Bharat Rakshak

Saral

The bottom line in the interview is that he is going on the governance angle full cylinders.. Cases etc. will also be conducted but using mechanisms without any interference. No vendetta. Will co-opt all segments, across parties, msm and what not.

lost live feed.

Saral

Saral ji, not questioning MMS's resume. But such people have awesome resume's because of reasons primarily kowtowing, no critical questioning, not putting one's head above the table, never taking clear sides etc. He may be 0.1% academically, but there are people 0.01% acadeically with a mind of the...

Saral

The Election process works in India; seen no evidence to the contrary for last few decades. No surprises on May 16. NDA 272+ and more. So I am puzzled by people having last minute irrational fears. Sampath and MMS may not be quality leaders but they are intelligent (easily in the top 0.1 %), let's n...

Saral

http://yuva4india.tv/ heading at snail's pace to BJP office

Saral

We need some volunteer(s) to try this and report back, in the interest of SDRE nutrition science Manufactured Soylent arrives in powder form: a day’s supply comes in a plastic pouch containing fifteen hundred calories of beige dust. The oil, which amounts to about five hundred calories, comes in a s...

Saral

Given expansion of regional parties, 400+ in 1984 probably is like 330+ today. A 350+ would be a historic mandate. I am sure they are planning for 2019 and the assemblies in-between. For this year, not too much above 300 is my estimate. I think 280 to 300 is more reasonable (if optimistic by BR expe...

Saral

Run #8. Nice and Sunny. After half-way point, varied pace. Went faster than previous runs and my iphunwa cable popped out a couple of times (iphunwa in the bottom of right pocket of loose shorts, jiggles). Piskologically much better than #7 which was the worst of the lot.

Saral

Saral 60 40 0 0 0 0 0

Saral

Week 5

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Saral

There was a lot more rigging in the days of paper ballots.. 1977 still happened and Congi lost. Maybe there is significant rigging in W Bengal or parts of UP/Bihar or Assam but those likely follow historical precedents in those areas. Example: http://www.thenewsminute.com/stories/The%20red%20alert%2...

Saral

For a price, witness services are available.

Saral

Post on page 888.. ***luckee luckee onree*** NaMo Narayana.

Saral

Run #7 will make it 7 days in a row today.. But need to get off my butt to make it happen.. NOW. Piskologically hard to run today as I was ravenously hungry .. Mind playing tricks "6 days is ok, take a break and eat/drink well".. Weather was good but it was hard till the half-way point, af...

Saral

"Lexus" run #6 in honor of RB-ullah. In gym with soft-cushioned NB 1080 at 5 mph, like driving round 35 mph smooth surface with GHQ (this shoe is shocky in real trails). Real smooth. Estimate that NDA count has gone to 270 starting with 240 base + 5 seats per run via quantum entanglement a...

Saral

deejay: your post lacks depth. Learn how to use quotes. Know the difference between "loose" and "lose". Please observe how BR works before posting.

Saral

Run #5, good weather.. After 2 miles feet were ok.. Did 90 mins of lawn mowing.. so double workout today.. In all the 5 runs so far, I try to go real easy so as to keep the streak alive. 7 more days, 7 more runs. Felt stiff in the morning (lower back) for stretching.

Saral

Marten: Please keep giving updates, consider patches or whatever else helps. Swimming is a good option (not available to me till end May).

Saral

vijakarthik : Good points. We really need probability models a la American elections but we don't have those models. Intuition and gut is usually bad, except when it works. I am hoping this is one of those times when gut is accumulating various bits of correlated information that indicates a wave-ty...

Saral

SaiK: You will need to negotiate with me.. Duly appointed *agent #1* of Singha-jee. Send proposal in triplicate onlee. Have already activated my Bwood sleeper cells.

Saral

Singha-ji.. Consider serializing this in some online mag (Newslaundry?) after May 16

Saral

Back to elections.. If you guys go to the top of this board (NDA poll) you'll see a post on 4 types of dhoti-shiverers.. Place yourself in one of the 4 categories here and discuss, if you like.

Saral

Run #4. Beautiful weather, sunny cool breeze.. Had done foot massage and regular m-ass-age yesterday. Latter made my upper body real smooth. Niggles reduced but left-right asymmetry is clearly there. Seems despite wearing extra sock the right foot wasn't making as good contact with insole as left (m...

Saral

chaanakya wrote:
fanne wrote:posting the below piece for ITS PROSE. It has no data - guys enjoy!!
Please DELETE
Its unfair. Let them subscribe to 5foty3 to read Dr PP writing.

Ditto.

Saral

Saral if UPA is at 105 then why is NDA still at 262? What is the forum not seeing? Different judges for UPA and NDA causes this inconsistency, maybe. If we go by March opinion, then the estimates for NDA at 262 is reasonable.. I think the situation has changed since March. Maybe UPA will manage mor...

Saral

Why am I an optimist? Because its not just a Modi-wave but also an anti-Congi wave. Satta market is betting 80 or less for CongI. So UPA wont be able to reach 110, in my opinion. I must say that opinion is very sharply divided here and unlike the NDA numbers these are harder to argue for or against....

Saral

Week 4 UPA In week 1 median=105, week 2 median=99, week3 median=109, week 4 median=105. Not much of a trend in the medians. Variation is mostly due to different judges across time. If we rely on the judges median, then it looks like the place to bet is 100 - 110 range for UPA with max probability. ...

Saral

Let me explain my judgments. Week 1 = 268 . This was mostly based on various polls particularly NDTV in early April and the fact that the trendline across polls was in favor of NDA, since there was a month or more to go, I added a few more seats. Week 2 = 272 , not a whole lot but things (based on t...

Saral

Week 4 NDA Week 1 median is 250, Week 2 is 259, Week 3 is 265 and Week 4 is 262 (mainly due to newbies who downshifted the distribution, else it should've stayed the same or gone up a bit) . After May 16, I'll redo the analysis by carrying forward estimates of people who drop out. Am going to devia...

Saral

Selection bias as well. Men are optimists, Women are realists . Men will aim over their league and fail more. You mean while searching for a mate, men look at a wimmen's assets on the chest whereas wimmens look at a man's assets inside the chest (the tijori type)? :mrgreen: Saar, this is very freud...

Saral

3.5 mile is 5.6k, an odd distance.. Either 3 miles (4.8 k) or 5k .. which is it?

Saral

No, I have not had leg length measured.. Seems that arch issues are rather common and there are inserts. maybe I should visit a specialized running store and check out options. update: I did a simple test to compare arches by dipping my feet in water and then standing on paper towel... No discernabl...

Saral

Chaanakya is the last week 4 entry

Saral

Haha.. I didn't see Ramana's usual post.. Will Consider all the week 5 entries as such, although we have till next Thursday evening to edit. Week 4 entries are one above merlin.

Saral

Suraj: Not so much a case of leg strength issues, more one of niggles in one foot (right) after striking the ground, maybe the shape is different..who knows. I wear an extra sock on the right for proper fit. possible that right foot has more arch.. less contact with surface, more pressure. Obvious w...

Saral

tejinder pal bagga has come on channels also and has vowed to tweet 100s of these pics . he is well known supporter of Modi. do u think it is worth it? I don't think so, it will dilute the campaign https://twitter.com/tajinderbagga/status/462213732152537088/photo/1 lower the discourse Real or Fake,...

Saral

Wimmens typically are better suited for these long haul events....mards fizzle out early in a blaze of testosterone like SSG ghazis. That is why on an average 90% of wimmens starters finish an ultra while only 50% of men do. Selection bias as well. Men are optimists, Women are realists. Men will ai...

Saral

Run #3.. Sunny morning.. Oil on nipple to prevent burn.. Nimbus does have good shock absorption but my issue is that right foot (part below ankles) has hazaar weird aches on impact that go away mostly only after 3 miles.. It wont matter that much in a race but does matter in regular runs where enjoy...

Saral

I paste the episodes into Word in a nice clean font and read at full width on a 24" screen. 7811 words and counting.

Saral

updating my week 4

Saral 0 0 0 0 0 75 25

Saral

I guess its ok to wait until tomorrow. Maybe we get a few more entries. I see that vijaykarthik has not yet provided his estimate for week4. I can provide median estimates for each week (1-4) and other basic stats as a table with 4 columns. Reserve graphing till its all over (post May 16).

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