Search found 2983 matches

by Deans
06 May 2026 09:23
Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 9407
Views: 4546944

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

My blog post on an energy crisis that is already in our midst. My sense is the govt is not taking this seriously enough - at least going by the media. This was part of my blog series on the Iran war, where I looked at the impact of the Hormuz blockade on the Iranian and Gulf economies. I found that ...
by Deans
05 May 2026 18:27
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015
Replies: 2336
Views: 1307483

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2026/05/the-coming-oil-crisis.html My blog post on an energy crisis that is already in our midst. My sense is the govt is not taking this seriously enough - at least going by the media. Yesterday, I did a short post with some numbers on this and I had a feeling that thi...
by Deans
05 May 2026 18:27
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 869
Views: 118358

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2026/05/the-coming-oil-crisis.html My blog post on an energy crisis that is already in our midst. My sense is the govt is not taking this seriously enough - at least going by the media. Yesterday, I did a short post with some numbers on this and I had a feeling that thi...
by Deans
04 May 2026 23:59
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 869
Views: 118358

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

The Iran War is beginning to bite India, e.g., the Hindustan Times reports: Indian airlines warn Centre of flight cancellations over fuel crisis amid West Asia conflict https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/indian-airlines-warn-centre-of-flight-cancellations-over-fuel-crisis-amid-west-asia-conf...
by Deans
04 May 2026 23:40
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 869
Views: 118358

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/us-israel-iran-war-news-live-updates-ceasefire-donald-trump-shehbaz-sharif-abbas-aragchi-iran-talks-strait-of-hormuz-blockade-impact-oil-crisis-latest-updates/liveblog/130593667.cms Loss of US assests in the current conflict. This is quite eye o...
by Deans
03 May 2026 19:17
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Iran News and Discussions
Replies: 3760
Views: 1034234

Re: Iran News and Discussions

Part 2 of my Iran war blog series.
I look at why American assumptions about Iran's ability to withstand the blockade may be misplaced and it is the Gulf states that will be
hit more.

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2026/05/ir ... storm.html
by Deans
03 May 2026 19:16
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 869
Views: 118358

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

Part 2 of my Iran war blog series.
I look at why American assumptions about Iran's ability to withstand the blockade may be misplaced and it is the Gulf states that will be
hit more.

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2026/05/ir ... storm.html
by Deans
27 Apr 2026 10:53
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5844
Views: 1503222

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

Deans ji, In your view, is Russia giving up on Odessa and transnistria? At least for now? Yes. Odessa cannot be taken unless the Dnieper is crossed. If they have to cross it, retaking Kherson will be a first step - and I expected them to do it this winter, but they have not even attempted to take a...
by Deans
27 Apr 2026 10:51
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]
Replies: 5844
Views: 1503222

Re: Eastern Europe/Ukraine [Feb 6th 2015]

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2026/04/uk ... ussia.html

A deep dive into casualty figures gave me an interesting insight. Russian losses among its infantry is affecting their ability
to take territory at the rate they were expected to. My latest blog post analyses this.
by Deans
27 Apr 2026 10:50
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4803
Views: 3463884

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2026/04/uk ... ussia.html

A deep dive into casualty figures gave me an interesting insight. Russian losses among its infantry is affecting their ability
to take territory at the rate they were expected to. My latest blog post analyses this.
by Deans
18 Apr 2026 08:59
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Iran News and Discussions
Replies: 3760
Views: 1034234

Re: Iran News and Discussions

My blog post on the Iran war.

I have looked at some disparate issues that will influence the conflict and the timelines when they will come together.
I've also curated some further reading from diverse sources.

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2026/04/th ... ollow.html
by Deans
17 Apr 2026 19:19
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 869
Views: 118358

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

My blog post on the Iran war.

I have looked at some disparate issues that will influence the conflict and the timelines when they will come together.
I've also curated some further reading from diverse sources.

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2026/04/th ... ollow.html
by Deans
06 Apr 2026 09:25
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy
Replies: 869
Views: 118358

Re: West Asia Crisis — Discussion, Developments, and Bharat’s Strategy

American pilot recovered. For those who list American aircraft losses, https://x.com/ShivAroor/status/2040697789680886140 Much being made of aircraft lost to rescue the F-15 pilot, but all it does it burnish the incredible ‘no man left behind’ credo. "That the U.S. expended… 2 x HC-130 Herc (d...
by Deans
08 Mar 2026 18:53
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 2804
Views: 1011365

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

A lot of the narrative around the sinking of the Iranian warship Dena, has focussed on it being an embarrassment to India, or at the least, a cold blooded attack on a defenceless ship. My view is that three Iranian ships embarked on a high risk gamble to attack US ships and failed. I elaborate on th...
by Deans
07 Mar 2026 10:39
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: West Asia News and Discussions
Replies: 2804
Views: 1011365

Re: West Asia News and Discussions

I don't think we realise what a potential threat 3 Iranian warships (not just the IRIS Dena) were: They were sitting astride a major shipping lane (from the Mallaca strait to the middle East) where they could interdict merchant shipping - US supply ships. The Dena has long range anti ship missiles. ...
by Deans
27 Feb 2026 19:56
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses
Replies: 890
Views: 651297

Re: Challenge of China_ Political, Economic & Military Responses

I read the manuscript of the unpublished book,
My take on the Gen Naravane book controversy in my latest blogpost.

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2026/02/ch ... -book.html
by Deans
27 Feb 2026 19:52
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Army News & Discussion - 23 March 2021
Replies: 800
Views: 723507

Re: Indian Army News & Discussion - 23 March 2021

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2026/02/ch ... -book.html

I read the manuscript of Gen Naravane's as yet unpublished book - my take on the controversary in my latest blogpost.
by Deans
06 Feb 2026 17:46
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 6242
Views: 2816873

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/6 ... -islamabad

Back to normal Fridays in Pak, after a lull.
A successful attack in the most heavily policed area in Pak.
by Deans
15 Nov 2025 19:26
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Elections Modi 3.0
Replies: 1027
Views: 219961

Re: Elections Modi 3.0

Every allegation of vote rigging was made without corresponding proof that it affected the counting/voting and all were refuted by the ECI - though on social media, only the allegation was repeated, not the explanation. The process is that all evidences (like CCTV footages), EVMs etc would now be s...
by Deans
15 Nov 2025 08:35
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Elections Modi 3.0
Replies: 1027
Views: 219961

Re: Elections Modi 3.0

Some takeaways from an initial look at the Bihar data, which belies the preconceived views of opposition supporters. There was no difference in vote share of NDA between phase 1 & 2. So it is not as if the Delhi bomb blast made difference. The MGB did much better in close contests. While it won ...
by Deans
12 Nov 2025 20:59
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 6242
Views: 2816873

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

I am not able to post a link from Dawn, but they have started using ChatGpt to write their articles. At the end of an article on auto sales in Dawn, comes this: `If you want I can also create an even snappier "front page style" with punchy one line stats and a bold info graphics ready layo...
by Deans
12 Nov 2025 12:56
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Explosion @ Red Fort, Delhi - News & Discussion
Replies: 208
Views: 46278

Re: Explosion @ Red Fort, Delhi - News & Discussion

https://www.rediff.com/news/report/delhi-blast-police-raid-dr-shaheens-up-homes-father-stunned/20251111.htm Delhi blast: Police raid Dr Shaheen's UP homes; father stunned Senjo M R, November 11, 2025 Let's not waste time covering what the parents of these lowlifes have to say. We know that all pare...
by Deans
11 Nov 2025 19:02
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Analysis on Future Scenarios
Replies: 132
Views: 72432

Re: Operation Sindoor - Analysis on Future Scenarios

One random thought here - I think all of us here are middle-class types, some approximation to the rational actor postulated in economics; necessarily so because otherwise we wouldn't be here. But. perhaps the rules of the game as seen by the very rich, the very poor, the jihadis, etc., are very di...
by Deans
11 Nov 2025 18:38
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Analysis on Future Scenarios
Replies: 132
Views: 72432

Re: Operation Sindoor - Analysis on Future Scenarios

This is speculative - my view on a possible Op Sindhoor 2.0 We cannot overtly invade Pak or start large scale attacks - the world does not have the appetite for it. A conventional war hurts our economy and perversely, if we look like winning big, the chance of a nuclear exchange increases. My view i...
by Deans
11 Nov 2025 16:04
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Operation Sindoor - Analysis on Future Scenarios
Replies: 132
Views: 72432

Re: Operation Sindoor - Analysis on Future Scenarios

There are some factors which will influence the timing of Op Sindhoor 2.0 1. Implementation of reducing the flow in Indus water. I am personally disappointed by the pace. This is our biggest leverage over Pak. This will not have an impact till 2027. 2. Elections 2029. Will Pak wait in anticipation o...
by Deans
06 Nov 2025 20:54
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4803
Views: 3463884

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Interesting to see how religion plays an increasingly important role with Russians at the front. This is a song performed with the soldiers of the Russian 25th combined arms army at the front. Even if one does not understand the lyrics, (`god is with us') the religious icon is prominent on the flag ...
by Deans
12 Oct 2025 15:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 6242
Views: 2816873

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

Taliban claims 58 Pak soldiers killed in their retaliatory attacks. (BBC/ Al Jazeera).
9 dead on the Taliban side.

Pak will now claim that Afghanistan lost 7 Rafales.
by Deans
12 Oct 2025 15:25
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - March 31, 2022
Replies: 6242
Views: 2816873

Re: Terroristan - March 31, 2022

A_Gupta wrote: 12 Oct 2025 14:33 Do the Saudis get pulled into an Afghan-Pakistan war - defense treaty and all?
Interesting question. If Pak wants help, it implies they can't handle some Afghan militants on their own.
If Saudi can't help against Afg, they certainly won't against India.
by Deans
09 Oct 2025 08:08
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4803
Views: 3463884

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Very important lessons for us. What china can supply to Russia they can supply to Pakistan. What NATO can supply to Ukraine they can supply to Pakistan. We need to up our production of artillery (including FPV drones) by several magnitudes. Get the private sector involved deeply. They will be comin...
by Deans
08 Oct 2025 21:05
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4803
Views: 3463884

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Deans-> Both SIdes now use FPV, Geran Drones, Iskander's, etc but lesser use of Artillery, Kalibers, Smerch. Has Russia and Ukraine run out of Artillery and Tanks or is it being built up for a Major offensive? Broadly it's this: FPV drones - increased 100 fold since 2023 by both sides. China is the...
by Deans
08 Oct 2025 13:51
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4803
Views: 3463884

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Part 16 of my blog series on the Ukraine war. I take a deep dive into Russia's order of battle and deployment.
Some interesting video's and an account of the reality of the new drone dominated battlefield.

https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2025/10/uk ... er-of.html
by Deans
08 Oct 2025 13:49
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 13451
Views: 4860913

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Unless it's a racially motivated hate crime. Why should we not highlight such incidents that occur against us in what many still consider (rightly or wrongly - it doesn't matter) - as an Eldorado? I take your point. I was looking at it from a different angle. In fact MEA needs to say that some US c...
by Deans
06 Oct 2025 09:19
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 13451
Views: 4860913

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

BREAKING: Hyderabad Student Shot Dead in Dallas | Pole Chandrashekhar Killed at Gas Station BREAKING: Hyderabad Student Shot Dead in Dallas | Pole Chandrashekhar Killed at Gas Station A tragic incident has shaken Hyderabad. Pole Chandrashekhar, a student from Hyderabad pursuing higher studies in th...
by Deans
26 Sep 2025 20:04
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 13451
Views: 4860913

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Trump tariffs on medicines doesn't seem to apply for generics, which by definition are patent free and not "branded". These days all buttons for our keyboard warriors and yootooburrs seem to be "PANIC" Surely these tariffs cannot be new? Trump claims to have several trade agreem...
by Deans
26 Sep 2025 20:01
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 13451
Views: 4860913

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Trump announces 100% tariffs on Indian pharmaceutical exports. The tariff is actually on branded and patented drugs. Its not clear what happens with generic drugs. The orange one had promised to reduce costs by 1500%(?). Clearly this is a part of the strategy. :rotfl: We should nominate him for the...
by Deans
24 Sep 2025 19:22
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Replies: 4803
Views: 3463884

Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

Interesting video (youtube pulls down this reporter) of an interview with the Russian veteran from the front line. It's dubbed in English. This guy, fighting in the Donbass since 2014 and now a trainer with a volunteer unit loosely affiliated with the Russian army, talks of training, drones, what ma...
by Deans
22 Sep 2025 21:47
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 13451
Views: 4860913

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

https://x.com/Incognito_qfs/status/1969799945923223667 @Incognito_qfs FAO Chief Economist wants to say India should give access to US Agri companies to feed healthy diet to all Indians and The Wire is helping in spreading that propaganda. A good indication that we are doing something right is if Wi...