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by ShauryaT
19 Jun 2018 21:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

rsingh wrote:How long before stored weapon grade Pu is no more suitable for A pum?
IIRC, it is in the order of many decades and even then the reduction in potency is gradual.
by ShauryaT
19 Jun 2018 20:07
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

During Indo-US notsoclear deal I had made a rough estimate of enough stock of pu to make 800-2000 warheads in the 80s. Now at present that stock would have gone up only by multiple times. How many they could/wanted to convert into weapons was a choice of the govt of the day. So how many weapons is ...
by ShauryaT
18 Jun 2018 22:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 1360
Views: 165954

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

>>Raytheon was claiming 100% success in SA/Yemen theater, not true for the March 2018 event. Could you elaborate? Why is it not true for the March 2018 event? If you are referring to the death of an Egyptian expatriate that was from debris crashing into a residential area. I think so far that has b...
by ShauryaT
17 Jun 2018 23:19
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 1360
Views: 165954

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

JE Menon: Raytheon was claiming 100% success in SA/Yemen theater, not true for the March 2018 event. The larger point of the US trying to sell its system to India by way of superior performance and other geo-political pressures and seek the cancel the S-400 order from India to wean us away from Russ...
by ShauryaT
16 Jun 2018 23:51
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 1360
Views: 165954

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

The Orangutan asked for a global trade war, he has it. India Hits Back With Tariffs On 30 US Products, Including Premium Bikes India has decided to suspend concessions on 30 products originating from the United States. Customs duty on motorcycles with engine capacity over 800 cc will be raised up to...
by ShauryaT
16 Jun 2018 23:46
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 1360
Views: 165954

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

US arm-twisting India to buy Patriot-3 systems instead of Russian S-400 - Bharat Karnad Late last year, the Iran-supported Houthi rebels in Yemen fired a Burqan-2 missile (a Scud variant) aimed at the international airport in Riyadh some 600 miles to the northeast. The missile got to its target alr...
by ShauryaT
16 Jun 2018 20:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 1360
Views: 165954

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Below only for those who think, history does matter. The two-hundred-year history of the United States' involvement in South Asia--the key to understanding contemporary American policy in the region How the US managed the presence of 200,000 soldiers in India in World War II with dynamic propaganda ...
by ShauryaT
16 Jun 2018 20:48
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: INA History Thread
Replies: 318
Views: 34331

Re: INA History Thread

How the US managed the presence of 200,000 soldiers in India in World War II with dynamic propaganda America needed to foster sympathy for its troops in India while steering them clear of the country’s politics, Srinath Raghavan writes in a new book. Between 1942 and 1945, some 2,00,000 American so...
by ShauryaT
06 Jun 2018 08:27
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

x-post. we have a policy of no first use. but in case one country use nuke against us, then can India attack a third country? how can India justify this to world ? The MND says very clearly retaliation will be on the attacker and their allies. It is actually broader than that. India reserves the rig...
by ShauryaT
06 Jun 2018 08:26
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Two and Half Front War Scenario
Replies: 205
Views: 18773

Re: Two and Half Front War Scenario

we have a policy of no first use. but in case one country use nuke against us, then can India attack a third country? how can India justify this to world ? The MND says very clearly retaliation will be on the attacker and their allies. It is actually broader than that. India reserves the right to u...
by ShauryaT
05 Jun 2018 09:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indian Foreign Policy
Replies: 2085
Views: 192423

Re: Indian Foreign Policy

Good move in cementing a deal with Indonesia for the port. Indo-N has often reached out to us for mil. eqpt . which it required.Many moons ago it wanted us to overhaul its entire Sov. suppplied navy! Jakarta also mistrust Oz and would much prefer interacting with us.Therefore, the defence ties with...
by ShauryaT
01 Jun 2018 09:58
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 1360
Views: 165954

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Is US a reliable partner? -- G Parthasarathy Moreover, the time has come for India and others to use forums like BRICS to initiate a process to devise a new architecture for monetary exchanges, so that Washington cannot indefinitely continue to use the dollar as an instrument for diplomatic blackma...
by ShauryaT
01 Jun 2018 09:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 1360
Views: 165954

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

US extraterritorial sanctions: Begging for a waiver now is the worst possible option for India - Brahma Chellaney By imposing extraterritorial or “secondary” sanctions, the US seeks to effectively extend its jurisdiction far beyond its borders. Armed with unmatched power from the role of the US dol...
by ShauryaT
29 May 2018 23:09
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Indian Foreign Policy
Replies: 2085
Views: 192423

Re: Indian Foreign Policy

SSridhar wrote:To continue the discussion,

India does not believe in 'Me First' approach: Sushma Swaraj
I just love our EAM. Since the days she became a young minister in the Morarji Desai government, she has done the nation proud.
by ShauryaT
29 May 2018 22:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 1360
Views: 165954

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Wages of getting close to US Have sounded the tocsin time and again in my books and other writings since the post-1998 tests when the Indian government under the Vajpayee-Brijesh Mishra-duo began the country’s tilt America-wards about getting too close to the United States. A whole chapter in my la...
by ShauryaT
28 May 2018 17:47
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

N-deal: A signal triumph for Indian diplomacy A self congratulatory message by our esteemed diplomat but history will determine if the deal did indeed serve Indian interests. What did the nuclear deal achieve for India? Most importantly it expanded India’s strategic space, enabling it to leverage i...
by ShauryaT
28 May 2018 00:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

Why isn't India's nuclear doctrine suitable? Authorizing nuclear weapons in any capacity leads to full scale use. There are two issues with our doctrine. 1. NFU. It lacks credibility in the eyes of our adversaries and there have been enough indications from those in decision-making circles that if ...
by ShauryaT
27 May 2018 08:03
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

Pakistan’s sea-based nuclear deterrent and its asymmetric escalation strategy -- ABHIJNAN REJ However, with the Modi government coming to power in 2014, there has been more than minor rumblings about the continued efficacy of India’s nuclear doctrine in a changing strategic environment. His party c...
by ShauryaT
26 May 2018 10:43
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Military Acquisitions, Partnerships & Developments
Replies: 2719
Views: 375365

Re: Military Acquisitions, Partnerships & Developments

The Problem with Defence Acquisitions - Bharat Karnad Compare this state of affairs with the country’s design, development and production capabilities where SSBNs are concerned: India is completely self-sufficient in propulsion systems, control technology, and most of the assemblies in the boat. Wh...
by ShauryaT
24 May 2018 21:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

MIRV allows you to overcome ABM defenses and hit multiple targets over broad distances. What you are referring to is MRV which are like buckshot citybusters. Nobody invests in this technology b/c of improved CEP. The only missile that I know that still does linear release in orbit is ss-18. Anythin...
by ShauryaT
23 May 2018 07:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

Anyone advocating anything > 300 kt has lost their mind. BK needs to chill with the megaton language. You have to read the prescriptions in context and in view of the timeframes being referred to. 1. To my knowledge, BK has used the megaton language in terms of proven, tested yields to characterize...
by ShauryaT
23 May 2018 06:30
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

Some more on the gun type design and how it may possibly fit into the NASR, who's payload is rated at 400 KG. Although an SRBM its dimensions are very close to a 300 mm tube artillery. Gun Assembly 4.1.6.1 Gun Assembly This was the first technique to be seriously proposed for creating fission explos...
by ShauryaT
22 May 2018 23:22
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

Shiv ji: What you think of Karnad and his knowledge is entirely your prerogative. If you choose to disregard him due to his supposed technical knowledge and treat his policy views as rhetoric, even those are entirely up to you. FWIW: You may not have a high view of his views on the matter but there ...
by ShauryaT
22 May 2018 22:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

A well-researched piece. Would love to get counter arguments of the message and not the messenger or how someone thinks he knows "more" and is a "scientist". Walking Back Delusional Nuclear Policies - Bharat Karnad Indeed, an active programme of exports of nuclear goods will more...
by ShauryaT
18 May 2018 22:20
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

I don't think our nuclear industry has a bright future. It will only comprise a small portion of the energy mix. Renewables and hydro will increase substantially and eat into the coal share. We should begin seriously investing in SILEX, reprocessing, battery tech, etc. Only 6 commercial breeders 50...
by ShauryaT
18 May 2018 06:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

I think you have got it wrong about subkiloton and sophistication. It requires great sophistication to squeeze 10 kt out of a 30 cm diameter missile. It is the diameter that is the problem. Plutonium has to be squeezed efficiently from all directions to get the maximum yield. Or else it will be sub...
by ShauryaT
16 May 2018 23:25
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

I have said elsewhere that nuke powers need space or area to be able to use the nukes against invading forces. Bingo!! A key point missed by many, many "experts". The Warsaw tank force numbered in the 10's of thousands and the landscape, huge swaths in central Europe. Another key point of...
by ShauryaT
16 May 2018 23:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

Shiv ji: A couple of comments. The paper below estimates a yield of up to 10 KT within that 30 CM frame, based on the W-33 design. Since much of this miniaturization needs advanced designs, which requires testing to be credible, we can probably discount the sophistication of Pakistani TNW and IMO, r...
by ShauryaT
16 May 2018 09:32
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

Why is 45 psi overpressure needed to destroy a tank? Does it need to be physically disintegrated? I would think the heat produced by a TNW will roast alive the crew of every tank in its blast radius. In WW2, flamethrowers and even molotov cocktails were efficient tank killers for this very reason. ...
by ShauryaT
16 May 2018 00:24
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Su-30: News and Discussion - August 9, 2014
Replies: 2627
Views: 248559

Re: Su-30: News and Discussion - August 9, 2014

3. Reg. Rafales, the iaf seem really impressed with it's abilities, perhaps the Spectra, mica iir and meteor combo is to die for? They seem to be willing to put it against the j20. Only on the assumption that the J-20 is not as stealthy as even the PAK-FA. With that assumption, even Tejas can go ag...
by ShauryaT
14 May 2018 06:33
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

Amber G: You have the liberty to question the credibility of a whole host of scientific people, who have called it a dud/fizzle. Having debated this before, do not wish to open the can. You also have the liberty to call these claims idiotic. But beyond the labs of science, there is a real world out ...
by ShauryaT
14 May 2018 00:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

Nuclear Brinkmanship: Lessons for South Asia - Balraj Nagal I would highly recommend reading this paper by our ex-SFC, pertaining to the how India looks upon the Pakistani nuclear threat. Brinkmanship is the deliberate creation of a recognisable risk, a risk that one does not completely control. Cu...
by ShauryaT
13 May 2018 11:06
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016
Replies: 2339
Views: 378033

Re: China Military Watch - Sept' 2016

China's first home built carrier starts sea trials.
by ShauryaT
12 May 2018 21:51
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Nuclear Submarines -3
Replies: 1381
Views: 148588

Re: Indian Nuclear Submarines -3

^I think you are confusing MWt and MWe all over. The LA class does 30+ knots. Arihant cannot come close to those speeds. The Akula does so, only through brute power.
by ShauryaT
12 May 2018 19:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

by ShauryaT
12 May 2018 18:23
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

India’s nuclear policy: China, Pakistan and two distinct nuclear trajectories -- HARSH V. PANT, YOGESH JOSHI Explains my earlier post on why 1998, rather than 1974 was viewed as the public start of nuclear India. New Delhi’s calculation was simple but profound: any use or threat of use of nuclear w...
by ShauryaT
12 May 2018 18:15
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Maldives Civil-Military Issues
Replies: 904
Views: 77991

Re: Maldives Civil-Military Issues

India back in Maldives, Indian Navy to patrol waters of island nation jointly Indian Navy Ship Sumedha - an offshore Patrol Vessel (OPV) - has been deployed in Maldivian waters to carry out surveillance of the exclusive economic waters of Maldives with the Maldivian military. And, the elite Marine ...
by ShauryaT
12 May 2018 18:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015
Replies: 576
Views: 69875

Re: Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread- June 2015

The Price of Aid: The Economic Cold War in India FULL AUDIO OF TALK INTERNATIONAL POLITICS Listen to the full audio (above) of the talk by David C Engerman, where he discusses how superpowers turned to foreign aid as an instrument for pursuing geopolitics through economic means during the Cold War....
by ShauryaT
12 May 2018 05:41
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

so much have happened in 20 years in armed forces particularly nuclear reactor for submarine, missiles etc. but what about advancement in nuclear weapons arena? In India everything takes another +20 years + babu pace of progress to see the light of the day. The sub program was semi-launched in 1978...
by ShauryaT
12 May 2018 05:29
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 4605
Views: 261228

Re: Deterrence

India must revise its nuclear policy and keep its strategy opaque - BK The Shakti series of underground tests 20 years ago were the last, stifled, hurrah of the Indian nuclear weapons programme. Stifled because the thermonuclear device tested on May 11, 1998 was a dud, and the last hurrah because t...

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