Search found 269 matches

by madhu
29 Mar 2020 12:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

South Korea has done most extensive testing. So i feel more confident of the numbers. If we go by their numbers total cases is 9583 and total fatality is 152. This puts case fatality ratio of just under 1.5% and total serious ill is 1%. This puts the number close to less than common flu. With this d...
by madhu
29 Mar 2020 00:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

News coming out of China doesn't seem good. Some 5-10% of recovered payments are testing positive again. Very fishy as can be expected. https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/03/27/822407626/mystery-in-wuhan-recovered-coronavirus-patients-test-negative-then-positive TBH though i was really ...
by madhu
28 Mar 2020 23:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Further Second French study also said it cures 78/79 patients. Chinese study is being misreported but it also said that Hydroxychloroquine (alone) has 87% success rate which is same as First French study that Hydroxychloroquine alone has lesser success rate. Can you please post the link too from ne...
by madhu
27 Mar 2020 16:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

RIGHT NOW President Trump shifts his tone on China, praising it for its handling of what he recently called the “Chinese virus .” The U.S. now leads the world in confirmed coronavirus cases. Scientists warned that the United States someday would become the country hardest hit by the coronavirus pan...
by madhu
27 Mar 2020 13:40
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

My guess is that mortality rate in developed nations for death/infected is 1% while mortality rate for death/symptomatic patients is 5%. Some UK studies are claiming that 90% of deaths take place in patients who would have died even without coronavirus within 1 year due to other medical reasons. . ...
by madhu
27 Mar 2020 12:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

has anyone come across any research paper (not blogs/news/articles) on effect of lockdown on psychology of people? i believe this will leave a big scar on humanity after Corona virus issue is over the whole wold will be a different place to be in.
by madhu
26 Mar 2020 21:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Apparently the Chinese virus has almost the same viral load in a asymptomatic person, compared to one with symptoms. And nose has more load than mouth. So looks like most of the spread is done by people sneezing and thinking it is due to dust. No one has reported sneezing as a major symptom. Top 3 ...
by madhu
25 Mar 2020 14:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

chola wrote:^^^ Again, Cheen is experiencing a second wave infection event from returnees as we speak.
.

Any link? I am thinking antibodies will protect most of the people preventing second wave.
by madhu
24 Mar 2020 23:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

An intresting paper. Reinfection could not occur in SARS-CoV-2 infected rhesus macaques Abstract An outbreak of the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome CoV-2 (SARS-CoV-2), began in Wuhan and spread globally. Recently, it has been reported that discha...
by madhu
24 Mar 2020 23:13
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Is there any paper or simulation what happens to economy in such world wide lockdown?
by madhu
24 Mar 2020 23:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Intresting graph. We need to superimpose china data and india to see the trajectory.
Image
by madhu
24 Mar 2020 21:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Guys, i was wondering how did they cone to conclusion of 21 days? Is it 14 days and 7 days as a factor of safety? Or was there any tradeoff or other logic.
by madhu
24 Mar 2020 12:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Ok. So the Worldometer site shows that current as of 3/23/2020, total cases = 379080 globally with 16524 deaths. What is bothering me is that the %age of deaths in the total number of closed cases (260133) has been gently creeping up over the last 5-6 days. I noticed it was only about 10%, 3 or 4 d...
by madhu
23 Mar 2020 18:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ETyRZ6UUEAEiDOt?format=jpg&name=small i think this is still preliminary research. probably given as sympathetic drug. i dont even see a good paper that is randomized, controlled double blind test. Hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin as a treatment of COVID-19: result...
by madhu
22 Mar 2020 21:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Analysis of SARS-CoV-2 and compared it with SARS-CoV-1 in the aerosol and surface stability data consists of 10 experimental conditions involving two viruses (SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV-1) in five environmental conditions (aerosols, plastic, stainless steel, copper, and cardboard). The half-lives of C...
by madhu
22 Mar 2020 20:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Krita wrote:
Lohit wrote:Wuhan Coronavirus mutation rate is about half that of the influenza, at around 24 mutations per year.
]

Do u have a link to this research paper?
by madhu
22 Mar 2020 20:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Liberandus and anti Modi gang must be burning all out. Noise pollution, it seems :lol: I dint wanted to post a political comment in this thread but i cant resist the burnol experience. My wife works in public sector bank and recently she was pressurized to take promotion due to lack of good staff. ...
by madhu
22 Mar 2020 17:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Again if drugs are even partially effective then 500 deaths per day, 50,000 beds and 5,000 ventilators. Which is well within our current capacity. This is the worst possible scenario and nothing different from ordinary flu which world has been facing for decades. At some point of time we may have t...
by madhu
22 Mar 2020 12:42
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Physical distancing, not social distancing- WHO

The World Health Organization (WHO) is discouraging the use of the phrase ‘social distancing’. The organization urges people to use the phrase ‘physical distancing’ instead.
by madhu
22 Mar 2020 00:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Guys, is Wuhan still in lockdown condition? If so then how long rest of world needs to be? Can we afford a long time shutdown?
This will have a toll on economy. So instead of dieing due to corona we will be killed by economy.
by madhu
21 Mar 2020 00:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Rahul M wrote:also,sweden is very ikely fudging numbers.

Why should anyone fudge numbers. May be taking precaution to control. More over even in spain things of ban is not too strict. I heard one can go for a walk in evening. Only malls theater are closed. Most on WFH
by madhu
20 Mar 2020 17:55
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Coronavirus: Shaheen Bagh protest to continue during janta curfew A protester said the women had been taking every precaution and they were covered in burqa all the time . Shaheen Bagh protesters plans to continue protest during janta curfew on Sunday why rightwing people not filing PIL on Shaheen ...
by madhu
20 Mar 2020 11:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

A Trial of Lopinavir–Ritonavir in Adults Hospitalized with Severe Covid-19 METHODS We conducted a randomized, controlled, open-label trial involving hospitalized adult patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, which causes the respiratory illness Covid-19, and an oxygen saturation (Sao2) of 94%...
by madhu
19 Mar 2020 15:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

a very good paper. Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV2) stimation of the prevalence and contagiousness of undocumented novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV2) infections is critical for understanding the overall prevalence and pandemic potenti...
by madhu
18 Mar 2020 14:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

A Chilling British Study Predicted 22 Lakh Coronavirus Deaths in US, 5 Lakh in UK not sure of original source. this is from CNN IBN. interesting to check the assumptions as i feel this is exaggerated death numbers. he modelling study, by a team led by Neil Ferguson, a professor of mathematical biol...
by madhu
18 Mar 2020 10:12
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Terroristan - November 11, 2019
Replies: 994
Views: 203980

Re: Terroristan - November 11, 2019

Finally things are moving in Pakistan. I always wondered why there is no nCoV in land of Pure even with no travel ban and close working with China. The new numbers are 237 cases. Split up is 172-sindh 16-KP 26-Punjab 16- Baloch 5-AJK/GB One question is why is Punjab so low in numbers? Is it not CPEC...
by madhu
07 Mar 2020 00:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3826
Views: 417520

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Good read, but let's see this works https://drgpradhan.blogspot.com/2020/03/the-master-class-diplomacy-of-namo.html This is just a Whatsapp msg that is going around. I don't see anything new in this. I strongly feel MAD is clueless. They were caught off guard and do not know how to get out of it. M...
by madhu
06 Mar 2020 23:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3826
Views: 417520

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

https://www.news18.com/amp/news/india/ngos-supporting-public-causes-through-lawful-means-cant-be-barred-from-receiving-foreign-funds-rules-supreme-court-2528847.html Extraordinary Bizarre order of Supreme Court allowing foreign funded NGOs to meddle in India Now theoretically ISIS can open an NGO i...
by madhu
06 Mar 2020 22:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3826
Views: 417520

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

One thing is sure due to AntiCAA protest India's image has gone bad. Yesterday i had a call with Indonesia client. Before the start of meeting he asked me what's happening in india. However i did not feel it is appropriate to discuss in official call so just did not show interest. Now at least pakis...
by madhu
03 Mar 2020 13:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3826
Views: 417520

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

https://youtu.be/_Aq4bBIN6-E I thought these fears are the only mine. But no. Looks like it is a pan Indian phenomenon. Many feel the same. Fear that we may have to face the same fate of Kashmiri pandits. Only difference is hindus cant even be openly acknowledge that this is a fear and non of polit...
by madhu
29 Feb 2020 14:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3826
Views: 417520

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

https://twitter.com/MrutyunjayNJ/status/1233669666633023488 Mrutyunjay Joshi @MrutyunjayNJ Worst and silently promoting Jihad by @htTweets . This is same news paper which cleverly indirectly blamed hindus for burning train. No mention of temple being burnt and Idol destroyed. Hindus are Victim of #...
by madhu
29 Feb 2020 14:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3826
Views: 417520

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

twitter Update I heard Upto 300,000 Muslins hav claimed that all their documents were burnt during riots AAP Govt will set up camps 2 issue fresh documents to these Muslins *No verification may b required* Hope we now understand level of planning & how meticulous details had worked out Twitter ...
by madhu
29 Feb 2020 13:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3826
Views: 417520

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

And the main villains in this gory massacre of truth are make no mistake about it, Hindus themselves . I mean the colonized, deracinated libarandus. After 6 years of BJP in power, the BIF appear as strong as ever . Sir, I agree that the problem is Hindus themself. Cant help. We are blind. Look at t...
by madhu
29 Feb 2020 13:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3826
Views: 417520

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Got to know from a banker friend that syndicate bank has issued an internal circular not to circulate 2000 rs note. Looks like gov is trying to suck the notes out of circulation.

Any bankers in the forum to conform?
by madhu
19 Feb 2020 19:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Replies: 3826
Views: 417520

Re: 2020 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

If the plot has succeeded, the RSS would have been banned, Hindus ostracised and the BJP politically hamstrung to the extent that it would have been forced to vacate the political space, got marginalized and move entirely to the side lines. Even with all theses thing and knowing all well why is BJP...
by madhu
13 Feb 2020 22:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Virus’s destructiveness has hidden one encouraging aspect of this outbreak - So far, about 80+ percent of the cases (including all 14 in the United States ) have been mild, (symptoms that require little or no medical intervention.) and IMO this proportion is undercount. This is what is puzzeling me...
by madhu
13 Feb 2020 22:17
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Some interesting charts https://i.imgur.com/frPvuUr.jpg https://i.imgur.com/0eVf86l.jpg https://i.imgur.com/K4vKVUN.jpg Source: https://t.co/yxLnPmdtC6?amp=1 https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30183-5/fulltext Tweeted by https://mobile.twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD
by madhu
13 Feb 2020 21:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4040
Views: 296373

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The part about banning public transport - and not evacuating people - is well... non-shocking considering that this is the other side of cheen's smiling made-up faces and glitz. Then again think of the public services/ military people who would be asked to go do the evacuation, day in, day out in t...

Go to advanced search