Search found 2516 matches
- 29 May 2024 18:52
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
In a latest press interview, Ukraine's defence minister Umerov claimed russia has 300K troops ready in the rear to attack. I have no idea how true is this and if it is false, what Ukraine aims to achieve from saying this. @deans but how do you assess this statement ? At 500K + 200-300K , the total ...
- 27 May 2024 08:57
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
^^^ Obviously you did not read that article :twisted: Sir, I've looked at the possible number of foreign fighters for Russia and did not find justification for 15,000 Nepalis in this article. The article cited 15,000 (which is widely repeated) but tracked 10. The Nepali govt says 200 are fighting i...
- 25 May 2024 18:21
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
According to this article, Nepalis alone make up 15,000. Russia has recruited as many as 15,000 Nepalis to fight its war. Many returned traumatized. Some never came back The Indian army was recruiting under 2000 Nepali citizens a year for the Gurkha regiment. I think its unlikely that such a large ...
- 25 May 2024 08:04
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
^^^ 8-10 hour is exception not the norm. Plenty of russians have served to full expiration of their contracts and are rotated as well. That’s that person’s first hand account. He got blown up a few times but was lucky to have survived. Other foreigners account also verify that they are thrown to th...
- 24 May 2024 22:08
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Ukraine started the war with 700-1000K men. In two years they must have added another 200-300K and lost 250-300K an year. Their casaulty rate has definitely reached now 40K++ and was 30K+ for preceding months.This has rattled Ukns. But for much of the two years my *guess* would that they were losin...
- 24 May 2024 14:18
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Agnipath (Tour of Duty): News & Discussion
- Replies: 397
- Views: 50849
Re: Agnipath (Tour of Duty): News & Discussion
I am resurrecting the thread to get some feedback. I want to write a serious paper (which will go to some of our decision influencers) on the Agnipath scheme and restructuring the army's manpower in general. I'm not from the services and don't have an insight into what is currently happening, or how...
- 23 May 2024 11:23
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
^^^ Also 510K is perhaps on the lower side. I cant remember but I have come across one analysis that put this figure to 600K not including the group N (likely in excess of 50K men). The same analysis estimated Ukn at 400K now. So russi ais attacking with 1.5 to 1 ratio while a conventional rule req...
- 23 May 2024 09:04
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Sorry for off topic. Deans, a request to you. Can you write an essay or small book on the subject of economic literacy ? I am willing to support by buying or direct payment as part of crowd funding. If I remember correctly you once said that a few govt related people took note of several military a...
- 22 May 2024 08:44
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Russia has around 510,000 troops in Ukraine and recruiting 20,000 - 30,000 more every month. Its not that Russia is adding 20-30000 men each month, though they are recruiting that many. Some of the new recruits replace casualties. (500/ month KIA and 1000 WIA) Some replace contract soldiers whose 3...
- 22 May 2024 08:38
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
> Put another way, the more Modi closes the gap between his approval rating (which is well into the 70%+) and his vote share (which is "only" 45-50%), the more seats he will win. Very nicely stated. The corollary to this is what we should be concerned about. In every state assembly electi...
- 21 May 2024 21:40
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
https://x.com/RShivshankar/status/1792915780805251393 Rahul Shivshankar @RShivshankar Rahul Gandhi, Mamata Banerjee and Arvind Kejriwal are predicting a “2004-like” rout of the Modi-led NDA. Is it possible? Well not if the I.N.D.I.A bloc can’t cross these 5 barriers. Barrier 1: BJP’s vote lakhpatis...
- 21 May 2024 08:42
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
One very surprising revelation is that Russians don’t seem to have hardened aircraft shelters on their airbases! … many more photos There was a mass ATACAM raid on an airbase in Crimea. It resulted in the loss of a S-400 radar and launchers, (the 2nd one destroyed in a ATACAM/Storm shadow raid) and...
- 21 May 2024 08:40
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
If both Russia and Ukn lose 1K soldiers a day - Ukn will run out of soldiers first. That explains why russia is fighting, they can win. Why Ukn is fighting ? Also much before they run out - depletion of force will lead to a total collapse. I dont know when that may happen. rn Ukns are defending wel...
- 17 May 2024 19:32
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
One very surprising revelation is that Russians don’t seem to have hardened aircraft shelters on their airbases! … many more photos There was a mass ATACAM raid on an airbase in Crimea. It resulted in the loss of a S-400 radar and launchers, (the 2nd one destroyed in a ATACAM/Storm shadow raid) and...
- 17 May 2024 08:41
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Dr PP has called it for BJP/ NDA after phase 4.
His most likely scenario is 366 for the NDA (315+51). The range is 315 - 410
His most likely scenario is 366 for the NDA (315+51). The range is 315 - 410
- 17 May 2024 08:12
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: China-Taiwan Conflict: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 25
- Views: 3430
Re: China-Taiwan Conflict: Combat Tactics & Strategy
I think this is a very timely thread. Time will prove if BRF was ahead of the curve when it came to a China-Taiwan war. The US has wargamed this numerous times. Here is one link: https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2023/01/csis-wargame-chinas-invasion-of-taiwan-in-2026/ CSIS is the premier think ta...
- 15 May 2024 21:06
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
^^^ Taking a city is like having a fort in an area. You can sustain operations in the surroundings using this as a base. If you knit together several cities (just like forts) you can sustain operations in a much larger region. That is what Ukraine has done. The North-South Donbass line (Siversk- Ba...
- 15 May 2024 08:18
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Btw, in a general vein, I don't understand the obsession to take cities/towns - Bakhmut or Avdeevka and now Kharkiv (other than the PR part). Fighting street by street, taking up buildings, steel plants etc is such a big waste of time. And worse is when the forces send tanks into cities. I thought ...
- 15 May 2024 08:14
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Btw, in a general vein, I don't understand the obsession to take cities/towns - Bakhmut or Avdeevka and now Kharkiv (other than the PR part). Fighting street by street, taking up buildings, steel plants etc is such a big waste of time. And worse is when the forces send tanks into cities. I thought ...
- 10 May 2024 18:43
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Dr Patil's summary of phase 3. Karnakata - Loss of 4 seats in phase 2. Mostly mismanagement by BJP and infighting. BJP looking at 17-20 of 28. Maharashtra - Still confused with the BJP led front having the edge. Gujarat - Clean sweep with an increase in vote share. WB - BJP gain of 1-2 seats (so far...
- 09 May 2024 11:46
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
^ +72 And to all the dhoti shiverers, please watch the crowd showing up inspite of the heat to catch a glimpse of NaMo. Check out the massive crowd size in Karimnagar. And regarding low voting percentage, it seems that 10% of the Congress supporters were not enthused to go out and vote in Guj, Mah ...
- 08 May 2024 09:02
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Dr Praveen Patil's blog is open for subscription after a glitch. 5forty3.org. I am not pasting the reports here (the free summary is not useful), as he depends on paid subs. Just some highlights: TN - No of votes for BJP increased from 15 lac to 75+ lac since 2019. Can result in 1-2 seats. Karnataka...
- 08 May 2024 08:52
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Couple of predictions based on technical analysis and mathematical modelling. One guy in X is said to have accurately predicted in 2014 , the results of 2014, 2019 elections and also for 2024 which generally matches with opinion polls. Can anybody here give a short description of the basis of these...
- 07 May 2024 09:15
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
What is the real story behind the allegations that opposing candidates were pressured to withdraw from Gandhinagar, reducing the opposition to Amit Shah? Amit Shah would have got over 50% of the vote, irrespective of the quality or number of the opposition in that seat. I doubt any opposition candi...
- 04 May 2024 09:44
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
So to summarize: 1. Corruption is a big issue 2. Women exploitation/molestation on camera is an issue 3. Crass politicians are an issue TenaliRam'ji, if you were a voter in Treta Yuga, you will not vote for Lord Rama since Lord Rama asked for Maa Sita to go through AgniPariksha. But you will defini...
- 04 May 2024 09:28
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Recent release from Zelensky claimed russia is throwing 3200 fabs / month on Ukraine. = 100 fabs a day. What is the avg casaulty that one Fab inflicts ? This will give us a good way to know number of soldiers ukraine is losing every month. Lets say one fab kills 3 or 5 soldiers. Could be more. I wo...
- 04 May 2024 09:26
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Recent release from Zelensky claimed russia is throwing 3200 fabs / month on Ukraine. = 100 fabs a day. What is the avg casaulty that one Fab inflicts ? This will give us a good way to know number of soldiers ukraine is losing every month. Lets say one fab kills 3 or 5 soldiers. Could be more. I wo...
- 30 Apr 2024 10:44
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Pratyush, Abrams donated to Ukraine doesn’t have APS or anti-drone jammers. So let’s see what the Americans come up with in terms of tactics and countermeasures. Drones are not that easy to shoot down. If they were, Russia and Ukraine wouldn’t have lost so many armoured vehicles to kamikazi FPV. Ev...
- 30 Apr 2024 10:39
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
^^^ One example of how much losses Russians are incurring for incremental gains. Ukrainian troops destroyed over 300 units of equipment near Novomykhailivka That village was flattened and eventually overrun by the Russians but it was achieved at a great cost (both equipment and personnel). Although...
- 30 Apr 2024 10:34
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
What happened to Russian air superiority over Ukrainian skies??? What the hell happened to Russian Air Force? Ukraine had more anti aircraft systems in operation than the whole of Europe combined. This was backed up by AWAC's which were outside Ukrainian airspace and a dense satellite network. The ...
- 27 Apr 2024 11:10
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
- Replies: 77
- Views: 21608
Re: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKc7YJ2YCY4 Iran's nuclear centrifuges came from Pakistan. Pakistan is the reason why Iran has a stockpile of fissile material. Clearly, there's a significant risk that Pakistan could sell nuclear weapons technology to Iran, just as it has done in the past. That coul...
- 27 Apr 2024 11:07
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
- Replies: 77
- Views: 21608
Re: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
My latest blogpost on the Gaza war, I argue that Israel has turned it around and called the bluff of Hezbollah and Iran. https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/04/gaza-war-part-4-israels-quiet-turnaround.html Deans ji , very good and factual analysis. While not military related, would you have any comme...
- 27 Apr 2024 10:57
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Has anyone tried subscribing to Dr Pravin Patil's substack ? I wanted to take a one month sub, but the site does not let you make payment.
His articles before the 2019 election were spot on - perhaps the only analyst who got it right.
Seems to be some glitch with his account.
His articles before the 2019 election were spot on - perhaps the only analyst who got it right.
Seems to be some glitch with his account.
- 21 Apr 2024 22:14
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
- Replies: 77
- Views: 21608
Re: Iran-Israel Conflict: News & Discussions: 14 April 2024
My latest blogpost on the Gaza war, I argue that Israel has turned it around and called the bluff of Hezbollah and Iran.
https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/04/ga ... round.html
https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/04/ga ... round.html
- 21 Apr 2024 22:13
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications
- Replies: 323
- Views: 126073
Re: 10/7 vs 9/11 (Israel-Gaza) Strategic Fallout & Implications
My latest blogpost on the Gaza War. I argue that Israel has turned it around, beating Hamas and calling the bluff of Hezbollah and Iran.
https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/04/ga ... round.html
https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2024/04/ga ... round.html
- 20 Apr 2024 12:42
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
Tu-22 shot down I call that BS. Most likely it was an engine failure and the Ukrainians being the shameless SOBs they are took credit for something that they did not do. It crashed outside the range of Ukrainian SAM's, 2 of the crew were debriefed. Cause it apparently engine failure, which can happ...
- 10 Apr 2024 08:11
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Deans ji, if naidu makes a healthy headway in getting a significant number of seats, he will revert to his default position of blackmailing the center, if he can, even if he has to break the alliance and join up with others like it happened in MAH. He is testing the waters in the 2024 LS elections ...
- 10 Apr 2024 08:01
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
- Replies: 7961
- Views: 2287834
Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch
PIA’s most recent full-year annual report shows it generated revenues of PKR172 billion ($619 million) in carrying 4.2 million passengers in 2022. That is around a million lower than its pre-pandemic passenger high of 5.2 million in 2019. The report shows the airline was loss-making between 2017 an...
- 09 Apr 2024 16:11
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1486
- Views: 301476
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Here's my two cents on the AP scenario: BJP's vote share in last elections was less than 1% and it is highly unlikely to improve on that if it goes all alone, with the uninspiring local leaders it has. The central BJP leaders are viewed by most AP people as having cheated AP post bifurcation. So, e...
- 05 Apr 2024 21:03
- Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
- Topic: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
- Replies: 4255
- Views: 2479977
Re: Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy
There is the matter of MTCR. US cannot transfer any missiles iver 300 mile range. If it does, then nothing stops Russia from exporting to NK or Iran. Thats a line the US wont cross now that VN is out. If Hypersonic Zircon missiles (with MTCR limits) are supplied to China and Iran, US Carrier battle...