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by ShauryaT
12 Mar 2024 18:55
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

A long overdue forward step has been taken. FINALLY, Divyastra, 19 years late. Next up — Thermonuclear testing - Bharat Karnad The MIRV tech has been collecting dust at the Advanced Systems Laboratory (ASL), Hyderabad, for the last 19 years. It was a project lovingly shepherded to near completion by...
by ShauryaT
18 Jan 2024 07:00
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Books Folder - 2008 onwards!!!
Replies: 1461
Views: 235612

Re: Books Folder - 2008 onwards!!!

Cross posting: Can anyone recommend a definitive reference book on Ramjanmabhoomi temple , its history and the movement? Must cover Babari demolition as well. Definitely not from the likes of Irfan Habib and ilk Tanaji: Three works that may be of interest. 1. An older one from the reverative BB Lal...
by ShauryaT
06 Jun 2023 21:40
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

ramana wrote:[

* As my Mumbai friends say watch and "enjoy karne ka!"

ShauryaT, it is not China that will object.
A little more authentic Mumbaiya "Majaa karne ka!" :)

I am counting on China not objecting. China is a ruse. A ruse that sells in the corridors of Washington.
by ShauryaT
06 Jun 2023 01:16
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

One thing to consider doing is to prep the nation MEA, bureaucracy, media, military, BARC, DRDO, NWS that India will have to test again - If China raises their numbers or does MIRV or does any aggressive deployment. It will put all on notice and the US will find ways to accommodate. Either ways Chin...
by ShauryaT
03 Jun 2023 18:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

reposting to state the record is not clear. Nothing new. Now the shaft for S-1( the thermo-nuclear device at POK-2) was supposedly over 200 metres vs the 120-metre deep shaft at the bottom of which the TN device was placed The failure of India?s sole H-bomb is the latest in DAE and BARC?s long histo...
by ShauryaT
28 May 2023 20:16
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

how exactly do you validate simulations if you dont have the data over full curve? https://web.archive.org/web/20191028030113/https://frontline.thehindu.com/static/html/fl1601/16010840.htm According to Dr. R. Chidambaram, Chairman, Atomic Energy Commission (AEC), and Secretary, Department of Atomic...
by ShauryaT
27 May 2023 16:48
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

Will India play ball? A Nuclear Collision Course in South Asia Tellis hints at a tantalizing solution to India’s problems. The United States could provide India with a reliable thermonuclear weapon design. The trilateral security pact among Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States that i...
by ShauryaT
19 May 2023 17:55
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

Ask him if he has heard "rumours" that TN warheads are being fielded by SFC. Simple. The question was its credibility, that is what his two decades of writings are about. To the question of if there are TN warheads in the deployed arsenal, this question has been answered IIRC by multiple ...
by ShauryaT
19 May 2023 17:36
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

Read the whole thing, from an expert on the topic. A lot of Twaddle about AI and nuclear weapons, tacnukes I have no patience anymore for uninformed commentaries on nuclear deterrence penned by people who wear their unfamiliarity with the broad swath of deterrence literature and with the empirical e...
by ShauryaT
19 May 2023 05:12
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

101 level podcast on nuclear deterrence its evolution and trajectories.
by ShauryaT
19 May 2023 01:36
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: CDS Appointment & Command Restructuring: News & Discussions
Replies: 712
Views: 188792

Re: CDS Appointment & Command Restructuring: News & Discussions

pravula wrote:Will they survive s400 and clones that prc is gonna deploy in numbers? Both land and sea based…
Sea based S400? That is news!
by ShauryaT
18 May 2023 19:40
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

@RoyG: These are all plausible theories and something that has been debated on these threads ad nauseam. The credibility of a theory is based on evidences and proofs demonstrated. The value of deterrence comes from an understanding of proven capabilities. On the issue of EU designs, they are irrelev...
by ShauryaT
18 May 2023 17:35
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV
Replies: 8678
Views: 2230601

Re: India-US relations: News and Discussions IV

Takshashila Discussion Document - Assessing Arguments Against Closer India-US Ties Our own Yusuf ji sets 12 points of view with references in this well written paper, to set his basis for conclusions. India’s goal is to become a developed country with a capable military and a great power. It requir...
by ShauryaT
18 May 2023 16:39
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

RoyG wrote:
ShauryaT wrote:Any sources or basis for these designed payloads and its rationale?
Bharat Karnad himself admitted it.
Understood. So the design of S-1 is the basis. Thanks.
by ShauryaT
18 May 2023 02:46
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

THE NUCLEAR CLUB - JONATHAN HUNT On this episode of Horns of a Dilemma, Jonathan Hunt talks about his book, The Nuclear Club: How America and the World Policed the Atom from Hiroshima to Vietnam. Hunt starts out with an anecdote about the origins of the nuclear non-proliferation treaty under U.S. P...
by ShauryaT
18 May 2023 02:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

RoyG wrote:Rumour is we have high confidence 125&175kt TN designs in the inventory.
Any sources or basis for these designed payloads and its rationale?
by ShauryaT
18 May 2023 02:43
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

disha wrote: 2. For any detractors of Shakti-1 (the TN shot), please check out Astrosat.
Thanks for the summary. Same question as Anujan, what has Astrosat to do with Shakti-1?
by ShauryaT
16 May 2023 06:41
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: CDS Appointment & Command Restructuring: News & Discussions
Replies: 712
Views: 188792

Re: CDS Appointment & Command Restructuring: News & Discussions

I think you are confusing two things in my post. I said TC is delayed due to IAF which is the first part. Second I asked AM Jyal about how the strategic value of air power can be provided without bombers since 1973. The second part is addressed to his essay. It is not to IAF. Thanks for the clarifi...
by ShauryaT
13 May 2023 23:27
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

The Dynamics of an Entangled Security Dilemma: China's Changing Nuclear Posture Starting around 2015, China has been accelerating the modernization of its nuclear arsenal, including expanding its forces. The U.S. Defense Department projects that China will have about 1,000 warheads by 2030. Even th...
by ShauryaT
13 May 2023 21:20
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: CDS Appointment & Command Restructuring: News & Discussions
Replies: 712
Views: 188792

Re: CDS Appointment & Command Restructuring: News & Discussions

It was supposed to be announced on Independence Day 2022. It got delayed to 2023 due to IAF. I have a question for AM Jayal. How does he expect to provide the strategic value of air power when IAF has shunned bomber planes since 1973? Canberra was already obsolete in 1965 as many pilot accounts sta...
by ShauryaT
12 May 2023 21:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

Thanks to Amber G. Anil Kakodkar interview.

viewtopic.php?f=1&t=6005&p=2588931#p2588931
by ShauryaT
12 May 2023 05:17
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

I was going to write, Ramana do not click, nothing there :) In fact, just not him 95%+ of the authors who write/talk on the issue are under inspiring to people who have followed things closely. I would even say RG delayed the order for too long. The matter was out in the open since at least 1985 and...
by ShauryaT
12 May 2023 03:07
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

Mr. Gupta opines on his knowings of the event.
by ShauryaT
10 May 2023 17:14
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

A series of articles on ORF marking 25 years from Shakti series of tests.

25 Years Since Pokhran-Il:
Reviewing India's Nuclear Odyssey
by ShauryaT
07 May 2023 17:07
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India-US Defence Trade & Technology Initiative: News & Discussion
Replies: 121
Views: 44086

Re: India-US Defence Trade & Technology Initiative: News & Discussion

We are now at a stage beyond the foundational agreements. This is next. INDIA-US TO SHARE AIR INFORMATION A very high ranking Pentagon official, the US Air Secretary Frank Kendall, who kept a close watch on China's military modernisation through technical intelligence for over a decade has proposed ...
by ShauryaT
07 May 2023 16:48
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India-US Defence Trade & Technology Initiative: News & Discussion
Replies: 121
Views: 44086

Re: India-US Defence Trade & Technology Initiative: News & Discussion

It will be best to arrest the discussion in this thread to iCET, which is the successor to DTTI. DTTI is dead. FACT SHEET: United States and India Elevate Strategic Partnership with the initiative on Critical and Emerging Technology (iCET) Strengthening our Innovation Ecosystems Signing a new Implem...
by ShauryaT
06 May 2023 16:11
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India-US Defence Trade & Technology Initiative: News & Discussion
Replies: 121
Views: 44086

Re: India-US Defence Trade & Technology Initiative: News & Discussion

Ramana-ji, read this excellent rebuttal from Kanwal Sibal. He takes apart Ashley Tellis' article.... Tellis’s narrow self-serving view on India-US ties overlooks the big picture https://www.indianarrative.com/opinion-news/telliss-narrow-self-serving-view-on-india-us-ties-overlooks-the-big-picture-1...
by ShauryaT
01 May 2023 21:03
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: India-US Defence Trade & Technology Initiative: News & Discussion
Replies: 121
Views: 44086

Re: India-US Defence Trade & Technology Initiative: News & Discussion

Interesting read from Ashley Tellis. Takleef from not buying an American made fighter. The Amreekis want a win *SO* bad in India. Some how, some way, some manner....get India to purchase an American made fighter. America’s Bad Bet on India https://www.foreignaffairs.com/india/americas-bad-bet-india...
by ShauryaT
30 Apr 2023 03:21
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Light Tank: News & Discussion
Replies: 109
Views: 33580

Re: Indian Light Tank: News & Discussion

The Arjun turret on the T72 did not work. The chassis could not take the weight. Too much of weight reduction through ammo and armr makes the tank a lovely parade piece Correct. The US tried the 105 mm on a Stryker platform weighing 20 tons and it has not worked well. The main gun of a light tank i...
by ShauryaT
29 Apr 2023 22:29
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Light Tank: News & Discussion
Replies: 109
Views: 33580

Re: Indian Light Tank: News & Discussion

Personally I have not understood the entire light tank requirement. A lightly armoured and lightly armed vehicle would stand little chance against a plethora of man portable ATGMS and the proliferation of a range to loitering ammunition and UAVs. Probably IA intends to use them to strike and occupy...
by ShauryaT
24 Apr 2023 19:23
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

by ShauryaT
24 Apr 2023 17:18
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Social Problems in Punjab and their Strategic Impact
Replies: 482
Views: 113902

Re: Social Problems in Punjab and their Strategic Impact

A view point from Ajai Sahni one of the foremost experts on the topic. His leadership and work through the SATP.org portal is well known to all who follow Indian security issues.

by ShauryaT
23 Apr 2023 21:43
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: CDS Appointment & Command Restructuring: News & Discussions
Replies: 712
Views: 188792

Re: CDS Appointment & Command Restructuring: News & Discussions

Thanks. So instead of just collapsing the current 17 commands to 7 theater commands the military transformation is underway into three commands. I like the idea of three commands. It seems, we will still have the 17 commands in parallel with these three for a while. Political leadership will have t...
by ShauryaT
20 Apr 2023 03:18
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Nuclear Submarines -3
Replies: 1994
Views: 547480

Re: Indian Nuclear Submarines -3

Correct me if i am wrong., SSKs are better than SSNs in littoral waters as they can hide better ., deep diving subs esp SSNs need a special steel that is not suitable for littoral vessels as again detection becomes easier., things might be different with some new generation materials and propulsion...
by ShauryaT
20 Apr 2023 01:09
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Nuclear Submarines -3
Replies: 1994
Views: 547480

Re: Indian Nuclear Submarines -3

I keep going over this basic equation: 3 SSK cost = 1 SSN cost. In the Indian context the SSK would be imports (at least major components) and the SSN would be highly indigenous the costs are comparable and not 3:1. Closer to shores -- is it better to have 3 SSK spread out and create a net or 1 SSN...
by ShauryaT
19 Apr 2023 22:10
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Nuclear Submarines -3
Replies: 1994
Views: 547480

Re: Indian Nuclear Submarines -3

Given the geography, India does not need its subs in South China Sea or the Pacific -- so time to station is not a big factor; and with a solid growth of AIP capabilities -- IMHO, SSK would be a good deterrence. With SSK one can hide, but not hunt or run against a surface or sub-surface fleet of pe...
by ShauryaT
17 Apr 2023 06:31
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Strategic Long Range Bomber
Replies: 273
Views: 58163

Re: Indian Strategic Long Range Bomber

Big three push ahead with stealth bombers: What it means for strategic deterrence and India Under the current circumstances, acquiring bombers is not a priority for India for at least one decade The Boeing B-52 Stratofortress is the American long-range, subsonic, strategic bomber operated by the US...
by ShauryaT
15 Apr 2023 21:44
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

His stance plays into US thinktanks campaigns. For example Tellis. Interesting. From my read It is Tellis, who has moved closer to Bharat's view. Bharat's view has not changed much but Tellis' has over the past two decades or so. Added from Karnad article references: [21] “We want to be India’s def...
by ShauryaT
15 Apr 2023 07:09
Forum: Military Issues & History Forum
Topic: Indian Strategic Long Range Bomber
Replies: 273
Views: 58163

Re: Indian Strategic Long Range Bomber

I am not saying that India doesn't need to have a strategic bomber. But in the absence of comprehensive national security policy. Without a clear identification what are the threats being faced. What would be the threat scenario in 2030, 2035, 2040, 2045, and 2050. We need to think seriously about ...
by ShauryaT
15 Apr 2023 05:24
Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
Topic: Deterrence
Replies: 5129
Views: 860670

Re: Deterrence

A bit of serious reading is required by Indian decisonmakers and lay public alike on the issue of the missing thermonuclear security of the country in a milieu in which, even in government and the military, “opinions”, not informed views and perspectives, generally prevail. Hence, I am reprodcing b...