Search found 4310 matches
- 20 Apr 2024 18:31
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1344
- Views: 282339
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Phase 1 only. Primarily BH, UP, RJ, MP and MH. Although pro-BJP channels are confident of victory, IMO a large drop in voting percentage makes it uncertain as accurate prediction becomes difficult. I will call this 5 states in phase 1 as uncertain. We will have a better idea when exit polls come out.
- 20 Apr 2024 16:02
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
- Replies: 1344
- Views: 282339
Re: Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]
Terrible voting percentage in Hindi belt and MH in Round 1. Complacency. Maybe the cadres are over confident.
- 03 Dec 2023 13:05
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
- Replies: 1718
- Views: 421062
Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
BRS lost 4% votes, most likely Muslim votes to the INC in TG.
- 03 Dec 2023 12:57
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
- Replies: 1718
- Views: 421062
Re: Assembly Elections - 2022 & 2023
BJP lost 6% votes in TG to INC compared to 2019 LS. Removing Bandi Sanjay led to the disaster which allowed INC a majority.
- 08 Dec 2021 21:40
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Kaushal Vepa is no more. Om Shanti
- Replies: 86
- Views: 18547
Re: Kaushal Vepa is no more. Om Shanti
Om Shanti.
Once a great BRF warrior. One of my sparring partners from the 90s.
Once a great BRF warrior. One of my sparring partners from the 90s.
- 23 Nov 2021 01:42
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 14901
- Views: 3169360
Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Very good decision. Why sirji? Primarily 5 reasons. 1) The Sangh has a very positive view of Sikhs for the umpteen sacrifices they have made for the civilization. So they don't want to push it too far. This agitation is primarily led by a sections of Sikhs and Jats of HY and west UP. 2) National se...
- 19 Nov 2021 22:57
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 14901
- Views: 3169360
Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
States can still do farm reforms and enact laws as agriculture is in the states list. Karnataka has already amended their APMC act and business has started shifting out of mandis. MH previous admin had done it partially. Bihar abolished APMCs in 2005. The purpose of these laws was to accelerate the ...
- 19 Nov 2021 20:36
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
- Replies: 14901
- Views: 3169360
Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1
Very good decision.
- 01 Aug 2021 21:07
- Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
- Topic: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
- Replies: 306
- Views: 69059
Re: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
This Indian team can win.
- 31 Jul 2021 22:15
- Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
- Topic: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
- Replies: 306
- Views: 69059
Re: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
Request all of you to have patience. We are improving in many sports at different levels. A lot of private and govt effort is going in that direction and results have started showing. Perhaps not as fast as we would like but it is happening. Instead of being mere critics we should back those efforts...
- 26 Jul 2021 23:54
- Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
- Topic: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
- Replies: 306
- Views: 69059
Re: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
Talent alone cannot make you champions if there is no ecosystem.
- 26 Jul 2021 21:37
- Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
- Topic: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
- Replies: 306
- Views: 69059
Re: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
Also do we have the talent pool for coaches who can create champions? Not yet in many sports. That is why we need sports universities so that coaching becomes a professional career. Right now we have ex-players passing for coaches or with some certifications who may not have the capacity to make cha...
- 26 Jul 2021 21:32
- Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
- Topic: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
- Replies: 306
- Views: 69059
Re: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
Govt. is already setting up 1000 Khelo India centers of excellence. The first dozen or so have been inaugurated. Idea is to cover each district with these centers. Each center will have infra for a few sports. They also have started the Khelo India games for school children. Both very good initiativ...
- 25 Jul 2021 22:49
- Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
- Topic: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
- Replies: 306
- Views: 69059
Re: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
While I can understand the disappointment at not getting those shooting medals we don't need to go overboard with criticism. Remember we had the same problem in the shooting world championships where we wouldn't win many medals till we aced it starting roughly from 2017. These are world champions in...
- 25 Jul 2021 14:36
- Forum: Science, Economics & Technology Forum
- Topic: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
- Replies: 306
- Views: 69059
Re: The Tokyo Olympic Games Thread
They are not out of form. In 2021 also they will likely be shooting world champions. It is Olympic pressure. Being an Olympic champion is equivalent to winning the Nobel prize in sports. This young squad needs sports psychologists to train them to handle the pressure.
- 12 Jun 2021 15:39
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: J&K Union Territory-2019
- Replies: 4384
- Views: 1500076
Re: J&K Union Territory-2019
Separating J&K into Jammu state and Kashmir UT will be good from many angles. The insurgency problem is restricted to the Kashmir valley. The security establishment can now focus on Kashmir and let Jammu, Ladakh become normal states/UT. In any case Jammu and Kashmir are as different as Bihar and...
- 11 Jun 2021 21:24
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
I will give my brief analysis without taking anything away from RahulM. Two other major factors were there in 2021 WB election. The WB economy has grown at a CAGR (combined annual growth rate) of 10.5% in the last five years i.e. the economy has basically doubled. This is big for a state that was in...
- 03 May 2021 00:03
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
As per wiki the BJP contested 20 seats in TN.
- 02 May 2021 20:07
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
The Christian party in NDA has won the lone seat in KL.
- 02 May 2021 18:59
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
Shivraj Singh Chauhan seems to be loosing his grip in MP. He has lost the bypoll by a large margin.
- 02 May 2021 15:32
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
More ground work is necessary in WB especially in urban and semi-urban areas. BJP is a recent phenomenon in WB. Only in 2019 they became a force- less than 2 years.
- 02 May 2021 14:37
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
By reliable second round in Assam I mean just get an org like UIDAI to reverify the database.
- 02 May 2021 14:35
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
Regarding Assam. A combined M vote has not been able to defeat the BJP. This was achieved after several rounds of elections. In AS the only thing that is left to do is to complete a reliable second round of NRC along with national NRC and get the Hs to go for counter demographic mobilization. For th...
- 02 May 2021 14:19
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
Why all this rona-dhona? Massive change has taken place in WB. Remember this state had Left as ruling party and INC as opposition party. Doomsday scenario. Now it has pro-Hindu parties. The TMC is run by the Hindus previously in INC.
- 02 May 2021 14:06
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
I meant those already "within India" back.
There are no national security issues left in WB except NRC. The rest is economy and governance issues.
There are no national security issues left in WB except NRC. The rest is economy and governance issues.
- 02 May 2021 13:56
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
No any further illegal immigration on a massive scale is probably not going to happen. The reasons are two. Bdesh TFR has fallen below replacement level and their economy is booming. What remains to be done is to send those already inside WB back. If the BJP is not doing well in north bengal and eas...
- 02 May 2021 13:32
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
Do not despair about WB. Both ruling and opposition now believe in the same economic policy i.e. market economy plus welfarism. The challengers are decimated. Good economic activity is happening in WB now and urban, semi-urban people who get to see less communal violence are not very unhappy. The on...
- 02 May 2021 12:15
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
- 02 May 2021 12:06
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
Now I am looking at vote share from ECI. Huge lead for TMC. So people are voting BJP at center and TMC at state.
- 02 May 2021 12:03
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
I am looking at the margins in WB. Most are low margin leads. So the gap has been narrowed but not enough. But INC-Left is finished in WB.
- 02 May 2021 11:36
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
There is very little anti-incumbency against TMC in urban, semi-urban areas. Almost the entire M vote from INC-Left has shifted to TMC. Bhadralok is still averse to BJP and has staid with TMC. Expect more appeasement. Big setback for NRC and national interest.
- 29 Apr 2021 21:24
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
The other election to look towards is Tirupati by-polls.
- 29 Apr 2021 20:55
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
It seems BJP is coming to power in WB. TN is a toss-up. Tomorrow I will write on what needs to be done in Bengal to clean-up the mess.
- 27 Apr 2021 22:44
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
Not possible at present.
- 27 Apr 2021 22:30
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
Fertility gap is converging in WB but less so in AS. Let the NPR happen and if it is seeded with Adhaar we will have solid data. Right now it is all over the place. Then only illegal immigrants are left to be detected and legal citizens verified by NRC. The govt knows what it is doing.
- 27 Apr 2021 21:38
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
Ghost citizens are citizens who do not exist in reality. Census figures are in reality an estimate. None of the census officials do a name by name search. That is why the NPR where you (if I understood it correctly) do a self-declaration. That will give you a ball park figure but it can still be fud...
- 27 Apr 2021 20:23
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: 2021 Five State Elections
- Replies: 1447
- Views: 322851
Re: 2021 Five State Elections
Illegal immigrants estimate from Assam NRC Assam: 1 million M, 0.5 million H detected 1-1.5 million - most likely have entered the NRC fraudulently, were detected in first round. Ghost citizens: About 2.5 million (from 2011 census). You can take a hunch who they will be. My estimate WB: 6-8 million ...
- 25 Jan 2020 17:57
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Deterrence
- Replies: 5136
- Views: 945121
Re: Deterrence
And Agni 4 weight is I believe 17 tonnes.
- 25 Jan 2020 17:46
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Deterrence
- Replies: 5136
- Views: 945121
Re: Deterrence
In any case coming back to the original argument the long range Indian missiles have a range and the lower range is stated e.g. there is no official report that Agni 5 is anything but 5000 kms missile but Chinese sources have stated that it is 5000-8000 kms range.
- 25 Jan 2020 17:40
- Forum: Strategy, Politics & International Relations Forum
- Topic: Deterrence
- Replies: 5136
- Views: 945121
Re: Deterrence
This is not the article I am talking about.