with its own seadrone travelling along the shown coastal route ? Will it contravene some treaty or russia just cant ? The black sea is not `unblocked' for Ukraine. It's risky too risky for international shipping and even if they call on a ...
- 25 Mar 2024 17:29
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 873
- Views: 205575
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Much as I would like to see that, there is no evidence that will hold up in court. We can hardly believe the word of a terrorist.S_Madhukar wrote: ↑25 Mar 2024 15:10 So will Khujli be tried under POTA or some other terror related act ? He can’t just get away with some money laundering case !
- 25 Mar 2024 08:00
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
WHAT IS KNOWN - the shooters, originally from Tajikistan, fell under religious indoctrination online related to the Islamic State of the Khorasan Province - the indoctrination groups were supervised by a Tajikistani citizen called Salmon Khurosoni, he was the one who made the initial recruitment - ...
- 23 Mar 2024 23:36
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
- Replies: 2761
- Views: 697673
Re: Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout
Part 7 of my blog on the Ukraine war. X posted from the Ukraine military thread.
https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/03/uk ... years.html
https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/03/uk ... years.html
- 23 Mar 2024 19:51
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Some observations about the Russian attitude to the war that we in India could emulate. Many members of parliament have sent their sons to the war. 4 of them are fighting themselves, despite their middle age. The Chechen leader Ramzan Kadirov has his 3 sons at the front, the youngest was 16 when he ...
- 23 Mar 2024 19:32
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
[Thanks Deans. We find your blogs and information most valuable and reliable. What do you think would be the impact/reaction? one obviously - the ceasefire hopes goes for a toss, with more punishment on Ukraine. Wonder what the talk between Zelensky+Modi and Putin+Modi was all about? What will be t...
- 23 Mar 2024 19:20
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Update from Russian news: 133 dead. About 15 more critical. Some died because the roof fell in (speculation about poor construction?), others from smoke, when they hid in toilets etc. Fast response from emergency teams - incl. fire fighting helicopters and trauma doctors. So far, 11 believed to be r...
- 23 Mar 2024 17:30
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/03/uk ... years.html
Part 7 of my blog series on the Ukraine war.
For those who haven't read, I post original data based analysis on the war, without politics. I follow both Russian and Western sources and try to
reconcile both.
Part 7 of my blog series on the Ukraine war.
For those who haven't read, I post original data based analysis on the war, without politics. I follow both Russian and Western sources and try to
reconcile both.
- 23 Mar 2024 17:25
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
I am following Russian news since I speak Russian. The Russians have captured several gunmen alive. A couple of preliminary interrogations were shown on TV. They are Tadjik and Syrian, but the (Syrian) leader seems to have lived in Ukraine and was part of a group that recently crossed into Russian w...
- 18 Mar 2024 11:27
- Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
- Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
- Replies: 8478
- Views: 3073261
Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Not sure if this is the right forum: I have a blog where I post on Indian national security, geopolitics and Indian startups. It is for the latter (startups) that I am posting here. I post free original data based content on the nature of Indian startups, that is not covered in the MSM and might be ...
- 09 Mar 2024 08:49
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
- Replies: 3327
- Views: 858490
Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
The TDP thing is a bad move in the long run. But if TDP is ready to give 10 seats in Lok Sabha then we will see. CBN is well known for backstabbing and will try his level best to do the same to NM and AS. Lot of fun if he does that. What has the BJP got to lose? They were expecting 0 seats from AP ...
- 09 Mar 2024 08:32
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
- Replies: 4454
- Views: 1364484
Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Can't wait for Paki cricketers to disappear like this and Pakis blaming exclusion from IPL for it. There should be a special visa regime for visitors from Pakistan. Their visa form should include a simple declaration that they need to confirm: “Jammu and Kashmir is an integral part of the Republic ...
- 18 Feb 2024 08:25
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
- Replies: 3327
- Views: 858490
Re: Road to the 2024 Elections in India-1
I am not saying no ex-INC people should be allowed into the BJP. Merely that the BJP needs to look at their past records instead of just thinking about how they might be politically useful. I have not issues with the likes of Scindia, Deora, Jitin Prasada etc. coming in. They aren't controversial c...
- 15 Feb 2024 10:18
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
- Replies: 4454
- Views: 1364484
Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
It is a sign of the times that this thread doesn't even report the news of the formation of a coalition government in Pakistan. Truly Pakistan has vanished from most Indians' consciousness, to be remembered only during a cricket match or a terrorist attack. Not even a cricket match, unless we are p...
- 15 Feb 2024 08:12
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: India-Qatar Fallout: News & Discussion
- Replies: 191
- Views: 62741
Re: India-Qatar Fallout: News & Discussion
As to the Israelis, they have a track record of having recruited agents from different nationalities. Earlier till the 80s or so they used to do it themselves a lot as they had a larger presence and roots across Europe and the gulf and could pass off their citizens as locals. The big powers are als...
- 13 Feb 2024 19:26
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: India-Qatar Fallout: News & Discussion
- Replies: 191
- Views: 62741
Re: India-Qatar Fallout: News & Discussion
While we have signed a long term deal with Qatar, they were unwilling to sign a deal longer than 10 years to supply Pak. That was in 2021, when the Pak economy was looking a lot better than today. Signing a long term deal with India means taking a call on the Indian economy. This is a big vote of co...
- 12 Feb 2024 09:18
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4148
- Views: 2306342
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
The last 2 months, Ukr has had multiple blows. Things are just not going well for Ukraine. RU is composting Ukr troops at multiple fronts now. The average age of the Ukrainian army at the front is 43-45. Many have not served before and are just not fit to be soldiers. Too add to that, the unit is n...